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Recent Articles
Short Option Trade of the Day - December T-Bonds
CASH C.O.W. December T-Bonds seem to be struggling to maintain the current price level which also coincides with a .764 Fibonacci bearish retracement to the downside. This could be the 2nd wave (bearish retracement) signaling a possible top in bond prices, of course we would need a continuation ...
The Hindenburg Omen... Are you Trading Myths or Facts?
The key issue for any indicator is not the images it brings to mind, but whether or not it has predicted outcomes more often than chance, and hence is a useful trading tool. According to an article on CNBC the Hindenburg Omen has been ‘roughly 25% accurate in predicting big market upheaval since ...
The Dark Side of Deficits
Thoughts from the Frontline Weekly Newsletter The Dark Side of Deficits by John MauldinAugust 27, 2010 In this issue: Secular Bull and Bear MarketsIt's Not the (Stupid) EconomyThe Consequences of a Credit CrisisThe Dark Side of DeficitsLA, Europe, Kansas City, and Houston In the pre-crisis days,...
Adaptive ARMD(2) SP500 Trading System
Introduction This article features an adaptive autoregressive momentum 'trading system'. The system trades the short-term daily trends of the SP 500 stock market index. The two terms (weights) of the model and the delta periods are adjusted walking-forward bar by bar by the swarm adaptation engin...
Taking Early Profits with Option Buybacks
I am often asked if the objective of selling an option is to have it expire worthless. The answer is yes and no. Obviously, your short option expiring worthless is a successful conclusion to your trade. You’ve taken your full profit, the premium collected is yours. However, letting your option si...
The Stealth Greek Of Options Trading: Vega
By: Chris Vermeulen & J.W. Jones In my previous missives on the Greeks of the option world, we have spent most of our time focusing on Theta and Delta. In the real world of option trading, option prices are the subjects of three primal forces: price of the underlying, time to expiration, and impl...
Trade to Trade Well, not just Make Money!
Trade To Trade Well, Not To Make Money! I have repeated this statement hundreds of times to my students. It seems like a contradiction but it really is not. Traders who routinely make enormous amounts of money trading don’t mentally count the dollars while they’re trading. They don’t keep a men...
Identifying and Benefiting from a Market's “Power Move”
Phil Storer explains how to use power moves to maximize returns Stock and commodities expert Phil Storer says knowing how to recognize a “power move” in a market will help a trader time his orders with confidence and generate profits. Phil Storer says, “my rule is that for price action to qu...
Indices in India – a study of patterns - Tanmay G Purohit
Following is an analysis of major indices in India and I have included BSE Sensex, BSE Metals, BSE IT, BSE Teck, BSE Auto, BSE Realty and NSE BankNifty here: BSE IT: BSE IT Index is making bearish Head & Shoulders formation, below 5400 it would be broken and further 300 point fall is not ruled ou...
How We Get Through This Mess
Thoughts from the Frontline Weekly Newsletter How We Get Through This Mess by John MauldinAugust 20, 2010 In this issue: How We Get Through"Where Is My V-Shaped Recovery?"We Have Met the Enemy, and He Is UsSo Where's the Good News?LA and Europe This week I spoke to a small group of businessmen/e...
The Crude Truth: Oil Prices Unlikely to Rise Substantially in 2010
It sounds like an investors bad dream: Hope for an improving economy continually stymied by negative economic reports and sovereign debt fears; A seemingly optimistic stock market giving way to reality; Commodities prices that seem to be stuck in limbo; Everyone waiting for fall elections, eyei...
Successful Investors Differ From Speculators by Having a Plan
Phil Storer explains the need for sticking to a solid business plan. Stock and commodities veteran Phil Storer says that true investors develop a trading plan and adhere to it, with the result that their market experiences are smoother than the roller-coaster rides of speculators. Storer sa...
The Gulf Oil Spill Disaster
Thoughts from the Frontline Weekly Newsletter The Gulf Oil Spill Disaster by John MauldinAugust 13, 2010 In this issue: The Gulf Oil Spill DisasterFrom Unmitigated Disaster to Merely DisasterThe Corexit DecisionSome More TakeawaysTime to Lift the MoratoriumGetting the Balance Just RightOmaha, Car...
Time Is Money When Trading Gold Options Using Theta
In the previous article, “Learning How to Profit from Theta When Trading SPX Options,” I discussed the basics of the famed option Greek, Theta. A fundamental knowledge of Theta is imperative in order to understand the mechanics and construction of option strategies. In many cases, Theta is either...
How to Profit Using Theta When Trading SPX Options
J.W. Jones & Chris Vermeulen As discussed in the first article, “The Hidden Potential of Learning How to Trade SPX and Gold Options” I pointed out that there are several fundamental principles that must be mastered before profits can be attained when trading options. Novice traders typically skip...
