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Refi Boom

To my loyal legion of readers, I start this column with an apology. Traditionally, the month of December is so slow, most realtors pack it in on December 1st, and wake from their comas on the 2nd of January. However, for us...

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buying dips ought to work

Thursday’s price dip in the indexes on news (of manufacturing contraction, as shown by a decline in the Philadelphia Fed index) looks like a buying opportunity for a trade. Seasonal tendencies should be positive now, so...

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Counter Trend Trading Is Working

Selling into rallies obviously is working very well in recent days, especially fading a strong opening. Buying minor trading dips is working a bit less well very recently, but it still seems like the right idea. These middle...

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Sell into rally

Big up open expected on CPI news. This is the kind of selling opportunity I’m talking about. I expect significant selling this afternoon as traders even up for the weekend.

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Playing for the Chop

My guess is that the rally has more or less run out of steam. The trend already is turning choppy. Note that does not rule out marginally higher highs or lower lows. But breakouts might be false ones, with no follow through....

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Just trade ‘em

I am still buying minor dips and selling minor rallies. I am still not wanting to take much risk. I am still not holding positions very long. I am still not holding any overnight positions. I am now trading both sides, both long...

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Are you a conformist???

In the following few paragraphs, I’ll explain some of the industry terminology, some of which is above (Conforming loans, etc.) and give a few references to help explain what makes this a special situation for many home...

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Renewed Upside Momentum

M&A activity and lower oil prices are providing fresh stimulus for the bullish side. The market seems to have regained significant upside momentum, and that usually does not turn on a dime. I am buying minor dips and selling...

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Enough Time at Last . . . .

Henry Bemis: “And the best thing, the very best thing of all, is there’s time now… there’s all the time I need and all the time I want. Time, time, time. There’s time enough at last.” [Henry...

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