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Alcoa (AA) – A Leading Industrial Play on the Growing Global Aerospace and Automotive Sectors

Alcoa (AA) – A Leading Industrial Play on the Growing Global Aerospace and Automotive Sectors

AA, the largest aluminum producer in the U.S., returned nearly 50% in 2014, as the combination of rising aluminum prices (along with rising regional price premiums over London Metal Exchange prices), efficiency gains, and a 7% growth in global aluminum demand drove AA’s 2014 net income to $268 million, its highest calendar-year profit since 2011. For the U.S. aluminum industry as a...

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Why You Don't Have a Trading Log and Why You Should!

Why You Don't Have a Trading Log and Why You Should!

Every educator worth their salt will tell you “It’s important to log your trades”, to keep a record of your trades in order to track your progress. Almost all traders fail to heed this advice. In fact, of the traders I work with, I’d say that less than 5% actually keep a consistent trade history. It’s not just laziness at play here; there are practical reasons and psychological reasons that...

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The Rise of the Ugly Duckling Set-up in a “Channelized” QE Market Environment

The Rise of the Ugly Duckling Set-up in a “Channelized” QE Market Environment

So far 2015 has been a difficult environment for investors as the indexes have “chopped and slopped” in a mostly sideways range since December of 2014. Each time the market has appeared ready to bust out to new highs and begin a potentially strong, new trend to the upside, it has backed down into its prior price range relatively quickly. Conversely, each time the market has looked like it is...

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Old School Advice

Old School Advice

Even with the prevalence of high speed trading and other complex algorithmic systems, it is often the tried and true strategies that can help you be successful over the long haul. Many investors try to reinvent the wheel, but often the most successful traders today have patterned their trading styles after those of the great traders of the past. W.D. Gann “How to Make Profits in Commodities”...

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Unlocking Your Phone Is Legal Again -- What Does It Mean For The Wireless Carriers?

Unlocking Your Phone Is Legal Again -- What Does It Mean For The Wireless Carriers?

Believe it or not, it was illegal, until very recently, for you to unlock your smartphone and take it from one carrier to another. Yes, illegal in the traditional sense. Thanks to a quirky interpretation of the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), those who unlocked their phones, even as recently as a year ago could wind up behind bars for an unfathomable five years. That’s a long time...

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The Life-Cycles of Stocks Part 1: Tesla Motors

The Life-Cycles of Stocks Part 1: Tesla Motors

In many ways, stocks are like people. They each have their own “life-cycle” of birth, growth, maturity, and eventually death.” What sets stocks apart from humans, however, is that some of the best companies are able to have several life-cycles, as they continually re-invent themselves by developing new, innovative products that in turn drive a new sales cycle and, hence, a new price cycle in...

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US Consumer Update, 2015

US Consumer Update, 2015

It is time to get an update on the health of the US consumer.  A look at oil prices, the latest Wage and Salary data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the long-term view of the US Treasury market will give a sense of how the US consumer is faring today. Oil and the Markets Since finding a top this summer, oil has fallen like a heavy knife.  The last time oil dropped this quickly was...

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Inovalon (INOV), The Marquee IPO Of The Week

Inovalon (INOV), The Marquee IPO Of The Week

Looking at the companies expected to launch IPOs for the week of February 9, the steady flow of healthcare-related deals is set to march on. As many as seven IPOs from that sector could price. However, with six healthcare IPOs delayed last week, there is certainly no guarantee this week’s set -- AltheaDx (IDGX), Eyegate Pharmaceuticals (EYEG), Infraredx (REDX), AutoGenomics (AGMX), Invitae...

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Strength in Numbers, Participation That Is

Strength in Numbers, Participation That Is

The ability to gauge the genuine strength of a move in a market has a number of implications. We can assess the strength of a move in one direction against the strength of the last move to decide if a market is reversing or just pulling back. We can also look at a move in more absolute terms. Armed with knowledge of how that specific market generally operates, we can assess if what appears...

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Why Smart Traders Do Dumb Things

Why Smart Traders Do Dumb Things

"Everybody's got a plan until they get punched in the face."Mike Tyson In the past 10 years, we have helped hundreds of retail traders learn to trade futures. Most begin by using a simulation account – paper trading – and most of them quickly learn to trade profitably ... as long as they aren't trading real money. But many of the same people who can accurately assess opportunities and...

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Taking A Peek Inside (the) Box

Taking A Peek Inside (the) Box

The volatility roiling the broader markets has, at least thus far, kept a lid on the IPO market in 2015. To date, just two companies have braved the elements with County Bancorp (ICBK) and Patriot National (PN) going public on January 16. This week, however, the IPO market will once again find itself in the spotlight as a well-known tech company makes its long-awaited debut in the public...

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Expect Economic Boom In 2015

Expect Economic Boom In 2015

You should expect a US economic boom in 2015. All the signs are pointing to it. The economic trends are up, led by a positive outlook and forward momentum for US labor. All together, these things add up to an economy that, by many economist accounts, is growing at a pace faster than anticipated. There has been a recent slump in activity, but this is nothing more than a seasonally expected...

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Time Segmented Volume - The Ideal Oscillator For Automated Markets

Time Segmented Volume - The Ideal Oscillator For Automated Markets

The modern market structure employs order types that are automated, which creates different patterns on charts. This requires a different type of oscillator for the best technical analysis. Although most technical traders are familiar with and use price and time oscillators, few use volume oscillators. Volume oscillators are uniquely different than price oscillators. Instead of signaling...

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How To Trade Stocks Without Breaking A Sweat

How To Trade Stocks Without Breaking A Sweat

When I was working in the markets full time, I found trading an enjoyable but immensely stressful experience. Back then, I was a day trader and invariably getting caught up in every market turn. I felt a strange mixture of feelings back then. Some days there was so much going on I could barely sleep. Yet when the weekend came, all I wanted was for Monday to come around again so that the...

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The Bull Market According to The SOX and Nasdaq

The Bull Market According to The SOX and Nasdaq

Philly Semiconductor Index (SOX) Much has been said and written about sector analysis and the use of ratio charts to assess the strength of a particular market sector versus another, or relative to a benchmark index such as the S&P 500. Money managers often incorporate sector and ratio chart analysis into their investment models in order to proactively manage risk. For example, in their...

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