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Old School Advice

Old School Advice

Even with the prevalence of high speed trading and other complex algorithmic systems, it is often the tried and true strategies that can help you be successful over the long haul. Many investors try to reinvent the wheel, but often the most successful traders today have patterned their trading styles after those of the great traders of the past. W.D. Gann “How to Make Profits in Commodities”...

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Unlocking Your Phone Is Legal Again -- What Does It Mean For The Wireless Carriers?

Unlocking Your Phone Is Legal Again -- What Does It Mean For The Wireless Carriers?

Believe it or not, it was illegal, until very recently, for you to unlock your smartphone and take it from one carrier to another. Yes, illegal in the traditional sense. Thanks to a quirky interpretation of the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), those who unlocked their phones, even as recently as a year ago could wind up behind bars for an unfathomable five years. That’s a long time...

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The Life-Cycles of Stocks Part 1: Tesla Motors

The Life-Cycles of Stocks Part 1: Tesla Motors

In many ways, stocks are like people. They each have their own “life-cycle” of birth, growth, maturity, and eventually death.” What sets stocks apart from humans, however, is that some of the best companies are able to have several life-cycles, as they continually re-invent themselves by developing new, innovative products that in turn drive a new sales cycle and, hence, a new price cycle in...

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US Consumer Update, 2015

US Consumer Update, 2015

It is time to get an update on the health of the US consumer.  A look at oil prices, the latest Wage and Salary data by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and the long-term view of the US Treasury market will give a sense of how the US consumer is faring today. Oil and the Markets Since finding a top this summer, oil has fallen like a heavy knife.  The last time oil dropped this quickly was...

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Inovalon (INOV), The Marquee IPO Of The Week

Inovalon (INOV), The Marquee IPO Of The Week

Looking at the companies expected to launch IPOs for the week of February 9, the steady flow of healthcare-related deals is set to march on. As many as seven IPOs from that sector could price. However, with six healthcare IPOs delayed last week, there is certainly no guarantee this week’s set -- AltheaDx (IDGX), Eyegate Pharmaceuticals (EYEG), Infraredx (REDX), AutoGenomics (AGMX), Invitae...

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Strength in Numbers, Participation That Is

Strength in Numbers, Participation That Is

The ability to gauge the genuine strength of a move in a market has a number of implications. We can assess the strength of a move in one direction against the strength of the last move to decide if a market is reversing or just pulling back. We can also look at a move in more absolute terms. Armed with knowledge of how that specific market generally operates, we can assess if what appears...

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Why Smart Traders Do Dumb Things

Why Smart Traders Do Dumb Things

"Everybody's got a plan until they get punched in the face."Mike Tyson In the past 10 years, we have helped hundreds of retail traders learn to trade futures. Most begin by using a simulation account – paper trading – and most of them quickly learn to trade profitably ... as long as they aren't trading real money. But many of the same people who can accurately assess opportunities and...

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Taking A Peek Inside (the) Box

Taking A Peek Inside (the) Box

The volatility roiling the broader markets has, at least thus far, kept a lid on the IPO market in 2015. To date, just two companies have braved the elements with County Bancorp (ICBK) and Patriot National (PN) going public on January 16. This week, however, the IPO market will once again find itself in the spotlight as a well-known tech company makes its long-awaited debut in the public...

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Expect Economic Boom In 2015

Expect Economic Boom In 2015

You should expect a US economic boom in 2015. All the signs are pointing to it. The economic trends are up, led by a positive outlook and forward momentum for US labor. All together, these things add up to an economy that, by many economist accounts, is growing at a pace faster than anticipated. There has been a recent slump in activity, but this is nothing more than a seasonally expected...

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Time Segmented Volume - The Ideal Oscillator For Automated Markets

Time Segmented Volume - The Ideal Oscillator For Automated Markets

The modern market structure employs order types that are automated, which creates different patterns on charts. This requires a different type of oscillator for the best technical analysis. Although most technical traders are familiar with and use price and time oscillators, few use volume oscillators. Volume oscillators are uniquely different than price oscillators. Instead of signaling...

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How To Trade Stocks Without Breaking A Sweat

How To Trade Stocks Without Breaking A Sweat

When I was working in the markets full time, I found trading an enjoyable but immensely stressful experience. Back then, I was a day trader and invariably getting caught up in every market turn. I felt a strange mixture of feelings back then. Some days there was so much going on I could barely sleep. Yet when the weekend came, all I wanted was for Monday to come around again so that the...

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The Bull Market According to The SOX and Nasdaq

The Bull Market According to The SOX and Nasdaq

Philly Semiconductor Index (SOX) Much has been said and written about sector analysis and the use of ratio charts to assess the strength of a particular market sector versus another, or relative to a benchmark index such as the S&P 500. Money managers often incorporate sector and ratio chart analysis into their investment models in order to proactively manage risk. For example, in their...

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How To Deal With Transition Periods In Your Trading Career

How To Deal With Transition Periods In Your Trading Career

There is no denying that we are in the middle of some massive changes of cosmic proportion which affect every activity we pursue.  The entire socio-economic system is shaking at its foundations. Trading is a pursuit that gets you in close proximity with the pulse of the collective consciousness; hence traders will feel the effects of these shifts more than other professions. This perspective...

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Be Right Big And Be Wrong Small

Be Right Big And Be Wrong Small

 “It’s not whether you’re right or wrong that’s important, but how much money you make when you’re right and how much you lose when you’re wrong.” - George Soros Looking at the below chart you will see that the bigger your wins are versus your losses the lower your winning percentage can be and you remain profitable. A primary dynamic of trading that is over looked as traders chase hot...

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Melco Crown (MPEL) – Still a Compelling Play on the Rising Chinese Consumer

Melco Crown (MPEL) – Still a Compelling Play on the Rising Chinese Consumer

Over the last 12 months, Macau casino-gaming stocks have declined by 35% to 65% as gross gaming revenues (GGR) declined by 30%. We believe Macau’s GGR decline this year was a result of a “perfect storm” that includes tightening junket liquidity, hotel room constraints, the Chinese government’s anti-graft movement, and the rise in cancellations of Hong Kong/Macau packaged tours due to the...

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