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Will Oil Prices Rise or Fall? | A 27 Year History on the Charts Tells the Story

Will Oil Prices Rise or Fall? | A 27 Year History on the Charts Tells the Story

Bloomberg says oil ($CL_F) will go as low as $10.00 a barrel whereas oil tycoon T. Boone Pickens says we could be headed for higher oil prices; no matter how you slice it, both of these sources could be right.   The market is going to do what the market is going to do, but there are solid reasons for oil prices to rise and fall, the past 3 decades has shown us this without a doubt.  There’s...

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Stock Market Crash: Is The Dow Headed For A 2008 Repeat?

Stock Market Crash: Is The Dow Headed For A 2008 Repeat?

Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come. Anonymous   We could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune.  Take a look at some of the recent headlines: Is the stock market headed for a repeat of 2008?, On marketwatch.com A stock-market crash of 50%+ would not...

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Will The Crude Oil Price Crash Become Even Worse In 2016?

Will The Crude Oil Price Crash Become Even Worse In 2016?

A patient mind is the best remedy for trouble.Plaut 2015 was not a good year for speculators trying to time the oil markets.  Oil kept cutting through each support level like a hot knife cutting through butter. It would give the appearance that it was ready to mount a rally, but that rally would fade, and oil prices would drift lower.  We penned an article in Nov of last year, where we...

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Timing With Fibonacci

Timing With Fibonacci

Timing can be everything, especially in financial markets. Fortunately there are numerous types of timing tools that have been developed over the years that can be of great benefit to a trader. A wide range of techniques exist, from long used cyclical analysis to the esoteric “Delta” phenomena developed by Wells Wilder. As diverse as these methods seem, they all attempt to find time frames...

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Is It Time To Buy China For The Long-Term?

Is It Time To Buy China For The Long-Term?

A bird doesn't sing because it has an answer, it sings because it has a song.Maya Angelou In the short term, China is still a mess, and the reasons are all but obvious.  Greed and stupidity fuelled the bubble that popped back in June of this year.  Some estimates put the number of individuals opening new accounts without high school diplomas at over 60%. Secondly, a large portion of these...

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How You Can Profit With Mosaic Theory

How You Can Profit With Mosaic Theory

This is a first in a series of short discussions on how traders and active investors use information, data, and intuition in the construction of certain trades. Since no trader is an island and information is typically compiled to create a short term and longer term play, there are certain truths that consistently play out in the capital markets arena.  One of more esoteric yet widely used...

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Lackluster Gold Is Holiday Cheer For Option Sellers

Lackluster Gold Is Holiday Cheer For Option Sellers

Call Selling is Ideal Profit Strategy in Pro-longed Bear MarketsWith the latest media focus on oil prices and volatile stocks,  a market that’s been largely out of the news – primarily because of it’s slow, discouraging (to bulls) descent is Gold. Slow, lackluster markets are rarely fodder for media or investor attention. But for option sellers, these kinds of markets can present an ideal...

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ES- The one thing traders must know

ES- The one thing traders must know

The S&P e-Mini (ES) is one of my preferred trading markets.  Because it is so actively traded, this market typically has excellent structure.  What is structure, you might ask?  It’s the areas of support and resistance that the market creates and reveals by its own actions on the chart.  When a market is actively traded like the S&Ps, it is usually well-behaved and creates obvious...

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Is It Finally Time To Buy Crude Oil?

Is It Finally Time To Buy Crude Oil?

Maybe. But Option Sellers can Take Advantage Now Without Having to Pick the Low. It was Baron Rothschild who said, “The time to buy is when there’s blood in the streets…” Oil prices have been so low, for so long that the blood is indeed starting to flow - both figuratively (in the US, Canada and Russia) and literally (in the Middle East). If the Baron were alive today, he might be reaching...

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Banks Stocks Are A Bargain: Top Picks To Consider Now

Banks Stocks Are A Bargain: Top Picks To Consider Now

The press is giving too much credence to the effect an interest rate hike would have on the markets and on the financial sector. First of all, the fact that the Fed has been debating whether or not to raise rates by a paltry meaningless 0.25 basis points speaks volumes. The Fed clearly understands that this recovery is nothing but smoke and mirrors; the main driving force behind being hot...

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Have Stocks Hit The Glass Ceiling?

Have Stocks Hit The Glass Ceiling?

In my personal trading I much prefer bull phases. The pullbacks in an uptrend make more sense to me. Thus, I’m looking forward to a continuation of last week’s rally with a generous target of 2082 in the S&P futures. Why 2082? This is the Volume Profile Point of Control for a look-back of one year. In other words, it’s a critical level that will be watched by ‘big money.’ I say that...

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Choosing Price Levels To Trade Off

Choosing Price Levels To Trade Off

In a previous article we discussed the importance of having price levels you believe in. In this article, we’ll discuss the use of price levels in trading and how to assess the validity of any method of setting levels to trade off. Setting price levels is seen as an integral part of trading to most traders. There is some process of analysis to define price levels before trading and often...

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Markets Crashing: Is It Time To Panic?

Markets Crashing: Is It Time To Panic?

''Come to the edge,'' He said. They said, ''We are afraid.'' ''Come to the edge,'' He said. They came. He pushed them... and they flew. Guillaume Apollinaire The answer to this plain question should always be a resounding no: it never pays to give into panic. The smartest option is to derail this emotion before it gains any traction.  Once fear takes over, the end is nigh. When the markets...

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Trading Without Indicators

Trading Without Indicators

 Trading a Recent Day by Price & Volume The best traders learn to read the markets by price and volume alone, without indicators.  Indicators can certainly be helpful to the trader when used properly, but they can also cause confusion.  The same indicator signal that produced a winning trade yesterday can generate a loss today.  Being able to read the chart—even if you continue to use...

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A Concrete Approach to Playing “Hot” IPOs

A Concrete Approach to Playing “Hot” IPOs

There are few phenomena in the market that catch investors’ speculative fancy more than the proverbial “Hot IPO.” In recent years we have seen a number of these Initial Public Offerings of companies with a “hot,” compelling, and highly trendy business theme. In recent years we’ve seen a number of these “IPO manias.” Facebook (FB), LinkedIn (LNKD), and Twitter were all highly sought after...

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