3-Year Outperformance by the
Top 10 Exchange Traded Funds

Weekly Rankings of Major Trend Relative Strength

My weekly Top 10 ETFs ranked by the Major Trend Relative Strength gained 5.25 times more, or 60.66 percentage points more, than the S&P 500 since August, 2004, in simulation. Click here for a graph of simulated performance.

To arrive at my Top 10 ETF picks, I first calculate a six-month rate of change (approximately) of price. Next, I add in filters to dampen random noise. I rank all the ETFs in my universe from highest rate of change to lowest rate of change. Finally, I pick the highest 10 ETFs each week. These Top 10 are the best performing ETFs, the ones with the best major trend momentum.

Please note that this is a high-volatility strategy: the stocks that go up the most when the stock market is in a Bullish trend often go down the most during market corrections to the downside.

Please note that this Top 10 list is a research study and is not investment advice. Your use of this site means that you have read, understood, and accepted my Disclaimer.

Weekly Rank, Name, Symbol

100 Internet B2B H, BHH
99 Short 200% QQQ PS, QID
99 Short 200% S&P 500 PS, SDS
98 Short 200% Dow 30 PS, DXD
98 Short 100% QQQ, PSQ
97 Value SmallCap Russell 2000, IWN
97 Short 100% S&P 500, SH
97 Short 100% Dow 30, DOG
96 Biotech SPDR, XBI
96 Dividend High Yield Equity PS, PEY

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Updated on Friday, September 19, 2008, prices as of the close

Exchange Traded Funds
Weekly Rankings of Major Trend Relative Strength

Each week, at the end of the week, I rank 238 Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs), based on my updated version of the Screening Method for Analysis of Relative Strength. For details on this method, see my book, pages 604-609. Below, I ranked 238 ETFs as of the posting date, above.

Research studies suggest that ETFs ranked in the top quintile (highest fifth) of the list (with a rank of 80 and higher) may have a greater probability of outperforming the market in the months ahead. Conversely, ETFs ranked in the bottom quintile (lowest fifth), below 20, may have a greater probability of underperforming the market in the months ahead.

Interpretation:
100 to 80, Buy
79 to 60, Hold
59 to 40, Neutral, Market Perform
39 to 20, Avoid
19 to 0, Sell

Please note that this screen is not investment advice. Your use of this site means that you have read, understood, and accepted my Disclaimer.

Weekly Rank, Name, Symbol

100 Internet B2B H, BHH
99 Short 200% QQQ PS, QID
99 Short 200% S&P 500 PS, SDS
98 Short 200% Dow 30 PS, DXD
98 Short 100% QQQ, PSQ
97 Value SmallCap Russell 2000, IWN
97 Short 100% S&P 500, SH
97 Short 100% Dow 30, DOG
96 Biotech SPDR, XBI
96 Dividend High Yield Equity PS, PEY
95 Homebuilders SPDR, XHB
95 Biotech H, BBH
94 Value SmallCap iS M, JKL
94 Consumer Non-Cyclical, IYK
94 Biotechnology, IBB
93 Value SmallCap S&P 600 B, IJS
93 Insurance, PIC
92 Transportation Av DJ, IYT
92 Gold Shares S.T., GLD
91 Dividend DJ Select, DVY
91 Bank Regional H, RKH
91 Bond, 20+ Years Treasury, TLT
90 SmallCap Russell 2000, IWM
90 Healthcare Global, IXJ
89 SmallCap S&P 600, IJR
89 Bond, 10 Year Treasury, IEF
89 Consumer Staples VIPERs, VDC
88 Value SmallCap VIPERS, VBR
88 Growth BARRA Small Cap 600, IJT
87 REIT VIPERs, VNQ
87 Bond, 1-3 Year Treasury, SHY
86 Short 100% MidCap 400, MYY
86 Value SmallCap Dynamic PS, PWY
86 Value SmallCap S&P 600, RZV
85 Realty Cohen & Steers, ICF
85 Biotech & Genome, PBE
84 Bond, Aggregate, AGG
84 Dividend SPDR, SDY
83 Retail H, RTH
83 Consumer Staples SPDR, XLP
83 Short 200% MidCap 400 PS, MZZ
82 Pharmaceuticals, PJP
82 Small Cap VIPERs, VB
81 Real Estate US DJ, IYR
81 Water Resources, PHO
80 Growth SmallCap R 2000, IWO
80 Value Small Cap DJ, DSV
80 REIT Wilshire, RWR
79 Bond, TIPS, TIP
79 Value MidCap S&P 400, RFV
78 Software H, SWH
78 Food & Beverage, PBJ
77 SmallCap Core iS M, JKJ
77 Growth SmallCap iS M, JKK
77 Microcap Russell, IWC
76 Retail, PMR
76 Value MidCap S&P 400 B, IJJ
75 Growth MidCap S&P 400, RFG
75 Growth SmallCap VIPERs, VBK
74 Health Care VIPERs, VHT
74 Healthcare DJ, IYH
74 Software, IGV
73 Oil, Crude, U.S. Oil Fund, USO
73 Growth SmallCap Dynamic PS, PWT
72 Extended Mkt VIPERs, VXF
72 Value MidCap iS M, JKI
71 SmallCap PS Zacks, PZJ
71 MidCap S&P 400 iS, IJH
71 MidCap S&P 400 SPDRs, MDY
70 Utilities, PUI
70 Value MidCap Russell, IWS
69 Health Care SPDR, XLV
69 Commodity Tracking, DBC
69 Micro Cap Zachs, PZI
68 Growth MidCap 400 B, IJK
68 LargeCap Blend Core iS M, JKD
67 Growth Small Cap DJ, DSG
67 Dividend Appreciation Vipers, VIG
66 Dividend Achievers PS, PFM
66 Energy DJ, IYE
66 Dividend Leaders, FDL
65 LargeCap Blend Socially Responsible iS, KLD
65 Consumer Cyclical DJ, IYC
64 Internet Architecture H, IAH
64 Value LargeCap Dynamic PS, PWV
63 Energy VIPERs, VDE
63 Energy SPDR, XLE
63 Materials SPDR, XLB
62 Consumer D. VIPERs, VCR
62 Nanotech Lux, PXN
61 Consumer Discretionary SPDR, XLY
61 OTC Dynamic PS, PWO
60 Dividend Growth PS, PHJ
60 Growth LargeCap NASDAQ Fidelity, ONEQ
60 MidCap Russell, IWR
59 Blend Total Market VIPERs, VTI
59 Software, PSJ
58 Materials VIPERs, VAW
58 Value LargeCap Russell 3000, IWW
57 LargeCap Blend S&P 1500 iS, ISI
57 LargeCap Blend S&P=Weight R, RSP
57 Pharmaceutical H, PPH
56 LargeCap Blend Russell 3000, IWV
56 Growth Large Cap, ELG
55 Canada Index, EWC
55 Growth VIPERs, VUG
54 LargeCap Blend Total Market DJ, IYY
54 LargeCap VIPERs, VV
54 MidCap Blend Core iS M, JKG
53 Lg Cap Growth PSD, PWB
53 Growth S&P 500, RPG
52 S&P 500 iS LargeCap Blend, IVV
52 Growth LargeCap Russell 3000, IWZ
51 LargeCap 1000 R, IWB
51 DIAMONDS (DJIA), DIA
51 Wilshire 5000 ST TM, TMW
50 Growth S&P 500/BARRA, IVW
50 Value 1000 Russell, IWD
49 Industrial LargeCap Blend DJ US, IYJ
49 Industrials VIPERs, VIS
49 Natural Resource iS GS, IGE
48 Value LargeCap NYSE 100 iS, NY
48 Building & Construction, PKB
47 Value S&P 500, RPV
47 Value 40 Large Low P/E FT DB, FDV
46 Switzerland Index, EWL
46 Leisure & Entertainment, PEJ
46 Growth LargeCap NASDAQ 100, QQQQ
45 Value VIPERs, VTV
45 Growth MidCap Russell, IWP
44 Energy Global, IXC
44 MidCap VIPERs, VO
43 LargeCap Blend Dynamic PS, PWC
43 Basic Materials DJ US, IYM
43 Growth 1000 Russell, IWF
42 LargeCap Rydex Rus Top 50, XLG
42 IPOs, First Tr IPOX-100, FPX
41 Energy Exploration & Prod, PXE
41 Value S&P 500 B, IVE
40 Value LargeCap Fundamental RAFI 1000, PRF
40 S&P 500 SPDRs LargeCap Blend, SPY
40 Value Line Timeliness MidCap Gr, PIV
39 Info Tech VIPERs, VGT
39 LargeCap Blend NYSE Composite iS, NYC
38 Growth Mid Cap Dynamic PS, PWJ
38 Technology GS, IGM
37 LargeCap Blend S&P 100, OEF
37 Growth LargeCap iS M, JKE
37 Industrial SPDR, XLI
36 Value MidCap Dynamic PS, PWP
36 Value Large Cap DJ, ELV
35 Utilities VIPERs, VPU
35 Technology MS sT, MTK
34 Value LargeCap iS M, JKF
34 Bond, Corp, LQD
34 Financials VIPERs, VFH
33 MidCap Growth iS M, JKH
33 Technology DJ US, IYW
32 Oil Services H, OIH
32 Global 100, IOO
31 Dividend International, PID
31 Networking, PXQ
31 Utilities DJ, IDU
30 Japan Index, EWJ
30 Internet H, HHH
29 Aerospace & Defense, PPA
29 Oil & Gas, PXJ
29 Utilities SPDR, XLU
28 Financial DJ US, IYF
28 Technology Global, IXN
27 Japan LargeCap Blend TOPIX 150, ITF
27 Broadband H, BDH
26 Financial Services DJ, IYG
26 Telecommunications & Wireless, PTE
26 Utilities H, UTH
25 Latin Am 40, ILF
25 Technology SPDR, XLK
24 Ultra MidCap400 Double, MVV
24 Telecom Services VIPERs, VOX
23 Global Titans, DGT
23 Spain Index, EWP
23 Semiconductor SPDR, XSD
22 Pacific VIPERs, VPL
22 Growth EAFE MSCI, EFG
21 Telecommunications Global, IXP
21 European VIPERs, VGK
20 Mexico Index, EWW
20 Asia 50 BLDRS, ADRA
20 Emerging Markets, EEM
19 France Index, EWQ
19 Germany Index, EWG
18 EAFE Index, EFA
18 Semiconductor H, SMH
17 Financial SPDR, XLF
17 Netherlands Index, EWN
17 Value LargeCap Euro STOXX 50 DJ, FEU
16 Financials Global LargeCap Value, IXG
16 Singapore Index, EWS
15 Networking, IGN
15 Developed 100 BLDRS, ADRD
14 South Africa Index, EZA
14 WilderHill Clean Energy PS, PBW
14 Euro STOXX 50, FEZ
13 Europe 350 S&P Index, IEV
13 United Kingdom Index, EWU
12 Emerging 50 BLDRS, ADRE
12 Value EAFE MSCI, EFV
11 Telecom DJ US, IYZ
11 Semiconductors, PSI
11 Hardware & Electronics, PHW
10 Emerging VIPERs, VWO
10 China 25 iS, FXI
9 Telecom H, TTH
9 Australia Index, EWA
9 China LargeCap Growth G D H USX PS, PGJ
8 EMU Europe Index, EZU
8 Europe 100 BLDRS, ADRU
7 Metals & Mining SPDR, XME
7 Pacific ex-Japan, EPP
6 Hong Kong Index, EWH
6 Brazil Index, EWZ
6 Ultra Dow30 Double, DDM
5 Semiconductor iS GS, IGW
5 Italy Index, EWI
4 Silver Trust iS, SLV
4 Taiwan Index, EWT
3 Sweden Index, EWD
3 South Korea Index, EWY
3 Malaysia Index, EWM
2 Capital Markets KWB ST, KCE
2 Ultra S&P500 Double, SSO
1 Ultra QQQ Double, QLD
1 Belgium Index, EWK
0 Austria Index, EWO
0 Internet Infrastructure H, IIH