A Long, Cold Winter

It appears that equity indices have printed their highs for the post-election rally. However, that doesn’t necessarily mean that the correction must begin immediately. Cycles and Lindsay analysis point to a final high closer to February 10. The correction has the potential to be fairly painful as the low is not expected until closer to March 21 and springtime. The Lindsay analysis is as follows:


Point E on 3/27/01 of an ascending middle section counts 2,901 days to the low of the multiple cycle on 3/6/09. 2,901 days later is Monday, 2/13/17.


Point E on 5/26/06 of a descending middle section counts 1,957 days to the low of the previous basic cycle on 10/4/11.  1,956 days later is Friday, 2/10/17.


Point E on 2/6/15 of an ascending middle section counts 370 days to the low of the last basic cycle on 2/11/16. 370 days later is 2/15/17.

Lindsay Intervals

A 222-day interval (221-224 days) counts 224 days from the low on 7/1/16 to a change in trend on 2/10/17.

Counting a 107-day interval (102-112 days) from the 11/4/16 low indicates that the top should not arrive prior to 2/14/17.

My single date point forecast for a top is on February 10.
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