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Trading Commentaries

Showing Posts 1 - 10 out of 78 found.

Get timely market analysis, perspectives and trading ideas from TraderPlanet contributors to stay informed of global economic developments, financial market insights and other factors that may influence investment decisions and strategies.

Crude Oil Continues To Drill Downward

Crude Oil Continues To Drill Downward

Last week’s forecast for a high in the Dow on February 1st (Eighth Year Returns) was a perfect hit.  As of last Friday, equities have fallen 261 points since last Monday’s high. Crude spent last week trying to breakout from the 34-dma but, in the end, fell $2.73/bbl. for the week closing at 30.89 and printed an engulfing bearish candlestick on the weekly chart. If 30.00 is broken again, my...

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Are Stocks On The Verge Of More Panic Selling?

Are Stocks On The Verge Of More Panic Selling?

Another week and another seven days of conflicting market information. While the domestic unemployment picture lends credence to the Fed’s actions, global economic slack leaves the world second guessing the Fed’s decision. The end result has led to bond spreads foreshadowing a global economic slowdown while the equity markets tank. We’ve written before that the powers that be will do...

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Stock Market Distribution Continues

Stock Market Distribution Continues

We started a new month this past week, but it was like Deja Vu all over again.  The Groundhog declared an early spring on Tuesday, a change in weather.  But regarding markets, you could have fooled me.  It was the same action we have seen for weeks on end, and it doesn't seem to be letting up.  The vicious selling last week was magnified on Friday after a jobs report that seemed indicate the...

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ETF Watch: Biotech On The Bid (IBB)

ETF Watch: Biotech On The Bid (IBB)

About 3 weeks ago I wrote an article for Trader Planet entitled: Bye Bye Biotech, with an immediate target for the main Biotech ETF (IBB) of $250 and a 12-18 month target of $175 and then $150. This week IBB hit my first target (the low was $251) and has paused at its Volume Profile Point of Control (VPPOC) at $260. Interestingly the Nasdaq itself is also at its VPPOC (750 day lookback)....

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Traders: Brace Yourself For Sustained Volatility

Traders: Brace Yourself For Sustained Volatility

To what extent will volatility continue in to February? Market participants remain uncertain.  Numerous indicators point to some level of sustained volatility including price fluctuations in oil, US dollar and other major currencies, macro-economic gauges, and the ever present political climate leading up to the presidential election in the US. Traders and active investors have certainly had...

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ETF Liquidation Triggers Crude Oil Volatility Spike

ETF Liquidation Triggers Crude Oil Volatility Spike

March Crude Oil traded up to 33.60 on Thursday as the Russian Defense Ministry announced they have evidence the Turkish military is making preparations to invade Syria. The rally stalled however, as reports came in stating Syrian coalition forces have encircled Aleppo, Syria’s largest city. This city is seen as key to restoring President Assad’s control of the country from militants. The...

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Trading Tactics: Dealing With A Trading Slump Part 2

Trading Tactics: Dealing With A Trading Slump Part 2

If you are actively trading/investing in markets you understand there is a great deal of volatility to contend with.  Certainly the emotions run rampant as we try best to find the right names at the right time for our portfolio.  Sometimes we get lucky and pick up stuff at good prices, but other times we are not so fortunate.  For traders, this can be repetitive, and nothing hurts more than...

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Oil, Bonds, Currencies, Stocks - The Correlation Conundrum

Oil, Bonds, Currencies, Stocks - The Correlation Conundrum

The Bond and Currency markets are painting a different picture than the Equity market. Watch the Dollar Index it continues to weaken and the Euro is now nearly at 1.12. The Ten Treasury Bond is holding firm around 1.88%. What is this telling me? Well if the ECB and BOJ is in the midst of QE and Negative Rates with no sign of letting up.  This means the bond and currency markets are believing...

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Why Do You Trade?

Why Do You Trade?

Let’s be honest: only a very small number of adventurous individuals would ever think that active trading is a reasonable way to make a living, support a family or manage one’s retirement assets. But when I interview struggling traders they are usually quite convinced that trading is a reasonable venture to undertake and real success, while elusive, is just around the corner. There is a...

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Dow Jones Index Should Trend Downward Through The Year

Dow Jones Index Should Trend Downward Through The Year

With the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing signs of breakdown, our primary chart scenario suggests that traders should look for downward-trending moves throughout most of 2016. However, we also expect the market to present several opportunities for traders to make missteps. This post offers a big-picture roadmap and identifies some likely targets for the first part of the expected...

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