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Get timely market analysis, perspectives and trading ideas from TraderPlanet contributors to stay informed of global economic developments, financial market insights and other factors that may influence investment decisions and strategies.

Something’s Happening Here …

It’s official. I am joining the “wary” camp. As the song goes, “There’s something happening here / what it is ain’t exactly clear …” Yup, I had to go back fifty years for that line from a Buffalo Springfield tune, but the sentiment expresses my new-found wariness about the market. Primarily, my wariness stems from overheating, too much too fast, and chew fifty times before swallowing. The...

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December Euro Currencies Futures: Trading Idea September 19, 2014

December Euro Currency Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness See on the daily bar chart for the December Euro currency that prices remain in a solid downtrend and this week hit a contract low. The bears remain in firm command. A move below chart support at this week’s low of 1.2843 would become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be 1.2450 or below....

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What Does Fed Action Mean For Long-Term Rates?

What Does Fed Action Mean For Long-Term Rates?

Here we go again.  Hand-wringing over the Fed’s tightening schedule has caused a sell-off in bonds and all things income related.  After falling for most of July and August, the 10-year Treasury yield has jumped to over 2.6% on speculation that the Fed may start tightening monetary policy sooner than previously thought. We’ll see. The Fed may indeed start to raise short-term rates as soon...

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Fear Is Not Rational: The Limitations Of The VIX

Fear Is Not Rational: The Limitations Of The VIX

Most of us as traders and simply as human beings seek clarity.  We innately feel the need to make sense out of chaos.  We want answers.  We want black or white.  Gray makes many of us uneasy.  So, there are often times when faced with the complex world that is trading, we want to boil things down into one universal truth, a methodology that we can apply wherever we go. Problem is we often...

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Large Caps Gaining Strength, Energy Stocks Losing Strength

The Largest Cap S&P 100/S&P 500 Relative Strength Ratio (OEF/SPY) rose above its highs of the previous 8 months on 9/18/14 and remains systematically bullish. Large Caps tend to outperform in bearish general market trends as investors seek the perceived relative stability and safety of large size. Energy stock sector ETF (XLE) Relative Strength Ratio (XLE/SPY) fell below its lows of...

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Alibaba? Nah, I'll Just Pass On This One

Alibaba? Nah, I'll Just Pass On This One

As we are about to embark upon one of the biggest IPO's in history I thought it would be a good time to step back and see what this is all about and how you can shield yourself from a potentially dangerous situation. As we know, Alibaba (BABA) will come public this week.  The company is a juggernaut in Asia, selling everything online to anyone much in the way Amazon does here in the States....

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Energy Bears Have the Technical Advantage

ENERGY MARKETS October crude oil closed lower on Thursday as it consolidates some of this week's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 96.00 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted....

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U.S. Dollar Bulls Still Have Technical Power

* Latest Market Developments * NOTE: I am out of the office all week this week. My friend and fellow market analyst Ken Seehusen will be producing my report today. Ken’s format and style is a bit different than mine, but I think you’ll enjoy and benefit from his work, too. —Jim Wyckoff The STOCK INDEXES The December NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it extends the rally off Tuesday's low...

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Can the Market Hold On At This Altitude?

Okay, so I suggested yesterday that Tuesday’s market move was a bit exaggerated for both the current climate and the “news” about the Fed. I must admit, the buying that happened yesterday seemed a bit stronger than warranted. The lack of follow-through yesterday (even after the FOMC notes came out with the language the market supposedly likes to hear) suggested a soft bullishness, a lack of...

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No Surprises From Yellen, But E-Mini S&P 500 Still Vulnerable

No Surprises From Yellen, But E-Mini S&P 500 Still Vulnerable

There weren’t any surprises in Wednesday’s FOMC announcement, but it did leave us a little room for debate. Policy rates remained the same (.25%), and the taper will continue, reducing asset purchases by $10 billion to $15 billion per month. The Fed expects to end the bond purchase program next month, which would appear to be step one towards a change in interest rates. As it has been with...

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