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Trading Commentaries

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Get timely market analysis, perspectives and trading ideas from TraderPlanet contributors to stay informed of global economic developments, financial market insights and other factors that may influence investment decisions and strategies.

The Changing Mindset of Investors and Traders

One thing is for sure, the mood and temperament among investors and traders changes like the direction of the wind.  But leaning to hard one way can be very damaging to your wealth and your mind.  Certainly the unknowns out there are the challenges we have to either dodge or just embrace.  If you have a long term horizon then the bumps in the road are just great opportunities, and those have...

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Is The Market Going Back To Normal?

Is The Market Going Back To Normal?

For the first time in some time, I feel the market is behaving normally. I am not sure why I feel this way, but somehow the market action today feels right. I suspect it is the VIX going down, along with the Dow (incrementally), while the Russell 2000 is going up. That just feels right, as if it is the way to go now after all of the recent volatility. The US dollar going up and remaining on...

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Remove Uncertainty and the Fear Goes Away

Remove Uncertainty and the Fear Goes Away

If there is one thing markets hate it is uncertainty.  Yet, we find ourselves constantly in a vacuum of the unknown, and with the news flow being so quick these days (Internet and 24-hour news outlets), well there is just no time to take a breath.  So far in 2015, we’ve seen a big rise in volatility across the VIX term structure (see chart below) as the market is pricing in more...

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Don’t Be Fooled By This Strength In GOOG

Don’t Be Fooled By This Strength In GOOG

With Google's (GOOGL's) earnings release date just around the corner (January 29th), I thought I'd take a close look at the daily and weekly charts in hopes of offering a useful technical interpretation of the price action on both the intermediate and short-term time frames.  The daily chart below sports a bullish BAT harmonic pattern that confirmed on two separate occasions by dropping...

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S&P Futures Market Review: Knocking on the Ceiling

S&P Futures Market Review: Knocking on the Ceiling

On Thursday, the S&P 500 futures followed through on the anticipated move up to the 2051-2061 zone.  The key level now is 2061. That level is determined by the small green peak on the volume profile seen on the left side of the chart below. The 2061 level has been in place for several months. It’s an area where we can expect selling to occur. This profile encompasses more than a year of...

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Get Your Money Into Europe

Get Your Money Into Europe

Okay, so the market volatility continues, in a big way. Perhaps it is the ECB actions that are driving the market. Actually, the ECB is driving the market. This is big news out of Europe. The expectation is that the QE there will do for Europe what it did for the US. As we all know by now, the central bank announced a Quantitative Easing program to the tune of €60b per month, beating the...

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The Canadian Dollar, A Bearish Play

The Canadian Dollar, A Bearish Play

Another week of currencies at play … Last week, it was the Swiss National Bank giving the markets a kick. This week, rumors about ECB action and Super Mario’s words have everyone’s attention. Thursday morning, the ECB gave us two pieces of information. They will leave the interest rate unchanged, and they will begin a QE (quantitative easing) program similar to what just finished up in the...

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S&P Futures Market Review

S&P Futures Market Review

The S&P 500 futures survived a very important test over the last few days at the 1984 level, as you can see on the year-long Volume Profile on the left side of the chart below. This support level has been in place for many months. On Tuesday, the index broke up through a down-trend line stretching back to 1/9. That was a bullish development. On Wednesday it tested that trend line from...

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Time To Buy The Dip In Morgan Stanley?

Time To Buy The Dip In Morgan Stanley?

On January 20th, Morgan Stanley (MS) reported lighter than expected Q4 EPS and revenue, initially sending shares down 3% that morning. The company has actively been buying back shares (repurchased 8M shares in Q4 for $271M) and following an 11% dip in just three weeks, this could be another opportunity for management to put their plan to good use. MS currently trades at a P/E ratio of 10.56x...

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The Market’s Sleight-of-Hand

The Market’s Sleight-of-Hand

Misdirection is a form of manipulation in which the attention of an audience is intentionally focused on one thing in order to conceal what’s really going on. We know from recent neurological research that the human mind can only concentrate on one thing at a time. Magicians use this limitation to manipulate our perceptions, ideas, and expectations. We draw false conclusions… and then we...

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