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Get timely market analysis, perspectives and trading ideas from TraderPlanet contributors to stay informed of global economic developments, financial market insights and other factors that may influence investment decisions and strategies.

Will The Fed Confirm A Sept Rate Hike? No Way

Will The Fed Confirm A Sept Rate Hike? No Way

The FOMC meeting ends this afternoon.  There will be no press conference, only an announcement.  Some think the announcement will give further confirmation of a hike this year, perhaps at the next meeting in September.  I don’t think so. Below is testimony from Janet Yellen’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report from February 24, 2015. Foreign economic developments, however, could pose risks to...

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August Traditionally Is Seasonal Boon For Gold

August Traditionally Is Seasonal Boon For Gold

Among the headwinds that countervail any ascent in Gold was the disappointing news a few weeks ago that China’s Gold reserves had only rose 57 percent in a span of 6 years. I wrote a day after the data was released from the Peoples Bank of China that this could be some type of deception by the Chinese government to alter the perception that they weren’t building their Gold reserves fast...

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Gold Could Drop 50% From Its 2011 High

Gold Could Drop 50% From Its 2011 High

Gold peaked at just above $1900/oz back in 2011.  Since then it has been working lower in fits and spurts and is now more than 40% off those peak prices. Looking at a weekly continuous chart of gold futures, it’s easy to see how gold has repeatedly declined into zones of support (as defined by the volume profile) and found buyers, however never enough to turn the trend of prices back to the...

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Why Is The US Dollar In The Doldrums?

Why Is The US Dollar In The Doldrums?

“Ask Kase” and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). On Tuesday pundits were aflutter because the dollar had an up day, pointing to expectations that the Fed would soon clarify its intentions to raise rates. Technically, Tuesday was a “star” with a very small range, and inside bar which closed well below Monday’s open. It was indicative, at most,...

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Fed Meeting Today: What You Need To Know

Fed Meeting Today: What You Need To Know

The S&P500 mini-futures (ESU5) had a nice little bounce yesterday, finishing at 2087.25, some 23 points above the previous close. The futures gained 20 points in the overnight trading, gave most of it back at the day session open, then climbed steadily throughout the day to a strong close near the high of the day. Terrific. So the decline is over and we can all go back to dreaming about...

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Lock In Profit On Short Euro Trade

Lock In Profit On Short Euro Trade

Yesterday, the euro rallied on both short covering on bearish euro bets and a strong German IFO Business climate reading.  The IFO survey for July printed a 108.0 reading, better than the 107.6 forecast.  If data continues to improve from Europe’s largest economy, we could see the euro continue to tentatively higher.    Price action on the EUR/USD daily chart shows the double-top pattern...

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Get Ready: Tesla Approaching Buy Zone

Get Ready: Tesla Approaching Buy Zone

Tesla (TSLA) is a stock people either love or hate. It’s curious that opinions are so polarized. In part, it may reflect key differences in the way people regard the theme of change. Some are for it, others favor the status quo. Since Elon Musk’s raison d’etre is to be an agent of global change, he and his company seem to elicit a visceral response from just about everyone.   Consider that...

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Blood On Wall Street: Chinese Crash Impacts US

Blood On Wall Street: Chinese Crash Impacts US

The S&P500 mini-futures (ES) continued to swoon Monday after the Chinese stock market took another knockout punch from panicky investors, many of whom are using borrowed money to bet that the central government will not allow the stock market to sink. The Shanghai composite index rose 68% from February to June; it has since given back about 70% of that increase, and now stands about 20%...

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Selling Has Been Fast And Furious In Metals

Selling Has Been Fast And Furious In Metals

Hi traders from all over the world! How are you doing? I hope you are ready for a most exceptional and exciting week ahead.   I want to give you a quick overview and glance at METALS this week to give you an idea of what I’m thinking.   I am bearish on Silver and Gold for the next few weeks actually. There has been some serious selling in both the SLV and GLD ETFs.  The selling has been...

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Attention: Gold Is Ripe For A Reversal

Attention: Gold Is Ripe For A Reversal

We began discussing the growing imbalance in the gold market here, two weeks ago in, “ Gold Alert: Big Spec Short Position Seen.” The expectation in a situation like this is for a sharp market reversal higher. This would punish the newly short small speculators and prove the commercial traders correct in their assumption that gold has fallen below its fair value on the open market. Clearly,...

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