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Showing Posts 51 - 60 out of 122 found.

Risk/Reward Has Value In Context

Risk/Reward Has Value In Context

Risk is not in and of itself a bad thing.  In fact, it is absolutely vital to trading.  Without risk, there is no reward and, thus, no reason to ever make a trade.  The critical piece to identify is if you are being compensated appropriately for the risk you are taking.  The way to determine this very important question involves two separate analyses: Risk/Reward ratio Expected Value...

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Futures Market Review and Forecast: 2088 Target Almost Attained

Futures Market Review and Forecast: 2088 Target Almost Attained

The upside target at 2088 was nearly attained on Thursday, as the S&P 500 approached its all-time high. As noted, the area between 2061 and 2088 is a low-volume “speed zone” where price action was expected to be unusually swift. And that was indeed the case. The opening gap on Thursday was never filled or even tested. As previously mentioned, 2088 is the immediate Target. An eventual...

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ESH5: Reaching For A New High On Friday The 13th

ESH5: Reaching For A New High On Friday The 13th

Yesterday (Feb. 12) Peace has allegedly broken out in the Ukraine, and that was enough to send the S&P500 mini-futures (ESH5) roaring up to new highs for the year, and, as well, close to the all-time highs recorded in December. The new Ukrainian peace deal looks suspiciously like the old Ukrainian peace deal – you know, the one that collapsed within a couple of weeks – but it was still...

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A Metaphor, The Market, and A Positive Shift

A Metaphor, The Market, and A Positive Shift

“Epiphany.” I love the word. It has a nice ring to it, a pleasant sound when heard or played in my head. Interestingly, it is Greek in origin, and with what is going on with Greece right now, well, that is not so pleasant. Anyway, the longer I live, the more I come to understand that life is rich with epiphany. In fact (you guessed it), I had one this morning. Oh, nothing of a magnitude,...

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A Bearish Play On The April Loonie

A Bearish Play On The April Loonie

The volatility in the crude-oil market over the last few months makes many people hesitant to participate. The wild swings in short time frames can test any trader’s will power to stay with their position. Buying options can define risk, but the rewards don’t come as quickly all the time. The Canadian Dollar is often viewed as a commodity currency. What that means is that movements in the...

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Why It’s Time To Buy Calls In Ford Motor

Why It’s Time To Buy Calls In Ford Motor

On February 3rd, Ford Motor reported U.S. January consumer sales jumped 15.3% on a year-over-year basis to 178,351 units (truck sales +23%). The new aluminum F-150 trucks are making up 18% of the category (it was 5% in December) with turnover at just 12 days. They expect full availability of the next generation of trucks in late Q2 for U.S. consumers. Other improvements included Mustang...

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ESH5: Stealth Rally Is Creeping Higher Quietly

ESH5: Stealth Rally Is Creeping Higher Quietly

Yesterday The S&P 500 mini-futures (ESH5) made a new high for the year yesterday in intraday trading, and nobody noticed. No fireworks, no bombs bursting in air, but the large-cap index has now gained 90 points so far in the month of February, while investors fret and worry. After the market closed, Cisco released a wonderful earnings report and the futures took off. The market ran up to...

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Futures Market Review and Forecast: Target Zone Awaits

Futures Market Review and Forecast: Target Zone Awaits

The Volume Profile Point of Control (VPPOC) at 2051 was tested intraday on Wednesday and held up well. The bounce near that level was sudden and impressive. It led to a final print above the key “ceiling” level of 2061. That’s good news for the bulls. The new upside target is 2088. Between there and here is a low-volume “speed zone.” Price action in this zone may be unusually swift. A Note...

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Turning Technological Corners and Finding Cool, Scary?

Turning Technological Corners and Finding Cool, Scary?

Yes, I did say it, but I kinda pulled back from it, meaning, I did not want to come off as saying I really was in a rut, even though sometimes the market boxes me in with the news, so it feels as if I am in a rut, and maybe that is enough to actually put me in a rut, but, hey, what is a “rut” after all – a state of mind? That opening sentence would be enough to take anyone out of a rut, if...

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A Conservative Play On Wheat

A Conservative Play On Wheat

Thursday’s weekly export sales report showed 397-thousand metric tons of wheat was sold last week, down 27% from the week prior.  Key world buyer Egypt purchased 300-thousand metric tons from France and Romania this week.  The United States still remains a third or fourth port of origin for wheat for human consumption.  Asian countries were the main buyers in purchasing wheat at a discount...

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