On Demand

Trading Commentaries

Showing Posts 61 - 70 out of 112 found.

Bonds, Stocks and Gold - Oh My!

Bonds, Stocks and Gold - Oh My!

With all due respect to Dorothy from the Wizard of Oz, the title of this article should tell us we have some worries and fear about investing in different asset classes. To be sure, there is some fear permeating, investors are wondering if they should pull the plug after prolonged bull markets in bonds and stocks, or just buy gold and other precious metals. Equities have enjoyed a bountiful...

Continue Reading

VIX Flashes Bearish Stock Signal

VIX Flashes Bearish Stock Signal

The VIX gave up 0.98 points last week to close at 14.72 after peaking on the expected short-term cycle high on Wednesday. Since March, the VIX has been turned back by resistance at 16.40 several times highlighting the importance of this level. A breakout from 16.40 will be very bearish for equities. Last Friday was an expected 34-day cycle low. The weekly Coppock is very oversold warning of...

Continue Reading

Key SPX Trading Clues From Fed Officials

Key SPX Trading Clues From Fed Officials

Every week we start Sunday night by looking at the upcoming economic events – the ones that are scheduled and predictable – for the coming week. One of the first things we look for is statements from the presidents of the various Federal Reserve regional banks, because most of the time that’s where price movement originates. A month ago they were falling all over themselves to find an...

Continue Reading

More Production Destruction -The Energy Report

More Production Destruction -The Energy Report

Oil prices are on the rise as traders are starting to see signs of production destruction. What is production destruction? It is the opposite of demand destruction. When prices go too high we see demand destruction or demand fall. When prices go too low we see cut backs in spending and investment that will call production to fall. We are now seeing the early stages of production destruction...

Continue Reading

There’s Gold In Them Thar Hills, Uh, I Mean Sun, Wind, Ocean

There’s Gold In Them Thar Hills, Uh, I Mean Sun, Wind, Ocean

Yesterday I wrote about a potential general market “crash” from the US oil market collapse and that inspired an interesting series of questions from a reader. - Are you saying short oil? When does this happen? It will probably take some time for the oil industry to go bankrupt, don't you think? Exxon makes 10 billion a quarter. First, I never suggest shorting anything, so, no. Second, I...

Continue Reading

What's Next: Your Road Map To The Markets Right Now

What's Next: Your Road Map To The Markets Right Now

This morning’s employment report will be added to the anthology of reports that contribute to the current ethos of market participants.  At the center of the economic reports both domestically and internationally are larger themes including economic theory, monetary and fiscal policy, foreign exchange and interest rates. Among portfolio managers, traders, and investors, the greater reasons...

Continue Reading

Failed Crude Oil Rally Puts Market In Tricky Situation

Failed Crude Oil Rally Puts Market In Tricky Situation

June Crude Oil rallied during the overnight session for trade on Thursday, May 5 as fears of supply disruptions in Libya and Canada roiled the market. A stand-off between rival political factions in Libya stopped Glencore, a multinational commodity trading and mining company, from loading a 600,000 barrel supply of crude oil onto its tanker (The Seachance), and it left the port on its own...

Continue Reading

See Volatility Through the Futures Market

See Volatility Through the Futures Market

The VIX has been quite low for a while, and as such we have noticed the extreme market volatility of early this year has been zapped away.  However, last week saw some volatility start to come back with a big jolt on Thursday and then some follow-through to end the week.  A market under distribution as we have seen of late can bring the volatility back in a big way, and it could be a game...

Continue Reading

Trading The Jobs Number: Define Your Risk

Trading The Jobs Number: Define Your Risk

When I worked on the trading floor of the CME, the first Friday of the month meant one thing; Unemployment. That was short for the batch of numbers released by the Labor Department each month. Everyone working in the Eurodollar pit would be glued to the boards as the numbers were released at 7:30 AM Central. The data could cause a fast market in either direction, or sometimes both. Big money...

Continue Reading

The Oil Crash is Coming, But No Worries, The World Is Different

The Oil Crash is Coming, But No Worries, The World Is Different

Market influences are myriad, but few have the power to truly crash the market like the biggies of 1929, 1987, and 2008. Prepare yourself for a market “crash” relative to the fall of 2002. Okay, so maybe the market won’t crash that hard, but prepare yourself for the media barrage that is beginning to emerge about the coming “crash”. - The rout in crude prices is snowballing into one of the...

Continue Reading
    3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11    
Membership is Free. Join Now in less than 5 seconds! Alternatively Join or Sign In here.