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Trading Commentaries

Showing Posts 61 - 70 out of 191 found.

Trade Fear-Based Intraday News

Trade Fear-Based Intraday News

On November 10th, 2014 President Obama made the following comment that hit the wire and thus affected Internet provider stocks.  President Barack Obama is calling for the FCC to reclassify consumer broadband service under Title II of the Telecommunications Act, which will give it the same treatment as a utility, making it subject to common-carrier regulations originally set up for wire-line...

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March British Pound Futures: Trading Idea November 12, 2014

March British Pound Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness See on the daily bar chart for the March British pound futures that prices are in a solid downtrend and have just recently hit a contract low. Bears are in full technical command. A move below chart support at the contract low of 1.5787 would become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be 1.5250 or...

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Stock Prices Up, Volume Down

NYSE volume fell 5 days in a row. NYSE total volume fell 9% to a level 11% below its 200-day SMA. Generally, rising volume confirms the direction (up or down) of a price move, but falling volume may indicate diminishing power behind a price trend, which can suggest a price reversal ahead. Volume can provide insights that are not available from the majority of indicators, which are based on...

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Recently Red-Hot U.S. Dollar Cooling Off a Bit This Week

* Latest Market Developments * (Follow me on Twitter: @jimwyckoff) In overnight news, the German government auctioned a two-year note (the Schatz) for a negative yield Wednesday, which fetched -0.05%. Investors are paying the German government to hold their cash. This is yet another sign of the very low confidence in the European economy’s health and its financial system. Meantime, the Bank...

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Live Cattle Bulls Again Proving Resilient

LIVESTOCK: December live cattle closed up $0.05 at 167.17 today. Prices closed near mid-range today. Bulls have the near-term technical advantage as prices are not far below the recent contract high. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to push and close prices above solid resistance at the contract high of $170.00. The next downside technical breakout objective for the bears is pushing and...

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Pure Growth, Pure Value, Indices To Watch?

So far today, the market is following the pattern I have been writing about – a bit forward a bit less back. With the market at new highs, it is understandable that without a catalyst of some sort, the market will gently ride the momentum of the resurgence from the recent lows, the positive earnings, and the generally favorable economic news. There is, however, always the possibility that...

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An Option Play on FOSL

An Option Play on FOSL

Fossil Group (NasDaq: FOSL, 103.82) shares are off by nearly 14% in 2014.  The Richardson, TX-based clothing and accessory manufacturer is scheduled to report earnings after the close today.  FOSL stock has recently been trading in the lower part of its 52-week range of $91.84-$129.79.  Consensus analyst estimates project EPS of $1.82 on revenue of $879.05 million, compared with EPS of $1.36...

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A Warning For 2015 – Watch The RSI

A Warning For 2015 – Watch The RSI

The magnitude and speed of the recovery in stocks off their October lows caught most of us by surprise, me included. That's certainly a sign of strong demand, and the cyclical bull market has been affirmed by higher highs in the major stock indices. Further, we're in the seasonally strong November-January period, which contributes to a bullish backdrop. But looking out beyond that time...

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Use The Predictive Sentiment Cycles

Use The Predictive Sentiment Cycles

The stock market moves in cycles. Traders are led to believe there has to be some type of catalyst to make the SPX (S&P500 index) move up or down. I get a ton of e-mails all the time asking “Why would you think the market will head lower/higher without any catalyst?” Yet nobody can tell me why we turned lower in September and then higher in October. The Financial Media Lags Traders get a...

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March Cocoa Futures: Trading Idea November 11, 2014

March Cocoa Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness See on the daily bar chart for March ICE cocoa futures that prices are in a solid downtrend. The recent pause is not bullish. Bears are still in technical command. A move below chart support at the November low of $2,853 would become a selling opportunity. The downside price objective would be $2,650 or below. Technical...

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