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Showing Posts 61 - 70 out of 172 found.

December Ice Coffee Futures: Trading Idea September 12, 2014

December ICE Coffee Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness See on the daily bar chart for December coffee futures that prices have dropped sharply this week and hit a six-week low. A bearish double-top reversal pattern has also formed on the daily bar chart. The bears have quickly gained solid downside technical momentum to suggest still more selling pressure in the near term....

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Scottish Secession: Look For Buying Opportunities On Any Pullbacks

Scottish Secession: Look For Buying Opportunities On Any Pullbacks

We are officially in uncharted waters.  The biggest macro risk right now for the markets is not the Fed or European Central Bank…or ISIS or even Vladimir Putin.  No, the biggest macro risk is the mood of Scottish voters. Scotland’s referendum on independence from the UK will be held on September 18.  Up until very recently, the polls of prospective voters consistently predicting that the...

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Respect The Risk Management Gods

Respect The Risk Management Gods

Every now and then I find traders will go out on the risk curve and take a speculative trade.   That's a good thing — because as they say in baseball, 'you cannot steal second base with your foot on first.'  However, there are limits, and often I find these traders stretch too far and they soon find themselves wounded - sometimes a devastating blow that is nearly impossible to overcome.  How...

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Advanced Options: Buy A Strangle Swap Wynn Resorts

Advanced Options: Buy A Strangle Swap Wynn Resorts

When I think that a stock has "settled in" (established a trading range) my first instinct is to sell a straddle or a strangle or something along those lines.  The problem is this involves theoretical unlimited risk and therefore causes a big margin issue for most of my students.  Are we just out of luck?  Certainly not!  In the past, I have showed how we can sell an iron condor or iron...

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Agriculture and Metals Losing Strength

Agriculture, PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund ETF (DBA) absolute price broke down below its lows of the previous 6 months on 9/11/14, thereby reconfirming a significant downtrend. Gold, SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) absolute price fell below its lows of the previous 8 months on 9/11/14, thereby reconfirming its medium-term downtrend that started on 7/10/14. Gold Mining Stocks ETF/Gold Shares...

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Grain Market Bears in Firm Technical Control

GRAINS: December corn futures closed down 4 1/4 cents at $3.41 1/2 Thursday. Prices closed near mid-range and set another contract and four-year low. Today’s monthly USDA supply and demand report was indeed bearish. There are also some frost concerns for the northern U.S. Corn Belt later this week. Corn bulls have the solid near-term technical advantage and their next upside price objective...

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Market Place Presently Viewing Geopolitics as Static

* Latest Market Developments * In overnight news, there was a rare upbeat economic report from the European Union. The EU’s industrial production was reported up 1.0% in July from June and up 2.2% from a year ago. Forecasts called for a 0.6% rise in July from June. EU industrial output was up 0.2% in the second quarter, compared to up 0.1% in the first quarter. On the geopolitics front, the...

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Range Bound, Yes, Financial Television, No

First off, I slightly missed the mark yesterday with my intuition. I suggested that if the market show signs of going green, the bulls would jump on board and make the day a green day. Fine, but I followed up with this. My sense, though, is the bulls are not quite convinced and the bears are. The comment above clearly suggested a “hedge” in my bet, which suggests that I am not so certain...

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Time To Manage Risk: E-Mini S&P Option Play

Time To Manage Risk: E-Mini S&P Option Play

I don’t need to remind anyone of the significance of this day. The trading world was heavily affected by the events that took place thirteen years ago. Things will never be the same, but we have to continue to move forward.  Please remember those we lost and the families that continue their journey forward without them. Economic Outlook All of the sudden the confidence in the slow but steady...

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Is The Bottom In For Deutsche Bank?

Is The Bottom In For Deutsche Bank?

Shares of Deutsche Bank (DB), a $48 billion global investment bank headquartered in Germany, are down 33.60% from the January 15 high of $53.15. This compares to the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF’s (XLF) year to date gain of 7.65% and the iShares MSCI Germany ETF’s (EWG) year- to-date loss of 6.42%. Valuation The reason for the underperformance in 2014 is due to the litany of legal...

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