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Showing Posts 61 - 70 out of 160 found.

Oil and Hedge Funds Are Not Doing Well

Oil and Hedge Funds Are Not Doing Well

A strengthening US dollar causing emerging market currencies to tumble, oil prices in free fall, Japan reporting its economic decline, and China, well, just say the word, “China.” Did I tag all of the reasons the market might be down today? Aside from the above, we have more to look at this coming week, but do not be surprised if the market bounces around a bit, especially as we move closer...

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Odds May Be On Short Side In The Cattle Market

Odds May Be On Short Side In The Cattle Market

Friday’s action in the February live cattle-futures setup one is of the few short trading opportunities we’ve seen this year in the cattle markets. The trend has been higher all year long. We’ve commented at times that the market had gotten ahead of itself and this remains the case. Currently, it appears that large and small speculators are the only ones adding to long positions at these...

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More Jobs Less Fear – Let The Good Times Roll!

More Jobs Less Fear – Let The Good Times Roll!

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)released a terrific non-farm payroll report on Friday. The report shows a net gain of 321,000 jobs for November – the best result for the entire year. It beat the consensus estimate of 230,000 new jobs by almost 90,000, the biggest “beat” for the year. (See graph).  And after a long series of preliminary employment reports that have been revised down when...

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The George Lindsay 22-Year Overlay Predictor

The George Lindsay 22-Year Overlay Predictor

George Lindsay described his 22-Year Overlay in a two part installment of his newsletter in 1964. In it, he showed 18 examples of how the model had helped to time highs in the Dow. In the 22-Year Overlay, we are searching for three important intervals ending at a high 22 years (22y), 15 years (15y), and eight years (8y) later. Lows appear every seven years (7y) followed by a high 8y after...

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March Canada Dollar Futures: Trading Idea December 8, 2014

March Canada Dollar Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness See on the daily bar chart for March Canada dollar futures that prices are in a downtrend and hovering not far above the recent contract low. Prices Friday closed at a bearish weekly low close. The bears are in technical control. A move in prices below the contract low of .8693 would become a selling opportunity. The...

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Health Care Stocks Are Gaining Strength, Emerging Markets Are Losing Strength

Emerging Markets Stocks ETF (EEM) Relative Strength Ratio (EEM/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 9 years on 12/5/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. Longer term, EEM/SPY has been systematically bearish most of the time since making a high on 10/14/10. U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected / U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year ETFs Relative Strength Ratio (TIP/IEF) fell below its...

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U.S. Dollar Stronger, Crude Oil Lower, to Start Trading Week

* Latest Market Developments * The U.S. dollar hit a seven-year high against the Japanese yen and hit a two-year high against the Euro currency overnight—in the aftermath of Friday’s much-stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report. The other key “outside market”—crude oil—is trading lower to start the trading week, with Nymex crude oil futures hovering not far above last week’s five-year low of...

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Skipping Around: Of Jobs, Oil and Market Volatility

Today, we'll take a look at how jobs, oil and market volatility are playing a role in the market environment. A Solid Jobs Report:  But You Can't Please Everyone Last week's job number took many by surprise.  What a great report it was, 321K jobs created based on the latest survey, previous reports revised upward.  Yet, all I heard yesterday were complaints - the jobs created were temporary,...

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Sometimes, You Gotta Make A Call

Sometimes, You Gotta Make A Call

Here we are, just 16 trading days from 2015 and I must admit, I am on pins and needles regarding the market finish for 2014. Will the Dow go where no Dow has ever gone before – 18,000? As I write, the venerable index is but 31 points away from crossing over into that new frontier; yet, there are those technicians who look at the market numbers transposed on a chart and they arrive at a...

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The Five-Percent Day and AAPL

The Five-Percent Day and AAPL

One of the most valuable trading secrets I've come to appreciate in recent years is the five- percent day. A trading session qualifies as a five percent day whenever the entire day's price range is established during the first sixty minutes of trading. On average, five-percent day sessions occur five percent of the time, hence the name. Technically, a disciplined trader could make a good...

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