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Showing Posts 61 - 70 out of 119 found.

The Grain Trade: Continued Short Covering In Beans

The Grain Trade: Continued Short Covering In Beans

On last Wednesday’s monthly USDA crop report we saw trimming of our 2014/15 and 2015/16 carryover soybean stocks.  Old crop stocks were cut 20 million bushels to 330 bushels.  New crop was cut 25 million bushels to 475 million bushels.  The government has cut ending stocks three consecutive months as demand has outpaced previous expectations.    It is not over. We continue to sell old crop...

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Are You Ready To Trade The Fed Meeting Today?

Are You Ready To Trade The Fed Meeting Today?

The S&P 500 mini-futures (ESU5) dropped sharply after the market closed Monday and dropped to 2062.00 – the lowest price since the first week of May. And then the European markets opened, and the futures marched straight back up to recover all the losses from the start of the week ... and then some. 2062 seemed to be the foundation the futures were looking for. They not only regained the...

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Drama In Greece, Good News In The US

Drama In Greece, Good News In The US

Since 2008, we have been treated to high drama from the actors on the world stage. Remember the Republicans in the summer of 2011 with their threat to shut down the US government over the debt ceiling? They took that right to the last minute. Man that was dramatic and man did the market panic. Now we have Greece and the EU. It appears this drama is going right down to the last minute, as...

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What Grexit? Is Dollar Poised For Explosive Rally?

What Grexit? Is Dollar Poised For Explosive Rally?

Euro traders are getting tired of following the constant negotiations between Greece and its creditors.  With just under two weeks left, every day that passes that no deal is reached, concerns of a Grexit grow.  If we eventually see a Greece leave the euro, contagion and deflationary concerns will become a big problem for the euro zone.   While the Greek situation remains a dire one, the...

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Fed Meeting Could Spark Powerful Stock Move

Fed Meeting Could Spark Powerful Stock Move

The S&P 500 mini-futures (ESU5) took a dive yesterday right out of the gate. They started declining when the European markets opened, and by 10 a.m. were down about 20 points. They clawed back to close at 2075.50, down 9.50 from the previous close, on light volume. It wasn’t quite a rout, but it could have been. The apparent cause was the failure – yet again – to reach an agreement on...

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The Leading Indicator: SPX Sentiment

The Leading Indicator: SPX Sentiment

There are hundreds of ways to determine the current state of the  S&P 500 (SPX). Most traders/investors use methods that are only based off of the price of the SPX. Some common tools used are the stochastics-RSI-MACD-price oscillator and CCI. These are great tools and I use them myself. But as I said above, they are all based off of the “price” of the SPX. Is there another way that has...

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S&P 500 Alert: A Problem For The Bulls

S&P 500 Alert: A Problem For The Bulls

Today I’m showing the S&P futures rather than the Nasdaq futures since what happens in the larger indices will control the Nasdaq, at least short term. The fulfillment of the bullish megaphone pattern that I pointed out in the Nasdaq futures last week did not come to fruition. There’s nothing more bearish that the failure of a bullish pattern, and vice versa, so, in my view, the market...

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Turn Away From The Stupid Place

Turn Away From The Stupid Place

When the market goes to this stupid place, I want to go somewhere else, somewhere where I can be amazed, find a laugh, and, perhaps, learn something new. All are easy to do in a world so rich with human endeavors. Amazing … The world’s largest carbon emitter is on track to meet its climate goals a full five years ahead of schedule, according to a study out this week. China will peak emission...

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Psychology: Are You A Revenge Trader?

Psychology: Are You A Revenge Trader?

Many aspiring traders come to zero sum markets such as the futures market after successful careers as entrepreneurs. The mistake they make is thinking that the rules of good business apply to zero sum markets. While in some ways they do (buy low and sell high, for example), it's the ways in which trading these markets is unlike other businesses that will fool you and cost you. Futures...

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Greek Tragedy Hits: But The Fed Counts This Week

Greek Tragedy Hits: But The Fed Counts This Week

At the two day Fed meeting this week the committee will gather survey responses asking for new economic projections. This happens at the 'quarterly' meetings with a comprehensive review by the Chair in a post-meeting press conference. The idea here is more transparency and less 'hiding'. Yet, in the past the data here has not been looked upon as important, but I believe this time it will be....

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