On Demand

Trading Commentaries

Showing Posts 81 - 90 out of 145 found.

Are Small Caps Leading the SPX Down?

Are Small Caps Leading the SPX Down?

The SPX (S&P 500 index) has been on a face-ripping rally since the October 15th lows were identified by STI (Sentiment Timing Index) and we have not really had any kind of breather the entire way up. Perhaps yesterday and today are that  breather. There are so many reasons why we should see a sharp break lower, when looking at the technical picture of this rally. We have bearish...

Continue Reading

March SRW Wheat Futures: Trading Idea December 9, 2014

March SRW Wheat Futures a Buying Opportunity on More Price Strength See on the daily bar chart for March soft red winter wheat futures that prices are in an uptrend but have seen a corrective, profit-taking pullback. Bulls still have the overall near-term technical advantage.  A move in prices above the December high of $6.11 3/4 would give the bulls fresh upside momentum and it would also...

Continue Reading

The Usual Suspects Continue to Lose Relative Strength

Crude Oil, United States Oil ETF (USO) absolute price fell further below its lows of the previous 5 years on 12/8/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. Energy Sector SPDR ETF Relative Strength Ratio (XLE/SPY) fell below 9-year lows on 12/8/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. iShares MSCI BRIC Fund (BKF) Relative Strength Ratio (BKF/SPY) broke down below its lows...

Continue Reading

Risk Aversion Returns to Market Place Tuesday

* Latest Market Developments * It’s a “risk-off” day in the market place Tuesday. World stock markets were under pressure overnight, led by sharp declines in Asian shares, and the U.S. stock indexes are also lower in early dealings. China took further steps Tuesday to regulate its domestic bond markets, which was unsettling to Asian traders. The big drop in oil prices recently still has...

Continue Reading

Oil and Hedge Funds Are Not Doing Well

Oil and Hedge Funds Are Not Doing Well

A strengthening US dollar causing emerging market currencies to tumble, oil prices in free fall, Japan reporting its economic decline, and China, well, just say the word, “China.” Did I tag all of the reasons the market might be down today? Aside from the above, we have more to look at this coming week, but do not be surprised if the market bounces around a bit, especially as we move closer...

Continue Reading

Odds May Be On Short Side In The Cattle Market

Odds May Be On Short Side In The Cattle Market

Friday’s action in the February live cattle-futures setup one is of the few short trading opportunities we’ve seen this year in the cattle markets. The trend has been higher all year long. We’ve commented at times that the market had gotten ahead of itself and this remains the case. Currently, it appears that large and small speculators are the only ones adding to long positions at these...

Continue Reading

More Jobs Less Fear – Let The Good Times Roll!

More Jobs Less Fear – Let The Good Times Roll!

The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)released a terrific non-farm payroll report on Friday. The report shows a net gain of 321,000 jobs for November – the best result for the entire year. It beat the consensus estimate of 230,000 new jobs by almost 90,000, the biggest “beat” for the year. (See graph).  And after a long series of preliminary employment reports that have been revised down when...

Continue Reading

The George Lindsay 22-Year Overlay Predictor

The George Lindsay 22-Year Overlay Predictor

George Lindsay described his 22-Year Overlay in a two part installment of his newsletter in 1964. In it, he showed 18 examples of how the model had helped to time highs in the Dow. In the 22-Year Overlay, we are searching for three important intervals ending at a high 22 years (22y), 15 years (15y), and eight years (8y) later. Lows appear every seven years (7y) followed by a high 8y after...

Continue Reading

March Canada Dollar Futures: Trading Idea December 8, 2014

March Canada Dollar Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness See on the daily bar chart for March Canada dollar futures that prices are in a downtrend and hovering not far above the recent contract low. Prices Friday closed at a bearish weekly low close. The bears are in technical control. A move in prices below the contract low of .8693 would become a selling opportunity. The...

Continue Reading

Health Care Stocks Are Gaining Strength, Emerging Markets Are Losing Strength

Emerging Markets Stocks ETF (EEM) Relative Strength Ratio (EEM/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 9 years on 12/5/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. Longer term, EEM/SPY has been systematically bearish most of the time since making a high on 10/14/10. U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected / U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year ETFs Relative Strength Ratio (TIP/IEF) fell below its...

Continue Reading
    5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13    
Membership is Free. Join Now in less than 5 seconds! Alternatively Join or Sign In here.