On Demand

Trading Commentaries

Showing Posts 81 - 90 out of 172 found.

Commodity Outlook: Grain Thoughts

Commodity Outlook: Grain Thoughts

I will cover supply side fundamentals first with Monday’s crop progress report.  Corn harvest was 24% complete down from the five-year average of 43%.  Crop condition came in unchanged at 74% good to excellent condition.  Soybeans harvested were 40% versus the five-year average of 53% and condition at 73% good to excellent unchanged on the week.  The crop is far enough along that we do not...

Continue Reading

How To Trade An Intraday RIP

How To Trade An Intraday RIP

As a day trader I am always looking for stocks that move in an extreme way either up or down.  Large expanded moves in a quick fashion build little support or resistance on that move and can be played for a retracement. Stock Play For example, L-3 Communications (LLL) had an explosive move up on October 10, 2014.  It moved up very quickly from $107.00 to $122.00 in about one hour.  Since I...

Continue Reading

Stocks Attempted To Stabilize, But The Tone Remains Defensive

Crude Oil, United States Oil ETF (USO) absolute price fell to its lowest price level in 27 months on 10/14/14, thereby reconfirming its preexisting downtrend. Bond, iShares Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury ETF (TLT) absolute price rose above its highs of the previous 22 months on 10/14/14. Bond, iShares Barclays 7-10 Year U.S. Treasury ETF (IEF) absolute price rose above its highs of the...

Continue Reading

There is Growing Fear in the Market Place

* Latest Market Developments * OVERNIGHT DEVELOPMENTS There continues to be risk aversion in the market place worldwide that’s evidenced by contract highs this week in U.S. Treasury bond and note futures prices. The recent surge in the U.S. dollar and rebound in gold are also indications of increased demand for safe-haven assets. While stock market traders and investors like to watch the VIX...

Continue Reading

December Live Cattle Futures: Trading Idea October 14, 2014

December Live Cattle Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness See on the daily bar chart for December live cattle futures that prices late last week dropped sharply and produced a bearish “key reversal” down and also closed at a bearish weekly low close. Those are two technical clues the cattle market has topped out. A move in prices below chart support at Friday’s low of...

Continue Reading

Go Back Just A Bit to Get Real

In these days of market panic (and I say that with a smile), all one has to do to get a grip, if one needs to get a grip, is think back to the fall of 2010, no wait, not that far. Try 2011. Sorry, that too is a bit far for me even if it is applicable. How about 2012, then, Dang, let’s just take a look at 2013. On September 10th, the Dow stood at 1466. It had had a good year up to then,...

Continue Reading

Earnings Play: Trade Intel From The Long Side

Earnings Play: Trade Intel From The Long Side

Intel Corporation (INTC) is scheduled to report earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday.  Consensus analyst forecast $14.45 billion of revenue with an EPS of $0.65 (last quarter’s EPS beat by nearly 6%, with the stock rallying over 9%).  Market Recap Indeed, shares have been seemingly unstoppable in 2014, having rallied 22% year to date.  The stock has traded in a 52-week range of...

Continue Reading

Is The US Stock Market Going To Crash?

Is The US Stock Market Going To Crash?

We have seen the U.S. stock market take a serious hit since I published the “Dow Could Drop 1000 Points” on September 23. It really was a perfect storm, as sentiment was at extremes and there weren’t many bears alive. The bearish rising wedge was the pattern that gave me “the tell” about the potential drop and it is playing out as scripted. Now many are coming out and switching sides and...

Continue Reading

Treasury Futures: Buy High, Sell Higher

Treasury Futures: Buy High, Sell Higher

To give credit where it's due, "buy high and sell higher" is a concept from William O'Neill highlighting how new highs in a market often point to high confidence and thus act as a reason to buy rather than turn tail in fear. His books are great reading for dilettante and veteran trader alike. As I looked across the markets last night and concluded it's a good time not to draw any big...

Continue Reading

Shift Toward Safety Continues

Bond, iShares Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury ETF (TLT) absolute price rose above its highs of the previous 22 months on 10/13/14. Bond, iShares Barclays 7-10 Year U.S. Treasury ETF (IEF) absolute price rose above its highs of the previous 19 months on 10/13/14. Junk/Investment-Grade Corporate Bond ETFs Relative Strength Ratio (JNK/LQD) fell below its lows of the previous 23 months on...

Continue Reading
    5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13    
Membership is Free. Join Now in less than 5 seconds! Alternatively Join or Sign In here.