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There’s Gold In Them Thar Hills, Uh, I Mean Sun, Wind, Ocean

There’s Gold In Them Thar Hills, Uh, I Mean Sun, Wind, Ocean

Yesterday I wrote about a potential general market “crash” from the US oil market collapse and that inspired an interesting series of questions from a reader. - Are you saying short oil? When does this happen? It will probably take some time for the oil industry to go bankrupt, don't you think? Exxon makes 10 billion a quarter. First, I never suggest shorting anything, so, no. Second, I...

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What's Next: Your Road Map To The Markets Right Now

What's Next: Your Road Map To The Markets Right Now

This morning’s employment report will be added to the anthology of reports that contribute to the current ethos of market participants.  At the center of the economic reports both domestically and internationally are larger themes including economic theory, monetary and fiscal policy, foreign exchange and interest rates. Among portfolio managers, traders, and investors, the greater reasons...

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Failed Crude Oil Rally Puts Market In Tricky Situation

Failed Crude Oil Rally Puts Market In Tricky Situation

June Crude Oil rallied during the overnight session for trade on Thursday, May 5 as fears of supply disruptions in Libya and Canada roiled the market. A stand-off between rival political factions in Libya stopped Glencore, a multinational commodity trading and mining company, from loading a 600,000 barrel supply of crude oil onto its tanker (The Seachance), and it left the port on its own...

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See Volatility Through the Futures Market

See Volatility Through the Futures Market

The VIX has been quite low for a while, and as such we have noticed the extreme market volatility of early this year has been zapped away.  However, last week saw some volatility start to come back with a big jolt on Thursday and then some follow-through to end the week.  A market under distribution as we have seen of late can bring the volatility back in a big way, and it could be a game...

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Trading The Jobs Number: Define Your Risk

Trading The Jobs Number: Define Your Risk

When I worked on the trading floor of the CME, the first Friday of the month meant one thing; Unemployment. That was short for the batch of numbers released by the Labor Department each month. Everyone working in the Eurodollar pit would be glued to the boards as the numbers were released at 7:30 AM Central. The data could cause a fast market in either direction, or sometimes both. Big money...

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The Oil Crash is Coming, But No Worries, The World Is Different

The Oil Crash is Coming, But No Worries, The World Is Different

Market influences are myriad, but few have the power to truly crash the market like the biggies of 1929, 1987, and 2008. Prepare yourself for a market “crash” relative to the fall of 2002. Okay, so maybe the market won’t crash that hard, but prepare yourself for the media barrage that is beginning to emerge about the coming “crash”. - The rout in crude prices is snowballing into one of the...

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US Yields Maintain Downside Bias

US Yields Maintain Downside Bias

--Once again US yields edged lower Wednesday, with tens -1.4 bps to 178.2.  The curve had a flattening bias, with red/gold euro$ spread at just 74 bps, -2 on the day.  Weakness in stocks was a partial driver, though the US market appears to be the beneficiary of safe haven flows during Asian hours, with concerns about China's massive debt load continuing to draw scrutiny.  For example, BBG...

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Dow Bull Not Ready To Crash Yet

Dow Bull Not Ready To Crash Yet

Have patience. All things are difficult before they become easy.Saadi Okay, okay, we have heard it before; this market should crash, everything is fake, etc.  We are as we have spoken many times over the past two years in a new paradigm. Reality is being recreated; this entire economic recovery is a hoax but despite this, the markets have soared higher.  What gives? If you manipulate the...

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Is Apple Stock (AAPL) Worth Buying?

Is Apple Stock (AAPL) Worth Buying?

The fifteen percent plunge in Apple stock price is all the news lately as most journalists have concentrated on the dramatic size loss of market capitalisation. This of course will always happen when you’re talking about an elephant with a market cap of over $600B before its recent drop. However, as long term investors and swing traders, these are the opportunities we patiently wait for,...

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EuroSTOXX Upward Correction Finished?

EuroSTOXX Upward Correction Finished?

Along with the German DAX and the London FTSE, for which we posted charts in January and March, we also like to monitor the EuroSTOXX 50 Index for a view on the health of European equity. The Euro STOXX 50 Index is composed of 50 of the most liquid stocks throughout the Eurozone and comprises a majority of the market capitalization in the Eurozone, making it a good barometer for the zone as...

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