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Bonds Commentaries

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Lockhart and the Treasury Curve

Lockhart and the Treasury Curve

On Tuesday, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Dennis Lockhart (voter) said the US economy is ready for a rate hike.  “I think there is a high bar right now to not acting, speaking for myself.” After last week’s Employment Cost Index data, which was the weakest on record with an increase of only 0.2, the market dialed down expectations of a Fed hike in September.  Now, all eyes are on...

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10-Year Treasury Note Faces Stiff Resistance

10-Year Treasury Note Faces Stiff Resistance

We’ve begun to notice an anomaly within the interest rate futures where the volatility of the 10-Year Treasury Note is significantly higher than both shorter and longer dated maturities. Rather than attempting to answer why this may be, we’d rather focus on the trading opportunity it presents both within the interest rate sector and as an outright speculative trade. First, let’s look at some...

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