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China Commentaries

Showing Posts 1 - 8 out of 8 found.

Soybean Rally On January Crop Report

Soybean Rally On January Crop Report

Last Thursday’s weekly US export-sales report is a weekly gauge of demand telling us how much of each grain was sold last week for future shipment.  Index and trend following funds use these reports to determine whether the US is over-selling or under-selling grain in the current marketing year.  The marketing year for US corn and beans is September 1st to August 31st.  To date, 80% of the...

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Oil and Hedge Funds Are Not Doing Well

Oil and Hedge Funds Are Not Doing Well

A strengthening US dollar causing emerging market currencies to tumble, oil prices in free fall, Japan reporting its economic decline, and China, well, just say the word, “China.” Did I tag all of the reasons the market might be down today? Aside from the above, we have more to look at this coming week, but do not be surprised if the market bounces around a bit, especially as we move closer...

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This Year Is Quickly Becoming Next Year

This Year Is Quickly Becoming Next Year

The year that was is quickly morphing into the year that will be. All signs are that 2015 will be as good as, or better than, 2014, and, despite the ups and downs in the market, 2014 will turn out to be quite a good year. It appears my “prediction” that the Dow will finish above 18,000 is on track and my prediction that the S&P 500 will finish above 2050 looks to be a bit off. In fact,...

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Don’t Fight The Tape, Believe In It

Don’t Fight The Tape, Believe In It

Okay, so the market decided it wanted to go up appreciably yesterday. Today it is working on the news from the Fed and the US government and then balancing that against the economic news from Europe and Russia. Euro-area services and manufacturing grew less than initially estimated last month, leaving the economy facing near-stagnation as the European Central Bank considers its options on...

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How Can Falling Oil Prices Be Bad?

How Can Falling Oil Prices Be Bad?

Welcome back. I hope everyone that celebrates Thanksgiving had a good one. I certainly had a leisurely five days. I had time to read a lot. It is amazing what one can pick up after five days of reading. So here is what I learned in the last five days of reading. The world is still a nasty place because stupid people are killing innocent people, but it is also full of hope for many others,...

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Go Get ‘Em Boys And Girls

Go Get ‘Em Boys And Girls

Boom! Just like that the market leaps forward. At least thus far this morning it has leaped forward. Who knows if it will hold for the day, but, so far, the news of the day has created some excitement.   China cut interest rates unexpectedly on Friday, stepping up efforts to support the world's second-biggest economy as it heads towards its slowest expansion in nearly a quarter of a century....

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What the Heck Is OPEC Saying?

Other than Russia meddling militarily in the Ukraine, and the same sending its long-range bombers closer to the USA, the hotspots of the world are as they were yesterday, seeming to not affect the market. Thus, the market is behaving as it should – a bit forward, a bit less back. As to other “events” in the world that can move the market, well, there are few at the moment, save for two that...

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More of the Same But Different?

Let’s start today by going back to yesterday, another in a series of volatile days. I think the market took my advice a bit too seriously, as all the major indices dropped with gusto. I am not sure why, but it seems the buyers simply ran out of gas. Stocks took on some water today, but it can't be a complete surprise. I think it was yesterday we pointed out the S&P 500 had rallied more...

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