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Showing Posts 1 - 15 out of 67 found.

High-Speed Panic Does Not Negate Earnings

Canada, New York, and Mali all are making the market news cycle. Ebola and terrorism, or, rather, what many are thinking is terrorism, but what just me a local nutcase.   The market did react when the news of the Canadian parliament shooting came across the wire on Wednesday and it reacted this morning to the news that both New York and Mali had their firs Ebola victims. To some degree, all...

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Options 101: How To Construct A Directional Play

Options 101: How To Construct A Directional Play

When I identify an opportunity for a directional play, how do I decide: a) what type of trade I want to do and b) what strikes do I want to use?  Typically, with a directional play, I look for some sort of vertical.  This lowers my cost basis (granted it caps my potential profit).  But most importantly, I attempt to "target" a specific strike.  I do this by "triangulating" a few...

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Skew: Did Option Players Get The Sell-Off Right This Time?

Skew: Did Option Players Get The Sell-Off Right This Time?

If you want to figure out the next move the markets will make, I have a secret to tell you about. Option traders have a trick that most investors and traders have never heard of, let alone understand. It is a little thing called skew, which is a real time view of where money is being bet. (In technical terms, skew is "the risk associated with an increase in the probability of outlier...

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More of the Same But Different?

Let’s start today by going back to yesterday, another in a series of volatile days. I think the market took my advice a bit too seriously, as all the major indices dropped with gusto. I am not sure why, but it seems the buyers simply ran out of gas. Stocks took on some water today, but it can't be a complete surprise. I think it was yesterday we pointed out the S&P 500 had rallied more...

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Remember Our Lessons Already Learned

Ahhhh …. Life is normal again, and it feels right. In today’s sense of normalcy, a learned lesson or two in life resides. One of those is familiar to me from repetition in my childhood and the other I am just starting to learn through repetition. Yesterday, I just “relearned” the latter. My computer is working. Yup, the same one I gave up on yesterday is the same one I fixed yesterday. I...

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Trading Psychology: Stay Calm When The Fastballs Fly

Trading Psychology: Stay Calm When The Fastballs Fly

A client of mine sent me a bio yesterday on Rod Dedeaux, who was the baseball coach for USC for 45 seasons. Dedeaux was a legendary leader, chalking up more national titles and wins (1332) than any other coach of his day. 200 of his players went on to play professional ball. Dedeaux neither lost his temper nor disrespected or denigrated anyone. He cultivated the ability to befriend,...

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Is This Back to the Future?

My computer world is not any better today than it was yesterday, but I feel better. I did what I could do for my laptop, but it is in a coma. It will require equipment and knowledge beyond my scope to bring it around. Given that I am away from my hometown, I will keep it on life-support until I return. No worries; it is stable enough to wait three more days. In the meantime, I said I feel...

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Not A Good Monday, For Me …

Today is not starting out well for me. Two words sum it up – computer problems. First, my normal work computer gave me the “blue screen of death” this morning, and for those who know Microsoft Windows, well, you know that this is as bad as it gets with Windows. The reason I am even writing about my computer problems is that just two minutes ago I was closing out my sagacious thinking for the...

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It’s Getting Easier To Say, Hang In There

Is this it? Is the panic over? Have the sellers become exhausted and have the buyers stepped back into the breach? Is this, after weeks of churning, the bottom? U.S. stocks were higher at the open on Friday, following a batch of solid earnings reports that eased concerns about the impact of weak global demand on U.S. growth and businesses. Strong right out of the gate and holding steady the...

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It’s The Economy, The Fed, And a Bit Of Europe

Well, well, well … The last hour in yesterday’s market was quite interesting, just as the last hour, half hour, and five minutes of the market has been this week. It appears the battle of the bulls and “da bears” is back on. Although “da bears’ have had the upper hand, it seems that the tide might be turning. As always, we will see, but in the meantime, here are some considerations for your...

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APD: Unusual Options Activity And Charts Signal Bottom

APD: Unusual Options Activity And Charts Signal Bottom

Air Products & Chemicals (APD) is a $27 billion industrial gas supplier headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania. They hired Seifi Ghasemi to take on the chairman and CEO role this summer, following more than a decade in the same position at Rockwood Holdings (ROC). In September they announced the company will be reorganizing by geography instead of divisions by products. This could...

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4 Key Trading Lessons From The Beach

4 Key Trading Lessons From The Beach

Winter is approaching so I had to make sure to enjoy one more beach day. Hard to do in Nashville, TN though. That being said, we took a short, eight-hour drive to Panama City to visit my girlfriend’s family and, of course, get some serious beach time in.  You might think it’s a stretch to relate snorkeling to trading. Well, only one way to find out. #1 Gear: When trading, you do have to...

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Sellers Sell and Buyers Wait

“Where have all the flowers gone …?” I must admit my faith in the market is shaken. I mean, really, is there nothing positive to entice the buyers to step up? U.S. retail sales declined in September and producer prices also fell, worrisome signals on the economy's health that heightened financial market worries over faltering global growth Apparently, there is not. After all, last month’s...

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Go Back Just A Bit to Get Real

In these days of market panic (and I say that with a smile), all one has to do to get a grip, if one needs to get a grip, is think back to the fall of 2010, no wait, not that far. Try 2011. Sorry, that too is a bit far for me even if it is applicable. How about 2012, then, Dang, let’s just take a look at 2013. On September 10th, the Dow stood at 1466. It had had a good year up to then,...

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Just One More Thing …

The VIX has topped the 21.5 ceiling, and it did it rather quickly. Currently, it is just above 22, as it tracks the major indices on yet another down day. Clearly, the market is not listening to my argument about the economic fundamentals not warranting such a precipitous drop in the major indices. Well, there is not much I can do about that, other than to keep arguing the economic...

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