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Is NetFlix About To Implode?

Is NetFlix About To Implode?

Volume Profile shows the historical price levels at which buyers and sellers transacted business in a particular stock or ETF. In the long-run, the amount of volume at various price levels tends to be significant. In the short run, anything can happen.  In reviewing the long-term volume profile for AAPL recently, I noted the large unfilled gap around $76. The problem for owners of AAPL is...

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Pick Low Hanging Fruit To Profit: Here's How

Pick Low Hanging Fruit To Profit: Here's How

The bulk of our analysis focuses on the Commodity Futures Trading Commission’s weekly Commitment of Traders report. This report tracks the large position holders in every market broken down by, managed money, hedgers, index traders and small speculators. There are many ways to slice and parse this data.   We’ve found most of the low hanging fruit can be plucked using a simple combination of...

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Flash Crash 2015: Did You Miss It?

Flash Crash 2015: Did You Miss It?

When markets opened on Monday, August 24, a slew of sell orders were already lined up, causing many computer systems to go haywire. Many brokers were locked out, and with market makers and specialists unwilling to take action, we saw enormous bid/ask spreads, stops being hit at very low levels, and frozen markets. This all occurred at the opening bell, and it was quickly fixed when some...

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The Shemitah Cycle: Is Another Crash Lurking?

The Shemitah Cycle: Is Another Crash Lurking?

Meaning the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, the end of the past several Shemitahs have brought immense financial hardships to the world. The 1987 crash on Wall St. happened during Shemitah. The bond market was massacred in 1994. The 9/11 terror attacks happened in 2001 and the global economic crisis occurred in 2008. The Shemitah Year is the seventh year of the...

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Is Apple Poised For A Big Plunge?

Is Apple Poised For A Big Plunge?

On 8/7 and again on 8/16 I noted that Apple shares had risk of a sudden drop to $100, where an unfilled gap awaited. Earlier this week AAPL closed that gap and then some. Because AAPL is the leadership name among tech stocks, the 20-point rally in AAPL over the last 4 days has been a key driver of the rebound in the rest of the market.   That said, a large unfilled gap around $76 is the...

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Are You Protecting Your Portfolio?

Are You Protecting Your Portfolio?

With the vicious market declines over the past week or so several billions of market value have been wiped away.  It has taken quite a bit of time to build, and very little to take it down.  As the saying goes, take the stairs on the way up, and the window on the way down.  Yet, for those savvy enough to cover their tracks with some protection, perhaps the pain from deep losses was not that...

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Make A Wish List Of Stocks To Buy On Sale

Make A Wish List Of Stocks To Buy On Sale

Trading in markets like these can be very challenging.  Quite frankly, the rules do apply.  These markets do not care where the 200-day moving average is offering support or resistance, what the MACD is, the fact that all of your RSIs and Bollinger Bands are blown out.  Technicals respect ordered markets.  Panic is the antithesis of order.  So, how do we trade?  If you are scalping, many of...

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Trade A Potential Bottom In UPS Shares For Big Profits

Trade A Potential Bottom In UPS Shares For Big Profits

Shares of United Parcel Service shook off a downgrade from Zacks and mid-day market sell off to finish higher by more than 2%, printing a bullish hammer candlestick after nearly hitting lows not seen since last October. This would mark the third major support around the $94 support level since mid-April. Now is the time to consider taking a long position, using a stop loss under the August...

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Is Another Global Financial Crisis Starting Now?

Is Another Global Financial Crisis Starting Now?

Is talk of another GFC a reality, or just ridiculous speculation with no foundation whatsoever? Recently I wrote a very well received piece on the recent Greek Debt Crisis where I looked at the cold hard facts when the media went all crazy about a potential oncoming European Crisis, “Will A Greek Exit Trigger Another European Crisis?” It seems like we need to revisit this crisis topic all...

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Protect Your Capital From Wild Stock Swings

Protect Your Capital From Wild Stock Swings

After a strong bounce in the overnight trading, the ES found resistance on Tuesday around Monday's high area. But Tuesday’s rally failed later in the day when a new sell-off began after lunch. At the end the ES closed at 1873.50, or 2.25 points above the previous close. That close just about at the same level as Monday might give you the impression the market is settling down a little. The...

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They Were Warned About The Crash 43 Times

They Were Warned About The Crash 43 Times

OK, the title is a bit of an attention grabber but it is worth your time as an investor and trader to read this article. Volume-at-price analysis is incredibly robust and consistent.  Compared to other technical methods or tools, there is no comparison. As the S&P 500 made its first new highs of 2015, the critical support zone at 2034 – 55 had already been established and defined as key...

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US Stocks Rolled Off Edge Of Cliff: Now What?

US Stocks Rolled Off Edge Of Cliff: Now What?

“Ask Kase” and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). Clearly markets have been declining as the drop in demand in China has finally hit hard. It’s easy to sustain robust growth from a low base, but as an economy grows, that becomes more difficult, as China’s machinations show. The spillover to the Dow Jones Index has been evident since mid-May as...

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Have Central Banks Lost Control?

Have Central Banks Lost Control?

To say the markets have been roiled in the past few days is an understatement.  The financial press has focused on US and Chinese equities, and to a lesser extent, on crude oil.  Clearly, the US stock market is a huge factor in global wealth.  From the end of July US equities probably lost a total of $2.5 trillion of market cap, so with GDP at around $17.7 trillion that represents around 14%...

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Has The Corn Market Found A Floor?

Has The Corn Market Found A Floor?

The latest weekly crop condition ratings update for Corn showed that 69 percent of the crop came in good to excellent condition unchanged on the week and down from 73% last year. The ten year average for this time of year comes in at 58 percent. Recent crop tours, a 20 to30 percent drop in Argentinean planted acreage, and lower than expected EU yield estimates have been all factors that have...

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China Panic Rollercoaster: Profit With The VIX

China Panic Rollercoaster: Profit With The VIX

With many key money managers away on vacation, world stock markets continued to plunge as the PBOC disappointed markets by not delivering a much anticipated rate cut over the weekend.  The CBOE volatility index, also known as the VIX, is an important measure of volatility with the U.S. equity markets and yesterday, it had a historic spike higher above the 50 level.    Monday morning saw...

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