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Whole Foods: Earnings, Options Activity

Whole Foods: Earnings, Options Activity

One of the more nuanced aspects of earnings season is the combination of analyst actions after earnings announcements and the coinciding activity in the Equity options.  Typically analysts and research firms render their respective opinions and adjustments after the announcements of earnings, guidance, and conference calls of the companies.  When earnings per share, revenues, and guidance...

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US Stocks: Brace For Potential Short Squeeze

US Stocks: Brace For Potential Short Squeeze

The Street assumed that the Fed's silence on raising interest rates in 2015 means no rate hike this year. That may not be true, but it put the S&P500 mini-futures (ES) back into a bullish cycle and helped it hold the price above the key 2100 psychology line. The futures pretty much duplicated Wednesday’s action: dropped sharply from the overnight high and made a low one point above...

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How To Analyze Market Breadth: Bullish Percent

How To Analyze Market Breadth: Bullish Percent

There are a few different ways to analyze market breadth, a measure of health which identifies the number of stocks rising versus falling.  Intuitively, we know that if more stocks are rising than falling then it means markets are probably going higher.  The opposite holds true for a down market.  Yet, our current market shows some deep divergences in breadth vs. the price index, namely...

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Trading Psychology: Men, We Need To Talk

Trading Psychology: Men, We Need To Talk

About a month ago I got a call from a guy, fairly new to e-mini trading, who had just taken a 4-figure loss in one day. The set-back shocked him, but he was still up 30% in his account and after talking to me he felt better. Frankly, I was impressed by his results because his method was very simple (one moving average) and yet he was doing quite well in a difficult market. Some people really...

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US Stocks Poised For Follow Through Gains

US Stocks Poised For Follow Through Gains

The S&P500 mini-futures opened flat yesterday, but came to life as the day got closer to the Fed interest rate announcement at 2:00 p.m. After some wide fast moves, the futures settled down and closed at 2101.50, above the important 2100 level for the first time since this decline began, and about 14 points above the prior close. A good day for the Bulls. The impetus for this irrational...

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It's Time To Add Intel To Your Portfolio

It's Time To Add Intel To Your Portfolio

For the past few years, there has been a lot of talk about the death of the personal computer. Soon there will be a world where everyone will hold nothing but their smartphones, tablets and wrist computers. That itself sounds so science fiction not that long ago. I agree, personal computer sales are slowing as more and more consumers migrate across to the mobile world of smartphones and...

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Why Is The US Dollar In The Doldrums?

Why Is The US Dollar In The Doldrums?

“Ask Kase” and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). On Tuesday pundits were aflutter because the dollar had an up day, pointing to expectations that the Fed would soon clarify its intentions to raise rates. Technically, Tuesday was a “star” with a very small range, and inside bar which closed well below Monday’s open. It was indicative, at most,...

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Gold Could Drop 50% From Its 2011 High

Gold Could Drop 50% From Its 2011 High

Gold peaked at just above $1900/oz back in 2011.  Since then it has been working lower in fits and spurts and is now more than 40% off those peak prices. Looking at a weekly continuous chart of gold futures, it’s easy to see how gold has repeatedly declined into zones of support (as defined by the volume profile) and found buyers, however never enough to turn the trend of prices back to the...

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Get Ready: Tesla Approaching Buy Zone

Get Ready: Tesla Approaching Buy Zone

Tesla (TSLA) is a stock people either love or hate. It’s curious that opinions are so polarized. In part, it may reflect key differences in the way people regard the theme of change. Some are for it, others favor the status quo. Since Elon Musk’s raison d’etre is to be an agent of global change, he and his company seem to elicit a visceral response from just about everyone.   Consider that...

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Brace For More Stock Market Volatility

Brace For More Stock Market Volatility

Last week Well, it was fun while it lasted. The S&P500, the large-cap index, had a nice little mid-summer rally going at the start of the week, up about 90 points in eight days, moving from the low end of the three-month channel to make a two-month high last Monday, just a couple of points below the all-time record. Sweet summer. And then it fell apart. There were new concerns, based not...

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Selling Has Been Fast And Furious In Metals

Selling Has Been Fast And Furious In Metals

Hi traders from all over the world! How are you doing? I hope you are ready for a most exceptional and exciting week ahead.   I want to give you a quick overview and glance at METALS this week to give you an idea of what I’m thinking.   I am bearish on Silver and Gold for the next few weeks actually. There has been some serious selling in both the SLV and GLD ETFs.  The selling has been...

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How Traders Can Survive In Today's Techno World

How Traders Can Survive In Today's Techno World

Information and the inherent volatility of the markets has been a staple of the industry for centuries.  The major shift within capital markets is the speed of information delivery and the unpredictable nature of the market reaction to the underlying knowledge of the subject matter.  No longer can a trader or investor rely upon the notion that information is disseminated orderly and...

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Weak Earnings Murder US Stock Prices

Weak Earnings Murder US Stock Prices

The second quarter earnings season isn’t working very well for US stocks. The big hitters like Caterpillar and 3M followed IBM in reporting earnings that disappointed the Street and murdered the stock price. The Dow traded below the opening price for the year, and dragged the S&P and the index futures (ES) down with it. The S&P500 mini-futures (ES) spent most of the day in red...

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Chinese Baidu: Brace For More Losses (BIDU)

Chinese Baidu: Brace For More Losses (BIDU)

Since the Greek crisis has been averted (Ha!), we can now get back to business.  China has its own set of issues that eclipses the Greek problems by orders of magnitude.  China’s potential pitfalls include: a massive housing bubble, commodity prices cratering, and a very tenuous stock market whose growth has been driven by under-capitalized, over-leveraged, retail traders, many of whom have...

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How To Win At Trading: Think Less, Win More

How To Win At Trading: Think Less, Win More

I teach trading in order to learn it better. Often, the most valuable insights about how the markets work, and how to best work with them, seem to reflect the principles of sports psychology. I’m not a sports psychologist, however, but I am a competitive tennis player, so I live sports psychology on the weekends. At team practice on Monday night only 4 of us showed up, so we had a...

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