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Trading Tactics: Dealing With A Trading Slump Part 2

Trading Tactics: Dealing With A Trading Slump Part 2

If you are actively trading/investing in markets you understand there is a great deal of volatility to contend with.  Certainly the emotions run rampant as we try best to find the right names at the right time for our portfolio.  Sometimes we get lucky and pick up stuff at good prices, but other times we are not so fortunate.  For traders, this can be repetitive, and nothing hurts more than...

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ETF Liquidation Triggers Crude Oil Volatility Spike

ETF Liquidation Triggers Crude Oil Volatility Spike

March Crude Oil traded up to 33.60 on Thursday as the Russian Defense Ministry announced they have evidence the Turkish military is making preparations to invade Syria. The rally stalled however, as reports came in stating Syrian coalition forces have encircled Aleppo, Syria’s largest city. This city is seen as key to restoring President Assad’s control of the country from militants. The...

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Traders: Brace Yourself For Sustained Volatility

Traders: Brace Yourself For Sustained Volatility

To what extent will volatility continue in to February? Market participants remain uncertain.  Numerous indicators point to some level of sustained volatility including price fluctuations in oil, US dollar and other major currencies, macro-economic gauges, and the ever present political climate leading up to the presidential election in the US. Traders and active investors have certainly had...

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ETF Watch: Biotech On The Bid (IBB)

ETF Watch: Biotech On The Bid (IBB)

About 3 weeks ago I wrote an article for Trader Planet entitled: Bye Bye Biotech, with an immediate target for the main Biotech ETF (IBB) of $250 and a 12-18 month target of $175 and then $150. This week IBB hit my first target (the low was $251) and has paused at its Volume Profile Point of Control (VPPOC) at $260. Interestingly the Nasdaq itself is also at its VPPOC (750 day lookback)....

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Bank of America (BAC): Buy It Cheaper Than Charlie Munger

Bank of America (BAC): Buy It Cheaper Than Charlie Munger

Last week, I spoke about Warren Buffett’s and Charlie Munger’s favourite and biggest stock holding Wells Fargo at Trader Planet. I have identified another opportunity I’ve been loading up on as of late, Bank of America (BAC). Interestingly, it is also Charlie Munger’s second largest holding after Wells Fargo. He holds almost 30% of his portfolio in BAC. Along with all banking stocks, Bank of...

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Ignore The Man Behind The Curtain

Ignore The Man Behind The Curtain

The chart below tells you just about all you need to know about the market’s assessment of how many rate hikes are going to come in the year of 2016.  The chart is the one-year Eurodollar spread EDH’16 to EDH’17.  The one-year spread is essentially a reflection of how much higher a forward rate will be as compared to now.  As you can see the spread has collapsed from 91 bps to just 23.5 bps...

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Thin Fundamentals for Corn

Thin Fundamentals for Corn

Bearish side fundamentals are getting thin now.  These include the Ukraine and Argentina holding large inventories of corn at values under U.S. posted prices and private forecasters are starting to come out with their projections for this year’s planted acres.  One forecaster last week projected 89.2 million acres to be planted versus 88.0 last year. However bullish side fundamentals are...

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Gold Poised To Continue Rally

Gold Poised To Continue Rally

Gold has perked up since the turn of the New Year and the shiny metal remains in a position to continue its shining performance. Gold has paused upon the touch to the next upside target at 1129.6 – 1136.  On any move over this zone, the next higher resistance / target is at 1162.5 – 1179.4.  There is nearby support established at 1092.5 – 1103.5 on any pullback and only a decline back below...

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Is "Smart Beta" A Good Strategy For You?

Is "Smart Beta" A Good Strategy For You?

Will Value Investing Become The Norm? In a January 30, 2016 interview, Rob Arnott, Chairman and CEO of Research Affiliates, questioned the value of many new Smart Beta strategies, supported staying the course with value investing, and predicted that oil prices will continue to fall. Arnott said there is “Nothing smart about Smart Beta if you adopt strategies that are overpriced.”  He...

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Get Ready For SCYT Earnings Move

Get Ready For SCYT Earnings Move

Pairs trading can be a bit troublesome, especially in this market where normal correlations seem to have completely vanished.  But, it always helps to have balance in your portfolio.  Balance is even more advantageous when you have a fundamental basis to your positions and not just saying to yourself:  “Well, I am long three stocks and short three stocks so I am balanced”.  Let’s take our...

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Get Started With Candlesticks Now

Get Started With Candlesticks Now

Hey Traders! It’s me. I get asked quite often to create one of these. Well, here you go!       If you want more candlestick insight, check out this video on youtube I made a few weeks back. 

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Tesla: Starting a Bounce

Tesla: Starting a Bounce

Has Tesla lost its mojo? Even though I’m a long-term Tesla bull, I’m afraid TSLA is headed much lower.  That said, I’m also a short-term trader and in the near-term I see a bounce underway, so I’m long TSLA common. Tesla reports earnings on February 10th. Key share price drivers include updates on the pace of the Model X ramp up, updates on Gigafactory and the battery storage business, and...

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The Market Gets a Break

The Market Gets a Break

On Friday morning I pointed out “a curiously bullish configuration in the Nasdaq futures.”  I added, however, that “the real market leadership at this time is coming from the Dow.” Friday was indeed a good day for the Dow, up almost 400 points. After strong up days, the market usually consolidates its gains. Most traders are quite skeptical of this market and don’t expect much of a rally....

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SPX: Think January Was Fun? Wait Till You See February

SPX: Think January Was Fun? Wait Till You See February

For buy-and-hold investors and the legion of fund managers and brokers who depend on them for sustenance, the only good thing to say to January is “good-bye.” And good riddance. But don’t look for any great improvement in February. We’ve already had the good times for this year, according to Bank of America. Now it starts to slide downhill. The Wall Street superstition is that as January...

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Trade Alert: Natural Gas Poised For Big Move

Trade Alert: Natural Gas Poised For Big Move

Front month natural gas futures traded all the way down to $1.802 in mid-December. Obviously, the energy sector has taken a pummeling over this past year and the market’s recent rally has sparked some new interest. However, based on the outline and chart below, we believe this is a short selling opportunity rather than the early legs of a new bull market. First of all, some things to...

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