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Is Inflation Coming Back For Real This Time?

Is Inflation Coming Back For Real This Time?

If we were to point to one mystery in our economy it is the lack of inflation.  Let it be known the Fed has been doing everything possible to stoke some inflation fans but it hasn't been working.  We have to go back to Ben Bernanke's reign as Fed chief to find where this effort first started, and even Janet Yellen seems frustrated about the lack of price increases in the economy.  Deflation...

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Smart Money Investors Are Allocating Money To Gold

Smart Money Investors Are Allocating Money To Gold

Why Gold bugs need to stop listening to the fear mongers and start thinking for a change He that can have patience can have what he will. Benjamin Franklin We are still not convinced that Gold is fully out of the woods.  Peter Schiff is busy telling everyone that it was a bad idea to have sold Gold in 2011, we beg to differ for the trend indicates otherwise, and so does the price of Gold. ...

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Buy Crude Oil Dips: Target $50 Barrel

Buy Crude Oil Dips: Target $50 Barrel

June Crude Oil continued its trek higher today (Thursday, April 28) rebounding off its overnight low of 44.94 and making a new high at 46.14. Traders reacted to a plunging US dollar as it broke down through the 94.00 mark and closed near the April lows of 93.62 at 93.725. The Dollar fell as the Japanese Central Bank shocked the market by leaving interest rates alone after implying last week...

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Options Play: Strangle The Euro To Collect Premium

Options Play: Strangle The Euro To Collect Premium

The Euro has been in search of a sweet spot over recent weeks. The Brexit vote lies down the road (June 23rd) a bit, but it is still on everyone’s mind. The ECB left rates alone (as expected) at their most recent meeting and Mario Draghi has spent recent days defending ECB policy. “Our policy is working, but we must be patient. “ Mr. Draghi also hinted that an interest rate hike “would be...

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Why The Australian Dollar Matters Now

Why The Australian Dollar Matters Now

In January and again in April, we showed we showed a potentially bearish path into the middle of 2016 and beyond for Australian stocks – a decline that we believe is linked to lowered expectations for China's economy and trade. Consistent with that view, the Australian Dollar appears ready to make a similar decline during the next year or longer. In the context of a larger decline that began...

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Software Giant Microsoft (MSFT) Is On Sale

Software Giant Microsoft (MSFT) Is On Sale

I love a bargain, whether it is in a supermarket or the stock market, especially when a fundamentally strong global brand with monopolistic like qualities, is oversold based on both fundamental and technical criteria’s. An opportunity exists today to purchase stock of a leading global giant of personal and business software, hardware and cloud services, Microsoft (MSFT). The following is...

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Profit From The Tug Of War In Gold Now

Profit From The Tug Of War In Gold Now

Gold prices have been range bound for 2 months but a golden opportunity may be just around the corner. Gold prices have been oscillating between the high-volume area resistance zone at 1249.8 – 1271.9 and the short-term high-volume area support at 1224.  A move beyond either of these zones would be a signal that the bulls or bears had gained the upper hand. Click here to watch a video...

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US Grains: Demand Driving Beans

US Grains: Demand Driving Beans

Demand continues to support beans.  The weekly export sales report showed 407 thousand metric tons was sold last week up 7 percent from the week prior and up 15 percent from the four week average.  China was in for 180 thousand of the total.  New crop sales for 2016-17 were 339 thousand metric tons with China in for 132 of the total.  A year ago this time we were running deficits to ration...

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Should Investors Bet on Red Rock Resorts’ (RRR) IPO?

Should Investors Bet on Red Rock Resorts’ (RRR) IPO?

Last week, there were three IPOs to successfully price, which seemed liked an onslaught of new deals, considering how dormant the IPO market has been this year. Nevertheless, this was a step in the right direction, especially since two of those IPOs saw fairly strong demand. One of those IPOs that had a solid debut was MGM Growth Properties (MGP), a spin-off from MGM Resorts (MGM), which...

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Big Opportunity In Apple Earnings Play

Big Opportunity In Apple Earnings Play

Apple (AAPL) used to be the apple of everyone’s eye.  You could not go wrong.  Just close your eyes, hit buy on your brokerage platform and collect the cash.  That’s not necessarily the case now.  The iWatch is being characterized by some as a total flop, waning iPhone sales have been a drag, new competition, you name it.  How quickly global sentiment has changed.  If you were listening to...

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Trading 101: Profit From A Retest Gap

Trading 101: Profit From A Retest Gap

Hey traders from around the Planet. How are you doing during this present moment of time? I’m here to break down a pretty basic subject. Not too long ago, I wrote How to profit from a gap trade ,which specifically focused on something I call the bearish gap and go trade. In this article, I’m going to teach you how to trade the bearish retest gap. It’s really quite simple and I know you’ll...

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Strong Argument: Precious Metals Headed Lower

Strong Argument: Precious Metals Headed Lower

Our fundamental premise in trading the commodity markets is that the commercial traders, in this case, the miners and the end users of the commodity, know that commodity’s value better than anyone else. If not individually, at least, collectively. Therefore, our methodology is based upon selectively following the commercial trader population. This week, we’ll discuss their actions in gold,...

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Warning: This Stock Bull Is The Second Longest In History

Warning: This Stock Bull Is The Second Longest In History

This week the SPX will become the second longest bull market in history. What happens next? The S&P 500 cash index (SPX) closed at 2091.58 last Friday, up 10.85 points for a net weekly gain of 0.52%. That was hardly a break-out-the-bubbly rally. But it carried the large cap index to a new high for the year – again – and to a level that hasn’t been seen since the start of November. The...

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Prepare Your Portfolio: The Election Year Cycle High

Prepare Your Portfolio: The Election Year Cycle High

We continue to expect this election year to see a decline from April to June and believe that last week’s 6 month cycle high marked that high. Equity markets in Presidential election years have a nasty habit of dropping during this period and the eighth year of a Presidential term sees nothing more than a temporary bounce in June before a decline to new lows. The S&P 500 was turned back...

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Technical Analysis of Trends on Stock Charts

Technical Analysis of Trends on Stock Charts

A major area of confusion for Technical Traders is the analysis of Trends on stock charts. Most traders have been taught that the Stock Market trends up, down, or is “trendless.” There are actually distinctly 5 Trends, and within those trends are 5 Trendline Patterns. Today the discussion will be on understanding the 5 Trends, which are best identified on 3 Day View or Weekly View charts....

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