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Showing Posts 16 - 29 out of 29 found.

Will A Greek Exit Trigger Another European Crisis?

Will A Greek Exit Trigger Another European Crisis?

Unless you have had your head in the sand over the past week, thanks to the media, Greece is all we have been hearing about lately, from morning to night. This has been in the making over the past 5 years and yet no real solution seems to be in sight, which is quite sad for the country as well as for the dream of a unified Europe. Back in 2010, the problematic PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland,...

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What Will The Greek Vote Mean For the Euro?

What Will The Greek Vote Mean For the Euro?

Through the last half of 2014 until March of 2015, the Euro steadily sold off versus the dollar, as the ECB launched QE and European yields cratered.  For example, Spain's ten year note yield went from 2.82% in July to as low as 1.15 at its nadir March.  As has been well publicized, many shorter maturity yields went negative, for example the German two year note fell to negative 28 bps.  The...

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Final Rally in the Dollar

Final Rally in the Dollar

DXY gained 1.46% last week to close at 95.65 back above its 34-dma as well as its mid-June reaction high (a higher high) giving hope to the bulls that the final rally is upon us. Despite the bearish seasonality of July, cycles indicate that the Dollar is set for one “last hurrah” prior to a “summer swoon” a month from now. Cycles target a turn near July 24 and are a good match for the cycle...

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China Is A Buy: Right Now!

China Is A Buy: Right Now!

Last week the Shanghai Composite Index turned in its worst performance since the financial crisis, dropping 13.3%.  The talk in the news and in many investment circles is whether this marks the beginning of a more serious decline.  The usual suspects are spending time giving lip service to topics like central bank actions, short-term money rates, liquidity factors, etc.  But none of these...

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A Stock Top Is Near: Use Time And Price

A Stock Top Is Near: Use Time And Price

For over a year now, I have been writing about investor sentiment, using time and then combining that with regular technicals and price for high odds swing trade set ups. This 4 check swing trading formula is going to become even more important moving forward. Liquidity is drying up which is going to start producing more volatility. The more volatility in the market, the less “programmed...

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Trading Psychology: A Tale Of Two Traders

Trading Psychology: A Tale Of Two Traders

We come to the trading with two types of capital: one is monetary and the other is psychological. Trading puts both types of capital at risk, but your trader personality largely determines the outcome.  If you are a conservative trader, by which I mean that you don’t use leverage or margin, then you naturally protect and preserve capital. Today I spoke with a trader from New Zealand who is...

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ETF Play: Trading The Greek Drama FXE

ETF Play: Trading The Greek Drama FXE

The European’s can be so dramatic!  Will a deal with Greece get done?  Will it not?  I really can’t say either, but the back and forth between the Troika and the Greek government is the stuff of mid-afternoon soap opera fodder.  Whatever happens, my feeling is that it is going to be good for the Euro currency in general.  Either the Greeks cave which is good for the Euro or they leave the EU...

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Trading Patience And Clear Thinking

Trading Patience And Clear Thinking

Over the years the markets appear to have changed and taken on new dynamics. Although the online age has brought a whole new pattern to trading and accessibility for traders, but has it really changed and what about the traders within? Fundamentally the markets are still places where traders go to buy and sell, trying to make the most profit whilst being driven by greed and fear. They want...

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Are You Ready For The Fed's Dots? FOMC Dot Preview

Are You Ready For The Fed's Dots? FOMC Dot Preview

On Wednesday there is an FOMC meeting where the Fed will issue its quarterly Summary of Economic Projections (SEP).  The last SEP was the March 18th FOMC meeting, and interest rates fell on that day as the Fed downgraded the forward growth assessment and also lowered the estimates of year end Fed Fund targets.  Specifically, in March, the GDP estimate for 2015 went down to 2.3 – 2.7 (it had...

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What Grexit? Is Dollar Poised For Explosive Rally?

What Grexit? Is Dollar Poised For Explosive Rally?

Euro traders are getting tired of following the constant negotiations between Greece and its creditors.  With just under two weeks left, every day that passes that no deal is reached, concerns of a Grexit grow.  If we eventually see a Greece leave the euro, contagion and deflationary concerns will become a big problem for the euro zone.   While the Greek situation remains a dire one, the...

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Psychology: Are You A Revenge Trader?

Psychology: Are You A Revenge Trader?

Many aspiring traders come to zero sum markets such as the futures market after successful careers as entrepreneurs. The mistake they make is thinking that the rules of good business apply to zero sum markets. While in some ways they do (buy low and sell high, for example), it's the ways in which trading these markets is unlike other businesses that will fool you and cost you. Futures...

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Ask Kase: How To Trade The Shanghai Index

Ask Kase: How To Trade The Shanghai Index

“Ask Kase” any question you may have about any actively traded security, and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). This week’s question for Kase: Is the Shanghai Composite Headed to Shangri-La? “Shangri-La” usually brings to mind the Himalayan paradise featured in the 1937 film Lost Horizons. Even so, Asian-market traders may think of the...

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Trading Psychology: What Sort Of Trader Are You?

Trading Psychology: What Sort Of Trader Are You?

One common piece of advice given to aspiring traders goes like this: match your method to your personality. But because most traders focus virtually 100% on the market it is unlikely that many could actually describe their trader personality. In the everyday world, we get feedback about our interactions with others that gives us clues whether we need to change something about our attitudes...

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Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom

Trade Your Way to Financial Freedom

I have been asked by a lot of people over the years about what I do and how I do what I do, and importantly for what purpose?Well, the answer is simple… I enjoy investing and trading and I do so because my ‘WHY’ is to create financial freedom for my family and myself.As it happens, I have also helped inspire others to do the same, which gives me great joy, knowing I have been able to help...

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