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Futures/Commodities Commentaries

Showing Posts 1 - 15 out of 172 found.

December ICE Coffee Futures: Trading Idea October 22, 2014

December ICE coffee futures a selling opportunity on more price weakness. See on the daily bar chart for December coffee futures that prices are in a steep swoon as the bears have quickly gained downside technical momentum. A move below chart support at Tuesday’s low of $1.9500 would give the bears better downside momentum and it would also become a selling opportunity. The downside price...

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Trading Psychology: Stay Calm When The Fastballs Fly

Trading Psychology: Stay Calm When The Fastballs Fly

A client of mine sent me a bio yesterday on Rod Dedeaux, who was the baseball coach for USC for 45 seasons. Dedeaux was a legendary leader, chalking up more national titles and wins (1332) than any other coach of his day. 200 of his players went on to play professional ball. Dedeaux neither lost his temper nor disrespected or denigrated anyone. He cultivated the ability to befriend,...

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Gold Bulls Could Pause Ahead Of Fed Meeting

Gold Bulls Could Pause Ahead Of Fed Meeting

The gold market has posted impressive price action in the past few weeks in the face of a rising U.S. dollar and in this week's case a major rebound in U.S. stock indices. See Figure 1 below. The gold market made a double bottom a few weeks back at the $1182-83 area from last December. Gold’s rebound, in my view, is largely due to safe-haven buying due to the lack in confidence in fiat...

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Livestock Futures Bulls Hanging Tough

LIVESTOCK: December live cattle closed down $1.20 at166.82 today. Prices poked to a new contract high but thenimmediately backed off to close solidly lower and near thesession low. Now, a bearish double-top reversal pattern maybe developing on the daily bar chart. Good follow-throughselling on Wednesday would better suggest such. Bulls stillhave the firm near-term technical advantage. Still,...

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U.S. Stock Index Bulls Regain Upside Momentum

*OVERNIGHT DEVELOPMENTS* The feature in the market place this week has been the sharprebound in the U.S. stock market, following last week’s bigdownside debacle. Several pundits are now proclaiming marketbottoms are in place for the U.S. stock indexes. Mostlyupbeat U.S. corporate earnings reports are adding to a“risk-on” mentality among traders and investors this week.Short covering in the...

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December Canadian Dollar Futures: Trading Idea October 21, 2014

December Canada Dollar Futures a Selling Opportunity on More Price Weakness See on the daily bar chart for the December Canadian dollar futures that prices are in a solid downtrend and have recently hit a contract low. The bears have the firm near-term technical advantage. A move in prices below chart support at Tuesday’s low of .8840 would become a selling opportunity. The downside price...

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Risk Appetite Slowly Returning to Market Place Tuesday

* Latest Market Developments * OVERNIGHT DEVELOPMENTS There is a bit more risk appetite in the market place Tuesday morning. Apple’s corporate earnings late Monday handily beat the street’s forecast. Meantime, China on Tuesday reported its third-quarter gross domestic product grew by 7.3%, on an annual basis. That figure was slightly better than market expectations but was still the slowest...

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U.S. Treasuries Bulls Still in Technical Control

December U.S. T-Bonds closed up 8/32 at 143 5/32 today. Prices closed nearer the session high. U.S. Treasuries will garner more safe-haven demand if trader and investor anxiety increases. The bulls still have the near-term technical advantage. The next downside price breakout objective for the T-Bond bears is closing prices below solid technical support at 140 16/32. The next upside...

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December SRW Wheat Futures: Trading Idea October 20, 2014

December SRW Wheat Futures a Buying Opportunity on More Price Strength See on the daily bar chart for December soft red winter wheat that prices have made a decent rebound from the September low and prices are in a three-week-old uptrend. The bulls have gained some near-term technical momentum and would gain more by pushing prices above chart resistance at last week’s high of $5.22 1/4....

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Market Place a Bit Calmer Monday Morning

* Latest Market Developments * OVERNIGHT DEVELOPMENTS The market place is calmer to start the new trading week, after a weekend that saw no significant events to further stoke trader and investor worries. U.S. stock indexes have weakened a bit following very disappointing earnings from IBM that were just released. U.S. Treasury prices are modestly lower, to suggest just a bit more risk...

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Australian Dollar Futures: Trading Idea October 17, 2014

Australian dollar futures a selling opportunity on fresh price weakness. See on the daily bar chart for the December Australian dollar futures that prices have seen a recent choppy pause following a downtrend. This pause is not bullish and suggests the bears are storing up power for a new leg down in prices. A move below solid chart support at the recent low of .8598 would give the bears...

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Crude Oil Bears in Full Command

ENERGIES: November Nymex crude oil closed up $0.87 at $82.64 today. Prices closed near mid-range on short covering after hitting another more-than-two-year low of $79.78 early on today. The bears still have the solid near-term technical advantage. The next near-term upside price breakout objective for the crude oil bulls is producing a close above solid chart resistance at $86.00 a barrel....

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Less Risk Aversion Friday Morning...So Far

*OVERNIGHT DEVELOPMENTS* The market place so far Friday morning is reflecting at least a temporary decrease in trader and investor anxiety. World stock markets are seeing relief rallies after strong selling pressure seen for much of this week. U.S. stock indexes by the close Thursday recovered from strong losses seen earlier in the day, due in part to comments from Federal Reserve Bank of...

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December Corn Futures: Trading Idea October 16, 2014

December corn futures a buying opportunity on more price strength. See on the daily bar chart for December corn futures that prices have made a good rebound from the recent contract low and the bulls have gained some upside technical momentum. A fledgling price uptrend is in place. A move above technical resistance at this week’s high of $3.57 1/2 would give the bulls better upside momentum...

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E-Mini Trade: Get Ready For Another Round Of Volatility

E-Mini Trade: Get Ready For Another Round Of Volatility

If you chose to read this commentary today, I have a feeling you are a survivor of the events of the last few days.  Your portfolio may have taken a hit, but you are probably still standing in upright stable position. Congratulations to you. Now get ready for another round of volatility. If you have been paying attention to the markets and the surrounding news I’m guessing you caught some...

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