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Markets Commentaries

Showing Posts 1 - 15 out of 93 found.

China Official Says No New Economic Stimulus

* Latest Market Developments * In overnight news, China’s finance minister said his nation will not offer a more stimulative domestic monetary policy or other economic stimulus measures despite some recent weak economic data coming from the world’s number-two economy. This news was seen as another bearish clue for the raw commodity sector, including precious metals. There is a key report on...

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Fear Is Not Rational: The Limitations Of The VIX

Fear Is Not Rational: The Limitations Of The VIX

Most of us as traders and simply as human beings seek clarity.  We innately feel the need to make sense out of chaos.  We want answers.  We want black or white.  Gray makes many of us uneasy.  So, there are often times when faced with the complex world that is trading, we want to boil things down into one universal truth, a methodology that we can apply wherever we go. Problem is we often...

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Energy Bears Have the Technical Advantage

ENERGY MARKETS October crude oil closed lower on Thursday as it consolidates some of this week's rally. The low-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Friday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the reaction high crossing at 96.00 are needed to confirm that a low has been posted....

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U.S. Dollar Bulls Still Have Technical Power

* Latest Market Developments * NOTE: I am out of the office all week this week. My friend and fellow market analyst Ken Seehusen will be producing my report today. Ken’s format and style is a bit different than mine, but I think you’ll enjoy and benefit from his work, too. —Jim Wyckoff The STOCK INDEXES The December NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it extends the rally off Tuesday's low...

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No Surprises From Yellen, But E-Mini S&P 500 Still Vulnerable

No Surprises From Yellen, But E-Mini S&P 500 Still Vulnerable

There weren’t any surprises in Wednesday’s FOMC announcement, but it did leave us a little room for debate. Policy rates remained the same (.25%), and the taper will continue, reducing asset purchases by $10 billion to $15 billion per month. The Fed expects to end the bond purchase program next month, which would appear to be step one towards a change in interest rates. As it has been with...

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Apple: Trade With The Trend, Still Bullish

Apple: Trade With The Trend, Still Bullish

Hi, world! I hope this message finds you well! I am super excited about this upcoming weekend. It’s one of my best friend’s birthday and we are celebrating via a pedal tavern. It’s like a bar on wheels! Really awesome, actually. Then, a student of mine is coming to Nashville, TN and we will paint the town red. He is actually in this trade with me, which is what got me thinking about it. Here...

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Soft Commodity Market Action Favors the Bulls

FOOD & FIBER December coffee closed slightly lower on Wednesday as it extends the trading range of the past five-days. The mid-range close set the stage for a steady opening on Thursday. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If December resumes this month's decline, the reaction low crossing at...

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Stock Index Bulls Remain in Technical Control

* Latest Market Developments * NOTE: I am out of the office all week this week. My friend and fellow market analyst Ken Seehusen will be producing my report today. Ken’s format and style is a bit different than mine, but I think you’ll enjoy and benefit from his work, too. —Jim Wyckoff The STOCK INDEXES The December NASDAQ 100 was higher overnight as it extends the rally off Tuesday's low....

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Strangle Gold Into The Fed Announcement

Strangle Gold Into The Fed Announcement

Gold may drop to $1,200 an ounce, possibly breaching that level to test last December’s low at the 1183 area, thanks to a resurgent U.S. dollar and higher Treasury yields on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve could signal tighter policy this week. Big Picture Spot gold staged a modest comeback in Asia on Tuesday Sept 16, rising back above $1,236 after hitting an eight-month low of...

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Metals Bears in Technical Control

PRECIOUS METALS October gold closed higher due to short covering on Tuesday as it consolidated some of the decline off July's high. The mid-range close sets the stage for a steady to lower opening when Wednesday's night session begins trading. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold but remain neutral to bearish signaling that sideways to lower prices are possible near-term. If October extends...

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FOMC Meeting Results on Deck Wednesday

* Latest Market Developments * NOTE: I am out of the office all week this week. My friend and fellow market analyst Ken Seehusen will be producing my report today. Ken’s format and style is a bit different than mine, but I think you’ll enjoy and benefit from his work, too. —Jim Wyckoff The STOCK INDEXES The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as investors await the Federal Reserve's...

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Energy Bears Have the Technical Advantage

ENERGY MARKETS October crude oil posted an upside reversal on Monday as it rebounds off the 38% retracement level of the 2009-2011-rally crossing at 90.62. The high-range close sets the stage for a steady to higher opening when Tuesday's night session begins. Stochastics and the RSI are neutral to bullish hinting that a low might be in or is near. Closes above the reaction high crossing at...

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FOMC Meeting Gets Under Way Tuesday

NOTE: I am out of the office all week this week. My friend and fellow market analyst Ken Seehusen will be producing my report today. Ken’s format and style is a bit different than mine, but I think you’ll enjoy and benefit from his work, too.—JimThe STOCK INDEXES The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as investors have moved into a risk-averse mood ahead of the Federal Open Market...

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S&P 500: Beware The Ides Of September

S&P 500: Beware The Ides Of September

There is a scene in Shakespeare's play, Julius Caesar, where Caesar, while walking to the Senate and his eventual assassination, is warned by a soothsayer in the street: “Beware the Ides of March.” Caesar is uneasy, but ignores the warning – and is unexpectedly ambushed.It feels like something similar is happening to the stock markets. Traders are uneasy. The sharp decline in the S&P 500...

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U.S. Stock Indexes Starting Out the Week Mildly Lower

* Latest Market Developments * NOTE: I am out of the office all week this week. My friend and fellow market analyst Ken Seehusen will be producing my report today. Ken’s format and style is a bit different than mine, but I think you’ll enjoy and benefit from his work, too. —Jim Wyckoff The STOCK INDEXES The December NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight and posted its lowest level since August...

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