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Showing Posts 1 - 15 out of 54 found.

US Stocks: Beware Today Is End Of Trading Week

US Stocks: Beware Today Is End Of Trading Week

The Greek debt crisis will have another installment this weekend, as the government urges the citizens to vote No to the eurozone austerity measures. But the US markets seem to have decided that it really doesn’t matter all that much. The S&P500 mini-futures (ESU5) bounced up nicely after the Greek prime minister offered a fig-leaf to the creditors (we think it was less an olive branch...

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Soybean Rally: Short Term Selling Opportunity

Soybean Rally: Short Term Selling Opportunity

Soybeans look to reverse last week’s trend entering the weekend by going higher rather than lower from Sunday night into Tuesday’s June USDA stocks and seedings report. The five to seven day forecast has three to nine inches of rain across the Midwest. This does two things. First it suggests planting progress slows down and second that crop conditions decline. Tuesday’s final planted acreage...

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US Stocks Jittery In Rumor Driven Trade

US Stocks Jittery In Rumor Driven Trade

Tuesday was a day filled with missed deadlines: Greece defaulted on a payment to the International Monetary Fund; the deadline for a nuclear deal with Iran passed without comment; and Russian and the Ukraine failed to reach agreement on sales of Russia gas, so the Ukraine may have to look elsewhere for heat this winter. Against that background the S&P 500 mini-futures made an...

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Can US Stocks Stabilize After Greek Default?

Can US Stocks Stabilize After Greek Default?

The S&P 500 mini-futures (ES) went right in the tank yesterday (Monday) driven to the lowest level since April by what may be the final stage of the Greek debt crisis. Greece will officially default on a payment to the IMF today, the Eurozone has cut off funding, and Greek banks are close to collapse. The mini-futures gapped down 40 points at the Globex opening – the first chance traders...

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Greek Citizens Rush To Buy Physical Gold

Greek Citizens Rush To Buy Physical Gold

Gold prices were only modestly higher despite all the risk aversion that hit the financial markets. Many traders believed that concerns regarding a Greece exit should have propelled the precious metal higher, but yesterday prices closed only about half a percentage point higher.  While the gold future contract price is hardly higher, physical demand is picking as the UK royal mint announced...

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Don't Be Fooled: Look At This Stock Chart Now

Don't Be Fooled: Look At This Stock Chart Now

Time for us to brag a little. Earlier this week we cast doubt on the breathlessly-announced Greek debt deal, and predicted a decline in the S&P 500 mini-futures, the ES. Yesterday (Thursday) it all worked out pretty much as we expected. The alleged deal has disappeared, the euro summit that was supposed to ratify it has been cancelled, and the negotiators are working under stern...

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Protect Profits: VIX Flashing Warning Signs

Protect Profits: VIX Flashing Warning Signs

The VIX as an indicator has been considered by many to be broken, but frankly that is just nonsense.  The indicator is doing what it is supposed to do, reflecting the positioning of option traders in the SPX 500 contract.  That bet is not always right, and we saw that recently.  A month ago when the market tanked following the Memorial Day someone went long volatility and bought a slew of...

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China Is A Buy: Right Now!

China Is A Buy: Right Now!

Last week the Shanghai Composite Index turned in its worst performance since the financial crisis, dropping 13.3%.  The talk in the news and in many investment circles is whether this marks the beginning of a more serious decline.  The usual suspects are spending time giving lip service to topics like central bank actions, short-term money rates, liquidity factors, etc.  But none of these...

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Ask Kase: Will The Sun Shine On Coffee?

Ask Kase: Will The Sun Shine On Coffee?

“Ask Kase” any question you may have about any actively traded security, and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). Those of us who can remember KC and the Sunshine Band’s emergence in 1975 are now in need of a different kind of KC – coffee - to stay bright. Baby Boomers may be counted on to steadily drink the stuff, but it might be another kind...

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Stocks: Conflicting Greek Rumors Roil Markets

Stocks: Conflicting Greek Rumors Roil Markets

The e-mini S&P 500 ES gapped up strong after news from Europe that Greece had submitted a new debt proposal the creditors found “encouraging.” No details, and no official response, just a press conference, but hope was enough to float all the markets during the early part of the day. By lunchtime some of the obvious problems with the fairy-tale ending became apparent and – after making a...

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Greek Focus: US Stock Market Feels Toppy

Greek Focus: US Stock Market Feels Toppy

The S&P 500 large cap index (SPX) ended last week at 2109.99 on Friday, up 17.16 points and a 0.8% gain for the week. It was a turnaround week: the SPX halted its decline and recovered all of the previous week’s loss. The big issue for the week was the FOMC meeting mid-week and the various futures and options expirations. As usual, this was supposed to be the most important Fed meeting...

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Trading Psychology: A Tale Of Two Traders

Trading Psychology: A Tale Of Two Traders

We come to the trading with two types of capital: one is monetary and the other is psychological. Trading puts both types of capital at risk, but your trader personality largely determines the outcome.  If you are a conservative trader, by which I mean that you don’t use leverage or margin, then you naturally protect and preserve capital. Today I spoke with a trader from New Zealand who is...

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Review: Chaikin Analytics, How It Works

Review: Chaikin Analytics, How It Works

Trying to make your way in this very tough market is nearly impossible without the right guide.  Imagine trying to find a new destination without a road map (or gps or siri).  You'll find yourself getting lost, asking for directions and 'hoping' you get where you're going before too long.  It's the same with trading markets and investing.  If you are not armed with the right tools then...

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Chart Of The Day: CyberSecurity Is Big Business

Chart Of The Day: CyberSecurity Is Big Business

Cyber security has become big business.  Every week it seems we are hearing about some breach of important data files by some hacker, threatening to cost many millions or even billions of theft.  In fact last week we heard of not one but two such intrusions into Federal employee files.  If it's easy for the government to be victimized then really anyone/anything is vulnerable.  FireEye and...

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Trading Patience And Clear Thinking

Trading Patience And Clear Thinking

Over the years the markets appear to have changed and taken on new dynamics. Although the online age has brought a whole new pattern to trading and accessibility for traders, but has it really changed and what about the traders within? Fundamentally the markets are still places where traders go to buy and sell, trying to make the most profit whilst being driven by greed and fear. They want...

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