Recent Commentaries tagged (oil)
Quiet Trade 2/8/12
Non event in the markets today but it does feel like markets are taking a breath for a big move...I am just torn on what direction. As trades develop I will try to keep you informed. Crude will close above $97 on the March contract today which puts the bulls back in control. Support is seen betwe...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | forex | futures | gold | grains | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | usda
Building on Strength 2/7/11
Metals, stocks and even foreign currencies continue to build on strength as 2012 has virtually been a one way trade...will this continue? Crude oil erased the previous week's losses adding 1.9% today but failed to close above $99 in March. I view that level as the pivot point so I remain bearish ...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | corn | crude-oil | dollar | euro-dollar | futures | gold | grains | inflation | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | metals | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | usda
True Commodity Play 2/6/12
After speaking with several prospective commodity clients today I want investors to recognize that by trading etf's or buying stocks in a commodity sector you are not trading commodities. That being said commodity trading is not appropriate for most investors but those financially suitable with s...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | coffee | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | gold | grains | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
Some Days, It Is Hard To Be Me
Orchestration and negotiation are my two words of the day today. Oh, and let me throw in cold as kind of a bonus word ... The Iran situation is heating up, and this is not good news for the market. All we need is another late winter, such as we had last year - the Japanese earthquake and tsunami,...
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Tags: trading-advice | europe | greece | iran | israel | oil | japan
Upbeat Expectations 2/3/12
A positive jobs number and things heating up in Iran and Crude is back on the move advancing 1.5% today. We may see a bounce but until we see a trade back over $99 I still am thinking prices have more downward pressure. My target in March is a trade closer to $93-94 in the coming weeks. What is d...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | cocoa | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | gold | grains | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | soybeans | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar
Prepare for NFP 2/2/12
I think the number is fabricated but nonetheless it is market mover so prepare for tomorrow's jobs number. As of this post Crude is lower by 1% about in the middle of today's range trading lower for the seventh consecutive day. I think we see an additional $3-4 retracement before we run into seri...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | futures | gold | grains | lean-hogs | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar
Iran, Oil, War, and the U.S. Housing Market
Can you hear it? It is faint, but the beat is growing, and the sound coming our way could have a big impact on the market. Listen, the drumbeat for war is getting a bit louder, and if you have been listening to the republicans running for president, you most certainly have heard the beat. The U...
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Tags: trading-advice | u-s | europe | debt | euro | china | oil | iran
Hope Withers for February Market Breakout
Today is the first day of February, right? Yeh, I thought so, but I wasn't sure when the market opened this morning and all three major indices jumped up, reaching toward 52-week highs, and the NASDAQ stepped into territory it has not seen in 11 years. The reason I wasn't sure is the headline of ...
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Tags: trading-advice | u-s | europe | debt | euro | china | oil | iran
The January Effect 1/31/12
With one month under our belt how is your 2012 looking? RBOB, OJ, stocks, feeder cattle and all the metals were the upside movers in the month of January while natural gas was the only negative standout. Will these moves set the tone for trading in 2012? The move lower has been minor but Crude ha...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | cotton | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | futures | gold | grains | lean-hogs | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | sugar | treasuries | us-dollar
If Equities Fall 1/30/12
Over the next few sessions we will know but we may see some gains given back in equities as minor chart damage is being done. That being said expect higher trade in Treasuries and commodities on a stock retraction. Crude continues to flirt with $100 unable to pick a direction. The longer this con...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | cocoa | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | futures | gold | grains | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | soybeans | stock-market | us-dollar
Taking a Breath 1/25/12
I misread the recent action thinking we were approaching a turning point but now it appear the markets were just taking a breath and now the underlying moves are back on track....trade accordingly. Crude appears to be finding its footing as further sales are being rejected. With a settlement back...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | cocoa | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | futures | gold | grains | lean-hogs | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
Turning Point 1/24/12
Turing point...not today and probably not tomorrow but I would expect the equity market to give back its recent gains in the very near future. What that likely means is money out of stocks and into Treasuries and commodities...just an opinion. Crude remains in no man's land as prices could go eit...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | cocoa | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | futures | gold | grains | lean-hogs | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
Looking Ahead 1/23/12
Fed meeting this week as well as any new developments out of Europe. My suggestion is to always look one-two weeks in advance for upcoming economic events when initiating trades. Just when it appears Crude was destined to move lower prices reversed finishing 1.65% higher today. $1oo appears to be...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | coffee | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | gold | grains | lean-hogs | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
Jim Wyckoff's Morning Blog--Monday
* JIM'S MARKET THOUGHT OF THE DAY * It's a "risk on" trading day in the market place Monday, as commodity and stock markets are higher amid better investor attitudes about the European Union sovereign debt crisis stabilizing. Traders this week will closely scrutinize the results of this week's ...
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Tags: futures | stock-indexes | bonds | dollar-index | oil | grains
Protected: The Line in the Sand January 23, 2012
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Tags: the-line-in-the-sand | bradbard | british-pound | calls | cocoa | coffee | commodity | corn | cotton | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | futures | gold | grains | inflation | japanese-yen | lean-hogs | live-cattle | livestock | loonie | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | puts | rbob | risk | s-amp-p | silver | softs | soybeans | spread-trading | spreads | stock-market | sugar | treasuries | us-dollar | usda | wheat
