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Showing Commentaries 1 - 15 out of 69 found.

Where's The Bottom? Time to Buy AAL Now

Where's The Bottom? Time to Buy AAL Now

Hey lovely traders, friends and students from around the world. What a massively exciting, challenging and volatile last few days. The vast majority of the companies are down and down hard and many are wondering ‘where’s the bottom’ and what are some good buys and not good byes.  One stock in particular, I’ve had my eyes on since early May. I really didn’t not think AAL would sell off this...

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Reduce Risk: Trade TSLA On A Short Timeframe

Reduce Risk: Trade TSLA On A Short Timeframe

Timeframe is a very important concern for a trader.  This is especially true for markets like the one we are in the midst of now.  Things change on a dime and we are making trading decisions and not investing ones.  As a trader, you do not want to be at risk for any significant period of time.  So, as an options trader, your expirations have to dovetail with this approach. Take TSLA for...

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Market Sentiment: Taking Sides at Extremes

Market Sentiment: Taking Sides at Extremes

Market sentiment is all over the place.  While many have been sidelined in this market to await news on Fed policy (two weeks ago) and the result of the 'Brexit' vote (last week), we have seen an interesting divergence of opinion about market direction and sentiment.  The bulls have dug in their heels looking for more upside and new all-time highs, while the bears have done just the same,...

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Fed Cut in Growth Expectations Will Be Felt

Fed Cut in Growth Expectations Will Be Felt

Looking at the revised growth, inflation and funds expectations following the Fed meeting last week we see they have shifted into a much slower gear for the US economy.  I am sure there was a bit of a deflated mood (pun intended) during the meeting where the poor jobs report cast a pall over upcoming policy directives. We can see from the new economic projections there is an even lowered...

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Airlines not exactly flying, but worthy of a trade?

Airlines not exactly flying, but worthy of a trade?

The airlines have been one of the worst performing groups this year.  The FAA delays, rising fuel costs (from depressed levels), and the Zika virus have all negatively impacted the group.  American Airlines (AAL) is -29.1% ytd, Delta (DAL) -23.7%, and JetBlue -27.9%.  However, the valuation levels are some of the lowest in the S&P 500.  For example, AAL has a P/E ratio of 3.48.  On...

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Chart Of The Week: DB Agriculture Shows Some Promise

Chart Of The Week: DB Agriculture Shows Some Promise

The DB Agriculture fund tracks a proxy of actual soft and hard commodities and not the stocks which represent them.  In this fund we'll find weightings of cattle, corn, beans, meal, sugar, coffee, wheat and other grains that are a nice representation of goods.  Trading in the individual names can be tricky and require some experience and expertise.  However, an aggregate such as the DBA...

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Jump On This Big Break Out Move In Citrix Systems

Jump On This Big Break Out Move In Citrix Systems

What gets a trader excited?  There are lots of things, but one thing for sure is a game changer.  There is nothing worse for a trader than same old, same old.  So, when things change…it’s game on!  Let’s look at a break out set up in Citrix Systems (CTXS).  Take a look at the chart in Figure 1 below. What you have here is what is known as an inside bar with subsequent break out.  The inside...

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Use Bull Put Spreads To Profit With Google Now

Use Bull Put Spreads To Profit With Google Now

Hey traders! How are you?! Have you had an amazing last few days in the markets? Some wild moves and pre markets gaps have made day trading and option selling a fun and profitable endeavor.  Headed back home to Nashville, TN from Los Angeles right now and I noticed this exciting pattern on GOOGL. Well, I didn’t just notice it. It’s been on my radar for a LONG time. I love trading GOOGL. In...

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Stock Market: Next Cycle Low Due June 29

Stock Market: Next Cycle Low Due June 29

After last week’s failed call for a “relief rally” it becomes harder to accept bullish signals as seen in the McClellan Oscillator this week. There is the possibility of a micro-cycle high on/near Tuesday which gives the possibility of a 1-2 day rally but the next micro-cycle low is due June 29 which matches the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a low near then which is outlined below.   June 27 -...

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Jobs Report Shocks Federal Reserve into Submission

Jobs Report Shocks Federal Reserve into Submission

There is no doubt the Federal Reserve committee dialed it back significantly from the recent 'rate hike' rhetoric we have been hearing about lately.  It was only a month ago we heard most of the Fed Governors boldly claim a rate hike was coming and probably sooner than everyone believed. However, they presented a mixed picture of the economy, seeing some growth areas but weakness in others. ...

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Here Comes Brexit - Should it Matter?

Here Comes Brexit - Should it Matter?

The big vote comes next week in England, citizens will decide in a referendum whether the country should exit the European Union.  The stakes are high only to the extent England is a 'money' country.  Basically if they choose to leave then any support to the EU from England would likely evaporate, but this may open the door for other strong economies to hit the exits, too.  Similar to...

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The Psychology Behind “Harmonic” Trading

The Psychology Behind “Harmonic” Trading

Students of Elliott wave, harmonics and GANN will know about the so called hidden pattern of the universe which can be detected in the charts. Traders at large have big issues though relating the theory into workable concepts for their (trading) life. The reason for this is mental compartmentalization The linear mind does not like the idea of simplicity within complexity. Yet this is exactly...

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2 Trade Ideas In Crude Oil

2 Trade Ideas In Crude Oil

July Crude Oil continued it retreat from the 51.67 high on Thursday, June 16, 2016 as bearish traders continue to control the price action. The breakdown from the 47.26 support level had longs packing their bags and sent price on a downward spiral to 46.14, near where it settled at 46.21. Crude Oil couldn’t recover after settlement and made its low for the day at 45.91 before ending the day...

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London Stock Market Braces Ahead Of Brexit

London Stock Market Braces Ahead Of Brexit

Since we last visited the London FTSE in March, the index has worked through a sideways/upward consolidation basically as expected. The correction exceeded our primary resistance level at 6207 but did not quite reach our secondary resistance level at 6558. The subsequent decline has been strong enough to lead us to say that corrective wave [ii] is probably finished, and FTSE is probably now...

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Playing The Fed: What's Next?

Playing The Fed: What's Next?

Well there you have it. The much anticipated June FOMC meeting came and went, without too much noise. It wasn’t exactly a letdown, but it didn’t provide the excitement that many had expected. The June meeting had been marked by many for several months as the time when the Federal Reserve would finally take some action.  Unfortunately for them, that didn’t happen. The Fed’s decision to leave...

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