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Showing Posts 1 - 15 out of 79 found.

Google And Apple Earnings: Time To Buy?

Google And Apple Earnings: Time To Buy?

So Google barely meets earnings expectations, misses on revenues and jumps 16% post earnings, while Apple also beats earnings and revenues but drops 6%.  The bi-polar reaction to similar results has less to do with the actual earnings and more to do with timing, psychology and expectations. What gives here?  We find the answers lie in options and expectations.  Simply put, when implied...

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Is Gold Dead? Timing The Top In US Stocks

Is Gold Dead? Timing The Top In US Stocks

The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) was originally created in November of 2004, when the fund was listed under the name StreetTRACKS Gold Shares on the New York Stock Exchange. It was sponsored by State Street Global Advisors and the World Gold Council. Shares have traded under the SPDR name since May of 2008. Unlike most other commodity ETFs, which use futures contracts, the fund is a trust and holds...

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How Traders Can Survive In Today's Techno World

How Traders Can Survive In Today's Techno World

Information and the inherent volatility of the markets has been a staple of the industry for centuries.  The major shift within capital markets is the speed of information delivery and the unpredictable nature of the market reaction to the underlying knowledge of the subject matter.  No longer can a trader or investor rely upon the notion that information is disseminated orderly and...

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Chinese Baidu: Brace For More Losses (BIDU)

Chinese Baidu: Brace For More Losses (BIDU)

Since the Greek crisis has been averted (Ha!), we can now get back to business.  China has its own set of issues that eclipses the Greek problems by orders of magnitude.  China’s potential pitfalls include: a massive housing bubble, commodity prices cratering, and a very tenuous stock market whose growth has been driven by under-capitalized, over-leveraged, retail traders, many of whom have...

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How To Win At Trading: Think Less, Win More

How To Win At Trading: Think Less, Win More

I teach trading in order to learn it better. Often, the most valuable insights about how the markets work, and how to best work with them, seem to reflect the principles of sports psychology. I’m not a sports psychologist, however, but I am a competitive tennis player, so I live sports psychology on the weekends. At team practice on Monday night only 4 of us showed up, so we had a...

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Stocks: Qlik Technologies Poised For Big Move

Stocks: Qlik Technologies Poised For Big Move

Qlik Technologies is the $3.4B data visualization software company that offers products such as QlikView and Qlik Sense. On April 23rd, they reported Q1 EPS of -$0.09 vs the Wall Street consensus estimate of -$0.14 on revenue of $120.3M vs the $113.9M estimate (+23% ex currency on a year over year basis). Given the projected acceleration in earnings (42% this year to 53% in 2016) and sales...

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Driving Season: What Does It Mean For Crude?

Driving Season: What Does It Mean For Crude?

If you are in the U.S. and glance at the calendar, you might notice that we are at the peak of summer. Those of us in the Midwest pay close attention to these things. The only way many of us get through the winter and the season that resembles winter but is known as “spring”, is remembering that summer is not too far off. We cherish every day above 70 degrees that also has sunshine....

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Why Bother With Risk Management?

Why Bother With Risk Management?

The only way a trader is going to make money is to put money on the line and risk losing some or all of it. It’s the very nature of the business but not one that anyone finds easy to cope with as the inherent risk is stressful and most people are risk adverse. However we take risks in all aspects of our life every single day. Driving the car, flying, going down stairs, riding your bike, you...

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China's Gold Holdings: What Does It Mean?

China's Gold Holdings: What Does It Mean?

Gold’s drop so far this week has been violent and is somewhat reminiscent of the significant decline we saw in metals prices in 2013. While this week’s drop is nowhere near as large from a percentage perspective, the fact we continue to make new six year lows on a daily basis is significant. The news that triggered the sell-off was that the Peoples Bank of China announced over the weekend...

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Google: How To Trade News Driven Gaps

Google: How To Trade News Driven Gaps

I’ve been discussing news-driven gaps for several months now. Last week was irrationally exuberant in the gap department (see magenta boxes on the chart). Good enough news from Greece and stocks like Google ignited a 7.3% rally in the NQ from trough to peak. The Volume Profile chart shows the bigger picture megaphone that I discussed on 6/23 and 6/26, which is now complete. This is actually...

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US Dollar Breakout: Cup And Handle Pattern

US Dollar Breakout: Cup And Handle Pattern

The previous Friday’s expected cycle low was successful in starting a rally last week in which the US Dollar had its best week since May. DXY gained 1.89% to close at 97.99 above the June 1 high and printed an engulfing bullish candlestick on the weekly chart.  A cup-and-handle pattern has been triggered (chart) and measures a minimum rally to 101.00. A symmetrical triangle on the monthly...

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Chart Of The Day: Starwood Hotels New Highs?

Chart Of The Day: Starwood Hotels New Highs?

Starwood Hotels is showing some very nice technical patterns and it appears ready to make a move on the all time highs.  The recent pull back off the highs was shallow and came into some support around the 80 level.  Volume trends have been positive of late and the MACD is now on a strong buy signal.  I'm impressed by the solid relative strength as well.  This has some room to run if it...

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Trading Strategy 101: Pros Fade Breakouts

Trading Strategy 101: Pros Fade Breakouts

Traders who are relatively new to the futures market often get fooled by the persistent mean reversion behavior. For example, breakouts are more often faded than endorsed. This antagonistic approach to new highs and new lows flies in the face of what many equity traders experience and expect in the high momentum stocks they like to trade. The futures market is quite different than the equity...

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Be Like Michael Jordan: Trade To Win

Be Like Michael Jordan: Trade To Win

There really is no 'best' time to become better in the world of trading, investing and finance.  We are in a continuous vacuum of learning and only when we embrace it can we achieve greater results.  I believe improving your habits evolves into a structural change that translates into more winning results. What can you do to extend your learning?  I'm a big fan Jim Cramer's mantra of  doing...

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Don't Be Fooled By This Options Misconception

Don't Be Fooled By This Options Misconception

I have noticed a lot of emails cycling through my inbox and questions posed by some of my students that are touting the high (almost guaranteed) profits that can be made in credit spreads.  Claims like "personal monthly ATM machine", 90% chance of profits, etc.  If it is too good to be true, is usually is right?  You can be profitable trading credit spreads, you can be profitable trading...

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