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Trading Tactics: Dealing With A Trading Slump Part 2

Trading Tactics: Dealing With A Trading Slump Part 2

If you are actively trading/investing in markets you understand there is a great deal of volatility to contend with.  Certainly the emotions run rampant as we try best to find the right names at the right time for our portfolio.  Sometimes we get lucky and pick up stuff at good prices, but other times we are not so fortunate.  For traders, this can be repetitive, and nothing hurts more than...

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Traders: Brace Yourself For Sustained Volatility

Traders: Brace Yourself For Sustained Volatility

To what extent will volatility continue in to February? Market participants remain uncertain.  Numerous indicators point to some level of sustained volatility including price fluctuations in oil, US dollar and other major currencies, macro-economic gauges, and the ever present political climate leading up to the presidential election in the US. Traders and active investors have certainly had...

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Why Do You Trade?

Why Do You Trade?

Let’s be honest: only a very small number of adventurous individuals would ever think that active trading is a reasonable way to make a living, support a family or manage one’s retirement assets. But when I interview struggling traders they are usually quite convinced that trading is a reasonable venture to undertake and real success, while elusive, is just around the corner. There is a...

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Get Ready For SCYT Earnings Move

Get Ready For SCYT Earnings Move

Pairs trading can be a bit troublesome, especially in this market where normal correlations seem to have completely vanished.  But, it always helps to have balance in your portfolio.  Balance is even more advantageous when you have a fundamental basis to your positions and not just saying to yourself:  “Well, I am long three stocks and short three stocks so I am balanced”.  Let’s take our...

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Get Started With Candlesticks Now

Get Started With Candlesticks Now

Hey Traders! It’s me. I get asked quite often to create one of these. Well, here you go!       If you want more candlestick insight, check out this video on youtube I made a few weeks back. 

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Will History Repeat?

Will History Repeat?

There is no question January 2016 has been one of the worst months in recent memory.  Volatility is high, investors/traders are on edge and wondering if the weight of poor economic growth, a hawkish Fed and surprise news from overseas dropping like scud missiles in our backyard.  If you have been long this market, it hasn't been fun.  However, we might see a change coming soon.  Reason?  The...

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The Psychology of Bear Markets

The Psychology of Bear Markets

Are we in a bear market yet? Not as of yesterday, but possibly as of tomorrow’s close, which will mark the end of the month. Both weekly and monthly closes are carefully watched by hedge funds and institutions, respectively. In simple technical terms, a bear market will begin if the S&P 500 (SPY) closes below the 13-ema on a monthly chart, with a broken multi-year uptrend line. For...

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Grain Alert: Bean Counting

Grain Alert: Bean Counting

Since the last USDA crop report, soybeans have been trading within an 18 cent range for the last nine sessions. Pullbacks in price near the 8.70 level have largely come from an outlook of good weather for Argentina and Brazil in the 10 to 15 day forecasts. Supportive news for the bean market was news of high protein soy oil in the crush reports.  Indonesian palm oil that competes in the...

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Winning Trading Math And Football

Winning Trading Math And Football

You would think that nearly 13 years after the publishing of the now-famous book “Moneyball”, coaches would take some time to learn some basic math.  Yes, I am from Chicago so it is in my DNA that I must hate the Green Bay Packers.  The truth is, I don’t hate the Packers so this is not a result of some Bears fan’s sour grapes.  Packers’ coach Mike McCarthy blew it last Sunday and it could...

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The Highly Awaited AAPL Pre-Earnings Analysis

The Highly Awaited AAPL Pre-Earnings Analysis

Hey, traders the world over. There is one name that likely will reign supreme this week. The fan favorite, the market vixen, the home coming queen, the winner of the iron man: we have AAPL earnings this week. There will be many reports on the actual earnings numbers. How many iPhones were sold, Apple music subscribers, and many other quantitative metrics? I do expect AAPL to beat most...

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Stocks Down 10% To Start The Year, What's Next?

Stocks Down 10% To Start The Year, What's Next?

The S&P 500, the large-cap index of US stocks, has had a terrible year so far, down about 10% since the start of 2016. So when it bounced, just a little, last Thursday and Friday, you could almost hear Wall Street inhaling hope like a junkie hitting a crack pipe. Hope, as they say, springs eternal in the human breast, even those that inhabit the counting houses of Manhattan, now buried...

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Traders: Patience Will Pay Off

Traders: Patience Will Pay Off

Still trying to stab at that bottom?  Not a game I like to play.  Frankly, taking a grab at falling knives has proven more dangerous than fun.  This market is proving there is very little reason to step in and buy for any length of time longer than few hours, maybe a full day.  So many want to get in on this very oversold market.  Why?  Just look at last August and October, or October 2014...

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Confirmation is Required to Get Involved

Confirmation is Required to Get Involved

While it is fun to pick at tops and bottoms, that only happens purely by luck.  As a technician, it is my job to look for areas on the chart that would be areas where a reversal could be at hand.  But if anyone has been watching the stock market of late we know levels are rendered useless when emotions are involved.  The stock market is a sea of emotions, fear and greed on a chart.  But...

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A Small World in a Bear Market

A Small World in a Bear Market

If you are looking for a technical silver lining amidst the recent carnage, the S&P 500 has bounced off its 200-week moving average. That is an important level and I’m glad to report it was respected this week. Whew! Want more good news? Although the S&P 500 is down about 12.6% from its May 2015 all-time high, the rest of the world is faring much worse. Most European indices topped...

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Why Do You Want to Trade for a Living?

Why Do You Want to Trade for a Living?

It’s finally good to be back after a long break travelling through the South Americas for the past two months. It is these breaks which remind you of why you trade and invest for a living. For me, it has never been about making the most money possible and buying all the toys one can buy. Frankly, luxury sports cars, fancy big mansions, jewellery etc. don’t excite me. But new life experiences...

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