TraderPlanet.com :: Commentaries tagged (spx)

JOLTS: Job Openings Jump - Analyst Blog

ZacksResearch, TraderPlanet.com — Tue, 07 Feb 2012 18:31:01 +0000

We just got some important details on the Jobs picture for December from the Job Opening and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS report. The big employment report, like the one for January we got on Friday, only shows the net number of jobs created or lost in a given month.

In any given month, the number of jobs created and lost is several orders of magnitude bigger than the net number. Even in the worst of times there are still people being hired, and even in the biggest of booms, there are sti...

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Factory Jobs Downright Robust - Analyst Blog

ZacksResearch, TraderPlanet.com — Tue, 07 Feb 2012 17:21:01 +0000

In January, the US added 50,000 manufacturing jobs, the largest amount since January 2011. However, the performance is even more impressive than that would imply. Since 1990, we have only seen that level of factory job growth matched of exceeded five times -- 2.3% of the time.

Looking even further back to 1980, we have added 50,000 or more factory jobs in just 28 months, or 7.3% of the time. Even if we go back to 1970, we have only added that many jobs 15.0% of the time. The first graph shows...

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Earnings: Better, but Still Not Good - Analyst Blog

ZacksResearch, TraderPlanet.com — Mon, 06 Feb 2012 19:15:01 +0000

Third quarter earnings season was a good one, unfortunately we may not be able to say the same about the fourth quarter. We got off to a very weak start, and while the last week was better, it just pushed the season from being very poor to mediocre at best.

So far 290, or 56.0% of the firms have reported. However, assuming that all the remaining firms report exactly in line with expectations, then 72.8% of all earnings are in. Normally, when all is said and done, the median surprise runs abo...

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New Month Bounce?

ETFProphet, TraderPlanet.com — Wed, 01 Feb 2012 02:18:00 +0000

Over the last eight trading days, the S&P 500 has traded in a very narrow range. For four days in a row, we have had downside action but the dipbuyers continued to bail us out and supporting the low. With window-dressing pressures now over, will the new month money be enough to hold us up? The SPX had put in 4 up weeks in a row and we are getting closer to a down week into the weaker February period. After hour, Amazon earnings are disappointing. That is putting a little pressure on the hot...

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Are Portfolio Managers Too Cautious? - Real Time Insight

ZacksResearch, TraderPlanet.com — Mon, 30 Jan 2012 19:02:01 +0000

Bloomberg has an interesting article today titled "U.S. Stocks in Longest Valuation Slump Since Nixon." Written by Inyoung Hwang and Whitney Kisling, the piece highlights the fact that the S&P 500 hasn't traded above its long-run 16.4 mean P/E ratio for 446 days, which is the longest stretch since the 13 years beginning in 1973.

Well, when you compare less than 2 years to 13, the "drought of exuberance" doesn't sound so dramatic. But having only been as high as 13.82 on the market multiple th...

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A Golden Cross For The S&P 500?

Econmatters, TraderPlanet.com — Fri, 20 Jan 2012 14:00:00 +0000

By Frank Holmes I had a neighbor who set his sprinkler system to go on every Wednesday around 5 a.m., about the same time I am about to reach his yard on my jog. After a few weeks of getting my ankles wet, I started to cross the street before I reached his property. Like sprinkler systems,...

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The Dollar, Weak Earnings Indicate A Top is Near for the S&P 500

Econmatters, TraderPlanet.com — Thu, 19 Jan 2012 16:00:00 +0000

By JW Jones

A wise man proportions his belief to the evidence. ~ David Hume ~Earnings season is now upon us and so far the only major earnings component that has been released is the J.P. Morgan earnings report that came in Friday before the market opened. After the report was digested by...

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