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Trading Tactics: Dealing With A Trading Slump Part 2

Trading Tactics: Dealing With A Trading Slump Part 2

If you are actively trading/investing in markets you understand there is a great deal of volatility to contend with.  Certainly the emotions run rampant as we try best to find the right names at the right time for our portfolio.  Sometimes we get lucky and pick up stuff at good prices, but other times we are not so fortunate.  For traders, this can be repetitive, and nothing hurts more than...

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Traders: Brace Yourself For Sustained Volatility

Traders: Brace Yourself For Sustained Volatility

To what extent will volatility continue in to February? Market participants remain uncertain.  Numerous indicators point to some level of sustained volatility including price fluctuations in oil, US dollar and other major currencies, macro-economic gauges, and the ever present political climate leading up to the presidential election in the US. Traders and active investors have certainly had...

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ETF Watch: Biotech On The Bid (IBB)

ETF Watch: Biotech On The Bid (IBB)

About 3 weeks ago I wrote an article for Trader Planet entitled: Bye Bye Biotech, with an immediate target for the main Biotech ETF (IBB) of $250 and a 12-18 month target of $175 and then $150. This week IBB hit my first target (the low was $251) and has paused at its Volume Profile Point of Control (VPPOC) at $260. Interestingly the Nasdaq itself is also at its VPPOC (750 day lookback)....

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Bank of America (BAC): Buy It Cheaper Than Charlie Munger

Bank of America (BAC): Buy It Cheaper Than Charlie Munger

Last week, I spoke about Warren Buffett’s and Charlie Munger’s favourite and biggest stock holding Wells Fargo at Trader Planet. I have identified another opportunity I’ve been loading up on as of late, Bank of America (BAC). Interestingly, it is also Charlie Munger’s second largest holding after Wells Fargo. He holds almost 30% of his portfolio in BAC. Along with all banking stocks, Bank of...

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Dow Jones Index Should Trend Downward Through The Year

Dow Jones Index Should Trend Downward Through The Year

With the Dow Jones Industrial Average showing signs of breakdown, our primary chart scenario suggests that traders should look for downward-trending moves throughout most of 2016. However, we also expect the market to present several opportunities for traders to make missteps. This post offers a big-picture roadmap and identifies some likely targets for the first part of the expected...

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Why Do You Trade?

Why Do You Trade?

Let’s be honest: only a very small number of adventurous individuals would ever think that active trading is a reasonable way to make a living, support a family or manage one’s retirement assets. But when I interview struggling traders they are usually quite convinced that trading is a reasonable venture to undertake and real success, while elusive, is just around the corner. There is a...

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Ignore The Man Behind The Curtain

Ignore The Man Behind The Curtain

The chart below tells you just about all you need to know about the market’s assessment of how many rate hikes are going to come in the year of 2016.  The chart is the one-year Eurodollar spread EDH’16 to EDH’17.  The one-year spread is essentially a reflection of how much higher a forward rate will be as compared to now.  As you can see the spread has collapsed from 91 bps to just 23.5 bps...

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Is "Smart Beta" A Good Strategy For You?

Is "Smart Beta" A Good Strategy For You?

Will Value Investing Become The Norm? In a January 30, 2016 interview, Rob Arnott, Chairman and CEO of Research Affiliates, questioned the value of many new Smart Beta strategies, supported staying the course with value investing, and predicted that oil prices will continue to fall. Arnott said there is “Nothing smart about Smart Beta if you adopt strategies that are overpriced.”  He...

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Get Ready For SCYT Earnings Move

Get Ready For SCYT Earnings Move

Pairs trading can be a bit troublesome, especially in this market where normal correlations seem to have completely vanished.  But, it always helps to have balance in your portfolio.  Balance is even more advantageous when you have a fundamental basis to your positions and not just saying to yourself:  “Well, I am long three stocks and short three stocks so I am balanced”.  Let’s take our...

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Get Started With Candlesticks Now

Get Started With Candlesticks Now

Hey Traders! It’s me. I get asked quite often to create one of these. Well, here you go!       If you want more candlestick insight, check out this video on youtube I made a few weeks back. 

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Tesla: Starting a Bounce

Tesla: Starting a Bounce

Has Tesla lost its mojo? Even though I’m a long-term Tesla bull, I’m afraid TSLA is headed much lower.  That said, I’m also a short-term trader and in the near-term I see a bounce underway, so I’m long TSLA common. Tesla reports earnings on February 10th. Key share price drivers include updates on the pace of the Model X ramp up, updates on Gigafactory and the battery storage business, and...

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The Market Gets a Break

The Market Gets a Break

On Friday morning I pointed out “a curiously bullish configuration in the Nasdaq futures.”  I added, however, that “the real market leadership at this time is coming from the Dow.” Friday was indeed a good day for the Dow, up almost 400 points. After strong up days, the market usually consolidates its gains. Most traders are quite skeptical of this market and don’t expect much of a rally....

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SPX: Think January Was Fun? Wait Till You See February

SPX: Think January Was Fun? Wait Till You See February

For buy-and-hold investors and the legion of fund managers and brokers who depend on them for sustenance, the only good thing to say to January is “good-bye.” And good riddance. But don’t look for any great improvement in February. We’ve already had the good times for this year, according to Bank of America. Now it starts to slide downhill. The Wall Street superstition is that as January...

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Stock Market Cycles: Eighth Year Returns

Stock Market Cycles: Eighth Year Returns

Eighth Year Returns As explained in last week’s article, my Hybrid Lindsay model is pointing to a high in the Dow today, February 1st. Whether it is today, tomorrow, last Friday, or some other day very close to today, I have every reason to believe equities will begin a decline now that will likely continue for the remainder of the month. And it is more than just the Lindsay model that has...

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Raytheon: A Defensive Stock For A Defensive Market

Raytheon: A Defensive Stock For A Defensive Market

Raytheon Company, together with its subsidiaries, is a technology Company that specializes in defense and other Government markets. The Company develops products, services, and solutions in markets: sensing; effects; command, control, communications and intelligence (C3I); and mission support, as well as cyber and information security. The Company operates in four segments: Integrated...

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