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Keep Your Eye On The Macro, The Market Is Going Up

Keep Your Eye On The Macro, The Market Is Going Up

First off, let me just say I consider myself a “moralist,” or, at the very least, ethical. I believe we should all pursue our endeavors in a manner that does not cause harm to others. This is pretty basic, right? Isn’t it what religious institutions teach, you know, the Golden Rule, respect for others, etc.? So, when I read about rather large corporate institutions pursuing their goals at...

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Markets Battle A “Wall of Worry”

Markets Battle A “Wall of Worry”

So, here we are once again near the new highs.  When the year started, it seemed for certain we might never get here.  After all, the Santa Claus Rally turned into a major flop, and then January was an awful month and possibly portrayed a dismal year to come.  But, like 2014, the month of February has been kind to the bulls (so far), and with the indices now up about 2% for the year, we are...

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Young Love Is Normal, But Is The Market?

Young Love Is Normal, But Is The Market?

If this keeps up, the world will explode. The market is acting normal again, which means we have another day without extreme volatility. I have asked this before recently, but it bears asking again – Is the market finally paying attention to the fundamentals? Who knows, but I like the idea of it. So, I have a salient question today, and since I have been the optimist, I will give you my...

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SPX Starting Last Leg Up Of This Bull Run?

SPX Starting Last Leg Up Of This Bull Run?

The SPX (S&P 500 Index) broke out of the range within a range pattern to the upside last week. There were plenty of reasons then to expect the next move to be to the downside, but the Mr. Market is always right and things change. In our last few Sentiment Timing newsletters, Woody Dorsey was expecting the SPX to drop from our February 6th-9th turn date time frame and last into the...

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Turning Technological Corners and Finding Cool, Scary?

Turning Technological Corners and Finding Cool, Scary?

Yes, I did say it, but I kinda pulled back from it, meaning, I did not want to come off as saying I really was in a rut, even though sometimes the market boxes me in with the news, so it feels as if I am in a rut, and maybe that is enough to actually put me in a rut, but, hey, what is a “rut” after all – a state of mind? That opening sentence would be enough to take anyone out of a rut, if...

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The Market In Cha-Cha-Cha Mode

The Market In Cha-Cha-Cha Mode

Where Is The Market Heading? Higher oil prices and good economic data helped US equities rally last week.  On Friday, market indices started to sell into the close and this momentum continued into the Monday morning trading session. So what's ahead for the market, and should we be tightening our stops in our long positions? A Close Look At The QQQ's. Since mid-December, when the QQQ's...

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Futures Market Review and Forecast: Housekeeping Chores Completed

Futures Market Review and Forecast: Housekeeping Chores Completed

As I forecast yesterday, given the overbought conditions, the S&P decided to fill the gap from 2/4-2/5 at 2036.75. Filling gaps is normal housekeeping behavior. I anticipate a period of consolidation below 2061 before another foray to the upside. This consolidation could take a few days or even a bit longer. The best time for a breakout rally, however, is when most folks least expect it...

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The Market Is Mired In A Confidence Crisis

The Market Is Mired In A Confidence Crisis

There really is no other way to explain the twists and turns of this market other than increasing doubts that higher prices can continue. We're not talking about outrageous valuations and lack of investing control as we saw back in the late 90's. No, I am referring to self-doubt and the confidence crisis that was created from the global financial collapse just six, short years ago. The...

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Can’t We Just Enjoy the Moment?

Can’t We Just Enjoy the Moment?

Dare I ask it? No, I can’t. Okay, I can’t help myself – Could it be the market might return to a sense of normalcy based on the jobs report that came out today? Could it be that the market will see the absolutely fantastic jobs report that came out today as some kind of a sign that the US economy is still moving forward despite the problems in Europe, China, Japan, Ukraine, the Middle East,...

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The Correction In AbbVie Stock Could Be Nearing An End

The Correction In AbbVie Stock Could Be Nearing An End

AbbVie (ABBV) shares, a $92B pharmaceutical company which has products that treat Crohn’s disease, Parkinson’s disease, thyroid disease, rheumatoid arthritis, and other chronic auto-immune diseases, are on pace for their seventh consecutive weekly loss. This week’s tumble comes after the $148B Gilead Science announced an increase in the amount of discounts to their Hep C drug, Sovalid, this...

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ESH5: Greek Debt Crisis Dumps US Equity Futures

ESH5: Greek Debt Crisis Dumps US Equity Futures

The S&P500 mini-futures (ESH5) were fighting their way higher and making a strong attempt at the 2050 overhead resistance area yesterday (Wednesday) afternoon. Then, the European Central Bank announced restrictions on Greek debt, and the US equity futures dumped 20 points in about 30 minutes. The futures closed at 2030, five points below the opening price, and a day that had been all...

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Futures Market Review and Forecast: The Floor Is Still Holding

Futures Market Review and Forecast: The Floor Is Still Holding

Both forecasts from yesterday played out. First, the S&P came within two points of the ceiling zone at 2051. Then, news from the ECB sparked an end-of-day sell off, triggering the expected re-test of the 2027 level, which is now underway.    Yesterday The presumption is that we now go up to test the 2051-2061 level from below. However, a second test of 2027 before attempting that major...

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Oil And Stocks Rocket Up In Tandem – Who's In Charge?

Oil And Stocks Rocket Up In Tandem – Who's In Charge?

Oil has been ripping higher for the last three days, up about $8 a barrel since Thursday (Jan. 29), the biggest three-day surge in six years.  And for the last two days, it has been dragging the stock market with it. The SPX, the large-cap cash index, closed at 2050.03 on Tuesday (Feb. 3) after gaining 55 points in the past two days. The wailing you hear is from the shorts who, sucked in...

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Futures Market Review and Forecast: Indeed, the Floor Holds, Again!

Futures Market Review and Forecast: Indeed, the Floor Holds, Again!

Monday’s rally followed through, as expected, and managed to close well above the key 2027 level, after a brief morning test. That this level was surpassed, despite a large opening gap, reflects well on the bulls.  The presumption is that we now go up to test the 2051-2061 level from below. However, a second test of 2027 before attempting that major assault would not be at all surprising.   ...

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Pull The Trigger When Alignment Occurs

Pull The Trigger When Alignment Occurs

It is definitely not east for the beginner trader to know when to take the trade. After you come out of a class, there are a lot of elements that you need to master, starting with your platform, and then there is the trading software, charting, deciding what tools to use, and, last but not least, get in front of the market. It came be overwhelming, and a lot of “freshmen” traders get...

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