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Showing Commentaries 1 - 15 out of 102 found.

Market Sentiment: Taking Sides at Extremes

Market Sentiment: Taking Sides at Extremes

Market sentiment is all over the place.  While many have been sidelined in this market to await news on Fed policy (two weeks ago) and the result of the 'Brexit' vote (last week), we have seen an interesting divergence of opinion about market direction and sentiment.  The bulls have dug in their heels looking for more upside and new all-time highs, while the bears have done just the same,...

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Guru George Lindsay: A Stock Low Is Due

Guru George Lindsay: A Stock Low Is Due

     The 20th century market guru, George Lindsay, explained that, no matter how long a bear market lasts, there is usually an obvious low 13 to 14 months after the previous bull market high (in this case, May 2015). This 13-14 month low is important even though it may not be the low of the Basic Cycle. 13-14 months is the time span of a long Basic Decline.  “Not just any secondary top or...

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Twilio (TWLO) Turns the Tables on IPO Market

Twilio (TWLO) Turns the Tables on IPO Market

The IPO market may still be soft, but, don’t tell that to Twilio (TWLO), which saw very healthy demand for its IPO today (6/23/16).  Before the market opened, its 10.0 million share IPO priced at $15, above the $12-$14 expected price range, raising total gross proceeds of $150 million. Amazingly, TWLO is the first IPO of 2016 to price above the projected range. Not only did it price strongly...

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Fed Cut in Growth Expectations Will Be Felt

Fed Cut in Growth Expectations Will Be Felt

Looking at the revised growth, inflation and funds expectations following the Fed meeting last week we see they have shifted into a much slower gear for the US economy.  I am sure there was a bit of a deflated mood (pun intended) during the meeting where the poor jobs report cast a pall over upcoming policy directives. We can see from the new economic projections there is an even lowered...

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Airlines not exactly flying, but worthy of a trade?

Airlines not exactly flying, but worthy of a trade?

The airlines have been one of the worst performing groups this year.  The FAA delays, rising fuel costs (from depressed levels), and the Zika virus have all negatively impacted the group.  American Airlines (AAL) is -29.1% ytd, Delta (DAL) -23.7%, and JetBlue -27.9%.  However, the valuation levels are some of the lowest in the S&P 500.  For example, AAL has a P/E ratio of 3.48.  On...

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From NFLX and Chill to NFLX and Ill

From NFLX and Chill to NFLX and Ill

“I love you more than Netflix” has been uttered by more than one millennial to their paramour. And it’s not just the younger set who has made Netflix (NFLX) their chosen way to watch TV. Check out Grace and Frankie, all four principal actors Jane Fonda, Martin Sheen, Lilly Tomiln and Sam Watterson are in their 70s, which does feel a little revolutionary.  But just because NFLX has...

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Jump On This Big Break Out Move In Citrix Systems

Jump On This Big Break Out Move In Citrix Systems

What gets a trader excited?  There are lots of things, but one thing for sure is a game changer.  There is nothing worse for a trader than same old, same old.  So, when things change…it’s game on!  Let’s look at a break out set up in Citrix Systems (CTXS).  Take a look at the chart in Figure 1 below. What you have here is what is known as an inside bar with subsequent break out.  The inside...

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Use Bull Put Spreads To Profit With Google Now

Use Bull Put Spreads To Profit With Google Now

Hey traders! How are you?! Have you had an amazing last few days in the markets? Some wild moves and pre markets gaps have made day trading and option selling a fun and profitable endeavor.  Headed back home to Nashville, TN from Los Angeles right now and I noticed this exciting pattern on GOOGL. Well, I didn’t just notice it. It’s been on my radar for a LONG time. I love trading GOOGL. In...

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Stock Market: Next Cycle Low Due June 29

Stock Market: Next Cycle Low Due June 29

After last week’s failed call for a “relief rally” it becomes harder to accept bullish signals as seen in the McClellan Oscillator this week. There is the possibility of a micro-cycle high on/near Tuesday which gives the possibility of a 1-2 day rally but the next micro-cycle low is due June 29 which matches the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a low near then which is outlined below.   June 27 -...

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Jobs Report Shocks Federal Reserve into Submission

Jobs Report Shocks Federal Reserve into Submission

There is no doubt the Federal Reserve committee dialed it back significantly from the recent 'rate hike' rhetoric we have been hearing about lately.  It was only a month ago we heard most of the Fed Governors boldly claim a rate hike was coming and probably sooner than everyone believed. However, they presented a mixed picture of the economy, seeing some growth areas but weakness in others. ...

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Here Comes Brexit - Should it Matter?

Here Comes Brexit - Should it Matter?

The big vote comes next week in England, citizens will decide in a referendum whether the country should exit the European Union.  The stakes are high only to the extent England is a 'money' country.  Basically if they choose to leave then any support to the EU from England would likely evaporate, but this may open the door for other strong economies to hit the exits, too.  Similar to...

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The Psychology Behind “Harmonic” Trading

The Psychology Behind “Harmonic” Trading

Students of Elliott wave, harmonics and GANN will know about the so called hidden pattern of the universe which can be detected in the charts. Traders at large have big issues though relating the theory into workable concepts for their (trading) life. The reason for this is mental compartmentalization The linear mind does not like the idea of simplicity within complexity. Yet this is exactly...

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London Stock Market Braces Ahead Of Brexit

London Stock Market Braces Ahead Of Brexit

Since we last visited the London FTSE in March, the index has worked through a sideways/upward consolidation basically as expected. The correction exceeded our primary resistance level at 6207 but did not quite reach our secondary resistance level at 6558. The subsequent decline has been strong enough to lead us to say that corrective wave [ii] is probably finished, and FTSE is probably now...

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ETF Alert: Financial Select Sector SPDR $XLF Cracks

ETF Alert: Financial Select Sector SPDR $XLF Cracks

The Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLF) is one of the most widely traded ETF’s each and every trading day.  It’s down 4% in just the last week, -1.5% just yesterday.  So when and where will the losses end?  Let’s have a look. Click here to watch a video explaining how to read markets using volume at price. The zone of support at 22.98 – 23.27, once broken, shifted the bias to bearish and...

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What Is The Fed Looking At Now?

What Is The Fed Looking At Now?

Today, (Wednesday) the FOMC makes their announcement regarding rates.  After this month’s weak payroll report, the market significantly cut the odds for a hike at any time this year.  The quarterly FOMC meetings come with a press conference, and though some Fed officials have vocally called for rate hikes, Yellen is likely to adopt a cautious stand for the foreseeable future.  The Fed’s risk...

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