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Showing Posts 1 - 15 out of 140 found.

U.S. dollar rose to new highs.

U.S. dollar ETF (UUP) absolute price rose to its highest closing price level in more than 4 years on 12/19/14, reconfirming its preexisting major uptrend. U.S. dollar index futures continuation contract absolute price rose to its highest price level in more than 8 years on 12/19/14. The S&P 500 Composite Index (SPX) gapped higher again on Friday and rose further in the afternoon to close...

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A Deep Look At LNKD

A Deep Look At LNKD

Against a backdrop of a fallen market that, until two days ago, couldn”t quite manage to regain its footing, LNKD impressively managed to shrug off the weakness by flexing its muscles to the tune of 13 percent. What next? The chart below was released to my TradeWinds subscribers on December 9th, the exact day of the reversal. Having rallied in “wave a of 3” up to 238.77 through November 4th,...

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Santa Comes Early In The USA

Foreign Stocks ETF (EFA) Relative Strength Ratio (EFA/SPY) fell below its lows of the previous 10 years on 12/18/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. iShares MSCI BRIC Fund (BKF) Relative Strength Ratio (BKF/SPY) fell below its lows of the previous 7 years on 12/18/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. Longer term, Emerging Markets Stocks ETF (EEM) Relative Strength...

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Back To The Future, Almost

Back To The Future, Almost

Is this back to the future? Actually, I should ask is this “almost” back to the future? In just two days, the market has clawed, well, that is not the right word. How about in just two days, the market has roared its way back to where it should be, just a little bit down from its record highs. After their biggest six-day tumble in three years, European shares have regained more than half of...

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Better Stops Make Better Trades

Better Stops Make Better Trades

Over the last 10 days, the Average True Range (ATR) of a 60-minute bar in the NASDAQ futures has increased from around six points to 18 points. Why might this be important to know, even if you don’t trade that particular market? You may have heard the phrase “More is different.” It means that incremental changes can make a qualitative difference, not just an arithmetic difference. An example...

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Janus Capital Is About To Breakout

Janus Capital Is About To Breakout

Shares of Janus Capital (JNS) are now poised to take out the Bill Gross hire level from September 26th. Less than a month after they hired the former PIMCO co-founder, the stock retested the $12.80 prior-resistance level turned support (also the 50-day exponential moving average) and has been putting in higher lows in the last two months. If JNS shares can close above the $12.80 resistance...

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Agriculture Deflating

Agriculture, PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund ETF (DBA) absolute price broke down below its lows of the previous 10 months on 12/17/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. The 50-day SMA fell below the 200-day SMA on 8/29/14, thereby giving a systematically bearish signal. iShares MSCI BRIC Fund (BKF) Relative Strength Ratio (BKF/SPY) fell below its lows of the previous 7 years on...

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I Don’t Have Anything To Say About The Market Today

I Don’t Have Anything To Say About The Market Today

Every work day, I read the news, watch the market, write what I write, and I generally do it with a dispassionate, objective view. Some days, though, my dispassionate view is challenged, but I get past it. Other days, such as yesterday, I read about an action so cold, I cannot put my compassion away; I cannot look the other way. My objectivity goes out the window and I just want to scream....

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How To Trade A Gap Up

How To Trade A Gap Up

On December 12, 2014, Adobe Systems (ADBE) gapped up on earnings to $74.17.  The stock closed the prior day at $69.74.  Now, the novice trader might think that the stock was moving up too much and therefore he or she should short it, while the experienced trader would want to look long for a bigger move. This is where experience pays off. Questions To Ask The first question I ask myself in...

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Buy The S&P 500 For Profits In 2015

Buy The S&P 500 For Profits In 2015

Recent economic, global and geopolitical events have put traders on edge. A plethora of negative news items have allowed the bulls to box themselves into a corner in the “wall of worry”. The good news is that the S&P 500, the stock market, and US economy are set to surge in 2015. This means that now is a good time to be looking at stocks and getting long the broad market. Worries...

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"Junk" Is Well Named

Junk/Investment-Grade Corporate Bond ETFs Relative Strength Ratio (JNK/LQD) fell below its lows of the previous 5 years on 12/16/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. Absolute price of JNK fell below 3-years lows on 12/16/14 and remains systematically bearish. Bond, iShares Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury ETF (TLT) rose to a new high closing price on 12/16/14, reconfirming its...

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Yes, These Are Uncertain Times, But ...

Yes, These Are Uncertain Times, But ...

Man-oh-man, the battle is raging now. The push and pull between the bears and the bulls is both riveting and disconcerting. It is like the moment of passing a car crash – you are compelled to look even though you know you are looking at potential pain and suffering. At one point today, the Dow was well over 200 points and in this moment, this very moment, it is struggling to stay in the...

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SPX 1540 Target – Don’t Count It Out

SPX 1540 Target – Don’t Count It Out

When we are in an environment where traders are “All in” or “All out” and price is moving at warp speed, you have to shorten your time horizon. There are specific time periods where you can buy and hold and do very well, but, from what I am seeing, that period is gone. Elliot Wave (EW) counting has become very popular in the trading community. I am not going to make this an Elliot Wave...

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Loss Of Momentum Signals Caution

Loss Of Momentum Signals Caution

The drubbing in the stock market last week was hard to watch, but as things stand, there isn't any evidence to suggest it's more than a dip within an uptrend. And the S&P 500 has quickly come to a natural point for a recovery to occur. Specifically, price has reverted to the weekly mean (20-week simple moving average), as you can see via Bollinger Bands.   In uptrends, it's common for...

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These Markets Just Keep Falling

Crude Oil, United States Oil ETF (USO) absolute price fell further below its lows of the previous 12 years on 12/15/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. Energy Sector SPDR ETF Relative Strength Ratio (XLE/SPY) fell further below 9-year lows on 12/15/14, reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. iShares MSCI BRIC Fund (BKF) Relative Strength Ratio (BKF/SPY) fell further below...

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