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Showing Posts 1 - 15 out of 157 found.

Dr. Copper Is Bearish

Copper, iPath DJ-UBS Copper TR Sub-Index ETN (JJC) absolute price fell below its lows of the previous 8 months on 11/26/14, thereby reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. Long term, JJC has been in a major downtrend since topping at 61.69 on 2/14/11. "Dr. Copper" is widely accepted as one of the better indicators of investor confidence (or lack thereof) in the global industrial...

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Money Never Sleeps, But It Does Take Time Off

Money Never Sleeps, But It Does Take Time Off

If you are reading this, my guess is you are a die-hard trader or a family member. If you are the latter, thank you for supporting me. If you are the former, I have some advice for you. Gordon Gekko is wrong, sort of. He famously said in his speech to Bud Fox, “Money never sleeps.” Well, it is true, money flows in and out of markets 24 hours per day, 365 days per year on a rotating schedule...

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How To Trade Around the Holidays -- Don't

How To Trade Around the Holidays -- Don't

As traders, we all want to be in the action and make great trades.  If we are not trading, we are not potentially making any money, if trading is your sole profession.  I remember when I first started out trading full time in 2006 and I would say to myself, “I am going to trade around the holidays.”  That was eight years ago, and I can tell you from experience you will save more money by not...

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Losing Energy

Crude Oil, United States Oil ETF (USO) absolute price broke down below its lows of the previous 5 years on 11/25/14, thereby reconfirming its preexisting downtrend. Energy Sector SPDR ETF Relative Strength Ratio (XLE/SPY) fell below 7-year lows on 11/25/14, thereby reconfirming its preexisting major downtrend. NASDAQ 100 ETF/S&P 500 ETF Relative Strength Ratio (QQQ/SPY) rose above its...

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No Reason To Change The Plan

No Reason To Change The Plan

More numbers are in and there are revisions to the US government’s second and third quarter economic data reports. Not that it matters, really, as they are lagging numbers, but they do show a stronger continuation of the economic pattern that has been happening now for years. The economy in the U.S. expanded more than previously forecast in the third quarter, reflecting bigger gains in...

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U.S. Bonds and Stocks Confirmed Upside Momentum

Bond, iShares Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury ETF (TLT) absolute closing price rose to its highest level in more than 3 weeks on 11/24/14, confirming renewed upside momentum. Bond, iShares Barclays 7-10 Year U.S. Treasury ETF (IEF) absolute closing price rose to its highest level in more than 3 weeks on 11/24/14, confirming renewed upside momentum. The S&P 500 Composite Index (SPX)...

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Money Might Never Sleep, But It Does Cat Nap

Money Might Never Sleep, But It Does Cat Nap

We are heading into a week of anticipation. No, traders and investors are not anticipating major market movement, just the opposite. This week promises to be slow and tedious, not much to write home about. Then again, the market has a way of breaking promises, so you never can tell. In any case, historically, the money takes a break early on Wednesday and doesn’t come back until Monday, but...

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A Megaphone May Broadcast Good News, Or Not.

A Megaphone May Broadcast Good News, Or Not.

There are a lot of reasons to be cautious about the US equity markets right now. The S&P500 large cap index (SPX) has more than tripled in the last 68 month; it has been five years since we last saw a 20% retracement. There are disturbing anomalies. Small cap equities – which usually lead the market at inflection points – are not making new highs, while the large caps chalk up new highs...

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Apple, Our Pick Then Is A Winner Now

Apple, Our Pick Then Is A Winner Now

Our end of September TraderPlanet article (published 9/29/2014) outlining our outlook for Apple (AAPL) served our traders well.  The text from the original article is here: The trend in AAPL is pointed higher in the daily and weekly time frames, which gives the larger bias clearly to the bulls.  With this as a starting point, dips to support can be viewed as buying opportunities.  Nearby...

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Where We Are Going We Don't Need Roads

Where We Are Going We Don't Need Roads

It feels as if we’ve been here before.  The previous forecast for a high to the right shoulder on 9/19/14 looked good, but it was obviously incorrect. The evidence pointing to that high was like a Ford Edsel compared to the Lamborghini-like evidence pointing to a top now – a Lamborghini powered by a flux capacitor! The Sept 9 breakdown from a flattened top counts 37 market days to the low on...

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U.S. Dollar, Bonds, and Stocks are Rising

U.S. dollar ETF (UUP) absolute price rose to its highest level in more than 3 years on 11/21/14, thereby reconfirming its preexisting uptrend. Bond, iShares Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury ETF (TLT) absolute closing price rose to its highest level in a month on 11/21/14, suggesting renewed upside momentum. The S&P 500 Composite Index (SPX) finished at a new all-time closing price high...

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Go Get ‘Em Boys And Girls

Go Get ‘Em Boys And Girls

Boom! Just like that the market leaps forward. At least thus far this morning it has leaped forward. Who knows if it will hold for the day, but, so far, the news of the day has created some excitement.   China cut interest rates unexpectedly on Friday, stepping up efforts to support the world's second-biggest economy as it heads towards its slowest expansion in nearly a quarter of a century....

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Understanding “Then” Might Help You Take Advantage Now

Understanding “Then” Might Help You Take Advantage Now

The recent whipsaw market has confused many traders and investors. Specifically, the rise and then fall in volatility is most puzzling. Do emotions and money swing that quickly?  On the spectrum of fear/greed, the money flows back and forth like a windshield wiper, but as the markets move higher and higher, the fear of losing gains becomes more pronounced than the fear of losing out on...

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Finding Entry Into A Directional Trade

Finding Entry Into A Directional Trade

An important thing to remember is that my approach to directional trades is different when going into an earnings release cycle, rather than when outside of the earnings cycle.  Outside of the earnings cycle, other factors trigger my entries.  Those factors could be fundamental in nature, or they might be based on unusual options activity. Most of the time, however, my entry is based on a...

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What are the Masters of the Universe Buying?

What are the Masters of the Universe Buying?

You should never blindly follow the investment moves of anyone — not even Masters of the Universe like Carl Icahn or George Soros.   You never know what their investment game plan is or whether a stock position is part of a larger multi-stock trade. That said, I do consider “guru” trades a nice starting point for further research.  If investors I respect and follow are piling into a stock,...

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