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Health Care Stocks Gaining Strength, Agriculture Losing Strength

Health Care stock sector ETF (XLV) Relative Strength Ratio (XLV/SPY) rose above its highs of the previous 5 months on 8/29/14 and remains systematically bullish. Absolute price rose to a new high on 8/29/14 and remains systematically bullish. Foreign Stocks ETF (EFA) Relative Strength Ratio (EFA/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 2 years on 8/29/14. Bond, iShares Barclays 20+...

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That’s About as Simple as It Gets

Yesterday, my friend Miggie said to me, “You seem to always write about the general market anymore.” I thought for a moment about the implied question: “Why?” In that moment, I came up with several reasons for why I focus on general market commentary, which I told her, but in my mini litany of reasons, I heard my words about you, the reader. Writers write to an audience, but writers are not...

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What I Look For In A Good Investment

What I Look For In A Good Investment

If you’ve been investing very long, you no doubt understand the importance of having a solid system in place. By “system” I’m not referring to a secret black box or to technical rules, though both can be valid approaches in the right hands.  I am speaking far more broadly.  Whether you are a value investor, a technician or a data-crunching quant, consistently making good returns in the...

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Options Trading 101: Don't Hide Behind The Math

Options Trading 101: Don't Hide Behind The Math

Don't hide behind the math! That is a common phrase I tell my students seemingly on a daily basis.  That may sound quite odd coming from a statistics major, but it is one of the very important credos we traders must live by. What Do I Mean By This?  It means, don't let a mathematical output override common sense.  Trade Example Let's take an example when I was looking for an earnings play...

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Follow The 3 Key Trading Rules Of Jesse Livermore

Follow The 3 Key Trading Rules Of Jesse Livermore

If you're a student of market history there is nobody you learned more about than Jesse Livermore. Edwin Lefevre wrote his story in the book Reminiscence of a Stock Operator, one of my favorite reads.  He was truly a man before his time, making his fortune during the days prior to the Great Depression at bucket shops and fledgling brokerages.  His tape-reading skills were legendary and are...

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Foreign Stocks Losing Strength, U.S. Bond Gaining Strength

Foreign Stocks ETF (EFA) Relative Strength Ratio (EFA/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 2 years on 8/28/14. Bond, iShares Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury ETF (TLT) absolute price rose above its highs of the previous 15 months on 8/28/14, thereby reconfirming its preexisting bullish trend. The S&P 500 Composite Index (SPX: 1,996.74, down 0.17%) absolute price opened lower...

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The Market Is Stretched, At the Moment

Earnings reporting is almost complete, the recent positive economic data has been digested, China is forgotten for now, Europe’s lagging economy is well known, and Ukraine is, well, still a problem on the geopolitical front. So where does the market find a catalyst to go higher? For the moment, it appears there is no catalyst to take the market higher. Even the revised GDP from the second...

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What Does S&P 500 At 2000 Really Mean And How Can You Trade It?

What Does S&P 500 At 2000 Really Mean And How Can You Trade It?

Traditionally September is a month that sees a decline in the equity index markets. When markets put in new record highs, we often see a retracement from those levels. On the flipside, investors and market players have heard from the Fed and have a better picture of the Fed’s future plans. The shrinking of the stimulus program along with the hint of changing interest rates next year has not...

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Implied Volatility Is Soaring In McDonald’s

Implied Volatility Is Soaring In McDonald’s

Shares of the $92 billion fast food restaurant company, McDonald’s (MCD), are down 0.83% year to date vs. the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s (DJIA) 3.29% gain. From the May high of $102.95, McDonald’s is down 8.06% as comps and quarterly earnings have missed Wall Street estimates in the last two quarters. On August 22, McDonald's named Mike Andres the new president of its U.S. operations,...

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Airlines Stocks Poised To Fly

Airlines Stocks Poised To Fly

Hi, World! I hope you’re doing sensational. I’m back from GA and had an enjoyable visit with the family. The market is closed this upcoming Monday. My girlfriend works at a bank and she’s actually off. Hopefully I am, too? Anyway, take time off this weekend. Make sure you enjoy yourself and spend time with your family. Maybe fly somewhere you haven’t been before! Airline Stocks Speaking of...

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U.S. Treasury Bond Gaining Strength, TIP Bond Losing Strength

Bond, iShares Barclays 20+ Year U.S. Treasury ETF (TLT) absolute price rose above its highs of the previous 15 months on 8/27/14, thereby reconfirming its preexisting bullish trend. U.S. Treasury Inflation Protected / U.S. Treasury 7-10 Year ETFs Relative Strength Ratio (TIP/IEF) fell below its lows of the previous 5 months on 8/27/14, thereby reconfirming a medium-term downtrend. TIP/IEF...

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A View Never Seen Before

Here we are, right smack in the middle of the week and the market is holding steady at the higher altitude. True, the air is thin, but the footsteps are certain to avoid a serious fall. Even Poroshenko and Putin seem to be stepping boldly toward a higher place. Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko promised after late-night negotiations with Russia's Vladimir Putin to work on an urgent...

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Psychology: The Five Trader Personality Types, Which One Are You?

Psychology: The Five Trader Personality Types, Which One Are You?

I’ve learned from over a dozen years as a coach to top traders that traders, like criminals, can be profiled (no offense.)  In fact, just 5 Trader Personality Types encompass all the personality variations I’ve ever encountered, if one includes hybrids. (By the way, these five types have nothing in common with standard academic or corporate personality models.) Over the last 5 weeks I’ve...

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Stock Play: JC Penney Breaks Out To The Upside

Stock Play: JC Penney Breaks Out To The Upside

JCP (Penney J.C.) has been in a downtrend for all of 2012 going from $43.00 to $5.00. Gap Review On February 27, JCP gapped up and broke the downtrend line that it established since 2012.  The gap up put the stock on a long watch because the downtrend was broken.  This action forced out any short players from the entire move down since 2012.  Since then JCP has based in sideways action from...

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Stock Watch: Western Digital Shows Good Relative Strength

Stock Watch: Western Digital Shows Good Relative Strength

While much of the broad market has rallied, there have been stocks biding their time and gathering strength for the next move higher.Western Digital (WDC) is one of those stocks. Quiet Range After a very strong rally from May to July, the stock has done nothing besides settle down in a three- point range. Good Relative Strength The important thing to note is that the stock didn't break its...

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