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Showing Posts 1 - 15 out of 173 found.

Global Markets Are Losing Strength

iShares MSCI BRIC Fund (BKF) Relative Strength Ratio (BKF/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 7 weeks on 9/12/14. Emerging Markets Stocks ETF (EEM) Relative Strength Ratio (EEM/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 4 months. Energy stock sector ETF (XLE) Relative Strength Ratio (XLE/SPY) fell below its lows of the previous 5 months. Absolute price fell below its lows of...

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Market Consolidation and a Coming Catalyst

Constant news in and constant news out. That is the flow of the market. I would like to call it a problem, but if a thing is the norm, and life revolves around it, then how could it be a problem? It is something you just learn to live with. The daily news flow, and the market’s reaction to that flow, is something market players just learn to live with. The important thing to understand about...

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Scottish Secession: Look For Buying Opportunities On Any Pullbacks

Scottish Secession: Look For Buying Opportunities On Any Pullbacks

We are officially in uncharted waters.  The biggest macro risk right now for the markets is not the Fed or European Central Bank…or ISIS or even Vladimir Putin.  No, the biggest macro risk is the mood of Scottish voters. Scotland’s referendum on independence from the UK will be held on September 18.  Up until very recently, the polls of prospective voters consistently predicting that the...

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Respect The Risk Management Gods

Respect The Risk Management Gods

Every now and then I find traders will go out on the risk curve and take a speculative trade.   That's a good thing — because as they say in baseball, 'you cannot steal second base with your foot on first.'  However, there are limits, and often I find these traders stretch too far and they soon find themselves wounded - sometimes a devastating blow that is nearly impossible to overcome.  How...

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Advanced Options: Buy A Strangle Swap Wynn Resorts

Advanced Options: Buy A Strangle Swap Wynn Resorts

When I think that a stock has "settled in" (established a trading range) my first instinct is to sell a straddle or a strangle or something along those lines.  The problem is this involves theoretical unlimited risk and therefore causes a big margin issue for most of my students.  Are we just out of luck?  Certainly not!  In the past, I have showed how we can sell an iron condor or iron...

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Agriculture and Metals Losing Strength

Agriculture, PowerShares DB Agriculture Fund ETF (DBA) absolute price broke down below its lows of the previous 6 months on 9/11/14, thereby reconfirming a significant downtrend. Gold, SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) absolute price fell below its lows of the previous 8 months on 9/11/14, thereby reconfirming its medium-term downtrend that started on 7/10/14. Gold Mining Stocks ETF/Gold Shares...

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Range Bound, Yes, Financial Television, No

First off, I slightly missed the mark yesterday with my intuition. I suggested that if the market show signs of going green, the bulls would jump on board and make the day a green day. Fine, but I followed up with this. My sense, though, is the bulls are not quite convinced and the bears are. The comment above clearly suggested a “hedge” in my bet, which suggests that I am not so certain...

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Time To Manage Risk: E-Mini S&P Option Play

Time To Manage Risk: E-Mini S&P Option Play

I don’t need to remind anyone of the significance of this day. The trading world was heavily affected by the events that took place thirteen years ago. Things will never be the same, but we have to continue to move forward.  Please remember those we lost and the families that continue their journey forward without them. Economic Outlook All of the sudden the confidence in the slow but steady...

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Is The Bottom In For Deutsche Bank?

Is The Bottom In For Deutsche Bank?

Shares of Deutsche Bank (DB), a $48 billion global investment bank headquartered in Germany, are down 33.60% from the January 15 high of $53.15. This compares to the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF’s (XLF) year to date gain of 7.65% and the iShares MSCI Germany ETF’s (EWG) year- to-date loss of 6.42%. Valuation The reason for the underperformance in 2014 is due to the litany of legal...

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BRICs and Emerging Markets Losing Strength

iShares MSCI BRIC Fund (BKF) Relative Strength Ratio (BKF/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 6 weeks and crossed below its 50-day SMA on 9/10/14, thereby turning systematically neutral (from bullish). Emerging Markets Stocks ETF (EEM) Relative Strength Ratio (EEM/SPY) broke down below its lows of the previous 6 weeks on 9/10/14. Materials stock sector ETF (XLB) Relative...

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Stocks: Symantec Squeeze Trade In Play Now

Stocks: Symantec Squeeze Trade In Play Now

Hi, world! I love this time of year! I won three out of my four fantasy football games last week (I know, I agree, four leagues is way too many), last weekend was grand and this upcoming weekend I plan to go to “Shakespeare in the Park”. I am a big Shakespeare fan. I thought about doing this write-up as very poetic one, but thankfully decided against it (for now). Symatec Squeeze I entered...

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Some Days, You Just Don’t Know – Most Actually

My guess is it is Wednesday. Yup, I am right, it is Wednesday. So what is the market doing this fine Wednesday? U.S. stock prices fell on Wednesday on growing bets the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates faster than previously thought, while anxiety over whether Scotland might break off from the United Kingdom unnerved investors in Europe, hurting sterling and boosting the dollar....

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Trading Psychology: Risk Averse Or Risk Seeker?

Trading Psychology: Risk Averse Or Risk Seeker?

By definition, active traders and investors have some degree of Risk Seeking built into their personality, or they wouldn’t be so interested in the markets. Instead, they would be satisfied with their day job. Individuals who follow the market closely and get involved with it on a daily basis usually need the stimulation and challenge that comes from wrestling with the unpredictable Wall...

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Options Play: The Non-Gap Fill In Green Mountain

Options Play: The Non-Gap Fill In Green Mountain

Over the past four earnings events, Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) has seen strong moves higher in response to improving company fundamentals.And because of the continued aggression by buyers, the stock often fails to fill or break below that earnings gap. I'm expecting a similar pattern to develop this quarter. As GMCR fades its earnings move, it will come into levels in which buyers...

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Stocks: How To Trade Afternoon Volatility

Stocks: How To Trade Afternoon Volatility

GRMN (Garmin Ltd.) spiked lower following Apple’s (AAPL) watch announcement.  The news of AAPL's new watch caused GRMN to start selling off and created some volatility that I could possibly capitalize on. Start The Analysis My first objective in seeing a stock selling off in the middle of the trading day is to figure out where longer term support/demand exists to eye a potential bounce. ...

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