Recent Commentaries tagged (us-dollar)
Complacency 2/9/12
Do not get complacent because the market is quiet. Inaction can sometimes cause more damage than action. Do not forget to manage your trades. Crude oil is flirting with the $100/barrel level once again. I am mildly bullish but trade small as a trade back under $97.50-98 could mean lower ground. ...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | gold | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | usda
Quiet Trade 2/8/12
Non event in the markets today but it does feel like markets are taking a breath for a big move...I am just torn on what direction. As trades develop I will try to keep you informed. Crude will close above $97 on the March contract today which puts the bulls back in control. Support is seen betwe...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | forex | futures | gold | grains | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | usda
Building on Strength 2/7/11
Metals, stocks and even foreign currencies continue to build on strength as 2012 has virtually been a one way trade...will this continue? Crude oil erased the previous week's losses adding 1.9% today but failed to close above $99 in March. I view that level as the pivot point so I remain bearish ...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | corn | crude-oil | dollar | euro-dollar | futures | gold | grains | inflation | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | metals | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | usda
True Commodity Play 2/6/12
After speaking with several prospective commodity clients today I want investors to recognize that by trading etf's or buying stocks in a commodity sector you are not trading commodities. That being said commodity trading is not appropriate for most investors but those financially suitable with s...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | coffee | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | gold | grains | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
Upbeat Expectations 2/3/12
A positive jobs number and things heating up in Iran and Crude is back on the move advancing 1.5% today. We may see a bounce but until we see a trade back over $99 I still am thinking prices have more downward pressure. My target in March is a trade closer to $93-94 in the coming weeks. What is d...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | cocoa | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | gold | grains | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | soybeans | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar
Prepare for NFP 2/2/12
I think the number is fabricated but nonetheless it is market mover so prepare for tomorrow's jobs number. As of this post Crude is lower by 1% about in the middle of today's range trading lower for the seventh consecutive day. I think we see an additional $3-4 retracement before we run into seri...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | futures | gold | grains | lean-hogs | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar
Not the End 2/1/12
With a more positive outlook domestically and abroad expect commodities that had previously factored in a more dire picture to get back losses from late 2011. Today makes it five days in row with Crude down just over 1% as of this post trading at six week lows. A close below $98.30 in March shoul...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | futures | gold | grains | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | metals | natural-gas | options | s-amp-p | silver | soybeans | stock-market | sugar | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
The January Effect 1/31/12
With one month under our belt how is your 2012 looking? RBOB, OJ, stocks, feeder cattle and all the metals were the upside movers in the month of January while natural gas was the only negative standout. Will these moves set the tone for trading in 2012? The move lower has been minor but Crude ha...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | cotton | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | futures | gold | grains | lean-hogs | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | sugar | treasuries | us-dollar
If Equities Fall 1/30/12
Over the next few sessions we will know but we may see some gains given back in equities as minor chart damage is being done. That being said expect higher trade in Treasuries and commodities on a stock retraction. Crude continues to flirt with $100 unable to pick a direction. The longer this con...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | cocoa | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | futures | gold | grains | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | soybeans | stock-market | us-dollar
More Quantitative Easing 1/26/12
With the Fed hinting at more quantitative easing do not expect commodities to get inexpensive any time soon. Crude oil has made a higher high now for the last three sessions and on a close back above $100 traders could start scaling back into longs. I see support at $99 followed by $97 in March c...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | gold | grains | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | options | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar
Taking a Breath 1/25/12
I misread the recent action thinking we were approaching a turning point but now it appear the markets were just taking a breath and now the underlying moves are back on track....trade accordingly. Crude appears to be finding its footing as further sales are being rejected. With a settlement back...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | cocoa | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | futures | gold | grains | lean-hogs | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
Turning Point 1/24/12
Turing point...not today and probably not tomorrow but I would expect the equity market to give back its recent gains in the very near future. What that likely means is money out of stocks and into Treasuries and commodities...just an opinion. Crude remains in no man's land as prices could go eit...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | cocoa | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | futures | gold | grains | lean-hogs | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
Looking Ahead 1/23/12
Fed meeting this week as well as any new developments out of Europe. My suggestion is to always look one-two weeks in advance for upcoming economic events when initiating trades. Just when it appears Crude was destined to move lower prices reversed finishing 1.65% higher today. $1oo appears to be...
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Tags: daily-thought | bradbard | coffee | commodities | commodity | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | gold | grains | lean-hogs | live-cattle | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | s-amp-p | silver | stock-market | treasuries | us-dollar | wheat
Is the USD Back Against the Swissy?
The US dollar had rebounded strongly after it suffered a sharp dip against the Swiss franc last August 2011. After reaching a low of 0.7066, the USD/CHF pair is now back above 0.9200. The question now is, will the USD sustain its recent run versus the CHF? As you can see from the pair's daily cha...
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Tags: forex | usd-chf | chf | cup-and-handle | currency-trading | forex-market | forex-trading | fx | fx-market | fx-trading | hidden-bullish-divergence | ron-acoba | swiss-franc | swissy | us-dollar | usd
Protected: The Line in the Sand January 23, 2012
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Tags: the-line-in-the-sand | bradbard | british-pound | calls | cocoa | coffee | commodity | corn | cotton | crude-oil | currencies | dollar | energies | euro-dollar | forex | futures | gold | grains | inflation | japanese-yen | lean-hogs | live-cattle | livestock | loonie | matthew-bradbard | mb-wealth | metals | natural-gas | oil | options | puts | rbob | risk | s-amp-p | silver | softs | soybeans | spread-trading | spreads | stock-market | sugar | treasuries | us-dollar | usda | wheat
