Recent DavidMoenning's Commentaries
Where's The Volume?
Daily State of the Markets Thursday Morning - February 9, 2012 Good Morning. One of the bear camp's big gripes about the current rally - other than the idea that it came out of nowhere and caught the nattering nabobs of negativism flat footed, of course - is that fact that volume has been lacki...
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Tags: stock-market | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
Is It Time to Buy and...?
Daily State of the Markets Wednesday Morning - February 8, 2012 Good Morning. Although our models told us to hop back on the long side of the market six weeks ago, there are a great many investors out there - individuals and professionals alike - that have missed the current rally. For example,...
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Tags: stock-market | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
Was January Meaningful?
Daily State of the Markets Tuesday Morning - February 7, 2012 Good Morning. The stock market has put up weekly gains for five consecutive weeks now and has finished in the green in eight of the last ten. The DJIA closed Friday at its highest level since the market bottomed on March 9, 2009. The...
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Tags: stock-market | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
Will Slow and Steady Win the Race?
Daily State of the Markets Thursday Morning - February 2, 2012 Publishing Note: I am traveling early Friday and Monday and will not publish a morning report. Daily State of the Markets reports will return on Tuesday. Good Morning. Up until just recently, the bulls' battle cry had been three sim...
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Tags: stock-market | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
My Crystal Ball Rant
Daily State of the Markets Wednesday Morning - February 1, 2012 With stocks having effectively moved sideways for the past eight sessions, the question of the day is which way we go from here. The bulls will argue vehemently that the bears have had ample time and opportunity to get something st...
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Tags: stock-market | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
What Price Confidence?
Daily State of the Markets Tuesday Morning - January 31, 2012 I wrote last week that, in my humble opinion, the Fed's intention to keep rates at "exceptionally low levels" for a length of time that surprised just about everyone, was aimed primarily at helping to build confidence in the American...
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Tags: stock-market | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
Is There a Hole In The Thesis?
Daily State of the Markets Monday Morning - January 30, 2012 Good Morning. Investors dressed in fur these days have likely been both surprised and dismayed by the S&P 500's recent 6-week joyride to the upside. For those keeping score at home, the venerable stock market index has now finished hi...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
Let's Get Sentimental
Daily State of the Markets Friday Morning - January 27, 2012 Good Morning. Anyone who takes the study of the stock market seriously undoubtedly spends at least some of their time with sentiment indicators. For example, sentiment models and indicators account for 15% of our daily risk management...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
It's Really All About Confidence
Daily State of the Markets Thursday Morning - January 26, 2012 Good Morning. Anyone holding short-term interest-bearing investments over the past few years knows all too well that cash has been trash as far as trying to generate any kind of income or growth goes. With interest rates at historic...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
Barrier To Entry
Daily State of the Markets Wednesday Morning - January 25, 2012 Good Morning. It is safe to say that investors of all shapes and sizes found 2011 to be a very frustrating year. It didn't matter whether you employed a buy-and-hope approach or an active trading strategy; the bottom line is it was...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
A Costume Change?
Daily State of the Markets Tuesday Morning - January 24, 2012 Good Morning. Although the stock market is overbought and due for a pullback, my current working thesis involves the idea that the market made a costume change on December 20th. Suddenly and without warning, the uber-violent environm...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
A Different Kind of Decoupling
Daily State of the Markets Tuesday Morning - January 17, 2012 Publishing Note: I am traveling the rest of the week and will publish Daily State reports as time permits. Good Morning. There seems to be some confusion about the idea of the U.S. "decoupling" from the European debt crisis. The bear...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
Is The Game Finally Changing?
Daily State of the Markets Friday Morning - January 13, 2012 Good Morning. With the exception of the very first trading day of the year, each and every session in 2012 has continued to take on an eerily similar pattern. As I mentioned on Tuesday, it appears that the new trend is for traders to ...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
What Do The Cycles Say?
Daily State of the Markets Thursday Morning - January 12, 2012 Good Morning. Anyone who has read this column for any length of time knows that I don't believe in making predictions about the stock market. No, I believe it is critical to check your ego at the door each morning and to spend your ...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
The New Trend in Trends
Daily State of the Markets Wednesday Morning - January 11, 2012 Good Morning. Yesterday's market headlines from the biggest of the big news websites read: "Stocks Finish at Five Month Highs," "Stocks Notch Another Win," and "Banks Lead Rally." All of which would seem to indicate that the bulls ...
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Tags: stocks | commentary | market-news | investment | markets | education
