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Contact Kara Crawford at kara@traderplanet.com for further details.en-ushttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/58366-even_betterhttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/58366-even_better<p></p> <p>In my last article I described applying a “PNI+3EMA” method to trading the S&amp;P500 Emini.  In this article, as promised, I investigate adding other VantagePoint indicators to the analysis to improve results achieved thru backtesting.    </p> <p><b>Review     </b></p> <p>Regular readers of this Newsletter will recall the “PNI+3EMA” method I described and demonstrated previously for trading the USDJPY forex pair.  In my last article, I adapted the method to trading the S&amp;P500 Emini.  In a nutshell, the trading rule...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/58366-even_better'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/834/?a=1070><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/wyckoff.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockFri, 13 Aug 2010 20:02:54 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/56368-basically_yeshttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/56368-basically_yes<p><b></b></p> <p>I am often asked by readers of this Newsletter if the trading strategies I describe here can be successfully applied to markets other than the ones I discuss and demonstrate.  My answer to that question has 2 parts:  “Basically, Yes;  and specifically, No, be careful”.  In this Article I will explain what I mean, and show a quick example in a market I haven’t discussed here previously.</p> <p><b>What I Mean</b></p> <p>First, ‘the answer’.   What I mean by saying “Basically, Yes” is that the logic behind the meth...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/56368-basically_yes'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/832/?a=1073><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/jobman.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockWed, 28 Jul 2010 03:41:36 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/56367-vantagepoint_makes_it_easy_if_you_ll_let_it_part_2http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/56367-vantagepoint_makes_it_easy_if_you_ll_let_it_part_2<p></p> <p>In Part 1 of this article I described using VantagePoint’s Predicted Neural Index indicator as a simple trade entry signal, and presented some backtesting results using that approach with the USD/CAD forex pair.  In this article I will add another VantagePoint indicator to the approach and show how it can greatly improve trading performance.</p> <p><b>The Predicted Neural Index</b></p> <p>The VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis software provides numerous predictive indicators a trader can use individually or in co...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/56367-vantagepoint_makes_it_easy_if_you_ll_let_it_part_2'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/832/?a=1073><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/jobman.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockWed, 28 Jul 2010 03:28:51 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/48052-vantagepoint_makes_it_easy_http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/48052-vantagepoint_makes_it_easy_<p >I decided to break from my usual discussions of the USD/JPY forex pair and instead use the USD/CAD for examples this time. In this article, I will demonstrate how “easy” VantagePoint makes it to identify high probability “quick-strike” trade entries, in a market other than my usual subject!</p> <p ><strong>The Predicted Neural Index</strong></p> <p >The VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis software provides numerous predictive indicators a trader can use individually or in combination to make trading decisions. The foundation o...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/48052-vantagepoint_makes_it_easy_'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/624/?a=1067><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/dinapoli.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 06 May 2010 18:17:38 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/34126-vp_newsletter_articlehttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/34126-vp_newsletter_article<p>In recent issues of the bi-weekly Vantagepoint newsletter, I've described a trading approach using the Vantagepoint software to trade the USD/JPY pair.</p> <p>In a nutshell, the rules are:</p> <p><span ><b>Enter long when</b></span>:</p> <p>- Predicted neural index changes from '0' to '1'</p> <p>- Price closes above all 3 predicted EMAs in the Triple EMA set, on the same day as the change in neural index or 1 day later, max</p> <p>- The Predicted Long Term Difference indicator is increasing </p> <p></p> <p>For longs, set SL 20 pips below the analysis day's low ...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/34126-vp_newsletter_article'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/624/?a=1067><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/dinapoli.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockTue, 09 Feb 2010 01:28:28 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33739-developing_your_personal_strategyhttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33739-developing_your_personal_strategy<p>Recently, I was asked a very interesting and important question: “What mindset do you think current and potential VantagePoint users should have?”</p> <p>My answer is very simple: Traders should be able to say, “I am a skilled craftsman, using the right tools for the job.”</p> <p>The logical next question along this path is, “Ok, so how does one get to be that ‘skilled craftsman’ trader?”</p> <p>Again, my answer is very simple: “Know yourself, know your tools, know your market – and trade accordingly.”</p> <p>As we know...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33739-developing_your_personal_strategy'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/834/?a=1070><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/wyckoff.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 17:13:01 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33738-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_index_part_3http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33738-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_index_part_3<p>The winning performance achieved in trading the USD/JPY pair using only VantagePoint’s predicted neural index as an entry signal, as described previously in Parts 1 and 2, continued over the past month, as shown in the figure below.</p> <p>Part 3 of the testing started after the trade closed in Part 2 on April 20, and six new trades were signaled, four of which were profitable. Three of the four winners reached the 100-pip profit target. This brings the totals thus far for the year 2009 to 29 trades...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33738-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_index_part_3'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/832/?a=1073><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/jobman.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 17:10:43 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33737-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_index_part_2http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33737-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_index_part_2<p>Part 1 discussed VantagePoint's Predicted Neural Index and presented results of a backtest using it as the only signal to enter trades. PIndex is a proprietary indicator included in VantagePoint Intermarket Analysis Software that predicts whether or not a three-day simple moving average of the typical price will be higher or lower two trading days in the future compared to today.</p> <p>When the predicted 3SMA value is greater than today's actual 3SMA value, the PIndex displayed by the software is "...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33737-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_index_part_2'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/834/?a=1070><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/wyckoff.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 17:07:45 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33736-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_indexhttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33736-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_index<p><span ><b>Part 1</b></span></p> <p>"Paralysis by analysis"... "Couldn't see the forest for the trees"... "Tunnel vision"...</p> <p>These are adages we've all heard. Sometimes our trading can suffer from these kinds of shortcomings, getting so wrapped up in watching "the small stuff" on our charts that we totally miss seeing the elephant charging the camp - or the train leaving the station, so to speak!</p> <p>This article demonstrates how just one of VantagePoint's many indicators can serve as a pretty big signpost, consistently poin...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33736-back_to_basics_trading_with_the_predicted_neural_index'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/834/?a=1070><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/wyckoff.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 17:06:17 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33734-backtesting_and_reality_http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33734-backtesting_and_reality_<p>In Parts 1-3 of this article, I described an approach to trading the USD/JPY forex pair using VantagePoint’s Predicted Neural Index as the primary entry signal, with entry confirmation provided by price action relative to VantagePoint’s set of 3 predicted EMAs. I noted and demonstrated that allowing the price action to confirm a trade entry “late,” a day later than the PIndex signal occurrence if needed, significantly improved results and increased net gain thru the year 2009.</p> <p >In this article...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33734-backtesting_and_reality_'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/624/?a=1067><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/dinapoli.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 16:58:13 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33733-backtesting_and_reality_sometimes_therehttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33733-backtesting_and_reality_sometimes_there<p>In Part 1 and 2 of this series, I reviewed three approaches to trading the USD/JPY forex pair using VantagePoint’s  “predicted neural index” as the primary entry signal, and demonstrated how money/risk management can be applied to back test results. I showed how the money/risk management strategy a trader couples with a trade entry-exit system can have surprising effects on bottom line profitability.</p> <p >In this article, I will present back test results of employing the PNI+3EMA method during 200...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33733-backtesting_and_reality_sometimes_there'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/815/?a=1071><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/murphy.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 16:56:20 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33732-backtesting_and_reality_http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33732-backtesting_and_reality_<p>In Part 1 of this article, I briefly reviewed three previously-introduced approaches to trading the USD/JPY forex pair using VantagePoint’s “Predicted Neural Index” as the primary entry signal. In this article, I will demonstrate the effect realistic trade risk can have on back test results and the resulting choices on trading strategy selection. </p> <p ><b><span >Methods Review</span></b></p> <p >The “PNI Only” method I described previously calls for trade entries based on changes in PIndex alone. When PIndex changes value fro...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33732-backtesting_and_reality_'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/832/?a=1073><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/jobman.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 16:54:17 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33731-backtesting_and_reality_sometimes_therehttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33731-backtesting_and_reality_sometimes_there<p >In previous articles, I described three approaches to trading the USD/JPY forex pair using VantagePoint’s Predicted Neural Index as the primary entry signal. In my next series of articles, I will discuss and demonstrate the impact strategy selection and money management have on translating backtesting results into realistically expected trading results. </p> <p><b><span >Review</span></b></p> <p >The basic method I described previously calls for trade entries based on changes in PIndex alone.  When PIndex changes from 0 to 1, a...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33731-backtesting_and_reality_sometimes_there'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/834/?a=1070><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/wyckoff.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 16:52:38 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33730-what_a_difference_a_difference_indicator_can_makehttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33730-what_a_difference_a_difference_indicator_can_make<p>In my last article, I described a trading approach for the USD/JPY forex pair using changes in VantagePoint’s Predicted Neural Index as trade entry signals, filtered by price action relative to the “Triple Crossover” set of predicted moving averages also included in the VantagePoint software. </p> <p >As a single user-selectable option, VantagePoint includes a set of three predicted moving averages – 3-, 8- and 18-day exponential moving averages of typical prices, predicted 1, 2 and 3 days in advance...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33730-what_a_difference_a_difference_indicator_can_make'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/744/?a=1072><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/firman.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 16:39:50 +0000http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33729-speaking_of_those_moving_averageshttp://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33729-speaking_of_those_moving_averages<p >In previous articles, I described a trading approach for the USD/JPY forex pair, using changes in VantagePoint’s Predicted Neural Index as the only indicator for entering trades.</p> <p >Stop losses are set 20 pips below the analysis day’s low for long trades, and 20 pips above the analysis day’s high for short trades. The trade is held until either a 100 pip profit target is reached; the SL is reached, or a daily close in profit is reached -- whichever comes first. Additionally, once entered, a trad...</p><a href='http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/33729-speaking_of_those_moving_averages'>Read More at TraderPlanet.com &#187;</a><p align=center><a href=http://www.traderplanet.com/tradertube/index/744/?a=1072><img src=http://www.traderplanet.com/themes/trader_plain/gfx/firman.gif border=0 /></a></p> ted warnockted warnockThu, 04 Feb 2010 16:37:26 +0000