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Ask Trader Ed

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Ask Trader Ed

Ask Trader Ed is an exclusive trader's advice column that is authored by Trader Ed, the ambassador for TraderPlanet.com. Adopting a fun, light-hearted and sometimes serious approach to providing advice to traders, Trader Ed's purpose is to help individuals become better traders.

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Correcting the Distortion In The Picture

Correcting the Distortion In The Picture

I am not sure what to think today, as the news is, well, both conflicting and seemingly positive overall, but, and still, the market is not happy. US manufacturing came in at a five-month high, but the ADP employment report missed its target; yet the manufacturing report from Markit also pointed out that US manufacturers are hiring (even as the ISM report showed manufacturing at a 22-month...

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A Bright Morning, Indeed

A Bright Morning, Indeed

Some days, the reality of the market hits me like a clear, crisp sunny morning after a rain the night before – I step out into the light and I understand … This morning, my perusal of the world news reminded that the market is about people, people just like you and me, and in that reality, it is as clear as a sunny morning after a rain that when market folks are happy, the market will...

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We Will Know More When Earnings Start Coming Out

We Will Know More When Earnings Start Coming Out

This week promises more volatility as it is a short week, more data about the US economy comes out, Greece promises more excitement, and Iran comes to the table with a deal or it does not. Though markets will be closed for the Good Friday public holiday, the Labor Department will release March U.S. payrolls in the morning. Wall Street will keep one eye on the situation in Greece. The Greek...

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Analyzing Oil Is Crazy Making

Analyzing Oil Is Crazy Making

Tracking market opinion can make you crazy. Analysts are all over the board on any given day. Take the hot topic of our time – oil – for example. Pat Flynn (yes that Pat Flynn) is a new contributor to TraderPlanet and he has an interesting take on how oil got here and where it is going. Check out Oil-Dollar Breakdown, Higher Prices To Come? His thorough look at oil and the correlation to...

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Profits Are, Ultimately, The Only Sane Consideration

Profits Are, Ultimately, The Only Sane Consideration

This is March, right? Okay, then, I get it. This is March Madness and this, then, is the state of the market these days. I only describe it this way because yesterday was such a surprise. I expected the market would be done, but almost three hundred on the Dow is a bit mad, given the current state of things in the market world.    The S&P 500 has gone 26 sessions without 2 up days in a...

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Is The Market Being Fair?

Is The Market Being Fair?

When two things are in stark contrast to one another, they could be said to be contrary, or, in contraposition. For example, here are two news items juxtaposed to demonstrate my point. Wall Street stocks and the dollar slipped on Wednesday as government data signaled the U.S. economic expansion was slowing, while gains in the euro prompted a pullback in European stock markets. The euro...

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Am I Missing The Mark?

Am I Missing The Mark?

Sometimes, I think my view of the world is off kilter, missing the mark, somehow disconnected from reality. For example, I read an article this morning, written by Richard Heinberg, a Senior Fellow at the Post Carbon Institute, a seemingly reputable “think tank which provides information and analysis on climate change, energy scarcity, and other issues related to sustainability and long term...

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All Over The Map With Energy, Taxes, And The US Dollar

All Over The Map With Energy, Taxes, And The US Dollar

Well, well, well, thus far today, the market is behaving in a manner befitting a market that is not, I repeat not, falling prey to the breathless media. It appears to be assessing its recent march toward record highs, again, and in that, it is shaking off the buy up of technology last Friday, which seems normal. Yet, it taketh more days than one to convince me it is on the way back to...

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The Market Path Is Clearing, But Obstacles Will Remain

The Market Path Is Clearing, But Obstacles Will Remain

So, today the market is pushing hard into the green. The DIJA is pushing another 200-point day, whereas yesterday, it dropped some 117 points. This huge of a swing is not uncommon these days. The volatility is, well, just a bit less than extreme (2008-2009, and the summer 2011 are the metric for extreme). But here is the interesting thing – the VIX, the measurement of volatility in the...

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Out With The Old, And In With The Old, Ughhh …

Out With The Old, And In With The Old, Ughhh …

Okay … That was quite the day, yesterday. Whatever the Fed and Janet Yellen said, the market liked. I will get to what they said in a moment, but I have to clear up what appears to be a common misunderstanding. How about an article answering the following: Obama says "he's" cut the debt in half, so why do we have to keep raising the debt ceiling? I don’t need an article to clarify this – As...

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It Is Still All About The Fed, Unfortunately

It Is Still All About The Fed, Unfortunately

With just about an hour before the Fed releases its notes, and just about 1.5 hours before Janet Yellen holds her press conference, the market is holding steady in the red. I am not sure what it wants to hear, but the tension is palpable. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday is expected to lay the groundwork for its first interest rate hike in nearly a decade, as it continues to weigh whether...

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It’s As Easy As One, Two, Three

It’s As Easy As One, Two, Three

Let’s just go with 1, 2, 3 today. Yup, all you need to know about the market in three simple news items. But before we count down, though, I just want to ask, “How crazy is this volatility?” I mean, what is the problem? The Fed will raise rates and that is it. Period. Okay, here is a more lucid take for you – the volatility comes from the fact that no one knows what anyone else will do in a...

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So, Why Is The Market Up Today?

So, Why Is The Market Up Today?

This morning, I had a completely different view of what I would write about today. But, as the fundamental principle of the Multiverses dictates, change will happen, and it did, right after I read the headline below right after I read a bit from David Stockman, you remember, the Budget Director for President Reagan.   Oil Is Getting Slammed Again, and Falling to Its Lowest Level in Years I...

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Take A Trip To Europe – It Is Getting Cheaper By The Day

Take A Trip To Europe – It Is Getting Cheaper By The Day

Some days, I just don’t know where to start. The “news” is coming at me, rather at us, a mile a minute, and the stock market is reacting furiously to the pulsing drumbeat from the breathless media.  Hey! I just figured out where to start – with some good news. For those of you planning a European trip any time soon, or, perhaps, in the summer, you are going to get a big bang for your buck if...

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The Market Is A Dash and A Marathon

The Market Is A Dash and A Marathon

Yesterday, I watched an 800-meter race for our high school (our kid got third). One guy led the whole race until the last forty meters or so. In those last forty meters, the fella who did win came on steadily.  Slowly, and with churning power, he swallowed each millimeter between the leader and himself, until, finally, at the very end, he pushed his chest and head forward with a spurt of...

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