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Take A Trip To Europe – It Is Getting Cheaper By The Day

Take A Trip To Europe – It Is Getting Cheaper By The Day

Some days, I just don’t know where to start. The “news” is coming at me, rather at us, a mile a minute, and the stock market is reacting furiously to the pulsing drumbeat from the breathless media.  Hey! I just figured out where to start – with some good news. For those of you planning a European trip any time soon, or, perhaps, in the summer, you are going to get a big bang for your buck if...

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The Market Is A Dash and A Marathon

The Market Is A Dash and A Marathon

Yesterday, I watched an 800-meter race for our high school (our kid got third). One guy led the whole race until the last forty meters or so. In those last forty meters, the fella who did win came on steadily.  Slowly, and with churning power, he swallowed each millimeter between the leader and himself, until, finally, at the very end, he pushed his chest and head forward with a spurt of...

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Where Exactly Are We Headed?

Where Exactly Are We Headed?

This morning I read an interesting article on TraderPlanet, WARNING: SIMILARITIES BETWEEN 1998 and 2015. In the piece, Alex Manzara points out a number of thought-provoking facts about the two market time frames, but one in particular is this: “… profits as a % of GDP are at an historically high level, a situation which is unlikely to continue.”  Now, I don’t disagree with Mr. Manzara, as I...

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Can Someone Please Change The Channel?

Can Someone Please Change The Channel?

Apparently, it doesn’t take much to send me over the edge. No, not the edge of sanity, although I have looked into the precipice a time or two in my life; rather, as I have mentioned before, I can go over the edge of boredom with the market. Yup, all this stupidity about the Fed raising rates makes me want to take a nap. Instead, I have to take the time to set the record straight, at least...

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What Do You Think I Have Been Saying

What Do You Think I Have Been Saying

Why is it that Mondays have to come once a week? Just ask anyone and he or she will tell you that Mondays are blue, lacking energy, and just plain old blah. So, can someone out there get it changed that Mondays only come, say, once per month, or, maybe, here is an idea, not at all. As to the market, since it is Monday, I am feeling blue, lacking energy, and just plain old blah, so I will go...

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A Normal Interest-Rate Environment Is Healthy

A Normal Interest-Rate Environment Is Healthy

In with the new out with the old. This is the natural flow of the multiverses. Change is inevitable and our world is changing. A new technical paradigm is upon us, the New Economy is firmly rooted.    Apple, the largest U.S. company by market value, will join the storied Dow Jones industrial average, replacing AT&T, in a change that reflects the dominant position of iPhone maker in the...

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All Over The Map Today

All Over The Map Today

The market today is acting rather sedate after two days of losing steam. To my vision, this behavior is expected. Given the sudden rush to the top, smashing all ceilings and building new floors, it is apparent the market needed some time to completely digest the new levels, and it took that time with two days of selling off. It is now closer to “right.” Yet, today’s US economic news came out...

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All The News All The Time, Sheesh!

All The News All The Time, Sheesh!

“All the news, all the time” is a tagline for more than one news outlet, and in this, the ubiquitous 24-hour news cycle world, it is appropriate. Do you ever get the feeling that there is too much news, though? Let me clarify. There can never be too much news, meaning, legitimate news that informs, educates, and, yes, entertains, but what we can get too much of is repetition, opinion, and...

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The Market Is Balancing, Indeed It Is

The Market Is Balancing, Indeed It Is

US auto sales come in soft, the market retreats from yesterday’s run up, and the rest of the story is filled with bits and pieces of solid fundamental evidence that Europe is healing and almost half the big-cheese leaders of American corporations plan on spending some money this year. Did I get the gist of the news? Oh, yeh, and oil is still struggling with record inventories. Oil rebounded...

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Is The Market Ahead Of Itself?

Is The Market Ahead Of Itself?

In my line of work, I come across thoughtful perspectives, reasoned opinions, and flat-out nonsense. The latter I simply dismiss, but thoughtful and reasoned are not easy to shun, even when they go against my own line of thinking. Hence, I just read an article this morning that suggested the market was getting ahead of itself, especially since the recent US economic data has not been...

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Someone Is Urgently Betting On Oil Going Back Up

Someone Is Urgently Betting On Oil Going Back Up

“Urgent.” The word when read or said elicits a feeling, a visceral sensibility. Funny thing, though, when I read or lead with it relative to the market, it lacks meaning. The market is anything but urgent. The Dow and the S&P 500 are not moving, the VIX is hanging around 13.5, gold is flat (and has been for some time), and the US dollar is moving a little here and there, but fairly...

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There Is The Ideal, And Then There Is Reality

There Is The Ideal, And Then There Is Reality

As one writer on TraderPlanet said, “Message For The Market – Slow and Steady.” The point is clear – until we have something extraordinary, the market will chew forty times, swallow slowly, and digest the daily stream of easy news. The next phase of the market is all about central bank policies around the globe. Global equities set a new record high and bond yields sank to fresh lows on...

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Wait A Bit, Market Direction Is Coming

Wait A Bit, Market Direction Is Coming

One expects the market to behave the way it is behaving today. After all, we are here again, the rarified air of record highs. Big money is not sure where to go from here, even with Ms. Yellen’s dovish comments to the esteemed US Congress. She says she is in no hurry to raise rates, but this does not mean anything, really. She is simply telling us inflation is not a threat at the moment and...

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Keep Your Eye On The Macro, The Market Is Going Up

Keep Your Eye On The Macro, The Market Is Going Up

First off, let me just say I consider myself a “moralist,” or, at the very least, ethical. I believe we should all pursue our endeavors in a manner that does not cause harm to others. This is pretty basic, right? Isn’t it what religious institutions teach, you know, the Golden Rule, respect for others, etc.? So, when I read about rather large corporate institutions pursuing their goals at...

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Be Wary Of Big Money Telling You Where To Put Your Money

Be Wary Of Big Money Telling You Where To Put Your Money

Studying the market, one learns many a thing that often flies in the face of logic. The reason is the market is not a “pure” game; forces are constantly trying to manipulate it and if the forces are powerful enough, they succeed. Now, this reality flies in the face of logic because one can logically ask, “Then why play the market, if forces can move it this way and that when it suits them?”...

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