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Ground Hog Day Again, And Again?

Ground Hog Day Again, And Again?

Some days in this world, the financial world, I find myself thinking about Bill Murray. True, he is a funny guy, but it is not him, exactly, that I think about – it is his movie, Ground Hog Day. Some days, it seems to me, I have lived this day before in this, my financial reality. One reason is there are stories that just never die, that go on and on, and no matter how important they are to...

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More Things In Heaven And Earth …

More Things In Heaven And Earth …

The really good news is that right here, right now, at this very moment, it is raining right here in California. Mind you, this is April, a mere 17 days after the Spring Equinox. Coincidentally (or not), the market is enjoying another day of green. I parenthetically say “or not” because last night  I read an analyst who discussed the current market in Gann terms, which means, of course a...

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Confounded By The Daily Barrage of Economic Data?

Confounded By The Daily Barrage of Economic Data?

Contradictory, antithetical, and conflicted are three words that come to mind after thinking about recent economic news. First off, last week’s employment report came in at less than 150,000, which broke the record string of consecutive months of 200,000 plus jobs gained. And then …   Hourly pay was a silver lining in Friday’s monthly jobs report, rising by 0.3 percent from the prior month...

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I Say Unto You …

I Say Unto You …

A high school Track and Field meet goes on and on, seemingly accomplishing nothing in the hours it takes to get through it, yet all the while, the jumping, running, throwing, putting, and dashing is adding up to one team doing better than the others. In the end, it is the total accumulation of points that defines the winner; it is the team that wins more that it loses that comes out on top....

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Correcting the Distortion In The Picture

Correcting the Distortion In The Picture

I am not sure what to think today, as the news is, well, both conflicting and seemingly positive overall, but, and still, the market is not happy. US manufacturing came in at a five-month high, but the ADP employment report missed its target; yet the manufacturing report from Markit also pointed out that US manufacturers are hiring (even as the ISM report showed manufacturing at a 22-month...

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A Bright Morning, Indeed

A Bright Morning, Indeed

Some days, the reality of the market hits me like a clear, crisp sunny morning after a rain the night before – I step out into the light and I understand … This morning, my perusal of the world news reminded that the market is about people, people just like you and me, and in that reality, it is as clear as a sunny morning after a rain that when market folks are happy, the market will...

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We Will Know More When Earnings Start Coming Out

We Will Know More When Earnings Start Coming Out

This week promises more volatility as it is a short week, more data about the US economy comes out, Greece promises more excitement, and Iran comes to the table with a deal or it does not. Though markets will be closed for the Good Friday public holiday, the Labor Department will release March U.S. payrolls in the morning. Wall Street will keep one eye on the situation in Greece. The Greek...

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Analyzing Oil Is Crazy Making

Analyzing Oil Is Crazy Making

Tracking market opinion can make you crazy. Analysts are all over the board on any given day. Take the hot topic of our time – oil – for example. Pat Flynn (yes that Pat Flynn) is a new contributor to TraderPlanet and he has an interesting take on how oil got here and where it is going. Check out Oil-Dollar Breakdown, Higher Prices To Come? His thorough look at oil and the correlation to...

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Profits Are, Ultimately, The Only Sane Consideration

Profits Are, Ultimately, The Only Sane Consideration

This is March, right? Okay, then, I get it. This is March Madness and this, then, is the state of the market these days. I only describe it this way because yesterday was such a surprise. I expected the market would be done, but almost three hundred on the Dow is a bit mad, given the current state of things in the market world.    The S&P 500 has gone 26 sessions without 2 up days in a...

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Is The Market Being Fair?

Is The Market Being Fair?

When two things are in stark contrast to one another, they could be said to be contrary, or, in contraposition. For example, here are two news items juxtaposed to demonstrate my point. Wall Street stocks and the dollar slipped on Wednesday as government data signaled the U.S. economic expansion was slowing, while gains in the euro prompted a pullback in European stock markets. The euro...

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Am I Missing The Mark?

Am I Missing The Mark?

Sometimes, I think my view of the world is off kilter, missing the mark, somehow disconnected from reality. For example, I read an article this morning, written by Richard Heinberg, a Senior Fellow at the Post Carbon Institute, a seemingly reputable “think tank which provides information and analysis on climate change, energy scarcity, and other issues related to sustainability and long term...

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All Over The Map With Energy, Taxes, And The US Dollar

All Over The Map With Energy, Taxes, And The US Dollar

Well, well, well, thus far today, the market is behaving in a manner befitting a market that is not, I repeat not, falling prey to the breathless media. It appears to be assessing its recent march toward record highs, again, and in that, it is shaking off the buy up of technology last Friday, which seems normal. Yet, it taketh more days than one to convince me it is on the way back to...

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The Market Path Is Clearing, But Obstacles Will Remain

The Market Path Is Clearing, But Obstacles Will Remain

So, today the market is pushing hard into the green. The DIJA is pushing another 200-point day, whereas yesterday, it dropped some 117 points. This huge of a swing is not uncommon these days. The volatility is, well, just a bit less than extreme (2008-2009, and the summer 2011 are the metric for extreme). But here is the interesting thing – the VIX, the measurement of volatility in the...

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Out With The Old, And In With The Old, Ughhh …

Out With The Old, And In With The Old, Ughhh …

Okay … That was quite the day, yesterday. Whatever the Fed and Janet Yellen said, the market liked. I will get to what they said in a moment, but I have to clear up what appears to be a common misunderstanding. How about an article answering the following: Obama says "he's" cut the debt in half, so why do we have to keep raising the debt ceiling? I don’t need an article to clarify this – As...

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It Is Still All About The Fed, Unfortunately

It Is Still All About The Fed, Unfortunately

With just about an hour before the Fed releases its notes, and just about 1.5 hours before Janet Yellen holds her press conference, the market is holding steady in the red. I am not sure what it wants to hear, but the tension is palpable. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday is expected to lay the groundwork for its first interest rate hike in nearly a decade, as it continues to weigh whether...

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