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Market March Madness

Market March Madness

The oracles suggested the market might not do so well today, you know, with the Fed telling us whatever they told us yesterday.  U.S. stock index futures were trading lower on Thursday and the dollar fell against a basket of currencies. Even though stock-index futures missed the call, the US Dollar did not. It is lower by a bunch today, and maybe the reason for that is … Unemployment claims...

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All The News That Fit To Print, Or Not

All The News That Fit To Print, Or Not

I don’t know where the nexus of politics and the market lies, but I know it is out there. Money and power are like the moon and the earth – eventually they line up in their orbits around the sun. It appears we might be heading for a full lunar eclipse, as the headline story on Yahoo Finance this morning is … Trump predicts riots if denied Republican presidential nomination. Immediately below...

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Oh My! Oil And Retail Sales Down – Bring On The Fed

Oh My! Oil And Retail Sales Down – Bring On The Fed

I received a simple but relevant question re: my take on the oil market yesterday. My answer is a bit bold (I reach for the empirical with economics), but today’s oil-market drop suggests I might be on the right track. Q: When is your oil analysis (which I share) going to be reflected in the stock market? A: My guess is this week and next we will see a mostly downward trend. The vested oil...

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Surprise, Surprise, Surprise – Oil Prices Dropped, Again

Surprise, Surprise, Surprise – Oil Prices Dropped, Again

Imagine my surprise this morning when the market opened just a bit lower on the price of oil … Oil fell around 3 percent on Monday after Iran dashed hopes of a coordinated production freeze any time soon, returning bearish sentiment over a supply glut that has sent prices crashing. Okay, raise your hand if you thought (seriously thought) oil was headed more than marginally higher last...

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SPX-First Glance Might Not Tell The Whole Story

SPX-First Glance Might Not Tell The Whole Story

It’s Friday mid-day, and we can just about tuck another wild market week away.  It appears today the market might just close at a nine-week high, which tells us what? Not much, I am afraid, other than the market likes oil prices going up. The VIX, of course, is going the other way, just about to the low 16 range, which is the clearest signal yet the positive market activity this past week is...

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The Big Money is on the Sidelines

The Big Money is on the Sidelines

There’s the daily up and down of the indices, and then there is the VIX. Which is more important to gauging market sentiment?  U.S. jobless claims hit a five-month low as labor market strengthens. The ECB lowered the benchmark interest rate to zero, while cutting its deposit facility rate to minus 0.4%. The central bank also expanded its monthly asset purchases to 80 billion euros, beginning...

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Midday Market Report March 9th 2016

Midday Market Report March 9th 2016

Mid-morning, the market is pushing into green on good economic data that just came out today. U.S. wholesale inventories unexpectedly rose in January as sales tumbled, suggesting that efforts by businesses to reduce an inventory overhang could persist well into 2016 and restrain economic growth. Oops! I meant to say not-so-good economic data, but I didn’t because the market fooled me again....

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Midday Market Report

Midday Market Report

Do you want straight talk about the events that are affecting the markets? Do you want to screen out the superfluous noise? We thought so and we’ve got your back. Every afternoon the markets are open, Trader Ed will provide a curated selection of the top stories that can affect your trading. No political slant. No agenda.  Just the pertinent market news with some much needed humor.   The...

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The Real News is Not the Loudest Headline

The Real News is Not the Loudest Headline

Do you want straight talk about the events that are affecting the markets? Do you want to screen out the superfluous noise? We thought so and we’ve got your back. Every afternoon the markets are open, Trader Ed will provide a curated selection of the top stories that can affect your trading. No political slant. No agenda.  Just the pertinent market news with some much needed humor.    Is...

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Sometimes, Taking A Break Is A Good Thing

Sometimes, Taking A Break Is A Good Thing

Sometimes in Life, one just needs to take a break and do something different, something else for a bit. It doesn’t mean one does not enjoy that thing; it simply means that one desires some fresh air, a gulp of air to refresh and invigorate. Well, folks, I am going for a gulp of air. I will be back, but for now, my writing will turn to e-books about the trading and investing world. I am going...

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It’s Simple – We Switch The Channel When We Get Bored

It’s Simple – We Switch The Channel When We Get Bored

As I was reading this morning about economic theory regarding the volatility of the stock market, it occurred to me that a) economics is clearly more an art than science, and b) perhaps there is a simple yet highly affective factor that is pivotal to market volatility, yet no one is talking about it, at least not in high-minded economic circles. The factor is both relative to the fear...

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Sometimes, My Thinking Is All Wet

Sometimes, My Thinking Is All Wet

If one wants to learn about market movement, one has to come at that learning with a single context, a frame of mind that singularly focuses on two things – the market is forward looking and its singular concern is corporate profit. All the rest is just flotsam churning in the current, debris bobbing in the waves, or, to continue the discombobulating water-movement metaphor, ripples from the...

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Go Leading, Not Lagging And Think Solar

Go Leading, Not Lagging And Think Solar

The good news is it is Tuesday. Monday is long gone. The bad news is Tuesday is no better than Monday relative to market news.   Growth in the U.S. manufacturing sector moderated in June for a third month in a row, slipping to its slowest pace since late 2013, according to an industry report released on Tuesday. Blah, blah, blah … We already know this stuff. It is about durable goods...

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Change, Innovation, And Some "You Go Girl"

Change, Innovation, And Some "You Go Girl"

Well, it is Monday again (weird how it appears on a regular basis), the slow day of the week, the one day that requires more energy for liftoff. At least for me it requires more energy for liftoff, but, apparently, not so for the market. It is Monday (again) and the market is pushing hard into the green. I suspect it is the news that Greece might be coming back to earth in its negotiations...

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Sharing Feelings, Sometimes It Happens

Sharing Feelings, Sometimes It Happens

Right out of the gate, I want to say I have feelings I want to share. Relax. Just go with it. Believe it or not, I have feelings about the Greek drama unfolding, and those feelings stem from the reality the Greeks have a long, dramatic history (think Euripides and Homer), and I have a graduate degree in Literature, so I know a thing or two about that history. Watching the current drama...

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