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The Good, The Bad, And The Battery Thing

The Good, The Bad, And The Battery Thing

When the market goes up, does anyone really care why? Today is a good example. The Fed said what it said, which is what it usually says, which is usually not much on the specific side of life and the market loves it. Here we are again, the market marching upward toward its record highs. Well, let that be as it is. The market is still playing the Fed game. In the meantime, I want to point out...

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Don’t Worry, Project A Movie

Don’t Worry, Project A Movie

Everyone is now waiting to hear from the Fed after today’s meeting. Will it or won’t it push the much ballyhooed rate increase to September? Whenever the Fed decides to raise rates, there will be an effect, for sure, but that effect will be spread out and it will be both positive and negative. Corporate borrowing will be affected negatively, as will consumer loans and mortgage rates. US...

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Drama In Greece, Good News In The US

Drama In Greece, Good News In The US

Since 2008, we have been treated to high drama from the actors on the world stage. Remember the Republicans in the summer of 2011 with their threat to shut down the US government over the debt ceiling? They took that right to the last minute. Man that was dramatic and man did the market panic. Now we have Greece and the EU. It appears this drama is going right down to the last minute, as...

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Turn Away From The Stupid Place

Turn Away From The Stupid Place

When the market goes to this stupid place, I want to go somewhere else, somewhere where I can be amazed, find a laugh, and, perhaps, learn something new. All are easy to do in a world so rich with human endeavors. Amazing … The world’s largest carbon emitter is on track to meet its climate goals a full five years ahead of schedule, according to a study out this week. China will peak emission...

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Greece Is History And The Fed Might Be Moving The Goal Posts

Greece Is History And The Fed Might Be Moving The Goal Posts

The market action today seems somewhat contradictory to my current belief that the market wants to go up. Well, it does, even if it is going bonkers today over the latest chapter leading to a close in the story that is Greece these days. My-oh-my, that great country has come a long way from Plato’s influential philosophy. With not much corporate news out Friday, traders said declines were...

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The Fed Or The Fundamentals – That Is The Question

The Fed Or The Fundamentals – That Is The Question

Today, I go all economic on you, but first, let me just say the Greece thing is so stale. Just get to it boys and girls. Either sign up to the plan or get your bony butt out of the EU. Okay, maybe that is a bit too blunt. Maybe a professional diplomat could say it better. "There is no more time for gambling. The day is coming, I'm afraid, that someone says that the game is over.” I must...

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Bouncing Back, The Market It is

Bouncing Back, The Market It is

Gold is up, oil is up, the dollar is down, as is the VIX, and, hey, guess what? The market is up. Why is the market up? My best guess is because is because it is Wednesday. No. I take that back. It is up because today’s date is an even number of an even month. No? Then, how about the market is up because it wants to go up? The S&P 500 has climbed just 1 percent in 2015 after double-digit...

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Don’t Wait, Get One Now

Don’t Wait, Get One Now

Here on the Central Coast of California, the weather in June turns to fog in the morning. Every day the fog in the morning casts a grey pall over the land. We call this the June Gloom. At right about 11:00 (okay so maybe there is an hour variance here and there), the fog melts away and the bright sunshine breaks through.   The same feeling I get with the June Gloom I get with the market...

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The Market Wants To Go Up, And It Will

The Market Wants To Go Up, And It Will

In a nutshell, the market is now focused on one thing and one thing only, or so it seems to the breathless media. Bond-Market Game of Chicken With Fed Is Riskier Than Ever Man-oh-man, the Fed has a tight hold on the market. The problem as I see it is the market is holding right back with white knuckles. Investors are yanking cash out of the fixed income market. Government bonds experienced a...

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Here The Market Goes Again --The Cycle Continues

Here The Market Goes Again --The Cycle Continues

No matter what the market ends up doing today, it is clear after the reversal this morning, it still sees the boogeyman under the bed; it still worries that the Fed raising interest rates is bad for the market, and it completely ignores the reason the Fed will raise rates – a steadily improving economy.   Stock futures extended losses on Friday after a blowout nonfarm payrolls report for May...

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Pressure Yes, Boiling Point No

Pressure Yes, Boiling Point No

Pressure is building. That opening sentence sounds ominous. Let me rephrase – The market is feeling some pressure from a variety of quarters, but not the quarters that truly matter, at least not yet. A persistent sell-off in bond markets left financial market confidence in short supply on Thursday, with stocks lower globally and not even traditional safe havens like gold and the Swiss franc...

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Big Data Creates Efficiency In Markets

Big Data Creates Efficiency In Markets

Pat Flynn of Futures magazine wrote an article about the current state of oil prices, and in his opening paragraphs he suggested the oil minister of Saudi Arabia is crowing about the success of his policy to crush the US oil producers – flood the market with oil, drop the price, thus putting the inefficient US producers out of business. Hold the phone!  Mr. Ali al-Naimi, don’t run that...

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The Market View: Polar Opposites

The Market View: Polar Opposites

I am saying again, the market is acting as if it wants to go up. Struggling Greece, an overvalued bond market, and China struggling with 7% growth all are reasons the market could make a correction. Oh! Did I mention the high P/E ratio of the S&P 500? Many learned folks suggest this s a reason the market will correct, and, well, many don’t as well.    Over the weekend, Goldman Sachs...

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Don’t Let The Education Or The Pedigree Fool You

Don’t Let The Education Or The Pedigree Fool You

The apocalypse is coming, or so say the folks who believe the apocalypse is coming. This is nothing new, historically anyway, but this morning, my reading brought me back to 1968, when a Stanford biologist, Dr. Paul Ehrlich, wrote a book titled, “The Population Bomb.”   Dr. Ehrlich’s opening statement was the verbal equivalent of a punch to the gut: “The battle to feed all of humanity is...

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And So The Story Goes …

And So The Story Goes …

A good story is compelling. The market day in and day out is a compelling story, as it is fraught with never-ending drama, conflict, and colorful characters. True, sometimes the narrative is boring, but then something will happen and the breathless media (a colorful character) recreates the drama in its relentless push to sell. In today’s market chapter, one character is capturing the...

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