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Don’t Blink – The Tide Is Rolling In Fast

Don’t Blink – The Tide Is Rolling In Fast

The tide is changing. The fear of the Fed raising rates is no longer causing the market to panic sell. The market seems to have accepted that higher rates are coming, and when they do, the world will not fall apart. It is, as some say, now “baked into the cake.”  All you have to do is look at market reaction when the monthly US employment report came out on Friday to see that the fear is...

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Old Markets Fade And New Markets Form

Old Markets Fade And New Markets Form

The iconic thinker from the 1960s, Marshall McLuhan, is known for his commentary on media, particularly television (“The medium is the message.”), but he also said something else quite profound, especially when placed in a market context – There are not two sides to a story; there are forty, at least (I paraphrase.). This is and has been a major focus in this writing space – when it comes to...

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Space Travelers, Bitcoins, and Neighbors Spying On Neighbors

Space Travelers, Bitcoins, and Neighbors Spying On Neighbors

This morning, a reader responded to my referencing that report from San Jose California about personal drones spying on neighbors. Some years ago people saw space travelers from distant planets. Now perhaps they see drones. Have you seen any valid reports, substantiated by other evidence?    So, I checked it out and in my somewhat limited research, I did find numerous police reports, but I...

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Clarity, Clarity, Speculation, and Creepy

Clarity, Clarity, Speculation, and Creepy

I have to start the day with taking aim at Reuters News. Now, I get it, they have two different pieces of data here, but at first reading, this fact is hard to tell. The headlines are in bold below and right underneath each is the opening paragraph for each story. U.S. services sector growth cools in April: Markit The pace of expansion in the U.S. services sector eased from a seven-month...

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Watch For The Developing Trend

Watch For The Developing Trend

Aside from last week’s up and down joy ride in the market, things seem to be the same generally – the market wants to behave. All the major indices are hanging around their record levels, the VIX is in the up 12 zone, the US dollar has steadied in the mid-90 area, the euro is rising slowly, gold is still flirting with $1200, and oil has stalled in its recent jump up.  All this tells me the...

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It Is All About The Storage

It Is All About The Storage

Whatever the reason for the market’s dramatic fall yesterday, it seems the market forgot about it today. Funny how that happens … Anyway, I spent some time this morning reading about energy, one of my favorite topics these days. Part of that reading was about Tesla. You gotta give it to Elan Musk. That guy is a go-getter, and, perhaps, the singular leader in the move toward renewable energy....

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Oh Well, Maybe Something Fun Tomorrow

Oh Well, Maybe Something Fun Tomorrow

As I am wont to do now and then … well, maybe more now than then, I feel the need to correct the economic picture. Simply, the US economy is in a pattern and Europe is on the mend, really. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits fell 34,000 to a seasonally adjusted 262,000 for the week ended April 25, the lowest reading since April 2000, the Labor Department said. The pattern for the...

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Oil Again, But Dinosaurs Too

Oil Again, But Dinosaurs Too

We all think we know where the price of oil is headed, especially the experts. They crunch the numbers and come up with predictions, and, well, like many predictions, they fail to materialize. Let’s go back to last fall to exemplify my point. Oil prices had been sliding, but on Oct. 1, the future still looked bright. For the next three months, oil would average $97 a barrel, according to a...

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This Is Real – It Could Go Either Way

This Is Real – It Could Go Either Way

What is real? The question recalls youthful conversations, dialectics perhaps, in which the very nature our existence was debated. Clearly, the market dialectics is real, meaning on any given day one can find contrary opinion supported heartily by whatever analysis is used. “My data says the market will go up; no, my data says the market will go down”. One or the other will be correct, which...

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Things Are Interesting Indeed …

Things Are Interesting Indeed …

First things first, and then I have two things to talk about. I am going out on a limb here, but it seems the market is back to that place where it wants to go up. Once again, we are that place where new record highs are happening, or they are about to happen, such as in the SPX, the RUT, and the NDX. The $DJI is just about 170 points away. Just saying … Now, I am not an alarmist by any...

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Now, This Is A Good Story

Now, This Is A Good Story

There is an interesting story developing in Japan that no one is really talking about – the land of the rising sun just might be taking another big step toward economic resurgence. When one peels back the mundane layers of the story, it is actually quite compelling on a number of levels. And guess what? Part of the Japanese story is about the price of oil, so let’s start there. Oil has...

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Keep Your Eye On What Is Important – Earnings

Keep Your Eye On What Is Important – Earnings

My guess is the market has found its range. It is now trading in the range, and whether it breaks out either way depends now on earnings, all things being equal, meaning, Yemen does not blow up, Ukraine does not flair up, or the EU does not give up on Greece. Oil, of course, is a player in the earnings scenario because the energy sector is such a huge part of the overall earnings game. And...

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So, You Want To Trade, Eh?

So, You Want To Trade, Eh?

So you want to trade, eh? You want someone to teach you how to trade, eh? Well, then, make sure the first question out of any potential teacher’s mouth is: “Do you have the stomach for it?” Last Friday was the kind of day professional traders may or may not see coming, but it is expected nevertheless. So, when it happens they see opportunity, the kind of opportunity that has characterized...

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The Market Running Away From What?

The Market Running Away From What?

What Is the Market Afraid Of? Last Wednesday, I mentioned Dr. Gary Dayton’s article on the “experts” who predict market movement (Predicting the Market: Are The Experts Really Expert?), and then on Thursday, I wrote … It appears we are back to the days of the market wanting to go up, struggling with the latest news, but no longer running away. True, nothing is certain in life, save death and...

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Ya Gotta Believe That With …

Ya Gotta Believe That With …

It appears we are back to the days of the market wanting to go up, struggling with the latest news, but no longer running away. True, nothing is certain in life, save death and taxes (ouch – just got that one done … the latter that is), but as it stands now, the market is flirting with all-time highs, again. Perhaps the floating rumors about the Fed not raising rates until 2016, or, at the...

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