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Money Is Moving, Another Good Sign For the Market

Mitchells & Butler, Mitsubishi, Medtronic, Orchid Group, Siemens, San Dusk, Aquila, Mineral Covidien, and Fusion all are mixing it up with mergers and acquisitions. This reality is a good sign for the market, even as Iraq presents the market with yet another geopolitical “crisis.” The question of the day is if geopolitics in Iraq will become the next "crisis" the stock market will have...

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The Market Needs a Big Reason To Crash … Got One?

Eventually, the doomsayers and the hilltop screamers will be right – the market will crash. Periodically, it just does – 1929, 1933, 1987, 2000, and 2008. The reasons are always clear, after the fact, but up to the point the market crashes, the sentiment is often bullish, extremely so. According to the Lindsey Group's Peter Boockvar, bullish sentiment is at levels even higher than they were...

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For The Record …

For the record, bad geopolitics, and that includes open warfare, tick me off. Just when the world settles down from a “crisis,” up pops another and there goes the price of oil, again. Brent crude rose to $110 a barrel on concern geopolitical tension in the Middle East may disrupt supplies. Didn’t we just get past the Ukraine/Russia, natural gas/oil issue in east Europe?  Okay, okay, I’ll...

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Making Money Long and Short Term

This morning, I reread yesterday’s thinking about the market and I noticed a glaring omission. I should have written a corresponding sentence to offset the following. Yet, whenever a positive catalyst appears, the market seems to run with it. The above is true in this current market environment. The market has gone up whenever some positive news appears, as recent record highs attest but,...

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Where Are We Now?

Okay, so yesterday, I wrote that if the Dow crossed the 17,000 barrier today, the market would be off to the races, more or less. Well, unless we see a reversal of sentiment today, it appears the Dow will not cross that barrier. After U.S. gross domestic product contracted in the first quarter for the first time in three years, investors are cautious. Admittedly, so far this year the...

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The Next Leg Up Toward the Future?

First things first this morning, I have two questions. Will the Dow climb above 17,000 tomorrow and will the Dow remain above 17,000? Actually, I have one more question – is this the beginning of the leg up that has long been in waiting? I am sure the hilltop screamers are wringing their hands, wondering if they misread the predictive omens and the celebrity naysayers are swallowing hard,...

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Get On Board, Get Down With This Reality

So, last night, I went to the 8th-grade dance as a card dealer, and it was kick. Watching the future revel and let loose was fun, but something else made me smile as well. The band consisted of 8th grade kids, and they were good. Interestingly, though, they mixed in music from the 60’s and 70s with their own. As well, the dance floor had a distinct disco feel, colored strobe lights and a...

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Where Are We and the Market Going?

Today is the last day of school for our 14-year old. He is moving on from the 8th grade to high school, after a long summer of play, that is. Tonight is the dance, the last festive and public gathering for this 8th-grade flock of budding teens. I have volunteered to participate in their “Casino Night” and dance as a card dealer. Given my long history as a tournament poker player, I believe...

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Follow the Money, or Don’t

One of the maxims in this business is “Follow the money.” One cannot do this on a general basis, meaning the “money’ is not a singular entity that moves from here to there. Market money flows much like tributaries from a major river, away from the source in varied directions, eventually adding to a body of water. And sometimes that flow tells a larger story market players need to...

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Go With the Flow of Summer

Irony is a word a writer can love, true, but as a concept, most anyone can appreciate it. I find the market unsettling, which I find ironic. The irony here is in the process of settling into its new higher levels, the market is acting unsettled. Although I don’t like the way the market is behaving right now, I understand why it is trading the way it is trading. Summer often brings on a...

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It’s Another Monday …

It’s another Monday, and if my research is correct, today is one more blah day in many for most all of us. The average person will see about 4,040 Mondays in their lifetime. And outside of the few short years before you start school and the time you spend on vacation, or retired, Mondays are the most hated days on the planet. I’ve used up a good portion of my Mondays on the planet, and I...

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Stick With the Fundamental Numbers

Does anyone remember the word “jones,” as it relates to addiction, or, perhaps more accurately, intense desire? Back in the day, we would say, “I am jonesing” for this or that, meaning we needed to have it to satisfy an intense desire. The market is continually jonesing for data, for numbers, for conclusions extrapolated from the data. Granted, the fundamental information the market needs...

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Keep It Simple, Cheap, and Relatively Safer

Did anyone not see this coming? Apparently the market understood the preliminary estimate for the Q1, US-GDP growth would be bad. This morning’s price-action in the market suggests the market understood what was coming, as the wheels are still on the cart as I write. The S&P is in the green and the Dow is vacillating between green and red. Given this, it seems it is business as usual in...

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Let’s Just Chill Out

Goodness, the weather has been stunningly beautiful here in California. It is one big reason I live here. Okay, so the weather is good and the market is, well, shoring up, two good things to start this Wednesday.    This just in… We interrupt your regularly scheduled review of the big-picture market environment models with… some good news. Yes, fans, the bulls appear to have rediscovered...

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The Rest of the Story

Man-oh-man, three-day weekends blast right by. I mean I get all relaxed and the next thing I know I am watching the market flow and typing away. Oh! Speaking of that, watching the market flow, that is, it is off to a big start this morning. The S&P is pushing higher into record territory and the Dow is closing in on its record set back in the spring of, well, actually earlier this...

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