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Yawn … The Market Is Boring, Again

It’s sad, but, once again, I’ve become bored with the market. I know, I know … objectivity and emotion-free are the buzz words when dealing with the market, yet, here I am. If I hadn’t already taken a vacation, I would recommend that, so, in lieu of a vacation, I suggest I deal with something else, sort of. Here is a long question from a reader. I have broken into parts and answered each as...

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An Evolved Market Might Not Care

This weekend, I mostly finished building a big deck in our back yard, but while I was tediously screwing down plank after plank after plank after plank, I thought about the market. I wondered if the rally on Friday would have any legs come today. I suspected it might as the news from Ukraine and Gaza over the weekend tempered. So far this morning, my suspicion seems correct. The buyers are...

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Less Russia, More Iraq, and Opportunity in Europe

It appears the market week will end this week as it started – up a bit today but lower overall. As of this writing, the Dow is down some 700 points off its record high, which makes it just about 4.2% lower. The S&P is down some 70 points from its record high, which makes it just about 3.6% lower. Decent minor corrections that will bring earnings and P/E ratios closer to a place investors...

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A Thing Is Not A Problem Until It Is

It is true; a thing is not a problem until it is. The Russia/Ukraine confrontation is now a problem. The US and its allies are now at war with Russia. Russia said on Wednesday it would ban all food imports from the United States and all fruit and vegetables from Europe, in a sweeping response to Western sanctions for Moscow's support for separatists in Ukraine. In this day and age, the above...

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The Bear Pressure Is Just Too Great, For Now

Right out of the gate this morning, the market bolted to the red. I see no reason for the recent market panic other than it is summer and traders hold sway in the market. Fundamentally, the market environment has not been this sound in years.   U.S. stock index futures fell on Wednesday, with S&P e-minis at a more than two-month low, on worries of an escalation of the conflict in Ukraine...

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So, What Is the Reason Today?

Yesterday provided a nice breather from the selling we’ve seen over the last week or so. Although not great in total numbers, the rally yesterday impressed me for two simple reasons – 1) the market rallied at all and 2) the rally was broad based. Stocks closed higher on Monday with broad gains across most sectors that helped the S&P 500 rebound from its largest weekly drop since 2012....

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Will The Bulls Come Out Swinging?

It’s good to see last week in the rear-view mirror. Even though I get it, a week such as last week bugs me. I understand the reality of market rebalancing, but I don’t like it when the market freaks out. The memories of 2008, 2009, and 2010, and 2011 still linger clearly in my head. So, what I need as a tonic for last week is a decent bounce this week, starting today.   The quality of the...

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Sit Tight, Hold On, and Trust

Well, ain’t that a kick in the pants? That was quite the drubbing yesterday in the market. Once those algos get started, there is no stopping them. They will sell until the cows come home, or, this case, until the market closes. Since the rout is on, I suspect we could see more carnage before the bulls step back in. Let’s just call this a correction, of a sort. The economic news out today is...

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Go With the Flow Today

I get it now. I did not see it yesterday, but I do now. The market is in official “freak-out” mode and yesterday was the beginning. Now that it has begun, the summer-time market will follow through, I suspect. All it needed was the Chicago PMI collapsing in July. The index dove to a reading of 52.6, which was well below the consensus expectations for a reading of 63.0, as well as last...

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Some Days Just Throw Me Off

My guess is that the bulls are doing a three-day ropes course thingamajig somewhere in the outback, far, far away from any news. Economy in U.S. Grew 4% in Second Quarter vs. 3% Estimate ADP Employment Report Shows Job Growth at 218,000 in July Euro zone economic sentiment unexpectedly improved in July despite the deepening crisis between the West and Russia over Ukraine, How else can I...

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Oil, VIX, and Summer Time Moves

The VIX and oil prices seem unshakeable. In the last month of geopolitical “crises” around the world both have moved little, and whatever movement they did have to the upside, has been retraced. Both the market and the oil market have absorbed the bad form of those who wish to die for and kill for the political beliefs. I might as well throw gold in too, as it has moved little relative to...

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Stay on the Train Awhile Longer

Okay, it is Monday morning, and I should be lethargic, and I am, but that fact is I need to say something that has been on my mind for some time. 20 Reasons To Take Your Foot Off The Gas Pedal (Part I) The above headline comes from David Moenning, who I respect as a macro-analyst, and in the first part of his bearish take on the market he suggests rising interest rates and inflation have...

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A Ways to Go Before Going Bust

I went out for about 15 minutes to reset the timer on my front garden. When I returned, the market had taken a precipitous dip, some 55 points on the Dow and six points on the S&P. What happened while I was away?   U.S. stocks fall, after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index extended a record, as earnings at Amazon.com and Visa missed estimates and durable goods data fueled concern that...

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Now, If Only Oil Would Cooperate

One day later and we have the Dow working to get to the red, not the other way around, as it was yesterday. It reminds me of the push-me-pull-you creature in the Dr. DoLittle books. In any case, speaking about children, their parents, their grandparents and photos of just about everything they do, I will admit I was wrong about Facebook.   Facebook's Wednesday earnings report blew away...

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The Market Is Doing Just Fine, Thank You

So, there you have it. The S&P 500 touched upon a new record high this morning and the Dow is working to get into the green, just below its all-time high. And this as the Gaza fighting goes on, as the Ukraine fighting goes on, and as the Iraq fighting goes on. Weren’t those geopolitical struggles front-page news not too long ago and weren’t we told the market actually cared? Apparently,...

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