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What Will The Fed Do Come June?

So, the S&P 500 crossed over the 2050 line today, just about 1.5 months ahead of schedule. At least that would be my schedule, as I suggested about two weeks ago that the index would hit that mark by the end of the year. Okay, so technically I am correct, but I don’t want to be. Historically, the overall market tends to go down Thanksgiving week, so I can expect that might happen again,...

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Stick With The Trend

Stick With The Trend

Well, first let me say Japan slipping back into recession does not appear (at the moment) to be a major upset for the market. Japan unexpectedly sank into a recession last quarter as the world’s third-largest economy struggled to shake off the impact of an April sales-tax boost I find the market movement today quite interesting, as the above, coupled with China’s economic slowdown and the...

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The Arc of Energy is Bending Toward Alternatives

The Arc of Energy is Bending Toward Alternatives

Yes, I have said it before, but it bears repeating – one economic report does not a trend make. However, when you put that report in context with other things, well, then, maybe it is a sign of things to come. German Economy Returns to Growth as France Beats Forecasts True, we might not have a trend yet for the Eurozone, but what we do have is the possibility the tide might be changing. Put...

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The Good Stuff Flows Underneath, As Usual

The Good Stuff Flows Underneath, As Usual

Two words playing in my head this morning are: “As usual.” First, I believe I can now say about the market, “It is behaving as usual.” It is a bit forward, a bit less back. The excessive volatility is gone, replaced by a gentler form of up and down. Second, “as usual,” I will bring to the fore information that does not get huge play with the breathless media, information that helps us better...

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What the Heck Is OPEC Saying?

Other than Russia meddling militarily in the Ukraine, and the same sending its long-range bombers closer to the USA, the hotspots of the world are as they were yesterday, seeming to not affect the market. Thus, the market is behaving as it should – a bit forward, a bit less back. As to other “events” in the world that can move the market, well, there are few at the moment, save for two that...

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Pure Growth, Pure Value, Indices To Watch?

So far today, the market is following the pattern I have been writing about – a bit forward a bit less back. With the market at new highs, it is understandable that without a catalyst of some sort, the market will gently ride the momentum of the resurgence from the recent lows, the positive earnings, and the generally favorable economic news. There is, however, always the possibility that...

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OPEC, The Beginning of the End?

Apparently, the market is in a mood to go up, even on a relatively quiet day in the world. Other than more fighting in Ukraine, more fighting in Libya, more fighting in Syria, more fighting in Iraq, more fighting in the land of the Kurds, and, more stupid people killing stupid people over ideology in Afghanistan, Nigeria, and Palestine/Israel and outright evil massacres in Mexico, the world...

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Labor, Oil, and Hackers in the Night

Well, I must admit, I am feeling good this Friday. I get to cook for and attend my god daughter’s birthday dinner tonight. Okay, so I also feel good about the market. Today is another day of what appears to be a settled market. Yes, a little forward and a bit less back is the sign of market accepting fundamental reality. U.S. job growth increased at a fairly brisk clip in October and the...

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The US Dollar Is Up, But Not Too Far

Here we are on Thursday and the market, so far, is behaving as expected this week. Well, to clarify, it is behaving as I expected it to behave, a bit up, a bit less down. Although yesterday’s up was just a tad over the top, you know, with all excitement about the Repubs taking over the US Senate. In any case, there is something out there that is making the headlines and one should be...

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Is The Market Showing Stability?

A little bit forward and a bit less back. That is the new pattern of the market and it suggests some stability has taken root. I like it. The VIX has found refuge in the mid-14 zone and both the Russell 2000 and the S&P Mid-Cap index are trending up with the overall market. Not bad, after all the hoopla of late. U.S. stocks rose at the open on Wednesday after the Republican Party took...

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A Market Bound To Go Up?

Well, I guess the market has found a place to bargain. The extreme volatility seems to have dissipated and it has been replaced with a more normal give and take. I suspect the market is digesting all that has happened recently and it is now thinking about where it goes from here. Earnings reports still have to come in and the “uncertainty” over the US and global economy has to go away before...

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Still Not Settled, The Market That Is

So, here we are on Monday and the market is showing nary a strong sign of going backwards. True, the VIX is up right now, but, it is retreating from its morning opening and it remains in the mid-14 zone. Unknown election outcome is stocks' big fear Maybe, as we get closer to the election, the above will have an effect, but, as I just wrote, the market seems fearless at the moment. By the end...

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Go Ahead, Just Ignore My Advice

I just have to say, getting ignored affects my sense of worth, my confidence, and it marginalizes me in my profession. Why is the market ignoring my advice? Why is it gobbling up points as if there were no tomorrow? Doesn’t it appreciate the work I do to come up with the advice? So, here we are at new record highs intraday for the S&P 500. It surely did not take long to get back here,...

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Resistance Is Futile

“Resistance is futile.” Don’t go there! I am not a Trekkie, but I have seen all the TV episodes and all the movies (I think), so I am familiar with the Borg, the space folk who take over the collective minds of other civilizations. Watching the market this morning, the Borg and their motto popped into my head (Could it be? No, no way!). Anyway, it struck me that the market can go here and go...

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Slow Down and Chew More Carefully

Again, I would caution the market to take small bites and chew carefully before swallowing. Yesterday’s gulp chomped off another chunk of the big losses recently seen. Heck, the Dow is back above 17,000 and the S&P 500 crushed its most recent ceiling at 1967, finishing up 18 points higher at 1985. My guess is the market will heed my advice today, even though the economic data coming out...

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