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Ask Trader Ed

Showing Posts 106 - 120 out of 1000 found.

Something Is in the Air

I feel a shift in the air, a slight breeze coming from the north, the land where markets settle in, where markets find a place to roost. Maybe it is just wishful thinking, my optimistic view portraying something that is not real, but it appears to me the market has been building toward a breakout for some time now.   Investors are keeping an eye on Ukraine ahead of a presidential election...

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Keep Your Mind Open

Once again, the S&P 500 is trading near the top of its recent range. Maybe it is a follow through on yesterday’s big leap or maybe it is the decent economic data out of China and Europe. Then again, maybe it is Fed signaling “steady as she goes.” It is hard to pinpoint a single reason for daily market movement most of the time, but over time, it is not so hard to pinpoint catalysts for...

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All you Gotta Do to Be Safe is Buy It

Normally, I simply mark those emails as spam and move on, but yesterday, I decided to watch the latest apocalyptic story. The email points out that because of the Affordable Health Care Act (Obamacare) 99% of us will start paying a 30% additional tax beginning July 1. This tax, of course, will break us all and cause a major economic collapse. Oh, but if you subscribe for a mere $164, the...

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Home Improvement Is Not Underwater

Home Depot topped the mark on earnings by a penny, but the “news” is hardly bad for the giant retailer. The results came in short of expectations but the home improvement retailer said May sales were "robust" and raised its full-year earnings forecast. When I first came across the “story,” it seemed the news was bad, another data point that suggested retailer earnings are not supporting the...

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Should Be an Interesting Week

I feel good this Monday morning, which is a fine way to start this week, another wild week in the market, no doubt. Why would this week be different than last, or any week before that in the last eight or so? Sure, Putin has actually pulled his troops from Ukraine’s eastern border, but China is still an issue for the breathless media. When China blows, there won't be an effective stimulus...

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Up and Down To a Great View

Yesterday, the bears were fairly thorough, I would say and the bulls rolled over, or, should I say, bulled over rather easily. The bull assassination was done so swiftly, and with such precision-like accuracy, that I thought the bears must have hired a professional hit man. Today is starting out in the red, but the pace of selling seems tame, at least at this point. Some bodies out there...

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Sometimes, You Have To Just Say No

My first reaction to the huge market sell-off this morning was disappointment. I know, I know, one should not be emotional about the market; yet, there I was, somewhat disappointed that my “read” of yesterday’s market suggested the market might be stabilizing. Now, how disappointing is that? I guess my inability to gauge the market one day in advance clarifies my point from yesterday –...

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The New Normal is More of the Same, I Guess

Well, it appears we are back to more of the same with the market. Yesterday’s eked-out gains are met today with a mild rebuff; yet, there is a slight difference. The market is now trading with higher floors and ceilings. Unless the market retraces significantly in the near future, we might have arrived at a “new normal.”   That phrase reminds me, I need to have a little fun. You know the fun...

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Perception Can Become Reality

Perception. So much of market movement is about perception in the moment. What do we, as participants, perceive and what does the market as, well, us, perceive will happen next? For example, yesterday’s move into record territory for both the Dow and S&P leaves a perception that the market is ready to break through and hold above the recent ceilings. True, the moves came on weak volume,...

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It Is a Beautiful Day, If You Don’t Count …

As usual, it is a bright, sunny day here in Central California. In fact, the weather lately has been beautiful, if you don’t count the wind that shows up each day every year in May. Funny how that works – it has been beautiful, if you don’t count … If you don’t count the recent volatility in the market, it too has been, well, not beautiful, but certainly an overall positive. The fact is the...

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These Are The Times …

I have much going on in my life right now and the market is not a help in sorting things out. In fact, it’s constant up and down behavior is begging me to ignore it, to turn it off in my mind. It has become so repetitive and boring that it offers no solace for the emotional issues swirling about my life. The market is a drag. “These are the times that try men’s souls.” Thomas Paine penned...

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Is Today a Continuation Bet?

Maybe I woke up with the angel of optimism whispering in my ear, but the news this morning, or at least a piece of the news this morning, has me feeling as if reality is settling in, at least on the geopolitical front. The Russian president's assertion that he has withdrawn forces from the Ukraine was a clear sign that he wants to take the heat out of worst East-West row since the Cold War....

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The Fed, the OECD, and Crazy Making Stuff

Okay, so am I still bored with the market? Well, yes, because nothing has changed. The volatility and the sell-off in small caps and technology make it hard for me to do my job. So, I use the time to keep learning, to get a deeper understanding of the global economy and the underpinnings of the US economy.   ·       “A high degree of monetary accommodation remains warranted.” Janet Yellen...

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Be Faithful to Your Truth

  If you want to know the truth … Do you? Does anyone? Don’t we all shape the “truth” to fit our view of the world, our view of ourselves, our view of the choices we make, and if someone else’s truth conflicts with that, well, it just ain’t true, now is it?   I am in a philosophical mood today. Frankly, the market is boring me again with its inability to collect itself and settle down and my...

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Something to Think About

Even if it is Monday, the market opened per usual these days – down and fighting back. The headlines blurted that China’s “weakening” economy and Ukraine’s budding civil war are the reasons for the sour mood. ·       It is extremely hard to pin down the exact influence of a given event on market prices. More often than not, the above is true. Myriad influences catalyze the market and, at...

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