On Demand

A Bit O’ This And A Bit O’ That

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I had to wade through the dearth of Greece/Italy/European debt news to get to the gems below.  But I did it, and that’s what counts.  Although each below is not earth shattering in market terms, each does point to a specific market movement that could provide some trading/investing opportunity.  Well, two out of the three anyway.  The third is just me looking for more satisfaction about leveling the playing field in this often crazy game.  

Libyan oil production capacity could reach 350,000 bpd to 400,000 bpd by the end of this year and 1.1 million bpd by the last quarter of 2012, the IEA said.  The agency raised its estimate of average Libyan oil output capacity during the fourth quarter of this year by 100,000 bpd to 300,000 bpd.

Straight up this is something to look out, especially in the context of OPEC cutting back and the declining demand from a slowdown in global economic growth.  As a play, oil moving to the downside is a consideration.  How far and how long is unknown, but clearly, unless some major disruption occurs, oil is headed down.

Media tablets have changed the dynamic of the PC market … Vendors' tried and true business models are failing as traditional PC functionality is extended to other devices, and users continue to lengthen PC lifetimes.  The largest U.S. video game retailer GameStop Corp will sell Android tablets this holiday for the first time …

This one is more interesting and not quite as clear regarding the play.  It is interesting because I just bought a tablet, a Samsung to be exact.  I understand the appeal, as the tablet is technologically superior to any computer I have ever owned, yet is deficient on the functional side.  Clearly, it is designed as an entertainment, educational, social-networking device, rather than a business device.  However, as I explore the available applications and learn more about the operating system (Android), I might find it is more business functional than I now know.  In any case, the decline of the PC and the rise of the tablet offer trading/investing opportunity; I just don’t know where just yet, as the current market instability skews reality to the point of muddiness.  For now, research is the play for me, but as things steady, clearly a trend is forming, and trends are the place to make steady money both in and out and over time.

Prosecutors asked a judge on Tuesday to imprison a Taiwan-born former technology company consultant for as long as 8 to 10 years as part of a crackdown on insider trading.

Another one bites the dust.  It has been a long time since we had a Justice Department this aggressive with the corruption on Wall Street.  Me likey, although I am under no illusions that nailing a few here and there will completely stop the shenanigans.  What it will do is cause those who do this regularly to slow down and possibly reconsider their options.  In this, a more level playing field is formed, at least to a minor degree.

Trade in the day – Invest in your life …

Trader Ed

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About the Author

Hello, I am Trader Ed.  No, not Mister Ed, although at times I feel a bit like a talking horse.  You see, my job is to educate folks about the market, which means talking about (or writing in this case) anything and everything that affects the market.  This means the world is my oyster.  Every day, I read for about an hour or so about the happenings in the world.  Every day, I look for leading indicators that will help me “see the future.”  No, I am not an oracle, nor do I pretend to be, but I do look for macro trends that point in a direction, and I am more than happy to share my “vision” with you.  Keep in mind, though, my vision derives from analyzing the fundamentals of the global economy, as well as looking at current movement in the market.  I shun the doomsayers and I embrace the realists.  I look to the positive without denying the negative.  In short, I paint as realistic a picture of the market as I can.  So, if you have a question in this realm, feel free to ask me.  I will answer you in this column and I will do that to the best of my ability.

Hoping to hear from you.

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