ETFProphet's Commentaries
Mar
11
2010
February 2010 Rewind - Grecian Formula
Hey Gang, sorry this is a bit late getting out. I know many of you are religious about archiving these -- which is precisely their purpose -- so here it is in shortened form. Early February was all about fear of a sovereign debt domino effect on the prospect of a default by Greece.
However, by the end of the month after clean tag of the S&P 500's 200-day ema, a significant snap back rally ensued that has pushed well into mid-March. This move left the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrials and NASDAQ 100 cash indices higher across the board by +2.85%, +2.56% and +4.46%, respectively. With ramifications of the exchange of private for public debt put on the side for now, equities continue to string together a record ratio of up days. Will this year-old bull market ever turn "gray" -- or was the pause that refreshes just the "formula" we needed to continue higher?
Sentiment: Positive
Volatility: Low (VIX 19-27)
Direction: Mixed to Positive
[Click to Enlarge/ Weekly ETF Analyses/ Prior Monthly Summaries]
The Style-Box was calculated using the following PowerShares™ ETFs: Small-Growth (PWT), Small-Value (PWY), Mid-Growth (PWJ), Mid-Value (PWP), Large-Growth (PWB), and Large-Value (PWV). The Sector-Ribbon was calculated using the following Select Sector SPDR™ ETFs: Materials (XLB), Industrials (XLI), Energy (XLE), Staples (XLP), Discretionary (XLY), Financials (XLF), Technology (XLK), and Healthcare (XLV). The Standard & Poors 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ 100 may be traded through ETF proxies, including the SPY or IVV, DIA and QQQQ, respectively.
However, by the end of the month after clean tag of the S&P 500's 200-day ema, a significant snap back rally ensued that has pushed well into mid-March. This move left the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrials and NASDAQ 100 cash indices higher across the board by +2.85%, +2.56% and +4.46%, respectively. With ramifications of the exchange of private for public debt put on the side for now, equities continue to string together a record ratio of up days. Will this year-old bull market ever turn "gray" -- or was the pause that refreshes just the "formula" we needed to continue higher?
Sentiment: Positive
Volatility: Low (VIX 19-27)
Direction: Mixed to Positive
[Click to Enlarge/ Weekly ETF Analyses/ Prior Monthly Summaries]The Style-Box was calculated using the following PowerShares™ ETFs: Small-Growth (PWT), Small-Value (PWY), Mid-Growth (PWJ), Mid-Value (PWP), Large-Growth (PWB), and Large-Value (PWV). The Sector-Ribbon was calculated using the following Select Sector SPDR™ ETFs: Materials (XLB), Industrials (XLI), Energy (XLE), Staples (XLP), Discretionary (XLY), Financials (XLF), Technology (XLK), and Healthcare (XLV). The Standard & Poors 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and NASDAQ 100 may be traded through ETF proxies, including the SPY or IVV, DIA and QQQQ, respectively.
Tags: spy | qqqq | monthly-rewind | dia | vix
