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Futures Overview
Major Commodities - Mon, May 04th, 2015

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Futures Articles

Coffee – Broad View of Fundamentals Continues to Favor Call Sellers

Coffee – Broad View of Fundamentals Continues to Favor Call Sellers

  2014 was a banner year for coffee prices as the market rallied off of Brazilian crop concerns right up through the critical “flowering” season in October.  But as timely rains finally arrived  (just in time - as they usually do in Brazil) the market was forced to backtrack as projected crop damage ended up being much exaggerated. This steady trend lower in prices made coffee an ideal...

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Gap Hunt

Gap Hunt

The “Floor” we briefly enjoyed at the Weekly Pivot (4476) gave way on Thursday, sending the Nasdaq futures down to the Volume Profile Point of Control (VPPOC), at 4409. (It was the thick blue line on yesterday’s chart.) This price level has the largest volume for the entire look-back period (in this case 25 days) and automatically acts as strong support. While a bounce off the VPPOC  is...

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Double Top Forming in the ES

Double Top Forming in the ES

Yesterday The S&P500 mini futures (ES) had the kind of day on Thursday that makes long-term investors start trying to figure out if this time it really is the top. The June contract (ESM5) opened down, went down all day (breaking below 2090-2088, last year's high and a significant support area) and breaking the short-term momentum lines, the 20/40-day moving averages, and closing below...

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Running out of Steam?

Running out of Steam?

On Wednesday the Federal Reserve had everyone’s attention with the FOMC announcement. I don’t think there were any surprises as the Fed left interest rates unchanged…for now. Speculation continues about when a rate hike is coming. I think most Fed forecasters would agree that June is off the table, while some are circling the September meeting on their calendars. The Fed has repeatedly told...

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A Market Without Purpose or Direction

A Market Without Purpose or Direction

Yesterday The S&P500 mini futures (ES) gapped down at the open yesterday (Wednesday) and stayed lower for the close. The first quarter GDP came in at 0.2% growth, well below expectations, in the morning session and even the usual Fed double-talk in the afternoon could not rescue the day. The June contract (ESM5) closed at 2099. This was a hair below to 2100 support, and a loss of 13...

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Hammering out a Bottom

Hammering out a Bottom

The volume profile chart of the Nasdaq Futures shown here is the day session only. The “Floor” is at the Weekly Pivot (4476), which marked the day-session close on Wednesday. This is good news for the bulls, since intraday probing took the Nasdaq down an additional 20 points, as the equity market tried to decipher rather dramatic action in the bonds. As noted yesterday, the corrective action...

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Soybean Exports: Will we see More Cancellations?

Soybean Exports: Will we see More Cancellations?

Last week’s weekly export sales report showed 102 thousand metric tons of beans were sold the week prior for future shipment.  This was down 67% from the week prior and 29% under the four week average.  Yet prices rallied 8 cents into the close.  So what is up with the bearish report and bullish response?  There were several issues here.  One, energy prices such as crude oil finished the...

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Banging on the Ceiling Again

Banging on the Ceiling Again

YesterdayThe S&P500 mini futures June contract (ESM5) traded erratically yesterday (Tuesday) in what was almost the mirror image of Monday's price action. Overnight it dropped to 2095, which has been an active support level for several weeks, then rallied to open at about the previous day's close, and moved a little higher after the open.So far so good. Then it made what was almost a...

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Steeper Curve Bias as Inflationary Impulses Bubble.

Steeper Curve Bias as Inflationary Impulses Bubble.

Below is a chart of front month Crude Oil, (green line) versus 5/10 treasury spread, (white bar chart).  As crude oil declined through the end of 2014, the 5/10 treasury curve flattened, which makes sense, as inflation expectations were squeezed out of the market.  However, since March, oil appears to have bottomed, the curve has become less contango, and several measures of inflation...

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SPX - Triangle Breakout Target Is...?

SPX - Triangle Breakout Target Is...?

Last week I wrote about the SPX trading within a range-For Now! The pattern has been well publish (a triangle) and many are now looking for a possible top target for the pattern. It is pretty simple to figure out. You just take the points from top/bottom of the triangle and add them to where it broke out and that is your target. So the high for the triangle pattern came on 02/25/15 and the...

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For Phase I of Markets re-design, we are introducing simple OHLC bar charts with a volume histogram.

To adjust the period and scale of the chart, use the "slider" bar which appears underneath the Volume histogram frame. If the slider frame is not appearing, you may need to adjust the 'Zoom' view of your internet browser or adjust your screen resolution to a lower resolution.

By dragging the start and end arrows of the slider bar to the left and right, you can easily adjust the date range.

Features planned for Phase II will include a selection of chart types and a technical indicator library with the ability to define a custom date range for the chart data.

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