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I have recently focused on the options-skew index as a tool to help me define overbought/oversold markets.  It is not the most conventional or even cleanest tool, since we’re talking about outlier trades.  By definition, the options-skew index measures the tail risk of the...
Day trading is tough enough as it is. Don't make things harder on yourself when you are using options. There are a number of things you must concern yourself with if you are going to employ this methodology, but three are key – liquidity, delta, and theta. I hear many...
There’s one main reason the vast majority of traders fail – they are undercapitalized. Why should capitalization matter so much? SCARED MONEY Because, as I recently discussed, our attitudes toward money are anything but neutral. Undercapitalization means you are likely...
The S&P 500 mini futures (ESH5) got the oversold bounce we were predicting yesterday, thanks to what has become the “new normal” – an unofficial and sometimes covert intervention from the Federal Reserve anytime the market shows signs of faltering. Yesterday it was a...
On Thursday, the S&P futures bounced nicely off the first target at 1984. The bounce was strong enough to shoot price near the now familiar 2027 level, which is now operating like a pivot during this consolidation.  2027 is now key resistance. A move above 2027 that holds...
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Markets move in three directions: up, down, or sideways. Sounds pretty simple, right? Then why is it so difficult to be on the right side of the market? Market direction is one of the most important factors to consider when entering the market, and a factor that is often...
On Thursday, the S&P futures bounced nicely off the first target at 1984. The bounce was strong enough to shoot price near the now familiar 2027 level, which is now operating like a pivot during this consolidation.  2027 is now key resistance. A move above 2027 that...
The S&P 500 mini futures (ESH5) got the oversold bounce we were predicting yesterday, thanks to what has become the “new normal” – an unofficial and sometimes covert intervention from the Federal Reserve anytime the market shows signs of faltering....
I have recently focused on the options-skew index as a tool to help me define overbought/oversold markets.  It is not the most conventional or even cleanest tool, since we’re talking about outlier trades.  By definition, the options-skew index measures the...
If you are a fan of volatility and wild rides in the markets, you are probably enjoying the first month of trading for 2015. Central Banks around the globe have made things interesting, as some of their decisions have sent secondary markets into frenzy. Crude oil continues to...
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