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Greek Citizens Rush To Buy Physical Gold

Greek Citizens Rush To Buy Physical Gold

Gold prices were only modestly higher despite all the risk aversion that hit the financial markets. Many traders believed that concerns regarding a Greece exit should have propelled the precious metal higher, but yesterday prices closed only about half a percentage point higher.  While the gold future contract price is hardly higher, physical demand is picking as the UK royal mint announced a significant pickup of purchases from Greek customers.  The e-mailed statement highlighted gold...

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Watch These 3 Nasdaq Trading Targets Now

Watch These 3 Nasdaq Trading Targets Now

The Nasdaq has been in “gap-hunt mode” for more than a month. These periods arise when there is a sufficient number of bears to create multi-day down moves. Due to the selling over the last few days, the Volume Profile Point of Control (VPPOC) has moved down almost 100 points since last Thursday. This will be the target for any bounce from these lower levels. The Upper and Lower Value Area lines (UVA and LVA respectively) represent the one standard deviation point in the volume...

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Living High on the Hog

Living High on the Hog

The hog market, like many commodities, has been in a downward trend since making major highs last fall. In fact, the recent decline in commodity prices has begun to feed on itself as lower input costs like feed, fuel and fertilizer are leading to lower prices for finished products. When this is combined with tepid economic growth, consumers retreat further fueling the downward spiral that is becoming synonymous with the commodity markets. However, like the grain markets we wrote about last...

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Final Rally in the Dollar

Final Rally in the Dollar

DXY gained 1.46% last week to close at 95.65 back above its 34-dma as well as its mid-June reaction high (a higher high) giving hope to the bulls that the final rally is upon us. Despite the bearish seasonality of July, cycles indicate that the Dollar is set for one “last hurrah” prior to a “summer swoon” a month from now. Cycles target a turn near July 24 and are a good match for the cycle low in TNX (yield on the 10 year US Treasury note) expected then. A 40 week cycle low is expected in...

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Ignore the Noise from Greece and Everything Else

Ignore the Noise from Greece and Everything Else

I often talk about the need to focus on markets and the price action, ignoring the noise from the crowd.  Doing will often help you sidestep dangerous advice designed to twist your mind.  We can consider all the excuses or reasons for selling - there are a million of 'em - but at the end of the day it is the market action, the effect and not the cause that will be our guide.  The first step is understanding the technical condition, sentiment and indicators.  These will always point the...

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3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

It’s worth reminding ourselves that every trader is responsible for their trading actions and behavior. How we behave or act (i.e., what we do or don’t do) when trading will largely determine our trading success.  Here are 3 common day trading problems related to how traders act.  Left untamed, they will lead to failure.  All are within the control of the trader and can, therefore, be corrected. Problem Behavior #1: Trading Without a Game Plan Traders coming into the trading day without a...

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Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Live Cattle Numbers tend to Taper off as Summer Wears On. Here is How Investors can CapitalizeWhile you’re tossing those steaks and burgers on the grill, you might want to consider how that meat can not only feed your picnic dwellers, but potentially put money in your pocket.Like most commodities, the cattle market has longer term fundamental and cyclical factors that if recognized, can often be used to the advantage of the patient investor. These are the kinds of markets favored in our...

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FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

So far, 2015 has been fairly light on high-buzz, high-growth tech-related IPOs, but that figures to change this week with Fitbit's (FIT) 29.9 million share IPO. As of this writing, the deal is expected to price within a range of $14-$16, but, given the buzz -- and it's very impressive growth rates -- it wouldn't be a surprise if the price range was lifted before it launches on Thursday, June 18. With the company offering nearly 30 million shares, the float is on the larger side, especially...

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Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

The great thing about trading options is there are no limits to the number of strategies, or degrees of risk and reward.  Depending on how an option strategy is structured, it can be a simple lottery ticket (buy a cheap call or put outright), a limited risk range trade, a premium collection effort, or a “free” trade in which  the trader accepts theoretically unlimited risk for the prospects of a directional bias without any cash outlay.  In this article, we’ll focus on the latter. FREE...

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What Will The Greek Vote Mean For the Euro?

What Will The Greek Vote Mean For the Euro?

Through the last half of 2014 until March of 2015, the Euro steadily sold off versus the dollar, as the ECB launched QE and European yields cratered.  For example, Spain's ten year note yield went from 2.82% in July to as low as 1.15 at its nadir March.  As has been well publicized, many shorter maturity yields went negative, for example the German two year note fell to negative 28 bps.  The EURUSD was above 135 in July, and fell just under 105 by the middle of March.  In April, 105 was...

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Lions, Tigers And Soybeans…Oh My!

Lions, Tigers And Soybeans…Oh My!

With the USDA report unleashing further buying pressure into an already bullish grain complex yesterday, corn, wheat and beans finished with the substantial upside gains and among the largest percentage gainers on the commodity board. But to be certain, the real opportunity to take long positions in these commodities wasn’t on the report release.  The clear buying opportunity revealed itself last week. Looking at the charts of each of these grains side-by-side, the volume profile analysis...

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Ask Kase: 10 Year US Treasury Note

Ask Kase: 10 Year US Treasury Note

“Ask Kase” any question you may have about any actively traded security, and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). Will the 10 Year US Treasury Note be Playing “Bass”? As the 2H2015 commences, fundamental market analysts are lamenting the stock market’s prospects, pointing to low earnings and higher borrowing costs. US Treasury yield spreads are looking positive, which should be, in turn, negative for longer-dated fixed income instruments. So...

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Options

How To Beat the Hedge Funds in the Long Run

How To Beat the Hedge Funds in the Long Run

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Stocks

How to Identify Market Conditions with the Larry Williams ...

How to Identify Market Conditions with the Larry Williams ...

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