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Can You Profit From Another V Bottom?

Can You Profit From Another V Bottom?

For the past few years, every dip, no matter the size - has been a great opportunity to buy.  They call it 'buy the dip', and when the pressure is high and price zips higher it tends to create V bottoms, where the chart looks like V, the drop looking catastrophic, creating the left side of the V, then a big turn higher when the buyers take price up sharply.  The result is usually whiplash, but that has been the rule rather than the exception.  So with the big rally on Wed/Thurs last week,...

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What Traders Are Watching for the Month of September?

What Traders Are Watching for the Month of September?

For those traders who have seen their share of market gyrations, August certainly provided no lack of volatility.  Adding to market volatility is the ever increasing amount of rhetoric and punditry in both the economic and market sentiment category.  Today’s employments numbers, we are certain, will provide a bit of fuel for either camp of sentiment analysis.  Underpinning the market internals is the concern of global economic woes specifically in the Asian and emerging market regions. ...

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Ambarella (AMBA): A Wild Earnings Ride

Ambarella (AMBA): A Wild Earnings Ride

AMBA is a developer of semiconductor processing solutions for video that enable high-definition (HD), video capture, sharing and display.  Ambarella (AMBA) has been a wild ride.  They reported earnings earlier in the week and their results were quite impressive:  "Revenue from our existing wearable, IP security and automotive video recorder camera markets grew significantly in the quarter," explained Ambarella CEO Fermi Wang, "and we saw solid growth from drones or flying cameras.  We also...

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Trading Apple and Netflix? Wait For the Panic

Trading Apple and Netflix? Wait For the Panic

Icarus Descending? In 2004 Benoit Mandelbrot, the inventor of fractal math, wrote an interesting book titled The Misbehavior of Markets. In a nutshell, his theory says that the  standard deterministic model of cause and effect (Newtonian thinking) does not apply to financial markets.   He notes, “The precise mechanism that links news to price, cause to effect, is mysterious and inconsistent.” Like the weather and other complex dynamic systems, randomness is the rule.   We see examples of...

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Time To Jump Back Into The Markets?

Time To Jump Back Into The Markets?

Following up on my piece last week Is Another GFC Starting Now?, a quick V shaped recovery eventuated, only to give most of the gains back. Whether you decide to enter the markets now will depend on the type of investor you actually are. For me, I am both a traditional ‘Value’ investor as well as a ‘Growth’ investor as I have created two different portfolios. The difference? As a value investor, I am always looking for great global franchise businesses selling for below estimated intrinsic...

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Wealth Building 101: Gold To Soar In Looming Global Crisis

Wealth Building 101: Gold To Soar In Looming Global Crisis

In an August 22, 2015 interview, Egon von Greyerz, founder and Managing Partner of Matterhorn Asset Management AG and GoldSwitzerland predicted “the most incredible bull market” in precious metals in the coming months.   With stock markets around the world apparently collapsing and the gold market rallying, von Greyerz said, “The perfect storm has now started. . .and this storm will turn into a hurricane probably in the next two months.”   Greyerz expects to see all stock markets down at...

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Gold Will Soar: Driven By Largest Currency War Ever Seen

Gold Will Soar: Driven By Largest Currency War Ever Seen

  Is The Gold Bull Down For The Count? The person who lives by hope will die by despair.Italian Proverb Over the years we have frequently stated that every that every major bull market will experience at least one back breaking correction. Usually the correction culminates with a 50% pullback from the highs. In the case of Gold, this would equate to a pullback to $960.  The precious metal’s sector had a splendid lope that began in 2003 and ended with spectacular run in 2011.  To think that...

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Trade The Open: 4 Charts Show You How

Trade The Open: 4 Charts Show You How

Conventional wisdom tells us to avoid trading in the first few minutes that a market opens. The action is often volatile and seemingly unpredictable. May people wait for the first 15 minutes to pass to let the market “show its hand”. In this article, we are going to discuss an opportunity that occurs very close to the open; in some cases, giving a trade entry in the first minute.  This opportunity is one that you will be able to see quite clearly for yourself, if you take time over the...

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3 Steps To Improve Your Trading Profits

3 Steps To Improve Your Trading Profits

In this case study, Nathan overcame a common tendency and turned his trading around Nathan’s trading results fell short of his expectations.  Often, his first trades of the morning ended in losses, and this soured him for the rest of the day.  Nathan knew the problem had to be mental, but wasn’t sure where to start.   There are many reasons traders lose money.  How we think about those reasons and what we do about it can make all the difference.  Nathan’s Thinking Problem Nathan was...

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5 Trading Clichés: Fact Or Fantasy?

5 Trading Clichés: Fact Or Fantasy?

One of the joys of learning to trade is wading through so many diverse opinions about the markets, how they work and how you can trade them. In this article, we’ll look at 5 common trading clichés and try to figure out which are facts and which are fantasy. Secret price levels AKA Secrets of the “Pros” – this is one of my favorites. There are a few variations on this theme but the upshot is usually that there is a profit making “secret”. Not many people know about it but if you cross...

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The Year Of The Goat: What Does It Mean For You?

The Year Of The Goat: What Does It Mean For You?

I think the market has a Goat problem. According to the Chinese calendar this is the Year of the Goat. Goats are nice people, but they are unlucky with money. Paraphrasing comments from an Asian website: Good fortune can be elusive for those born in a year of the Goat; they will often face financial difficulties. Therefore, they should adopt conservative strategies when dealing with investments. Those with a speculative nature should restrain themselves from gambling in order to avoid...

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Fasten Your Seatbelt: The Stock Volatility Isn't Over Yet

Fasten Your Seatbelt: The Stock Volatility Isn't Over Yet

A few weeks back I wrote how I felt that this August had a different feeling than usual. Little did I know what was in store. End of summer, Europe on traditional holiday, tend to bring slow markets and long days with them.  Obviously this year was a just a little bit different. To say the last two weeks have been volatile is a just a bit of an understatement. Some of the moves we saw last week were of historic proportion, market swings in minutes that previously took days. Just when it...

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Episode 5: Let's Count Some Waves

Episode 5: Let's Count Some Waves

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