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TWTR Trending Among Investors

TWTR Trending Among Investors

Twitter (NYSE: TWTR, $52.36) is scheduled to report earnings today after the close, it’s fifth such report since becoming a publicly traded company  Analysts are projecting $0.04 EPS on revenues of $456.82 million, with strong year over year growth in contrast to the report from on year prior (-$0.03 EPS on $250.49 M in revenue).  TWTR stock has been trending with investors in 2015, having gained over 44% year to date.  The stock is trading in a 52-week range of $29.51-$55.99.  However,...

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Expect a Gap Fill in the NQ

Expect a Gap Fill in the NQ

Yesterday I noted that “Mondays belong to the bears” and forecast a morning sell off starting during the first 90 minutes that would head toward the unfilled gap around 4489, with eventual continuation to the lower boundary of the Upper Value Area, now at 4482. The Upper Value Area is colored light green on the chart and has this yawning gap. While I do expect this gap to be filled sooner than later, the gap fill scenario is a bit obvious right now, and markets love to fade the obvious. So...

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Half-Hearted Breakout in the E-Mini

Half-Hearted Breakout in the E-Mini

Yesterday The S&P500 mini futures (ESM5) gapped up overnight Monday and rallied to a new high 2119.75 in the first hour of trading. Then they sickened and died for the rest of the day. The ES closed at 2104.75 – seven points below the previous close – and barely managed to bounce off the 2100 support, thanks to a little end-of-day profit taking from the shorts, who were singing and dancing all day long. This is pretty much what we said would happen in yesterday's post: an early rally,...

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So Much For Ancient Greece and Biometrics Using The Eye

So Much For Ancient Greece and Biometrics Using The Eye

Today we go between ancient history and the future, which is now. We leave the market to its own devices, as it is again behaving as if it wants to go up. Maybe it is the tepid economic data coming out that has the market believing the Fed will remain sidelined until at least late in the year, or maybe it likes that spring is here. Whatever … Greece is ancient history, you know Plato, the Iliad and the Odyssey, Homer, et al, but in today’s world, it appears the good folks of Greece do not...

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Crude Oil - What Commercial Traders Know

Crude Oil - What Commercial Traders Know

Crude oil’s slide has been well documented along with the causes and consequences. Prices have recovered a bit as we suggested they would, ahead of both the January and March Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings as detailed in, “Commercial Traders Ahead of the Fed.” The importance of this statement lies in the access the heads of the oil industry have to Washington. The energy industry is simply too big and too well informed to be caught off guard by legislative actions. As the...

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Delayed Decline

Delayed Decline

The recent forecast for a high on April 15 looked good as the Dow stalled out the next day and then dropped almost 280 points on April 17. But according to the forecast for the next low the “tax-day top” was supposed to precede a decline into late last week. Instead, the market has rallied from the low on April 17.   Despite the single-date forecasts generated by my Hybrid-Lindsay approach it is important to remember there is a window of time surrounding these forecasts. Always allow at...

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Fib Projection Reached- Super Bullish

Fib Projection Reached- Super Bullish

Volume Profile is most useful during pullbacks, not when markets are making forays into uncharted territory. For that super bullish phase, I use Fibonacci extensions and weekly pivots. One of the best ways to use Fib projections is to look for a confluence from two different ranges. We have a Fib confluence (127% and 162%) around the 4532 area, which happens to be where the futures are trading on Sunday evening as I write this. There is also a weekly half pivot here, so a pullback to close...

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SPX: Choppy Week Ahead

SPX: Choppy Week Ahead

Last week Last week the S&P 500, the large-cap equities index, rose 1.75%, a decent rally for the week, and made a new all-time high for the close. It ended the week at 2117.69, just a few pennies above the high close set on March 2. The gain for the week was about 36 points. It is encouraging to see a new high – the SPX also made an new intraday high at 2120.92 on Friday – and the Bulls will feast on the idea that the market closed near the high for the week and above the high of the...

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Old School Advice

Old School Advice

Even with the prevalence of high speed trading and other complex algorithmic systems, it is often the tried and true strategies that can help you be successful over the long haul. Many investors try to reinvent the wheel, but often the most successful traders today have patterned their trading styles after those of the great traders of the past. W.D. Gann “How to Make Profits in Commodities” (Lambert-Gann Publishing Company) by W.D. Gann was written in the 1940s and updated in the early...

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Mastering the Emotions of Trading:Harnessing Emotion and Thinking for Highly Effective Trading

Mastering the Emotions of Trading:Harnessing Emotion and Thinking for Highly Effective Trading

“Trade what you see, not what you feel.” This axiom of trading seems so right, it is undeniable that all traders need to strive to achieve it.  The only problem with this oft quoted remark is what you see is influenced by what you are feeling – no exceptions.  If only traders could see the facts clearly without feeling, then they would be freed from the tyranny of emotional reasoning.  Then trading would be easy.  But nothing could be further from the truth. The truth is all thinking (all...

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ESM5: At Last! The Long-Awaited Break Out … Maybe

ESM5: At Last! The Long-Awaited Break Out … Maybe

Yesterday The S&P 500 mini-futures (ESM5) repeated Wednesday's pattern yesterday, but it went a little further and made a more significant move. The minis have been fooling around below the 2103-2105 level, stymied by the resistance in that area every time they tried to move higher. Yesterday (Thursday Apr. 23), they finally gathered enough strength to move past the resistance and make a significant new high for April. The ESM5 got as high as 2114.50 on the day – thereby filling a gap...

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Resistance Becomes Support

Resistance Becomes Support

Volume Profile gives us information on key levels of support and resistance (S/R). Although the High Volume Nodes and Low Volume Nodes often produce very precise reversals, S/R is best conceptualized as a zone. For the last few days, the key zone in the NQ has been centered around 4442. On Wednesday, a “scouting party” briefly probed above it, but a 40-point rejection reaction ensued. This apparent failure can get traders bearish, but as noted yesterday, the “failure” can set up a better...

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Forex

Identify Day Trading Opportunities in Forex with VantagePoint's ...

Identify Day Trading Opportunities in Forex with VantagePoint's ...

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Options

How to Spot Accelerations in Stocks and Options

How to Spot Accelerations in Stocks and Options

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