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The Dow And Emerging Markets ETF EEM

The Dow And Emerging Markets ETF EEM

This week’s commentary takes a look at emerging markets but first a review of the most recent Hybrid Lindsay forecast for the Dow Industrials index. The July 27 commentary (US Stocks Are Near A Low: Here's Why) mentioned the official forecast for a low in the period July 24-31 but also explained why “a tradable low is very close”. Indeed, last week’s low was seen that day.  The next forecast-high generated by the Hybrid Lindsay model is expected late in the week of August 10 or early...

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The Fed: The Mindset For A Downturn

The Fed: The Mindset For A Downturn

I can hear it now from someone reading the title:  'A Ha  this guy is finally bearish after all this time -- I knew he would come around'.  That couldn't be further from the truth, in fact the bearish label is completely inaccurate.  I don't like labels, as when we describe ourselves bullish or bearish that puts us in a specific mindset unable to be flexible.  Hence, when we change our minds and decisions with changing markets our tactics are questioned.  In other words, don't put me in a...

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US Stocks: Fear Index Is At Record Lows

US Stocks: Fear Index Is At Record Lows

There goes July. Did anybody notice? June started high and ended low. July started low and ended high. Except for the color of the candles on the chart, there wasn’t much to chose between them ... and not much to remember them by. The US equity market, at least as represented by the Standard and Poor 500  (SPX), has now spent the first seven months of the year drifting along near the top of a long bull market, unable to go up and unwilling (or not permitted) to go down. July was absolutely...

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US Stocks: Trade From The Long Side

US Stocks: Trade From The Long Side

In my last market update (7/20) I characterized the 300+ point rally in the NQ as “unsustainable.” My initial target was 4492 and we hit 4497 on 7/28. This downside forecast was not due to any particular bearishness on my part. By nature, I’m actually more bullish than bearish, and in my own trading I prefer to trade from the long side. Nevertheless, the Volume Profile chart showed very weak volume on those final 100 points. Moreover, a bigger picture megaphone pattern had completed and...

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Whole Foods: Earnings, Options Activity

Whole Foods: Earnings, Options Activity

One of the more nuanced aspects of earnings season is the combination of analyst actions after earnings announcements and the coinciding activity in the Equity options.  Typically analysts and research firms render their respective opinions and adjustments after the announcements of earnings, guidance, and conference calls of the companies.  When earnings per share, revenues, and guidance beat analysts’ expectations, market participants typically witness upgrades, reiterations with price...

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Profit From “Hidden” Fundamentals Of Crude Oil

Profit From “Hidden” Fundamentals Of Crude Oil

  By: James Cordier, Michael Gross   An outsider watching the prices of crude oil shift up or down may think this is some sort of random event. “Who is causing this?” gas buyers and clueless politicians often demand, as though an evil oil company executive is sitting in a room throwing a lever to turn the supply on or off. As an investor willing to do a little homework, however, you’ll find projecting price ranges for oil is a little less populist rhetoric and little more science and...

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Central Bankers Recreating Reality

Central Bankers Recreating Reality

A hallucination is a fact, not an error; what is erroneous is a judgment based upon it. Bertrand Russell We will at some point in time publish a full in depth article in terms of how Central bankers have been actively employing psychological strategies to deceive the masses for generations. In essence, central bankers have been recreating reality, and the sad part is that the masses now assume that this altered reality is the new norm.  We are going to illustrate this by highlighting...

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How To Develop True Trading Confidence

How To Develop True Trading Confidence

Brett found trading confidence elusive.  "If only I was more confident, I'd be a better trader," Brett explained.  What might cultivate more confidence?  "Making more winning trades, of course."  Sorry, that’s the wrong answer. The Source of True Trading Confidence Trading confidence doesn’t come from the number of winning trades, how much money was won, or other ‘statistical’ measures.  True trading confidence comes from mastering the various skills needed to read the market and execute...

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IPOs: Watch This Healthy Pet Food Maker

IPOs: Watch This Healthy Pet Food Maker

Before the market opens on Wednesday, July 22, healthy pet product maker Blue Buffalo Pet Products’ (BUFF) 29.5 million share IPO is expected to price within a range of $16-$18. The lead underwriters on the deal are JP Morgan and Citigroup. BUFF’s IPO comes on the heels of another healthy pet food IPO, Freshpet (FRPT), which went public on November 7, 2014. Taking a look back on how that IPO fared, its’ 10.4 million share IPO priced at $15, above the $12-$14 range, but then slid lower over...

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Tanger (SKT): A Bargain For Income Investors

Tanger (SKT): A Bargain For Income Investors

  Why Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (SKT) Is a Bargain for Income Investors With global interest rates still near record lows (the German ten-year yield is at 0.8%, while the U.S. ten year yield is at 2.3%, income investors face a difficult time finding meaningful yields in bond products or high-dividend stocks without taking substantial risks.  Should inflation unexpectedly rise later this year, bond prices would also underperform. Based on my macroeconomic analysis, there remains pockets...

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US Stocks: Brace For Potential Short Squeeze

US Stocks: Brace For Potential Short Squeeze

The Street assumed that the Fed's silence on raising interest rates in 2015 means no rate hike this year. That may not be true, but it put the S&P500 mini-futures (ES) back into a bullish cycle and helped it hold the price above the key 2100 psychology line. The futures pretty much duplicated Wednesday’s action: dropped sharply from the overnight high and made a low one point above Wednesday’s low, then climbed back up to make a high half a point below Wednesday’s high, and closed one...

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Trading Psychology: Avoid The Prediction Trap

Trading Psychology: Avoid The Prediction Trap

When I sit down to write for TraderPlanet, I typically mull over things that have occurred the same day in my coaching practice. It seems the fresher the experience, the more easily it can be milked for a few drops of insight. Tonight I had the pleasure of working with an aspiring futures trader, a corporate pilot by day who has dreams of retiring from flying and leveraging his navigational abilities to become a successful private trader. This is indeed a dream shared by many.     What’s...

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ETFs

Stock Strategies - SPY, DIA, IWM and QQQ

Stock Strategies - SPY, DIA, IWM and QQQ

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Stocks

Anticipating Short Term Market Moves with VantagePoint and ...

Anticipating Short Term Market Moves with VantagePoint and ...

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Stocks

Stock Strategies -FB, AAPL, GOOG and More

Stock Strategies -FB, AAPL, GOOG and More

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Market

Course 3.4: Using the Predictive Power of Vantage Point to ...

Course 3.4: Using the Predictive Power of Vantage Point to ...

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