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Nasdaq Trading Alert: A Nearby Gap Fill

Nasdaq Trading Alert: A Nearby Gap Fill

Given that the Nasdaq has been in “gap-hunt mode” for more than a month, the closest gap is the proximal target. That gap zone is indicated on the chart with a purple rectangle and lies between 4451 and 4459. Above that level the market has a High Volume Node (HVN) at 4480, indicated by the blue dotted line. That level should cap a moderate rally. The real risk is to the downside once the upside gap is filled. There is little volume support below us down to the lower gap at 4206. If that...

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US Stocks: Beware Today Is End Of Trading Week

US Stocks: Beware Today Is End Of Trading Week

The Greek debt crisis will have another installment this weekend, as the government urges the citizens to vote No to the eurozone austerity measures. But the US markets seem to have decided that it really doesn’t matter all that much. The S&P500 mini-futures (ESU5) bounced up nicely after the Greek prime minister offered a fig-leaf to the creditors (we think it was less an olive branch than a red herring, designed to shift blame for the coming debacle to the creditors). The minis...

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Collect Premium In E-Mini S&P 500

Collect Premium In E-Mini S&P 500

What a long strange trip it’s been for the crisis in Greece.  If you think maybe you had one of those flashes, we’ve been here before, you are right. The EU has been dealing with the problems of Greek debt since 2010.  The decisions by the EU and Greece over the past five years have generally resembled kick the can; we’ll deal with that later. It’s time for payments to be made and Greece can’t do it. The EU isn’t budging (for the time being) and it looks like the eyes of the world will be...

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The Pullback In Schlumberger Isn’t Over Yet

The Pullback In Schlumberger Isn’t Over Yet

The world's largest oilfield services company didn't go unfazed by the pullback in energy prices (U.S. crude oil inventories rose more than 2M barrels in the last week) on July 1st and some analysts don't see them hitting earnings targets for 2015 or 2016. On June 29th, Credit Suisse lowered their 2015 EPS estimates on Schlumberger to $3.50 from $3.90 and $3.51 from $3.88 for 2016. Using their 2016 target, the stock trades at a rich 24.02x earnings even after the latest pullback. SLB...

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Greek Citizens Rush To Buy Physical Gold

Greek Citizens Rush To Buy Physical Gold

Gold prices were only modestly higher despite all the risk aversion that hit the financial markets. Many traders believed that concerns regarding a Greece exit should have propelled the precious metal higher, but yesterday prices closed only about half a percentage point higher.  While the gold future contract price is hardly higher, physical demand is picking as the UK royal mint announced a significant pickup of purchases from Greek customers.  The e-mailed statement highlighted gold...

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3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

It’s worth reminding ourselves that every trader is responsible for their trading actions and behavior. How we behave or act (i.e., what we do or don’t do) when trading will largely determine our trading success.  Here are 3 common day trading problems related to how traders act.  Left untamed, they will lead to failure.  All are within the control of the trader and can, therefore, be corrected. Problem Behavior #1: Trading Without a Game Plan Traders coming into the trading day without a...

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Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Live Cattle Numbers tend to Taper off as Summer Wears On. Here is How Investors can CapitalizeWhile you’re tossing those steaks and burgers on the grill, you might want to consider how that meat can not only feed your picnic dwellers, but potentially put money in your pocket.Like most commodities, the cattle market has longer term fundamental and cyclical factors that if recognized, can often be used to the advantage of the patient investor. These are the kinds of markets favored in our...

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FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

So far, 2015 has been fairly light on high-buzz, high-growth tech-related IPOs, but that figures to change this week with Fitbit's (FIT) 29.9 million share IPO. As of this writing, the deal is expected to price within a range of $14-$16, but, given the buzz -- and it's very impressive growth rates -- it wouldn't be a surprise if the price range was lifted before it launches on Thursday, June 18. With the company offering nearly 30 million shares, the float is on the larger side, especially...

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Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

The great thing about trading options is there are no limits to the number of strategies, or degrees of risk and reward.  Depending on how an option strategy is structured, it can be a simple lottery ticket (buy a cheap call or put outright), a limited risk range trade, a premium collection effort, or a “free” trade in which  the trader accepts theoretically unlimited risk for the prospects of a directional bias without any cash outlay.  In this article, we’ll focus on the latter. FREE...

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Lions, Tigers And Soybeans…Oh My!

Lions, Tigers And Soybeans…Oh My!

With the USDA report unleashing further buying pressure into an already bullish grain complex yesterday, corn, wheat and beans finished with the substantial upside gains and among the largest percentage gainers on the commodity board. But to be certain, the real opportunity to take long positions in these commodities wasn’t on the report release.  The clear buying opportunity revealed itself last week. Looking at the charts of each of these grains side-by-side, the volume profile analysis...

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Soybean Rally: Short Term Selling Opportunity

Soybean Rally: Short Term Selling Opportunity

Soybeans look to reverse last week’s trend entering the weekend by going higher rather than lower from Sunday night into Tuesday’s June USDA stocks and seedings report. The five to seven day forecast has three to nine inches of rain across the Midwest. This does two things. First it suggests planting progress slows down and second that crop conditions decline. Tuesday’s final planted acreage report and stocks on hand report estimated 2015 US soybean seeding at 85.1 Mil acres with harvested...

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US Stocks Jittery In Rumor Driven Trade

US Stocks Jittery In Rumor Driven Trade

Tuesday was a day filled with missed deadlines: Greece defaulted on a payment to the International Monetary Fund; the deadline for a nuclear deal with Iran passed without comment; and Russian and the Ukraine failed to reach agreement on sales of Russia gas, so the Ukraine may have to look elsewhere for heat this winter. Against that background the S&P 500 mini-futures made an inconclusive consolidation move Tuesday; bounce up at the open, steady decline to just below Monday’s low, and...

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Are You Making these Mistakes with Fibonacci

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How To Beat the Hedge Funds in the Long Run

How To Beat the Hedge Funds in the Long Run

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