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The US Dollar: Multiple Long Term Bullish Indications

The US Dollar: Multiple Long Term Bullish Indications

The Greenback has been strengthening of late with the Fed’s bond buying policy set to end this October.  Additionally, there is speculation that the Fed will be raising rates possibly in the first quarter or middle of 2015.  [Editor's note: This article is the fourth installment in an exclusive series by DailyFX on getting started in forex. Read the previous articles here. ]Though the Fed would not be the first central bank to boost interest rates since the depths of the Great Recession,...

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Options Trading 101: Don't Hide Behind The Math

Options Trading 101: Don't Hide Behind The Math

Don't hide behind the math! That is a common phrase I tell my students seemingly on a daily basis.  That may sound quite odd coming from a statistics major, but it is one of the very important credos we traders must live by. What Do I Mean By This?  It means, don't let a mathematical output override common sense.  Trade Example Let's take an example when I was looking for an earnings play in Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF).  Through my research I saw that the market was pricing about a 9%...

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Follow The 3 Key Trading Rules Of Jesse Livermore

Follow The 3 Key Trading Rules Of Jesse Livermore

If you're a student of market history there is nobody you learned more about than Jesse Livermore. Edwin Lefevre wrote his story in the book Reminiscence of a Stock Operator, one of my favorite reads.  He was truly a man before his time, making his fortune during the days prior to the Great Depression at bucket shops and fledgling brokerages.  His tape-reading skills were legendary and are still marveled at today.  Though he finished his career a pauper and eventually committed suicide,...

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What Does S&P 500 At 2000 Really Mean And How Can You Trade It?

What Does S&P 500 At 2000 Really Mean And How Can You Trade It?

Traditionally September is a month that sees a decline in the equity index markets. When markets put in new record highs, we often see a retracement from those levels. On the flipside, investors and market players have heard from the Fed and have a better picture of the Fed’s future plans. The shrinking of the stimulus program along with the hint of changing interest rates next year has not scared anyone away from the equities. Numbers Stick We often pay attention closely to numbers. It...

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Implied Volatility Is Soaring In McDonald’s

Implied Volatility Is Soaring In McDonald’s

Shares of the $92 billion fast food restaurant company, McDonald’s (MCD), are down 0.83% year to date vs. the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s (DJIA) 3.29% gain. From the May high of $102.95, McDonald’s is down 8.06% as comps and quarterly earnings have missed Wall Street estimates in the last two quarters. On August 22, McDonald's named Mike Andres the new president of its U.S. operations, following July global comps of -2.5% vs. the -1.2% estimate. U.S. comps fell 3.2%, but one bright spot...

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Airlines Stocks Poised To Fly

Airlines Stocks Poised To Fly

Hi, World! I hope you’re doing sensational. I’m back from GA and had an enjoyable visit with the family. The market is closed this upcoming Monday. My girlfriend works at a bank and she’s actually off. Hopefully I am, too? Anyway, take time off this weekend. Make sure you enjoy yourself and spend time with your family. Maybe fly somewhere you haven’t been before! Airline Stocks Speaking of flying gets me thinking of the airline industry.  I believe the airline industry is poised to break...

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The Versatility Of The 1-2-3 Iron Butterfly

The Versatility Of The 1-2-3 Iron Butterfly

Traders may be aware of the iron butterfly, a strategy that creates a limit on possible losses, in exchange for a limit on potential profits. Expanding this further, the 1-2-3 iron butterfly is a strategy consisting of three expiration dates and three butterflies.The middle is a reverse iron butterfly. This structure means that half of the positions will always become profitable whether the stock price moves up or down. And even with no movement, half of the positions – all of the short...

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Psychology: The Five Trader Personality Types, Which One Are You?

Psychology: The Five Trader Personality Types, Which One Are You?

I’ve learned from over a dozen years as a coach to top traders that traders, like criminals, can be profiled (no offense.)  In fact, just 5 Trader Personality Types encompass all the personality variations I’ve ever encountered, if one includes hybrids. (By the way, these five types have nothing in common with standard academic or corporate personality models.) Over the last 5 weeks I’ve presented these Five Types to Trader Planet readers. They correspond to the acronym AWARE.TM ‘A’ stands...

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Stock Play: JC Penney Breaks Out To The Upside

Stock Play: JC Penney Breaks Out To The Upside

JCP (Penney J.C.) has been in a downtrend for all of 2012 going from $43.00 to $5.00. Gap Review On February 27, JCP gapped up and broke the downtrend line that it established since 2012.  The gap up put the stock on a long watch because the downtrend was broken.  This action forced out any short players from the entire move down since 2012.  Since then JCP has based in sideways action from $7.00 to $10.00.  On August 25, 2014 JCP cleared over $10.30 which was a longer term resistance...

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Gold Trade: Position For A Breakout From The Wedge

Gold Trade: Position For A Breakout From The Wedge

There are reasons on both sides of the bull and bear aisle to fuel the gold market's future longer term direction. The battle currently waged by individual speculators and funds alike have gold trading between the upper and lower trendlines, seen on Figure 1 below. Last Thursday’s (8/21/14) breakdown to $1273.4 basis December futures rubbed right against the down trendline, only to see the market bounce through September option expiration. July’s rally up to $1347.5 basis December 2014...

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Stock Watch: Western Digital Shows Good Relative Strength

Stock Watch: Western Digital Shows Good Relative Strength

While much of the broad market has rallied, there have been stocks biding their time and gathering strength for the next move higher.Western Digital (WDC) is one of those stocks. Quiet Range After a very strong rally from May to July, the stock has done nothing besides settle down in a three- point range. Good Relative Strength The important thing to note is that the stock didn't break its range to the downside while the rest of the market was selling off in August. This indicates a good...

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Unusual Options Action: Big Player Snaps Up QEP

Unusual Options Action: Big Player Snaps Up QEP

On Monday morning, QEP Resources (QEP) joined the list of names in which we’ve seen unusual options activity in 2014.  Shares are up over 15% in 2014, outperforming both the broader market and the energy sector (S&P 500 Energy Sector stocks are up 10.6% this year).  Volume Data With an average daily volume of under 1.5 million shares, QEP Resources is one of the lesser known names for unusual options activity in 2014.  Shares have traded in a 52-week range of $25.93-$35.03, having...

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Pull Up a Chair to My Trading Desk with Jason Leavitt

Pull Up a Chair to My Trading Desk with Jason Leavitt

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VantagePoint's Neural Index and Larry Williams ...

VantagePoint's Neural Index and Larry Williams ...

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Identify HUGE move in Commodities with the Larry ...

Identify HUGE move in Commodities with the Larry ...

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