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Psychological Damage Can Be Done To Investors

Psychological Damage Can Be Done To Investors

It is not easy to win over investor sentiment.  Anyone who lost money during the financial crisis can tell you how difficult it was to suddenly trust markets again, and there was the 'flash crash' afterwards that suddenly jolted any built up confidence.  For its part, the Fed has done everything they possibly could to bolster investor confidence, the lifeblood to the markets. On record they have succeeded, but many would question the tactics.  Yet six years in to the bull run many are...

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Trading Psychology: Mirror Mirror

Trading Psychology: Mirror Mirror

I get a chuckle out of this picture because it clearly depicts one of the more slippery psychological factors that affect our bottom line results as traders: our inability to see ourselves as we really are.   I have a Peanuts cartoon framed on the wall behind my trading desk that depicts Lucy giving psychiatric advice to Charlie Brown for 7 cents at an outdoor stand. She explains to Charlie that the brain works hard at night in dreams “to help you see yourself as you really are.” In the...

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Silver Primed For Short Covering Rally

Silver Primed For Short Covering Rally

One of the much talked about but yet to materialize issues regarding the last 6-7 years of economics has been, “At what point will precious metals receive a boost due to inflation?” In spite of Milton Friedman’s inflation being, “always and everywhere,” it has yet to gain any real traction. Yet, in spite of or, perhaps because of, we’ve seen speculative interest in the precious metals wane as a humdrum reality continues to imply neither the disaster of fiat currencies nor the...

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US Stock Analysis: Feta Complete

US Stock Analysis: Feta Complete

On Sunday Greeks voted on an economic program that no longer exists, in a referendum which is of questionable legality, using ballots which are not in existence and for which no funding is available. Grexit seems to be a fait accompli.   In the meantime, regardless of the Greek vote, US markets will continue to do what they do. The Hybrid Lindsay forecast calls for a low early this week followed by a rally to, roughly, July 15. In addition to Middle Section forecasts which are the heart...

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Greek Citizens Rush To Buy Physical Gold

Greek Citizens Rush To Buy Physical Gold

Gold prices were only modestly higher despite all the risk aversion that hit the financial markets. Many traders believed that concerns regarding a Greece exit should have propelled the precious metal higher, but yesterday prices closed only about half a percentage point higher.  While the gold future contract price is hardly higher, physical demand is picking as the UK royal mint announced a significant pickup of purchases from Greek customers.  The e-mailed statement highlighted gold...

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3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

It’s worth reminding ourselves that every trader is responsible for their trading actions and behavior. How we behave or act (i.e., what we do or don’t do) when trading will largely determine our trading success.  Here are 3 common day trading problems related to how traders act.  Left untamed, they will lead to failure.  All are within the control of the trader and can, therefore, be corrected. Problem Behavior #1: Trading Without a Game Plan Traders coming into the trading day without a...

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Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Live Cattle Numbers tend to Taper off as Summer Wears On. Here is How Investors can CapitalizeWhile you’re tossing those steaks and burgers on the grill, you might want to consider how that meat can not only feed your picnic dwellers, but potentially put money in your pocket.Like most commodities, the cattle market has longer term fundamental and cyclical factors that if recognized, can often be used to the advantage of the patient investor. These are the kinds of markets favored in our...

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FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

So far, 2015 has been fairly light on high-buzz, high-growth tech-related IPOs, but that figures to change this week with Fitbit's (FIT) 29.9 million share IPO. As of this writing, the deal is expected to price within a range of $14-$16, but, given the buzz -- and it's very impressive growth rates -- it wouldn't be a surprise if the price range was lifted before it launches on Thursday, June 18. With the company offering nearly 30 million shares, the float is on the larger side, especially...

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Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

The great thing about trading options is there are no limits to the number of strategies, or degrees of risk and reward.  Depending on how an option strategy is structured, it can be a simple lottery ticket (buy a cheap call or put outright), a limited risk range trade, a premium collection effort, or a “free” trade in which  the trader accepts theoretically unlimited risk for the prospects of a directional bias without any cash outlay.  In this article, we’ll focus on the latter. FREE...

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Collect Premium In E-Mini S&P 500

Collect Premium In E-Mini S&P 500

What a long strange trip it’s been for the crisis in Greece.  If you think maybe you had one of those flashes, we’ve been here before, you are right. The EU has been dealing with the problems of Greek debt since 2010.  The decisions by the EU and Greece over the past five years have generally resembled kick the can; we’ll deal with that later. It’s time for payments to be made and Greece can’t do it. The EU isn’t budging (for the time being) and it looks like the eyes of the world will be...

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Will A Greek Exit Trigger Another European Crisis?

Will A Greek Exit Trigger Another European Crisis?

Unless you have had your head in the sand over the past week, thanks to the media, Greece is all we have been hearing about lately, from morning to night. This has been in the making over the past 5 years and yet no real solution seems to be in sight, which is quite sad for the country as well as for the dream of a unified Europe. Back in 2010, the problematic PIIGS (Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece and Spain) were all the talk, now it’s mostly centred on just Greece as the others have...

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US Stocks: Beware Today Is End Of Trading Week

US Stocks: Beware Today Is End Of Trading Week

The Greek debt crisis will have another installment this weekend, as the government urges the citizens to vote No to the eurozone austerity measures. But the US markets seem to have decided that it really doesn’t matter all that much. The S&P500 mini-futures (ESU5) bounced up nicely after the Greek prime minister offered a fig-leaf to the creditors (we think it was less an olive branch than a red herring, designed to shift blame for the coming debacle to the creditors). The minis...

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Improve Your Timing and Risk Management VantagePoint and the ...

Improve Your Timing and Risk Management VantagePoint and the ...

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Measure Market Sentiment with the Larry Williams Professional ...

Measure Market Sentiment with the Larry Williams Professional ...

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