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Natural Gas Breaks Out

Natural Gas Breaks Out

If you can stomach the risk of an inherently risky market, natural gas futures are in the process of breaking out from a platform base. What's more, a lack of any technical resistance overhead heightens the probability of follow-through buying in the coming weeks. Chart Picture I didn't add any indicators to this chart because the price action alone tells the story. From July through September a floor emerged at 3.82; four attempts by the bears to break it failed. Two tests confirmed a...

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How To Take Advantage Of High Frequency Trader Price Action

How To Take Advantage Of High Frequency Trader Price Action

Recognizing the High Frequency Trader HFT footprint on a stock chart, presents ways for individual traders to use the candlestick patterns created to their advantage. HFT orders are algorithms which are computer programs that are automated, and occur at speeds on the millisecond scale. Therefore traders will find their orders have been front run by the HFTs, if they try to enter after an HFT order triggers.The HFT footprint is unique on a stock chart, and there is no other technical...

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Apple (AAPL) iPhone 6 Is Here: Key Levels For Traders

Apple (AAPL) iPhone 6 Is Here: Key Levels For Traders

The iPhone 6 is here!  That’s great for Apple device users but what about AAPL traders?  Here are the important trading levels for AAPL stock. The trend in AAPL is pointed higher in the daily and weekly time frames, which gives the larger bias clearly to the bulls.  With this as a starting point, dips to support can be viewed as buying opportunities.  Nearby support is 93.28 - 96.15.  The top of this zone of support was tested and held in September.  The lower boundary of the ascending...

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US Dollar Breakout: End To Stock Bull, Renewed Commodity Bear

US Dollar Breakout: End To Stock Bull, Renewed Commodity Bear

It seems nothing can stop the U.S. dollar. Since its low in April it has closed higher in four out of five months and is up almost 8.00% since then.  While a run like that is in need of a rest there are some big issues that need to be considered now. DXY broke out of a six-year triangle this month. Breaking to the upside from a triangle is bullish. That triangle is essentially a six-year base and should give DXY some serious “legs” for the future. As the world’s most important commodities...

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SPX: They Won't Ring A Bell At The Top

SPX: They Won't Ring A Bell At The Top

My sense is that a great many speculators are simultaneously imagining some clear exit signal, or the ability to act on some “tight stop” ... History teaches that the market doesn’t offer executable opportunities for an entire speculative crowd to exit with paper profits intact. Hence what we call the Exit Rule for Bubbles: you only get out if you panic before everyone else does. --John Hussman,Noted Financial Guru and long-term Bear Years ago, in an earlier millennium, a pre-historic...

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Silver Market Vulnerable To Short Covering Rally

Silver Market Vulnerable To Short Covering Rally

The U.S. Dollar index has rallied nearly 3.5% in September and approximately 7.25% since July 1. The dollar’s strength along with an absence of inflation and flagging commodity markets has continued to push money into the equities’ sector however; deeper research suggests that we may be nearer a tipping point for a reversal than we are for these trends to continue unabated. Specifically, the silver market has seen some exceptional internal action that happens to correspond with spot on...

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Women On Wall Street

Women On Wall Street

A Discussion about Optimizing Career Development on Wall StreetHosted By NYSSA with collaboration from the MTA’s Women in Technical Analysis Group.Billed as a discussion about challenges faced by women on Wall Street, the Career Chat at NYSSA on September 3, 2014, was a well attended event which focused on keys to help women on Wall Street propel their careers forward.  The speakers at the event were the charismatic and energetic Carla Harris of Morgan Stanley and the insightful Linda...

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The Euro Will Reach Parity With The U.S. Dollar In 2-3 Years: Stay Short

The Euro Will Reach Parity With The U.S. Dollar In 2-3 Years: Stay Short

In the last six months, the Euro declined by 5% against the U.S. dollar as it became apparent that the European Central Bank (the ECB) has fallen far behind the U.S. Federal Reserve (the Fed) in its interest rate policymaking cycle. While the Fed is set to end its “quantitative easing” policy of asset purchases this year and to raise interest rates by next year (with a target fed funds rate of 3.75% by the end of 2017), the ECB is just beginning to formulate a quantitative easing policy of...

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America's Role In the Middle East: Friends and Foes

America's Role In the Middle East: Friends and Foes

The Professional Traders OpinionWho’s on First? (Abbot & Costello, circa 1952)Oddly enough, an ascribed Arabic proverb, dating to the 4th century BC, suggests “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.”   There is now a 21st century edited version of that proverb; once again emanating from the land of Arabia but this time will need Aristotle to discern the logic; it goes something like this: “the enemy of my enemy is only my friend until my enemy is overthrown by America, a new government is...

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A Guide To Alibaba’s (BABA) Record-Setting IPO

A Guide To Alibaba’s (BABA) Record-Setting IPO

Over the past month, the IPO market hasn’t provided traders and investors with many compelling opportunities as activity has dried up. With Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba (BABA) lined up to go public on September 19, the IPO market will soon come to life in dramatic fashion. Demand has been so strong that its expected price range has been bumped higher to $66-$68 from the original expectation of $60-$66.  With BABA offering 320.1 million ADS, its projected proceeds of over $24.6 billion...

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Unusual Options Activity: Mellanox Technologies On The Move

Unusual Options Activity: Mellanox Technologies On The Move

Mellanox Technologies (Nasdaq: MLNX, 42.58) is headquartered in Sunnyvale, California and Yokneam, Israel, and provides ethernet and infiniband switches for servers and storage used in enterprise data centers.MLNX shares are up just over 8% in 2014, performing comparably to the broader market.  Price action has been choppy, with shares trading in a 52-week range of $30.58-$46.04. The Trade Twenty-six minutes in Monday’s session, we saw a trader come in and buy 1,985 MLNX Oct 44 Calls for...

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Europe's Big Bazooka? Not Yet, But It’s Coming

Europe's Big Bazooka? Not Yet, But It’s Coming

Well, so much for the Big Bazooka.  Through last week, European banks had only borrowed €82.6 billion of the €400 billion that ECB President Mario Draghi had pledged to make available via his Targeted Longer-Term Refinancing Operations (“TLTRO”). If you need a refresher, you can re-read “Draghi’s Big Plan,” which I wrote in June.  But here’s the abbreviated version: Draghi’s TLTRO program allows Eurozone banks to borrow at next to nothing—0.25% or less—over four years on the condition that...

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