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Use Oscillators To Determine Market Direction (Or Not)

Use Oscillators To Determine Market Direction (Or Not)

Oscillators come in a number of different forms such as stochastic, relative strength and the commodity channel index.  Although the mathematical equations are different in each, the underlying principal by which oscillator calculations are made remains the same.  How They Work All oscillators compare the high and low of a given market move to its close.  This is the reason that oscillators are a bounded set of indicators. As the close of a market move approaches its high, the oscillator...

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The 5 Trader Personalities- Part 5: The Engineer

The 5 Trader Personalities- Part 5: The Engineer

One’s personality is like the water a fish swims in. It colors our perceptions and decisions in a global manner that we are usually quite naive about. Frankly, one’s personality quirks often get a pass from others in the course of daily life (“He’s just that way.”), but when it comes to the financial arena, our personality strongly affects our bottom-line results.   [Note: In my work with top traders I’ve developed a model that helps traders and investors understand themselves better. ...

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Stock Watch: NetSuite Sees Accumulation By Large Players

Stock Watch: NetSuite Sees Accumulation By Large Players

As the market rally continues to mature, start looking for some of the "dregs" to get pulled back up."Dregs" stocks are former high flyers that have not had a particularly good run of things. This can be due to a drop in earnings growth or just bad luck from a lack of momentum. Shorts Get Greedy Either way, dregs stocks become beaten down and shorts start getting greedy. If these stocks start basing out, there will be buy stops hit from shorts as well as those looking to initiate new...

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Trading Strategy: Trade Gaps Off A 15-Minute Chart

Trading Strategy: Trade Gaps Off A 15-Minute Chart

Trading on small time frames like a one to five minute chart can create a lot of noise and prevent you from riding out the bigger move.   By focusing on a higher time frame like the fifteen minute chart you can tune out allot of the noise and possibly ride out a bigger move. As a gap trader I will use the fifteen minute chart after noon market time.  This way it gives the stock some time to show me a trend and develop some price stability.  An example of this is a trade I took this week...

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The Professional Traders Opinion: Russian Sanctions Smoot-Hawley Revisited

The Professional Traders Opinion: Russian Sanctions Smoot-Hawley Revisited

Russia was once described by Sir Winston Churchill, as “a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma.”  Those words, spoken in 1939, eloquently described the Western sense of Moscow as inscrutable and a menacing country that plays by its own rules; perhaps they are no different now with the extraordinary exception that today’s Russia is dressed in diplomat’s pinstripes folded around a pugilist’s muscle with a checkbook of an oil baron.  What’s more, today Russia, along with China,...

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Unusual Options Activity Seen In Kate Spade & Company

Unusual Options Activity Seen In Kate Spade & Company

Kate Spade & Company (KATE) recently reported earnings, and news of contracting profit margins sent shares tumbling over 10 percent.  Unusual Options Activity At least one institution thinks this move was overdone. Monday’s session saw a trader come in and buy 5,000 KATE Sep 33 Calls for $0.95, paying the ask against 700 contracts of open interest.   Huge Position This order has the potential to control half a million shares of stock, or about a fifth of KATE stock’s average daily...

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Trading When Moving At Warp Speed

Trading When Moving At Warp Speed

In today’s market environment, it isn’t the one who “has the money” that controls the market direction. Instead, it has changed to the one that “controls the information,” controls the direction of the markets. Instead of reading an article to see whether it could be bullish or bearish for the markets, we have created computers that do the reading and then trading for us. When these algorithms read something that they are programmed to be deemed bearish, they automatically remove any bid...

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Bear Pennant Makes Eurodollar A Nice Short

Bear Pennant Makes Eurodollar A Nice Short

The euro's value to the dollar (EURUSD) was one of the more bullish currency pairs in the first half of the year, but the trend reversed in May. The chart exhibits the Wall Street adage that “markets take the stairs going up and the elevator going down.” I don't see any technical evidence suggesting the downtrend is near an end. The Chart Since the beginning of August, EURUSD has been tracing out a small bear pennant. This comprises a tight triangle shape that characterizes a period of...

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Go Long: Concerns Over the Chinese Yuan’s Weakness Are Overblown

Go Long: Concerns Over the Chinese Yuan’s Weakness Are Overblown

On March 6, 2013 we initiated a long recommendation for our clients on the Chinese currency, the yuan, through the purchase of offshore, yuan-denominated bonds (DSUM) an exchange traded fund.   DSUM closed 2013 with a 6.32% gain, the year’s best-performing bond instrument on a risk-adjusted basis, compared to a dismal performance of -4.83% for the average emerging market bond fund. After this stellar performance, this year’s weakness in the yuan is no surprise to us.  While the U.S....

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Trading Psychology: Clear Your Head

Trading Psychology: Clear Your Head

As traders, we try to maintain a high level of concentration and performance at all times. The focus is on trading plans and processes, risk and reward, indicators and charts, coding and strategies, and about a million other possibilities at any given time. Truly, it is impossible for any human to keep track of all the information available.When you get to the point where nothing makes sense (we all get there) it’s time to look away for awhile. I call this “data fatigue” and it occurs on...

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Lindsay Analysis: Mirror Image Forecasting Method For Stocks

Lindsay Analysis: Mirror Image Forecasting Method For Stocks

In the preserved, written work of George Lindsay, he makes several references to an approach he calls “mirror image.” Unfortunately, the most he ever wrote was that he had never explained it in writing but hoped to someday. If he did, it has been lost to time. This is why the topic has not appeared in any of my three books about his work. [Editor's note: learn more about the work of George Lindsay here.] However, discussions with those who knew him, combined with a little common sense and...

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Are Interest Rates Headed Lower?

Are Interest Rates Headed Lower?

As interest rates have churned sideways over the last year, we’ve heard plenty of opinions on where they are going next.  With the big move up in 2013, the majority of opinions that we’ve seen are calling for higher rates on the horizon. At i10 Research, we let the charts do the talking and the chart of the TNX, which is the 10-year interest rate, shows that rates are not headed higher.  They are moving lower.  The trend in interest rates has been bearish since the start of 2014 and has...

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Swing Trading in Commodities with VantagePoint and ...

Swing Trading in Commodities with VantagePoint and ...

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Track the Smart Money and Avoid Dumb Mistakes

Track the Smart Money and Avoid Dumb Mistakes

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Indentify Favorable Market Conditions with Larry ...

Indentify Favorable Market Conditions with Larry ...

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