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Gold: An Inverse Trade With Equities

Gold: An Inverse Trade With Equities

Precious metals rallied sharply late last week and through Monday’s session in the face of significant equity losses. While plunging equity markets offer a “risk off” mood that drove investors into the precious metals sector most notably into Gold and silver, that same reaction could reverse itself if Janet Yellen’s testimony in front of Congress is seen as dovish. However should Yellen’s commentary be seen as “staying the course” with the sentiment being that possibly two to three rate...

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Illusory Economic Recovery Supported By Hot Money

Illusory Economic Recovery Supported By Hot Money

Is this economic recovery real? Well if you base your observations on how far the Dow has risen since the financial crisis of 2008-2009 and on the B.S statistics the BLS puts out, the answer would be a yes. However, if you do just a little cursory digging, you will spot that this economic recovery is nothing but a grand illusion. The following factors clearly prove that this recovery is not real. Copper A leading indicator is in a death spiral so all must not be well. It is trading at...

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Turnaround Tuesday

Turnaround Tuesday

The equity markets are very quiet this morning in comparison to what has happened the last few days. I don’t think we will see much today with Janet Yellen speaking Wednesday and Thursday in front of The House and Senate. The Currency markets however are very active today. The dollar index as of 11am is down 0.67 to 95.88. The Euro is strengthening vs USD, up over 0.01 vs the EURO to 1.131. The Dollar is falling against the Yen by 1.08 to 114.76. It continues to astonish me that this is...

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One Chart Illustrates U.S Economic Recovery 100% Fiction

One Chart Illustrates U.S Economic Recovery 100% Fiction

They say a picture is worth a thousand words and this chart is probably worth a lot more.  It illustrates how the BLS has been lying through its teeth over the past seven years. Then again anyone with a grain of common sense could figure out that the retarded methodology the BLS employs is bound to create the illusion that all is well. They purposely discount individuals that have stopped looking for work in coming up with their unemployment numbers. Hence, the 5% figure is not an accurate...

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The DAX Playbook

The DAX Playbook

The chart with this article is a monthly graph of the German index, aka, the ‘DAX.’ The chart shows the two previous bull and bear markets. Curiously, both bear markets started in the month of March. The DAX is now in the “third drive,” which is a common technical completion pattern. If a third bear market starts from here, it suggests the possibility that a secular, uber-bull market in Germany is now over and a secular uber-bear may be about to begin. Based on the technical pattern from...

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Using ETF Fund Flows to play Defense

Using ETF Fund Flows to play Defense

We are now in February and the major US Indices can now be considered in bear markets.  So, how should one position themselves for a rocky 2016?  Let’s examine where the institutional money is flowing.  Evaluating ETF fund flows daily identifies trends and major market shifts; weekly and monthly evaluations will reveal general trends.  Why?  Funds and RIAs (Registered Investment Advisors) are now using ETFs as an asset allocation model; therefore, watching these day to day movements can...

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Will Oil Prices Rise or Fall? | A 27 Year History on the Charts Tells the Story

Will Oil Prices Rise or Fall? | A 27 Year History on the Charts Tells the Story

Bloomberg says oil ($CL_F) will go as low as $10.00 a barrel whereas oil tycoon T. Boone Pickens says we could be headed for higher oil prices; no matter how you slice it, both of these sources could be right.   The market is going to do what the market is going to do, but there are solid reasons for oil prices to rise and fall, the past 3 decades has shown us this without a doubt.  There’s been a lot of talk from news sources and in the media that oil may be headed for $10.00 a barrel but...

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Trading Tactics: How to Deal With a Slump

Trading Tactics: How to Deal With a Slump

Self-realization is a good place to start in breaking a trading slump.  I know it seems obvious that when you're in a slump and trading poorly your results and account balance will reflect it.  Streaks work both ways of course, and when we are winning it is just as notable as when we are losing.  Understanding what is happening to you is awareness that may help you change some habits, which may also change your fortunes.  When in a slump I will often take a break from trading, a...

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Stock Market Crash: Is The Dow Headed For A 2008 Repeat?

Stock Market Crash: Is The Dow Headed For A 2008 Repeat?

Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come. Anonymous   We could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune.  Take a look at some of the recent headlines: Is the stock market headed for a repeat of 2008?, On marketwatch.com A stock-market crash of 50%+ would not be a surprise — or the worst-case scenario on Yahoo Finance Stock Market Crash 2016: This Is The...

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Do You Know When the News is Wrong And Can You Trade It?

Do You Know When the News is Wrong And Can You Trade It?

Do you trade the news?  Some technical traders ignore the news, but understanding when it gets one-sided can offer extraordinary trading, especially for those who know how to read the markets.  A One-Sided Market Early last Wednesday morning, January 20th, news outlets like CNN were talking gloom and doom before the US markets opened.  The European and Asian markets were selling down hard, they said.  The markets were in dire shape.  They even had a name for the coming trading day: “Red...

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Surge in VIX Spills into Commodities: A Gift for Gold Option Sellers?

Surge in VIX Spills into Commodities: A Gift for Gold Option Sellers?

Back at the beginning of December, the we advised selling gold calls with the rational that gold prices would have a hard time moving substantially higher in light of a Fed Rate hike (amongst other reasons.) *If you missed this piece, it remains relevant and you can read it on the blog at www.OptionSellers.com/golddec We still feel that gold calls can offer investors some attractive premium in Q1 2016. However, a new development has opened up a second premium opportunity in gold. The...

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ORLY: Near A Strong "Do Or Die" Price Point

ORLY: Near A Strong "Do Or Die" Price Point

Hello, stock market fans from around the planet. How have the last few weeks of your trading been going? Exceptionally wild, I imagine. Some gargantuan swings and percentage moves across many stocks and sectors since the start of 2016. A lot of analysts are calling for a recession. With the decreased cost of gas and oil, it’s likely that people will be driving more and therefore repairing their vehicles more. Many analysts are quite bullish on the auto retail sector. I personally am not. I...

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Stocks

Today's Morning Stock Trades: DIS, AKAM, PNRA & More

Today's Morning Stock Trades: DIS, AKAM, PNRA & More

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ETFs

Financial Stocks Crashing: This Is Where Institutions Will Buy Them!

Financial Stocks Crashing: This Is Where Institutions Will Buy Them!

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Futures/Commodities

Major Technical Level In Oil: Inside The Charts For Maximum Profit

Major Technical Level In Oil: Inside The Charts For Maximum Profit

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ETFs

Stock Strategies - DIA, SPY, AAPL, TSLA, NFLX, INTC,

Stock Strategies - DIA, SPY, AAPL, TSLA, NFLX, INTC,

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