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Gold Bulls Could Pause Ahead Of Fed Meeting

Gold Bulls Could Pause Ahead Of Fed Meeting

The gold market has posted impressive price action in the past few weeks in the face of a rising U.S. dollar and in this week's case a major rebound in U.S. stock indices. See Figure 1 below. The gold market made a double bottom a few weeks back at the $1182-83 area from last December. Gold’s rebound, in my view, is largely due to safe-haven buying due to the lack in confidence in fiat currencies as central banks in Europe. Also, China has adopted more easing measures. Big Players Hedge...

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Don't Get Trapped By Stop Hunters: How To Survive The Head Fake

Don't Get Trapped By Stop Hunters: How To Survive The Head Fake

Have you ever been in a trade that was a textbook setup and you thought you landed a great trade when all of a sudden it hit your stop, took you out and then it worked and hit your target?   I am sure you felt a bit of unsettled emotions as this played out before you on your trading screens at your desk.  As a trader you have to get smarter and learn from these little tricks the big boys do to throw us out of our trade.  Trade Example On October 17, 2014 COF (Capital One Financial) gapped...

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Alibaba: Look For The "Shake And Bake" Setup

Alibaba: Look For The "Shake And Bake" Setup

It was "the" IPO to own this year.You know how you get those "Oriental Trading" magazines in the mail? Where you can buy 250 bouncy balls for 5 bucks?Alibaba is like that, except on a massive scale.And after all that IPO hype, the stock ran from 100 the first day it traded and has fallen into a range since.This chart is a classic IPO base and break pattern. 90 is an obvious level that if broken will drive the stock to attempt to retake 100. I would not be surprised if we saw a "shake and...

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Earnings Play: VMWare Inc. Poised For Big Move

Earnings Play: VMWare Inc. Poised For Big Move

VMWare Inc. (VMW) is scheduled to report earnings after Tuesday’s closing bell.  Headquartered in Palo Alto, CA, this company specializes in cloud and software virtualization services.  VMW Share are down slightly over 2% in 2014, but are off nearly 21% from their April 1 high of $111.83.  The stock has traded in a 52-week range of $76.51-$112.89.Analysts are calling $1.5 billion in revenue with EPS of $0.83 per share.  In their last report in July, VMWare beat out analyst estimates but...

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S&P 500: Use Past Patterns To Predict Future Market Moves

S&P 500: Use Past Patterns To Predict Future Market Moves

Humans are creatures of habit and that is why history will almost always repeat at some time in the future. The same holds true for our financial system as well as the stock market. I have always been a big “fractal pattern” believer and do a lot of my research for future direction, based off of a similar pattern that has happened in the past. History will mimic, but not repeat exactly for the most part, as will fractal patterns. But they are a great guide to what to expect in the future....

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Trading: Communication Is The Key To Lowering Your Taxes

Trading: Communication Is The Key To Lowering Your Taxes

How many times have we been told that communication is the key to a good marriage or a good friendship? In the business world, we are told that communication is the key to success. I am a big believer in the power of open communication. It’s one of the main reasons that Guardian Accounting Group has a flat fee structure. We never want our clients to be afraid of talking to us about a tax situation because of an hourly fee. Clients are encouraged to call us with all their tax questions and...

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Market Profile®: 3 Important Ways It Can Improve Your Trading

Market Profile®: 3 Important Ways It Can Improve Your Trading

You can look at markets and make trading decisions in many ways. Market Profile® has been an indispensable tool in my trading career. While Market Profile is a lifelong study, three characteristics I use to increase the probabilities of making successful trades are areas of acceptance and rejection, trade location, and context. Areas of Acceptance and Rejection The most useful characteristic of Market Profile is how it paints the picture of acceptance and rejection of price over time. It...

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The Case For Gold: “The Good Old Days”

The Case For Gold: “The Good Old Days”

In a recent interview, Rick Rule of Sprott Asset Management made a strong case that this bear market may be looked back on as “the good old days” in terms of the golden opportunity to invest in the precious metals sector. Rule said there has been “carnage” in the precious metals markets over the past three weeks, adding to “slow motion” carnage since 2012. He said it is “Difficult for people to see benefit in this type of carnage.” However, he argued, “Three or four years from now, we’ll...

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Gaining Viral Profits With Global Health Panics

Gaining Viral Profits With Global Health Panics

When fears grip the public about the spread of virulent diseases such as Ebola and other malicious conditions, it is time to assess the situation and enact strategies to enhance safety…health-wise and financially as well.World health authorities believe that that Ebola and other contagious maladies will have a significant effect on the world economy. The U.S. is enacting emergency procedures and our healthcare industry is gearing up for what will be a difficult challenge for society at...

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What Is Technical Analysis To You?

What Is Technical Analysis To You?

Technical analysis is widely used in the trading community to forecast the market. There are numerous texts on the subject. There are well known traders and authors who have made famous their particular niche, e.g. candlesticks, point and figure, Bollinger Bands®, etc.  There’s even a body, the Market Technicians Association that offers a professional designation to candidates who have demonstrated expertise in the subject matter by passing three levels of rigorous testing and abiding by...

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Swing Trade: Aussie Bounces Off Support

Swing Trade: Aussie Bounces Off Support

For three weeks the Aussie dollar pressed chart support at 0.866 U.S. dollars and stabilized, and this week is generating follow-through buying. Enhancing the odds of further upside from here is the tall upper shadow (selling into price strength) and small real body (open and close are close to each other) that appeared two weeks ago on the weekly chart. This pattern of behavior often points to seller exhaustion after a downtrend. Swing Trade This is a reasonable place for a long swing...

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E-Mini Trade: Get Ready For Another Round Of Volatility

E-Mini Trade: Get Ready For Another Round Of Volatility

If you chose to read this commentary today, I have a feeling you are a survivor of the events of the last few days.  Your portfolio may have taken a hit, but you are probably still standing in upright stable position. Congratulations to you. Now get ready for another round of volatility. If you have been paying attention to the markets and the surrounding news I’m guessing you caught some words and phrases being repeated. Correction, retracement, global economy, Ebola. All appear to have...

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Key Trading Metrics: Return on Capital, Probability of ...

Key Trading Metrics: Return on Capital, Probability of ...

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