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Turnaround Tuesday

Turnaround Tuesday

The equity markets are very quiet this morning in comparison to what has happened the last few days. I don’t think we will see much today with Janet Yellen speaking Wednesday and Thursday in front of The House and Senate. The Currency markets however are very active today. The dollar index as of 11am is down 0.67 to 95.88. The Euro is strengthening vs USD, up over 0.01 vs the EURO to 1.131. The Dollar is falling against the Yen by 1.08 to 114.76. It continues to astonish me that this is...

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Surge in VIX Spills into Commodities: A Gift for Gold Option Sellers?

Surge in VIX Spills into Commodities: A Gift for Gold Option Sellers?

Back at the beginning of December, the we advised selling gold calls with the rational that gold prices would have a hard time moving substantially higher in light of a Fed Rate hike (amongst other reasons.) *If you missed this piece, it remains relevant and you can read it on the blog at www.OptionSellers.com/golddec We still feel that gold calls can offer investors some attractive premium in Q1 2016. However, a new development has opened up a second premium opportunity in gold. The...

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The DAX Playbook

The DAX Playbook

The chart with this article is a monthly graph of the German index, aka, the ‘DAX.’ The chart shows the two previous bull and bear markets. Curiously, both bear markets started in the month of March. The DAX is now in the “third drive,” which is a common technical completion pattern. If a third bear market starts from here, it suggests the possibility that a secular, uber-bull market in Germany is now over and a secular uber-bear may be about to begin. Based on the technical pattern from...

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ORLY: Near A Strong "Do Or Die" Price Point

ORLY: Near A Strong "Do Or Die" Price Point

Hello, stock market fans from around the planet. How have the last few weeks of your trading been going? Exceptionally wild, I imagine. Some gargantuan swings and percentage moves across many stocks and sectors since the start of 2016. A lot of analysts are calling for a recession. With the decreased cost of gas and oil, it’s likely that people will be driving more and therefore repairing their vehicles more. Many analysts are quite bullish on the auto retail sector. I personally am not. I...

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Using ETF Fund Flows to play Defense

Using ETF Fund Flows to play Defense

We are now in February and the major US Indices can now be considered in bear markets.  So, how should one position themselves for a rocky 2016?  Let’s examine where the institutional money is flowing.  Evaluating ETF fund flows daily identifies trends and major market shifts; weekly and monthly evaluations will reveal general trends.  Why?  Funds and RIAs (Registered Investment Advisors) are now using ETFs as an asset allocation model; therefore, watching these day to day movements can...

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Are Stocks On The Verge Of More Panic Selling?

Are Stocks On The Verge Of More Panic Selling?

Another week and another seven days of conflicting market information. While the domestic unemployment picture lends credence to the Fed’s actions, global economic slack leaves the world second guessing the Fed’s decision. The end result has led to bond spreads foreshadowing a global economic slowdown while the equity markets tank. We’ve written before that the powers that be will do everything they can to keep the global economy from coming off the rails. While we may make solid cases for...

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Will Oil Prices Rise or Fall? | A 27 Year History on the Charts Tells the Story

Will Oil Prices Rise or Fall? | A 27 Year History on the Charts Tells the Story

Bloomberg says oil ($CL_F) will go as low as $10.00 a barrel whereas oil tycoon T. Boone Pickens says we could be headed for higher oil prices; no matter how you slice it, both of these sources could be right.   The market is going to do what the market is going to do, but there are solid reasons for oil prices to rise and fall, the past 3 decades has shown us this without a doubt.  There’s been a lot of talk from news sources and in the media that oil may be headed for $10.00 a barrel but...

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Trading Tactics: How to Deal With a Slump

Trading Tactics: How to Deal With a Slump

Self-realization is a good place to start in breaking a trading slump.  I know it seems obvious that when you're in a slump and trading poorly your results and account balance will reflect it.  Streaks work both ways of course, and when we are winning it is just as notable as when we are losing.  Understanding what is happening to you is awareness that may help you change some habits, which may also change your fortunes.  When in a slump I will often take a break from trading, a...

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Stock Market Crash: Is The Dow Headed For A 2008 Repeat?

Stock Market Crash: Is The Dow Headed For A 2008 Repeat?

Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come. Anonymous   We could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune.  Take a look at some of the recent headlines: Is the stock market headed for a repeat of 2008?, On marketwatch.com A stock-market crash of 50%+ would not be a surprise — or the worst-case scenario on Yahoo Finance Stock Market Crash 2016: This Is The...

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Do You Know When the News is Wrong And Can You Trade It?

Do You Know When the News is Wrong And Can You Trade It?

Do you trade the news?  Some technical traders ignore the news, but understanding when it gets one-sided can offer extraordinary trading, especially for those who know how to read the markets.  A One-Sided Market Early last Wednesday morning, January 20th, news outlets like CNN were talking gloom and doom before the US markets opened.  The European and Asian markets were selling down hard, they said.  The markets were in dire shape.  They even had a name for the coming trading day: “Red...

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Day Trading Support System

Day Trading Support System

What can I say guys, we all need a little help, a little support.  Day trading is a challenging business to say the least and some days we need all the help we can get.  Those losing days can be tough and sometimes we need to seek council from someone we trust, but we need to be careful where we look for support because negative feedback can be devastating if we listen to the wrong people. Many day traders seek support from friends and family, although SOMETIMES the ones closest to us can...

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SPX: Beware the War of 1812

SPX: Beware the War of 1812

The S&P 500 cash index ($SPX) closed at 1880.05 last Friday, down 26.85 points for net weekly loss of 1.40%. Friday was especially brutal, one big red candle than carried the price right back down to the recent support around 1875, extinguishing all the gains made a week earlier, and reminding traders that there is a very big and very empty void below the current price. The number to watch is 1812 – think about the last time the US was invaded by foreign troops – which is approximately...

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ETFs

Financial Stocks Crashing: This Is Where Institutions Will Buy Them!

Financial Stocks Crashing: This Is Where Institutions Will Buy Them!

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Futures/Commodities

Major Technical Level In Oil: Inside The Charts For Maximum Profit

Major Technical Level In Oil: Inside The Charts For Maximum Profit

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ETFs

Stock Strategies - DIA, SPY, AAPL, TSLA, NFLX, INTC,

Stock Strategies - DIA, SPY, AAPL, TSLA, NFLX, INTC,

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Stocks

Huge Buy Signal On FANG: $FB, $AMZN, $NFLX, $GOOG - See It Here!

Huge Buy Signal On FANG: $FB, $AMZN, $NFLX, $GOOG - See It Here!

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Stocks

Stock Strategies - DIA, SPY, IWM, LNKD, AMZN, GOOGL, NFLX, TSLA and more

Stock Strategies - DIA, SPY, IWM, LNKD, AMZN, GOOGL, NFLX, TSLA and more

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