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Market Review and Forecast: NQ Just Marking Time

Market Review and Forecast: NQ Just Marking Time

The tale of the Nasdaq 100 is a story of an index that just won’t die or even stumble. Its #1 player, Apple (AAPL), fell almost 2% on Thursday and the NQ closed up on the day. To me, this suggests rather strongly that the Nasdaq 100 is not done going up. The futures once again closed the day session very near to the Volume Point of Control (VPOC), which is now 4443.  The size of the volume histogram peak at that level means this zone is in a rotational equilibrium. In other words, just as...

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Gaming The Next Apple Event

Gaming The Next Apple Event

Apple has an event scheduled for next Monday March 9, and it appears this will be an introduction to the much talked-about wearable device.  Some are saying it is a watch, but I would not be surprised if Apple calls it something more than a watch.  When there is a scheduled event, but the contents/outcome is uncertain, that tends to raise the level of anxiety.  Will they bring what everyone expects?  Will they miss the mark?  Expectations are always high, and with that, someone always ends...

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The Euro Currency – A Bearish Play

The Euro Currency – A Bearish Play

Mario Draghi gave a bit more detail Thursday morning about the European Central Bank’s asset purchase program. Starting on March 9th, the EU will start buying bonds at a rate of 60 billion Euros a month to fight of the threat of deflation.  Draghi also stated that the program is planned to continue through September of 2016. The ECB is committed to a QE program (quantitative easing) similar to what the Federal Reserve did in the U.S. six years ago. The ECB seems confident this is the way...

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Miss This Six-Year Bull Run? Don’t Beat Yourself Up, Be Mindful

Miss This Six-Year Bull Run? Don’t Beat Yourself Up, Be Mindful

The Nasdaq Composite Index reclaimed 5,000 for the first time since 2000, stirring investor’s emotions.  Some investors are in high spirits.  They feel good about the money being made from the Naz’s strong momentum and the promise of still higher prices to come.  Many other investors feel disheartened, however, because they haven’t been in the market enjoying this wonderful bull advance. These sidelined investors are now kicking themselves for missing out on one of the longest bull markets...

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Positioning For A Return To $100 In Restoration Hardware

Positioning For A Return To $100 In Restoration Hardware

While fellow home furnishings and improvements company, Lumber Liquidators, deals with a plunging stock price on allegations of Chinese laminate wood flooring that contains high levels of formaldehyde, Restoration Hardware continues to thrive. The $3.6B company issued stronger Q4 guidance on February 5th (earnings due out in three weeks), to the tune of $1.00-$1.01 per share in EPS on revenue of $583M (both above estimates). Comps were for +24% vs the +19.5% consensus (+48% on a two year...

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ESH5: The Fed Is Talking It Up, Again

ESH5: The Fed Is Talking It Up, Again

Yesterday The market was on the way down in overnight trading and right after the open, before a strong support area and a “soft” intervention from the Federal Reserve reversed the decline. The S&P 500 futures (ESH5) still ended the day down 8.50 points, but it could easily have been much worse. The decline began overnight, when European traders were perhaps anticipating a bad number for the ADP payroll report released in the pre-market session, and continued for the first hour, when...

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The Truth About Live Futures Trading Rooms

The Truth About Live Futures Trading Rooms

The Global Futures Trade Room Industry Right now – today - the global futures trade room industry is massive (currently 728) and growing at a rate of about 60 new rooms/yr. When I started to evaluate futures trade rooms in 2009, finding the most successful rooms was an intractable problem – there weren’t any established guidelines, rooms could not be distinguished using search engine parameters, and all glittered with success and wealth. Free room trials were still the best option, but to...

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What You Must Know About Inter-Market Relationships (Part 2 of 2)

What You Must Know About Inter-Market Relationships (Part 2 of 2)

Last month, we initiated the discussion of inter-market relationships focusing on the currency market’s influence over commodity prices (if you missed it, you will find it here).   Let’s turn our attention to the relationships that exist between various asset classes. Some of the conclusions from data will likely go against conventional wisdom.  Stocks and Bonds Can Go up and Down Together The oldest adage in the finance industry is, “Stocks up, bonds down”.  The quip stems from...

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Price Action Forex Trends

Price Action Forex Trends

The Forex market has always been known for its strong trends. However, even in directional markets technical traders have some serious decisions to make regarding when to enter and exit the market. Often to solve these difficult trading concerns, traders rely on technical indicators. These indicators can be helpful, but more often than not, traders will find them inconsistent and lagging in nature. So what is a trader to do? One of the alternatives to a technical indicator is price action...

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Unlocking Your Phone Is Legal Again -- What Does It Mean For The Wireless Carriers?

Unlocking Your Phone Is Legal Again -- What Does It Mean For The Wireless Carriers?

Believe it or not, it was illegal, until very recently, for you to unlock your smartphone and take it from one carrier to another. Yes, illegal in the traditional sense. Thanks to a quirky interpretation of the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA), those who unlocked their phones, even as recently as a year ago could wind up behind bars for an unfathomable five years. That’s a long time for something as innocuous as using your property the way you want to use it. But in 2014, President...

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Market Review and Forecast: In the Megaphone

Market Review and Forecast: In the Megaphone

On Wednesday the Nasdaq 100 dipped down into its megaphone pattern, but without a lot of enthusiasm. In other words, the selling did not get intense or vicious. The futures closed the day session (shown on this chart) very near to the Volume Point of Control (VPOC), which is now 4442.75. Again, I’d like to point out the size of the volume histogram peak at that level. This area is acting as a strong price magnet and stabilizing factor. That’s bullish for the tech index, which is...

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Soybean Game Plan

Soybean Game Plan

There is a lot happening in the soybean market.  Thursday’s export sales report showed 459-thousand metric tons of soybeans were sold last week.  That is down 9% from the week prior and 26% under the four week average.  Key US soybean buyer, China, was in for 272-thousand of the total compared to the two weeks prior of 208 and 613.  We had decreases of 65-thousand and 146-thousand to unknown destinations, probably China.  Export sales are now 95% of the expected USDA projection for the...

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