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Netflix Is Worth A Look

Netflix Is Worth A Look

Earnings gaps to the downside can provide a significant amount of technical damage to stocks. This kind of damage takes weeks or even months to repair, and you can use this to your advantage in the options market. After trading in a six-month range, NFLX had a massive gap down of over 100 points. Since then the sellers have cleared out, leading to a slow grind higher. What we are seeing as an attempted gap fill, but as NFLX approaches the 400 dollar zone, odds are more sellers will come...

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10 Things Every Trader Should Know Before Making a Trade

10 Things Every Trader Should Know Before Making a Trade

Many new traders entering the trading game can’t get the right answers because they aren’t asking themselves the right questions. Much of the success traders experience is attributable to how well they know themselves. This insight for you will come from the quality of the questions you ask, and how honest you are willing to be with yourself. Only after you honestly answer the following 10 questions, will you have enough self-awareness to be successful.   What markets will you trade?...

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A Look At Grains This Week

A Look At Grains This Week

The week started with the weekly crop-progress report, a gauge of supply.  Corn condition came in at 74% good to excellent condition unchanged on the week. Harvest was pegged at 46% complete.  The ten-year average is 64%.  Early indications suggest farmers will store three-quarters of this year’s crop.  Soybean condition came in at 74% good to excellent condition, up one percentage point on the week.  Harvest jumped to 70% complete with the 10-year average at 76%.  The aggressive harvest...

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S&P 500 Futures Approach Resistance

S&P 500 Futures Approach Resistance

The magnitude of the recovery in stocks from the sell-off in late September and early October is enough to silence the doomsayers for the time being. If things were really getting bad, there would have been enough institutional selling to prevent this kind of a bounce. That's not to say things can't change. The drop confirmed a jump in volatility, which generally isn't a good sign. Suffice it to say, it's a risky time to be putting new money to work unless it's for a relatively quick swing...

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Sentiment Extremes - Be Careful Buying the SPX

Sentiment Extremes - Be Careful Buying the SPX

The SPX (S&P 500 Index) has been on a very wild ride lately. When most were expecting the rally in early September to go on forever, sentiment was telling a different story. As a matter of fact, it was suggesting to get short, as investor sentiment was at extreme bullish readings, which we noted in this TraderPlanet article. Using Sentiment When using sentiment as a gauge to make a trade, it is best used as a contrarian indicator. An example would be, if too many traders are bullish on...

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A Play on Facebook’s Earnings

A Play on Facebook’s Earnings

Facebook (Nasdaq: FB, 80.77) is scheduled to report earnings after Tuesday’s closing bell.  FB share are up over 26% year to date, with one market commentator saying, “I’ve never seen a stock want to get to $100 so badly as FB.” There’s also the much talked about “80-120 rule,” which says in a bull market, stocks that hit $80 tend to hit $100, and stocks that make it to $100 tend to rally to $120.  Facebook has traded in a 52-week range of $43.55 - $81.16, having made a new all-time high...

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Psychology: How To Stop Trading Hesitation

Psychology: How To Stop Trading Hesitation

Procrastination, and in particular trading hesitation, over your trade set-ups is very frustrating and detrimental to the health of your trading account and your emotional and physical well being. Whenever we observe behavior patterns that prevent us from trading profitably value conflicts born out of incorrect assumptions about your reality are always at the root of the issue. In a world that is changing in all areas faster than is comfortable for the conditioned limited mind, hesitation...

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Trading: Communication Is The Key To Lowering Your Taxes

Trading: Communication Is The Key To Lowering Your Taxes

How many times have we been told that communication is the key to a good marriage or a good friendship? In the business world, we are told that communication is the key to success. I am a big believer in the power of open communication. It’s one of the main reasons that Guardian Accounting Group has a flat fee structure. We never want our clients to be afraid of talking to us about a tax situation because of an hourly fee. Clients are encouraged to call us with all their tax questions and...

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Market Profile®: 3 Important Ways It Can Improve Your Trading

Market Profile®: 3 Important Ways It Can Improve Your Trading

You can look at markets and make trading decisions in many ways. Market Profile® has been an indispensable tool in my trading career. While Market Profile is a lifelong study, three characteristics I use to increase the probabilities of making successful trades are areas of acceptance and rejection, trade location, and context. Areas of Acceptance and Rejection The most useful characteristic of Market Profile is how it paints the picture of acceptance and rejection of price over time. It...

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The Case For Gold: “The Good Old Days”

The Case For Gold: “The Good Old Days”

In a recent interview, Rick Rule of Sprott Asset Management made a strong case that this bear market may be looked back on as “the good old days” in terms of the golden opportunity to invest in the precious metals sector. Rule said there has been “carnage” in the precious metals markets over the past three weeks, adding to “slow motion” carnage since 2012. He said it is “Difficult for people to see benefit in this type of carnage.” However, he argued, “Three or four years from now, we’ll...

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Unusual Option Activity, A Leverage Play

Unusual Option Activity, A Leverage Play

Over the past 18 months or so, I have discussed Unusual Option Activity (UOA) at length.  My analysis, quite frankly, has not proven UOA to be any sort of panacea.  Should I just ignore it?  I don't think so.  Like most things, the truth is not clear cut.  I have proven, at least to myself that blindly following UOA is a random walk at best.  But there are instances where it can lead to something more compelling.  Let's start with an assumption that there is an instance of UOA where...

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Aghast! Greenspan Is Critical Of QE Policy?

Aghast! Greenspan Is Critical Of QE Policy?

There was an article yesterday with comments by former Fed Chair Alan Greenspan as he came out criticizing recent QE policy decisions by the Fed.  I suspect if he had been there to see the potential damage with the others in 2008/09 then he might think differently.  But his notion was that the policy implemented did not improve the economy whatsoever.  This statement is hard to swallow as the proof is there, yet the highly accommodative policy was always about lifting confidence in a...

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Futures/Commodities

Cocoa and Wheat Market Reversals forcasted with ...

Cocoa and Wheat Market Reversals forcasted with ...

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Market

How We Make Money Almost Every Day Using Mathematically ...

How We Make Money Almost Every Day Using Mathematically ...

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