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ESM5: Slap Some Lipstick On That Pig!

ESM5: Slap Some Lipstick On That Pig!

Yesterday Whoever said markets are not predictable wasn't paying attention to the price manipulation that often paints the tape around the end of each quarter. Every professional in the market knows that largely unjustified rallies are something to expect at the end of the quarter, when stock funds set their ending asset values and bonuses are calculated. The market may be acting like a pig, but it somehow contrives to look a little better at the close. That's essentially what happened...

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Home On The Range

Home On The Range

To reiterate the high points of yesterday’s forecast, the fast decline in the NQ on Wednesday (3/25) created a speed zone that has very little resistance to rebound action. The reason is that sellers were liquidated in that zone. With few sellers lurking to get out at breakeven, it doesn’t take much volume to levitate the market, and the NQ rose more than 1%. This took the NQ about half way up the water spout, pausing at 4383, which is an important Low Volume Node. Remember, low volume...

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A Short Week, Not Necessarily Small Gains

A Short Week, Not Necessarily Small Gains

The geopolitical context was to blame for this week's sell-off in the market that basically erased the previous week's gains, placing major market indices back at support level. So, what was the reason behind Monday's rally? Actually, the bounce was expected for many reasons. First, we are now accustomed to traders and investors “buying the dip.” Second, we are still running in a strong, power trend on all large time frames. Third, it is the last two days of the quarter, and we are seeing...

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SPX: Marking Time …

SPX: Marking Time …

Last week The S&P 500 cash index ($SPX) closed at 2061.02 on Friday, down 47 points for a net weekly loss of 2.23%. That's the loss from close to close, but the SPX also moved from a high at 2114 to a low at 2045, a decline of 69 points, before we saw a little bounce on Friday (Mar. 27). In effect, the market gave back almost all the gain it made on the surge from the Fed's dovish statements around the Open Market Committee report. The large-cap index is now up three points for the...

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The Importance Of Follow Through -- Be Patient

The Importance Of Follow Through -- Be Patient

Many of us are trained to look for tops and bottoms and game the markets accordingly.  For the most part, this is the way our brains work; yet, intuitively speaking, that is just the wrong approach.  Finding tops and bottoms is generally a loser's game, but following through after seeing a top/bottom take place can be the most lucrative profit opportunity.  Our minds think in terms of finding the best value, letting prices fall to levels that we are willing to accept.  Wal-Mart is a great...

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US Dollar – Correction Behind Us?

US Dollar – Correction Behind Us?

With no break of the 34-dma, and a cycle low due this week, it is beginning to look like the bulk of the expected correction is behind us and DXY will soon begin what is expected to be the last leg of its rally prior to this September. April looks bullish for the dollar with short-term cycles pointing to highs near both Apr. 15 and Apr. 30. The price targetof 102.00 is a minimum target derived from the six-year triangle, but my price-forecasting model generates a target of 103.50.  The...

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Oil-Dollar Breakdown, Higher Prices To Come?

Oil-Dollar Breakdown, Higher Prices To Come?

Oil prices have been under pressure as the dollar soars. For many, they believe that the strength in the dollar is a major reason why oil will not be able to rally. Yet the truth is that while in recent years, the dollar-oil inverse correlation has been very tight, throughout history that has not always been the case. In fact, in the oil market, as well as other commodities, we may be at the verge of a total breakdown of what has been considered to be an almost dogmatic truth - which is as...

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Las Vegas Sands (LVS) – A Value Play on the Rising Asian Consumer and the U.S. Economic Recovery

Las Vegas Sands (LVS) – A Value Play on the Rising Asian Consumer and the U.S. Economic Recovery

Over the last 12 months, Macau casino gaming stocks are down by an average of 50% as the world’s largest casino-gaming market experienced an unprecedented decline in gross gaming revenues (GGR). GGR in Macau experienced its first yearly decline since data became publicly available in 2002, falling by 2.6% last year to $44 billion as a result of the Chinese government’s anti-graft movement, Macau’s hotel room constraints, and a slowing Chinese economy. The first two months of 2015 was more...

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Futures Trading $1K A Day: Mathematical Modeling to Harness Pullback

Futures Trading $1K A Day: Mathematical Modeling to Harness Pullback

$1K A Day: Feasible or Fictitious? Retail traders are hypnotically attracted to spectacular profits. Futures trading room operators know this and use performance to galvanize our interest: “89.9% win rate 5 years in a row”; “$18,367.94 in 21 days”; “46,572.79 in less than a month”; “$70,183.54 in 3.5 months,” or “$1,900,336.82”. Jon Burras (Numbers do Lie, 2012) states we believe that math is an objective reality and a number stands for a very specific and quantifiable amount. To many, a...

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What You Should Know About Binary Options

What You Should Know About Binary Options

“Binary Options.” There, I've said it. Binary Options are the red-headed-step-child of the investing world and for good reason. While at heart, they are a viable means of market speculation, in practice, they are often nothing more than a smokescreen for scam artists. This is primarily because they, as a vehicle for speculation, came to life on the Internet in the gray areas between countries, jurisdictions, and regulatory bodies. What you need to know is that not all binary options are...

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Copper – A Breakout To The Downside?

Copper – A Breakout To The Downside?

We’ve been watching the copper market closely over the last few months because the commercial copper traders had built up a record long position heading into January. The general consensus was clear that commercial long hedgers were taking advantage of depressed prices to load up raw materials in the expectation of a big construction season. However, even before the Federal Reserve Board’s recent expression about growth concerns, it was clear that the commercial traders had noted the error...

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Speed Zone Ahead

Speed Zone Ahead

The precipitous decline in the NQ on Wednesday (3/25) created a speed zone that the market is now entering from below. The principle of the speed zone is simple – a market that falls quickly can rise just as quickly. This is especially true in futures markets where mean reversion is the primary trader orientation.    Because the 4210 area (not shown), which is the Volume Profile Point of Control (VPPOC) for this 120 day profile, also coincides with an unfilled gap in the NQ that’s my...

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Identify Huge Trends in Stocks with Premium Indicators and VantagePoint

Identify Huge Trends in Stocks with Premium Indicators and VantagePoint

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Manage Profits in Forex with VantagePoint and Larry Williams ...

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The Key to Profitability in Any Market Environment

The Key to Profitability in Any Market Environment

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