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Respect The Risk Management Gods

Respect The Risk Management Gods

Every now and then I find traders will go out on the risk curve and take a speculative trade.   That's a good thing — because as they say in baseball, 'you cannot steal second base with your foot on first.'  However, there are limits, and often I find these traders stretch too far and they soon find themselves wounded - sometimes a devastating blow that is nearly impossible to overcome.  How can you avoid such a calamity? We must always consider good risk management techniques when trading...

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Advanced Options: Buy A Strangle Swap Wynn Resorts

Advanced Options: Buy A Strangle Swap Wynn Resorts

When I think that a stock has "settled in" (established a trading range) my first instinct is to sell a straddle or a strangle or something along those lines.  The problem is this involves theoretical unlimited risk and therefore causes a big margin issue for most of my students.  Are we just out of luck?  Certainly not!  In the past, I have showed how we can sell an iron condor or iron butterfly, but often that doesn't afford us much reward for the risk.  But, if I can identify a stock...

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A Game Plan For Trading Stocks In The Fourth Quarter: Window Dressing

A Game Plan For Trading Stocks In The Fourth Quarter: Window Dressing

Get ready for the most active season in the stock market. The last quarter has the highest trading activity of the year for the stock market and for the market in general.Here are some of the major events that traders are ready to speculate upon heading into the fourth quarter:1.    Last earning season of the year – main reason why market will accelerate its action into the year end2.    Black Friday / Cyber Monday so-called Cornucopia Trading 3.    Christmas Rally4.    Quarterly...

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Time To Manage Risk: E-Mini S&P Option Play

Time To Manage Risk: E-Mini S&P Option Play

I don’t need to remind anyone of the significance of this day. The trading world was heavily affected by the events that took place thirteen years ago. Things will never be the same, but we have to continue to move forward.  Please remember those we lost and the families that continue their journey forward without them. Economic Outlook All of the sudden the confidence in the slow but steady economic is shaken a bit. Last week’s Employment Situation numbers for August came in much lower...

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Is The Bottom In For Deutsche Bank?

Is The Bottom In For Deutsche Bank?

Shares of Deutsche Bank (DB), a $48 billion global investment bank headquartered in Germany, are down 33.60% from the January 15 high of $53.15. This compares to the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund ETF’s (XLF) year to date gain of 7.65% and the iShares MSCI Germany ETF’s (EWG) year- to-date loss of 6.42%. Valuation The reason for the underperformance in 2014 is due to the litany of legal problems the bank has faced. Deutsche Bank now trades at a P/E ratio of 10.60x (2015 estimates) with...

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Stocks: Symantec Squeeze Trade In Play Now

Stocks: Symantec Squeeze Trade In Play Now

Hi, world! I love this time of year! I won three out of my four fantasy football games last week (I know, I agree, four leagues is way too many), last weekend was grand and this upcoming weekend I plan to go to “Shakespeare in the Park”. I am a big Shakespeare fan. I thought about doing this write-up as very poetic one, but thankfully decided against it (for now). Symatec Squeeze I entered this trade today based on one very interesting, yet simple criteria. I’m sure most of you reading...

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Yes, The Market Will Crash: Here's Your Checklist To Prepare For It

Yes, The Market Will Crash: Here's Your Checklist To Prepare For It

With the Dow recently surging past 17,000, the debate is on about whether it is a bubble that is looking for a pinprick or if it is a strong bull market that will power past 18,000 and beyond. Yes…it could definitely go to 18,000 or 19,000 or more in the short term because the main driver is not a bullish economy…it is the bullish impact of Federal Reserve policy. In other words, this is an artificial bull market that is driven by monetary stimulus. The danger of a pull-back or a sharp...

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Trading Psychology: Risk Averse Or Risk Seeker?

Trading Psychology: Risk Averse Or Risk Seeker?

By definition, active traders and investors have some degree of Risk Seeking built into their personality, or they wouldn’t be so interested in the markets. Instead, they would be satisfied with their day job. Individuals who follow the market closely and get involved with it on a daily basis usually need the stimulation and challenge that comes from wrestling with the unpredictable Wall Street beast.   That said, within this group, there are two fairly distinct categories: those who lean...

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Options Play: The Non-Gap Fill In Green Mountain

Options Play: The Non-Gap Fill In Green Mountain

Over the past four earnings events, Keurig Green Mountain (GMCR) has seen strong moves higher in response to improving company fundamentals.And because of the continued aggression by buyers, the stock often fails to fill or break below that earnings gap. I'm expecting a similar pattern to develop this quarter. As GMCR fades its earnings move, it will come into levels in which buyers aggressively come in and defend the stock from coming lower. Options Play A straight stock position is not...

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Stocks: How To Trade Afternoon Volatility

Stocks: How To Trade Afternoon Volatility

GRMN (Garmin Ltd.) spiked lower following Apple’s (AAPL) watch announcement.  The news of AAPL's new watch caused GRMN to start selling off and created some volatility that I could possibly capitalize on. Start The Analysis My first objective in seeing a stock selling off in the middle of the trading day is to figure out where longer term support/demand exists to eye a potential bounce.  Using the daily chart, I spotted the area of $50.30 from the 2/19/2014 gap up day as being some...

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Grain Outlook: Spread The Beans

Grain Outlook: Spread The Beans

Reports from the Southern Delta as they relate to bean development have been ideal at best with many farms reporting over 90 plus yields. Many farmers in those regions have been harvesting rapidly to take advantage of old crop premiums while they are available due to old crop tightness. Old crop supplies are tight with reports of crushers paying over $4.00 over November futures to fulfill needs. With record crush and exports scheduled for October and November, it may take that long to...

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Performance Anxiety For Traders: 5 Ways to Overcome It

Performance Anxiety For Traders: 5 Ways to Overcome It

Performance anxiety for traders is the fear, or persistent phobia which may arise in a trader by the requirement to take a real trade, in real time, with real money whether actually or potentially. There are many causes of this anxiety which many times leave a new trader with too much fear to really trade. Fear sends them out of the markets to go join the 90% that did not make it. This fear can arise from past losses that were so big and traumatizing that a trader can’t bear the potential...

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The OptionHacker Trading Plan for Day and Swing Trading ...

The OptionHacker Trading Plan for Day and Swing Trading ...

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The OptionHacker Trading Plan for Day and Swing Trading ...

The OptionHacker Trading Plan for Day and Swing Trading ...

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Trading Credit Spreads in Volatile Markets

Trading Credit Spreads in Volatile Markets

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Let Right Line Trading Control Your Super-Dom and Show ...

Let Right Line Trading Control Your Super-Dom and Show ...

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