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Time To Start Looking Short?

Time To Start Looking Short?

Last week, I said it was time to start looking long.  The actual turn date, which was identified in December, was January 15th, which marked the exact low. Since last week’s article for TraderPlanet (click here), the SPX has rallied some 60 points. Not bad for a quick trade. But now, is it time to start shorting? The answer to that question all depends on your time frame. If you are a quick in and out trader, yes, you can try the short side. But it is dangerous! The sentiment cycle is...

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The Power Of A Simple Strategy

The Power Of A Simple Strategy

It is no secret that most traders and most of my students already know that one of my favorite trading strategies is "The Breakout". It is a simple strategy that can be easily learned and put into practice with a high rate of success, especially by beginning traders. Traders need to understand one thing – all they need is to master one strategy to be successful, one strategy to make money, one strategy to make a living or build wealth. This strategy works, regardless of whether you are a...

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QQQ Shapes Up After Pullback

QQQ Shapes Up After Pullback

A relative strength analysis versus the S&P 500 shows large-cap technology stocks have been outperforming the broader market since 2007. There isn't any sign of that changing. Within the context of the cyclical bull market, QQQ (PowerShares QQQ Trust) peaked in late November and began to pull back. After multiple tests of technical support attracted buyers, the reward-to-risk scenario for long entry is attractive for buying the dip. As the weekly chart below illustrates, QQQ has...

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Futures Market Review and Forecast: Looking For a Retest Of 2061

Futures Market Review and Forecast: Looking For a Retest Of 2061

On Sunday evening, the S&P 500 futures sold off quickly and approached the 2023 level I mentioned as the lower target zone for Monday. Early in Monday’s day session the upper level of that target zone (2035) was tested and the market passed the test. You can see this level on the chart at left circled in green. This puts the 2061 “ceiling” level in play as a target. If the S&P futures surpass that level and then hold it on a test from above, the market is likely to then make new...

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George Lindsay’s 8-year Interval

George Lindsay’s 8-year Interval

The late technician, George Lindsay described an 8-year interval as part of his 22-year Overlay (An Aid to Timing, SeattleTA Press, 2012). He wrote that the high (or “moment of truth”) at the end of the interval is often followed by a harsh 2-3 month decline followed by an approximate 5-month rally in equities. With the Dec 2014 high marking eight years, five months since the low in July 2006 (and fitting the template for the 22-year Overlay) a 2-3 month decline would match expectations...

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Three Questions With The Power To Transform Your Trading

Three Questions With The Power To Transform Your Trading

There are three simple but powerful questions which can transform our trading when we ask them of ourselves consistently over time.  They are powerful because they form the basis of mental flexibility and mental agility.  Wouldn’t you like to be mentally more resilient and deft? The three questions can be asked anytime you are preparing for trading, executing, and managing trades, or reviewing your trading results — in other words, anytime you are engaged in a trading-related activity. ...

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Look To Platinum And The PGM in 2015

Look To Platinum And The PGM in 2015

Given a growing global demand for platinum, palladium, and rhodium, three of the six metals in the platinum metals group (PGM), and the increasing cost to mine platinum, we are focusing our efforts to accumulate platinum over the course of the year. PGM, specifically platinum, is an excellent store of value and it performs well as an inflation hedge.  One could argue that platinum – and the other meals in the PGM - are a better long term hedge than gold, as there are a number of industrial...

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Taking A Peek Inside (the) Box

Taking A Peek Inside (the) Box

The volatility roiling the broader markets has, at least thus far, kept a lid on the IPO market in 2015. To date, just two companies have braved the elements with County Bancorp (ICBK) and Patriot National (PN) going public on January 16. This week, however, the IPO market will once again find itself in the spotlight as a well-known tech company makes its long-awaited debut in the public markets. Specifically, on January 22, Box, Inc. (BOX) – a provider of cloud-based storage and file...

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Expect Economic Boom In 2015

Expect Economic Boom In 2015

You should expect a US economic boom in 2015. All the signs are pointing to it. The economic trends are up, led by a positive outlook and forward momentum for US labor. All together, these things add up to an economy that, by many economist accounts, is growing at a pace faster than anticipated. There has been a recent slump in activity, but this is nothing more than a seasonally expected lull occurring in tandem with the end of the year and the post-holiday period. New data is already...

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Time Segmented Volume - The Ideal Oscillator For Automated Markets

Time Segmented Volume - The Ideal Oscillator For Automated Markets

The modern market structure employs order types that are automated, which creates different patterns on charts. This requires a different type of oscillator for the best technical analysis. Although most technical traders are familiar with and use price and time oscillators, few use volume oscillators. Volume oscillators are uniquely different than price oscillators. Instead of signaling overbought or oversold price action, the volume oscillator provides far more valuable information about...

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Buy The Gold March Spread

Buy The Gold March Spread

As developed nations continue to turn to quantitative easing as the first line of defense against economic malaise, currency alternatives such as gold and silver have apparently reached a bottom.  Since trading at $1798.10 in October 2012, gold futures contracts have traded in a bearish pattern, reaching a low of $1,130.40 last November.  From September 2014 until very recently, the commodity appeared to be somewhat range-bound (much like the broader market).  In 2015, however, the...

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Positioning Money For The Future

Positioning Money For The Future

As I have written so many times, this is a brave new a world of changing technologies, changing so quickly that the markets hardly can keep up. In fact, they can’t, which suggests investors need to get ahead of the market, to find out what is the next big thing to get your money into. Okay, so there are many new “big” things to get you money into, but when you break it down fundamentally, one has to ask “What is the surest of the sure” for market plays? Well as we all know, there are no...

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Forex

Start Adapting to Market Conditions with VantagePoint and Larry ...

Start Adapting to Market Conditions with VantagePoint and Larry ...

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Stocks

Identify Favorable Trading Conditions With VantagePoint and ...

Identify Favorable Trading Conditions With VantagePoint and ...

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