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S&P 500 Leads Up: But Who Will Follow?

S&P 500 Leads Up: But Who Will Follow?

A week ago we promised you a rambunctious week in the S&P 500 (SPX) and we got it: The Dow made new highs on four days in a row, and the S&P 500 cash index (SPX), after bumping around the old high most of the week, broke out to a new high Friday morning. This was pretty typical of triple witching week, when options on futures, stocks and the futures contracts expire simultaneously. Triple witching week has ended positive 15 of the last 19 times. But now all the special events that...

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Time To Buy 10-Year Notes: Here's Why

Time To Buy 10-Year Notes: Here's Why

The interest rate sector has been tug of war between geopolitical fears and a weak European economy supporting lower yields versus the Federal Reserve Board’s tapering of its purchases and a progressively improving U.S. economy suggesting rates could be higher. Due to the number variables and the fluid situation that best describes Middle Eastern and Russian politics its best to analyze the market through price and behavior patterns. That being said, our first screen is always a look at...

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What Does Fed Action Mean For Long-Term Rates?

What Does Fed Action Mean For Long-Term Rates?

Here we go again.  Hand-wringing over the Fed’s tightening schedule has caused a sell-off in bonds and all things income related.  After falling for most of July and August, the 10-year Treasury yield has jumped to over 2.6% on speculation that the Fed may start tightening monetary policy sooner than previously thought. We’ll see. The Fed may indeed start to raise short-term rates as soon as the first quarter of next year.  But that by now means guarantees that longer-term rates will...

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Fear Is Not Rational: The Limitations Of The VIX

Fear Is Not Rational: The Limitations Of The VIX

Most of us as traders and simply as human beings seek clarity.  We innately feel the need to make sense out of chaos.  We want answers.  We want black or white.  Gray makes many of us uneasy.  So, there are often times when faced with the complex world that is trading, we want to boil things down into one universal truth, a methodology that we can apply wherever we go. Problem is we often find ourselves trying to put a round peg in a square hole.  Let’s take a look at VIX.  In general,...

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Alibaba? Nah, I'll Just Pass On This One

Alibaba? Nah, I'll Just Pass On This One

As we are about to embark upon one of the biggest IPO's in history I thought it would be a good time to step back and see what this is all about and how you can shield yourself from a potentially dangerous situation. As we know, Alibaba (BABA) will come public this week.  The company is a juggernaut in Asia, selling everything online to anyone much in the way Amazon does here in the States.   But there is tremendous hype covering this release of China's big online retailer.  It has become...

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No Surprises From Yellen, But E-Mini S&P 500 Still Vulnerable

No Surprises From Yellen, But E-Mini S&P 500 Still Vulnerable

There weren’t any surprises in Wednesday’s FOMC announcement, but it did leave us a little room for debate. Policy rates remained the same (.25%), and the taper will continue, reducing asset purchases by $10 billion to $15 billion per month. The Fed expects to end the bond purchase program next month, which would appear to be step one towards a change in interest rates. As it has been with many of the Fed’s announcements, market observers were paying closer attention to the “language” of...

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Institutional Traders Use Pivot Points: Here's Why

Institutional Traders Use Pivot Points: Here's Why

Back in mid July I wrote that the S&P 500 (SPX) was close to major resistance at the Yearly R1 pivot point at 1990. On July 24 the S&P (SPX) tested 1990 and two weeks later had fallen 90 points (5%) to 1900. How did I know that 1990 would be strong resistance? I knew that the big banks, market makers and Algos all use pivot points. Most professional traders use daily and weekly pivots for short term trades. I have found the yearly pivot points (based on a calendar year) are where...

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Apple: Trade With The Trend, Still Bullish

Apple: Trade With The Trend, Still Bullish

Hi, world! I hope this message finds you well! I am super excited about this upcoming weekend. It’s one of my best friend’s birthday and we are celebrating via a pedal tavern. It’s like a bar on wheels! Really awesome, actually. Then, a student of mine is coming to Nashville, TN and we will paint the town red. He is actually in this trade with me, which is what got me thinking about it. Here is my 2 cents on Apple Inc. (AAPL). When looking at the chart ask ‘yourself’: “Am I trying to pick...

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Metlife Shares Have 10% Upside Potential Into Year End

Metlife Shares Have 10% Upside Potential Into Year End

Metlife (MET), a $62 billion insurer and annuity provider, had a volatile start to the year, but is currently up 4.56% year to date. Following an impressive 67.47% rise in the 2013, shares of Metlife still only trade at a P/E ratio of 9.05x (2015 estimates) with 9.1% EPS growth (-0.5% this year), price to sales ratio of 0.88x, and a price to book ratio of 0.89x. Revenue growth is expected to accelerate to 3.5% from 2.3%. Derivative performance was a big turnaround in the second quarter,...

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A Guide To Alibaba’s (BABA) Record-Setting IPO

A Guide To Alibaba’s (BABA) Record-Setting IPO

Over the past month, the IPO market hasn’t provided traders and investors with many compelling opportunities as activity has dried up. With Chinese e-commerce giant Alibaba (BABA) lined up to go public on September 19, the IPO market will soon come to life in dramatic fashion. Demand has been so strong that its expected price range has been bumped higher to $66-$68 from the original expectation of $60-$66.  With BABA offering 320.1 million ADS, its projected proceeds of over $24.6 billion...

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Strangle Gold Into The Fed Announcement

Strangle Gold Into The Fed Announcement

Gold may drop to $1,200 an ounce, possibly breaching that level to test last December’s low at the 1183 area, thanks to a resurgent U.S. dollar and higher Treasury yields on expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve could signal tighter policy this week. Big Picture Spot gold staged a modest comeback in Asia on Tuesday Sept 16, rising back above $1,236 after hitting an eight-month low of $1,225.30 earlier this week. The precious metal has suffered as the dollar has climbed, geopolitical...

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Lululemon Earnings Gap Creates Trade Spot

Lululemon Earnings Gap Creates Trade Spot

Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU) just recently gapped up on earnings breaking through a daily downtrend line and challenging its previous downtrend.  Gap Review On September 11, 2014, LULU gapped up taking out the $43.70 pivot high of supply.  The $43.70 has become a new demand potentially establishing a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend.  On the gap day LULU traded over 28 million shares versus a daily average of 1.6 million showing us that institutions were in play on this stock...

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Trading Commodities with VantagePoint and Premium Indicators

Trading Commodities with VantagePoint and Premium Indicators

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Trading Commodities with VantagePoint and Larry ...

Trading Commodities with VantagePoint and Larry ...

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How to Break the Habit of Erratic Trading Performance

How to Break the Habit of Erratic Trading Performance

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Finding the Big Moves in Forex with VantagePoint and ...

Finding the Big Moves in Forex with VantagePoint and ...

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