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On Longer-Term Charts, Consider Buying Dips In Gold

On Longer-Term Charts, Consider Buying Dips In Gold

Persistent weakness in precious metals has thrown a lot of traders off the trades since 2012. We admit that the pattern has been challenging to count, even though we have written about several good trade entries. This post gives a big-picture update to our Elliot wave analysis for gold futures, and it shows why longer-range traders should be looking for opportunities to buy at the dips. Prior to this writing, we had considered that the multi-year decline in gold represented merely the...

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What Does Yellen's Speech Mean for Stocks Now?

What Does Yellen's Speech Mean for Stocks Now?

It’s the second first full week of February and the roller coaster ride continues. The volatility in the equity markets has also shown up in the U.S. Dollar Index and FX markets. The Chinese markets may be sleeping during their New Year’s celebrations, but the rest of the world markets are alive and kicking. On Wednesday Chair Yellen gave her semi-annual monetary report in front of the House Financial Services Committee. While many observers feel that any Fed action in March is off the...

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Bad Habits

Bad Habits

Based on a simple trend following method I recently outlined for Trader Planet readers using the monthly chart of the S&P 500 (with a trend line and a 13-ema), U.S. equities have entered a confirmed bear market. The problem isn’t just that. Most bourses worldwide are already down more than 20% from their peaks. Not just mendacious China, but Germany, France, Japan, the U.K., plus the Russell 2000, the bank index, the transports, etc. Bear markets offer plenty of volatility, but most...

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Illusory Economic Recovery Supported By Hot Money

Illusory Economic Recovery Supported By Hot Money

Is this economic recovery real? Well if you base your observations on how far the Dow has risen since the financial crisis of 2008-2009 and on the B.S statistics the BLS puts out, the answer would be a yes. However, if you do just a little cursory digging, you will spot that this economic recovery is nothing but a grand illusion. The following factors clearly prove that this recovery is not real. Copper A leading indicator is in a death spiral so all must not be well. It is trading at...

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Traders Brace Yourself: The S&P 500 Is Ready To Crack

Traders Brace Yourself: The S&P 500 Is Ready To Crack

The S&P 500 is threatening a breach of the high-volume support zone first tested in October of last year at 1820 – 1880.  This zone remains support however the re-visit of this zone is a bearish development with the odds of an eventual breach most likely.  A breach of support would open the door for an accelerating decline.  The next lower target / support is at 1625 – 1704.  In such a scenario, this lower support zone is likely to be an advantageous buying opportunity. If you’d like...

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Using ETF Fund Flows to play Defense

Using ETF Fund Flows to play Defense

We are now in February and the major US Indices can now be considered in bear markets.  So, how should one position themselves for a rocky 2016?  Let’s examine where the institutional money is flowing.  Evaluating ETF fund flows daily identifies trends and major market shifts; weekly and monthly evaluations will reveal general trends.  Why?  Funds and RIAs (Registered Investment Advisors) are now using ETFs as an asset allocation model; therefore, watching these day to day movements can...

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Will Oil Prices Rise or Fall? | A 27 Year History on the Charts Tells the Story

Will Oil Prices Rise or Fall? | A 27 Year History on the Charts Tells the Story

Bloomberg says oil ($CL_F) will go as low as $10.00 a barrel whereas oil tycoon T. Boone Pickens says we could be headed for higher oil prices; no matter how you slice it, both of these sources could be right.   The market is going to do what the market is going to do, but there are solid reasons for oil prices to rise and fall, the past 3 decades has shown us this without a doubt.  There’s been a lot of talk from news sources and in the media that oil may be headed for $10.00 a barrel but...

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Trading Tactics: How to Deal With a Slump

Trading Tactics: How to Deal With a Slump

Self-realization is a good place to start in breaking a trading slump.  I know it seems obvious that when you're in a slump and trading poorly your results and account balance will reflect it.  Streaks work both ways of course, and when we are winning it is just as notable as when we are losing.  Understanding what is happening to you is awareness that may help you change some habits, which may also change your fortunes.  When in a slump I will often take a break from trading, a...

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Stock Market Crash: Is The Dow Headed For A 2008 Repeat?

Stock Market Crash: Is The Dow Headed For A 2008 Repeat?

Do not wait for ideal circumstances nor for the best opportunities; they will never come. Anonymous   We could not help ourselves and put the word stock market crash in the title because every Tom, Dick and Harry is now chanting this tune.  Take a look at some of the recent headlines: Is the stock market headed for a repeat of 2008?, On marketwatch.com A stock-market crash of 50%+ would not be a surprise — or the worst-case scenario on Yahoo Finance Stock Market Crash 2016: This Is The...

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Do You Know When the News is Wrong And Can You Trade It?

Do You Know When the News is Wrong And Can You Trade It?

Do you trade the news?  Some technical traders ignore the news, but understanding when it gets one-sided can offer extraordinary trading, especially for those who know how to read the markets.  A One-Sided Market Early last Wednesday morning, January 20th, news outlets like CNN were talking gloom and doom before the US markets opened.  The European and Asian markets were selling down hard, they said.  The markets were in dire shape.  They even had a name for the coming trading day: “Red...

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Gold: An Inverse Trade With Equities

Gold: An Inverse Trade With Equities

Precious metals rallied sharply late last week and through Monday’s session in the face of significant equity losses. While plunging equity markets offer a “risk off” mood that drove investors into the precious metals sector most notably into Gold and silver, that same reaction could reverse itself if Janet Yellen’s testimony in front of Congress is seen as dovish. However should Yellen’s commentary be seen as “staying the course” with the sentiment being that possibly two to three rate...

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Turnaround Tuesday

Turnaround Tuesday

The equity markets are very quiet this morning in comparison to what has happened the last few days. I don’t think we will see much today with Janet Yellen speaking Wednesday and Thursday in front of The House and Senate. The Currency markets however are very active today. The dollar index as of 11am is down 0.67 to 95.88. The Euro is strengthening vs USD, up over 0.01 vs the EURO to 1.131. The Dollar is falling against the Yen by 1.08 to 114.76. It continues to astonish me that this is...

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Stock Strategies - SPY, DXY, GLD, SLV, AAPL, GILD

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Biotech Target Issued: $IBB Headed Here In Next Week

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Insane Buy Signal On $NFLX: Make Love To The Charts

Insane Buy Signal On $NFLX: Make Love To The Charts

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In This Market You Better Know How To Find The Institutional Support Level

In This Market You Better Know How To Find The Institutional Support Level

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