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Europe In Turmoil: US Stocks Don't Blink

Europe In Turmoil: US Stocks Don't Blink

The Greek referendum is over, the voters decisively rejected the proposals from the creditors, European markets are in turmoil, and the future there is unclear, but dark. Very dark. North American markets didn’t even blink. The S&P500 mini-futures (ES) gapped down 30 points Sunday after the Greek referendum results were known, but US equities, as represented by the large cap futures, quickly recovered. The ESU5, the current contract, recovered half the loss by the time the daytime...

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US Stocks: Watch Biotech Index For Clues

US Stocks: Watch Biotech Index For Clues

The Nasdaq has been trying to fill the gap between 4451 and 4459 for over a week. That gap zone is indicated on the chart with a purple rectangle. That gap is acting as a magnet and I expect it to be filled this week (probably today). For this to happen, however, the Nasdaq would need to push through the Volume Profile Point of Control (VPPOC) at 4427. At the moment it looks capable of doing so.    Then the question becomes, what about the gap at 4206? Admittedly, it is quite far away...

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China, Oil: How I'm Playing It

China, Oil: How I'm Playing It

After the futures opened nearly 30 points to start the Globex Session on Sunday evening, you heard much talk about increased concern of a Greek default over the weekend.  With this story approaching year 5, there should be a consensus among the rational: Greece will inevitably default and exit the Eurozone.  The writing has been on the wall for some time now, and to deny this would be foolish.  Even if the powers that be are successful in staving off disaster in the near-term (don’t...

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Gold Rally Stalls: Is A Major Surge Ahead?

Gold Rally Stalls: Is A Major Surge Ahead?

Gold prices initially rallied after the highly anticipated Greek vote surprised market investors, with an emphatic NO vote on the referendum question to yielding to further austerity.  The rally was short-lived as a strong U.S. dollar persuaded market investors away from safety bids for bullion.    Price action on the gold daily chart shows that the bearish trend has been firmly in place since price broke below the 50-day SMA on June 22nd.  A bullish ABCD pattern formed at the end of last...

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Silver Primed For Short Covering Rally

Silver Primed For Short Covering Rally

One of the much talked about but yet to materialize issues regarding the last 6-7 years of economics has been, “At what point will precious metals receive a boost due to inflation?” In spite of Milton Friedman’s inflation being, “always and everywhere,” it has yet to gain any real traction. Yet, in spite of or, perhaps because of, we’ve seen speculative interest in the precious metals wane as a humdrum reality continues to imply neither the disaster of fiat currencies nor the...

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3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

3 Problem Trading Behaviors: How To Solve Them

It’s worth reminding ourselves that every trader is responsible for their trading actions and behavior. How we behave or act (i.e., what we do or don’t do) when trading will largely determine our trading success.  Here are 3 common day trading problems related to how traders act.  Left untamed, they will lead to failure.  All are within the control of the trader and can, therefore, be corrected. Problem Behavior #1: Trading Without a Game Plan Traders coming into the trading day without a...

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Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Livestock Report: More Fireworks for Burgers?

Live Cattle Numbers tend to Taper off as Summer Wears On. Here is How Investors can CapitalizeWhile you’re tossing those steaks and burgers on the grill, you might want to consider how that meat can not only feed your picnic dwellers, but potentially put money in your pocket.Like most commodities, the cattle market has longer term fundamental and cyclical factors that if recognized, can often be used to the advantage of the patient investor. These are the kinds of markets favored in our...

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FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

FitBit (FIT) Looks Poised for a Healthy Debut

So far, 2015 has been fairly light on high-buzz, high-growth tech-related IPOs, but that figures to change this week with Fitbit's (FIT) 29.9 million share IPO. As of this writing, the deal is expected to price within a range of $14-$16, but, given the buzz -- and it's very impressive growth rates -- it wouldn't be a surprise if the price range was lifted before it launches on Thursday, June 18. With the company offering nearly 30 million shares, the float is on the larger side, especially...

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Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

Aggressive Option Spread Trading: Vertical Spreads with a Naked Leg

The great thing about trading options is there are no limits to the number of strategies, or degrees of risk and reward.  Depending on how an option strategy is structured, it can be a simple lottery ticket (buy a cheap call or put outright), a limited risk range trade, a premium collection effort, or a “free” trade in which  the trader accepts theoretically unlimited risk for the prospects of a directional bias without any cash outlay.  In this article, we’ll focus on the latter. FREE...

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Algorithmic Trading: What You Need To Know

Algorithmic Trading: What You Need To Know

What are Automated Futures Trading Systems? Often referred to as algorithmic trading systems, or simply algos, an automated futures trading system is a defined set of technical rules and parameters that ultimately determine entry and exit points for a given contract.  In the event that all of the stipulated technical events occur, a buy or sell signal is created and a trade is automatically executed without human intervention.   Simply put, it is trading on autopilot. Each system is...

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Does Greek Vote Matter To US Stocks?

Does Greek Vote Matter To US Stocks?

The early indications are that the people of Greece have rejected a proposal from the country’s creditors on a new bailout package. They voted No by a large margin in a referendum Sunday, and the result is now massive confusion about what happens next. More talks with the creditors. Perhaps a new bailout deal. Maybe an exit from the Euro and the European common market. Everything is up in the air. The question is: Should we – “we” meaning the US equity markets -- care? And the answer is:...

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US Stock Analysis: Feta Complete

US Stock Analysis: Feta Complete

On Sunday Greeks voted on an economic program that no longer exists, in a referendum which is of questionable legality, using ballots which are not in existence and for which no funding is available. Grexit seems to be a fait accompli.   In the meantime, regardless of the Greek vote, US markets will continue to do what they do. The Hybrid Lindsay forecast calls for a low early this week followed by a rally to, roughly, July 15. In addition to Middle Section forecasts which are the heart...

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