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Fasten Your Seatbelt: The Stock Volatility Isn't Over Yet

Fasten Your Seatbelt: The Stock Volatility Isn't Over Yet

A few weeks back I wrote how I felt that this August had a different feeling than usual. Little did I know what was in store. End of summer, Europe on traditional holiday, tend to bring slow markets and long days with them.  Obviously this year was a just a little bit different. To say the last two weeks have been volatile is a just a bit of an understatement. Some of the moves we saw last week were of historic proportion, market swings in minutes that previously took days. Just when it...

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Time To Jump Back Into The Markets?

Time To Jump Back Into The Markets?

Following up on my piece last week Is Another GFC Starting Now?, a quick V shaped recovery eventuated, only to give most of the gains back. Whether you decide to enter the markets now will depend on the type of investor you actually are. For me, I am both a traditional ‘Value’ investor as well as a ‘Growth’ investor as I have created two different portfolios. The difference? As a value investor, I am always looking for great global franchise businesses selling for below estimated intrinsic...

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Is Monsanto Lost In The Weeds?

Is Monsanto Lost In The Weeds?

“Ask Kase” and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). Six big firms dominate the agricultural supply business today, having bought up over 200 smaller companies and their intellectual property over the past 25 years or so. Monsanto, the world’s largest seed supplier, and BASF both reportedly tried to buy rival Syngenta. Though no deals went through, it looks like the industry is in for another round of consolidation. One of Monsanto’s problems...

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Look Out! The VIX Spells Trouble

Look Out! The VIX Spells Trouble

The sharp sell-off in the stock indices and the sharp spike in VIX spells trouble ahead. This sell-off in the SPX accompanied by a spike in the VIX has come after a lengthy period of low VIX readings just like in late 2007.  In that instance, the initial spikes in the VIX above 24 were an early warning to the price damage that was to follow. Looking at the chart below, I don’t believe the recent decline is just another ‘buy the dip’ opportunity.  I have the view that the market has...

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It’s China, Not The Employment Data

It’s China, Not The Employment Data

At this moment, we are following developments in the Chinese economy and their actual and potential effects on other economies even more closely than usual.    -Stanley Fischer, from his Jackson Hole speech. The World Series!  A few times I have been around non-Americans who sort of chuckle at that phrase, because it has nothing to do with the world, it’s purely American.  In a sense, the US Federal Reserve embodies that egocentric mindset.  Fed officials have said repeatedly that they...

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Wealth Building 101: Gold To Soar In Looming Global Crisis

Wealth Building 101: Gold To Soar In Looming Global Crisis

In an August 22, 2015 interview, Egon von Greyerz, founder and Managing Partner of Matterhorn Asset Management AG and GoldSwitzerland predicted “the most incredible bull market” in precious metals in the coming months.   With stock markets around the world apparently collapsing and the gold market rallying, von Greyerz said, “The perfect storm has now started. . .and this storm will turn into a hurricane probably in the next two months.”   Greyerz expects to see all stock markets down at...

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Gold Will Soar: Driven By Largest Currency War Ever Seen

Gold Will Soar: Driven By Largest Currency War Ever Seen

  Is The Gold Bull Down For The Count? The person who lives by hope will die by despair.Italian Proverb Over the years we have frequently stated that every that every major bull market will experience at least one back breaking correction. Usually the correction culminates with a 50% pullback from the highs. In the case of Gold, this would equate to a pullback to $960.  The precious metal’s sector had a splendid lope that began in 2003 and ended with spectacular run in 2011.  To think that...

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Trade The Open: 4 Charts Show You How

Trade The Open: 4 Charts Show You How

Conventional wisdom tells us to avoid trading in the first few minutes that a market opens. The action is often volatile and seemingly unpredictable. May people wait for the first 15 minutes to pass to let the market “show its hand”. In this article, we are going to discuss an opportunity that occurs very close to the open; in some cases, giving a trade entry in the first minute.  This opportunity is one that you will be able to see quite clearly for yourself, if you take time over the...

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3 Steps To Improve Your Trading Profits

3 Steps To Improve Your Trading Profits

In this case study, Nathan overcame a common tendency and turned his trading around Nathan’s trading results fell short of his expectations.  Often, his first trades of the morning ended in losses, and this soured him for the rest of the day.  Nathan knew the problem had to be mental, but wasn’t sure where to start.   There are many reasons traders lose money.  How we think about those reasons and what we do about it can make all the difference.  Nathan’s Thinking Problem Nathan was...

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5 Trading Clichés: Fact Or Fantasy?

5 Trading Clichés: Fact Or Fantasy?

One of the joys of learning to trade is wading through so many diverse opinions about the markets, how they work and how you can trade them. In this article, we’ll look at 5 common trading clichés and try to figure out which are facts and which are fantasy. Secret price levels AKA Secrets of the “Pros” – this is one of my favorites. There are a few variations on this theme but the upshot is usually that there is a profit making “secret”. Not many people know about it but if you cross...

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Play Both Sides Of The Gold Market With A Strangle

Play Both Sides Of The Gold Market With A Strangle

Most of Gold’s losses from last week came on the heels of wild gyrations in the stock market last Monday and Tuesday which at one point had the Dow down over 1000 points in trading on Monday before global bourses recovered later in the week. The Gold market was also assessing comments on policy normalization from Fed officials attending the Aug. 27-29 Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Two top Federal Reserve officials who have pressed for interest rate increases said on Friday that a spate...

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Tesla: Outselling BMW 4:1?

Tesla: Outselling BMW 4:1?

Yesterday —Aug. 31— the Nasdaq 100 was down almost 2%, biotech was slammed more than 3%, Netflix (NFLX) was trimmed 3%, but shares of Tesla (TSLA) held up rather well, off 0.5%. Future market leaders begin to outperform during bearish periods and Tesla may be showing signs of that potential.    The Tesla Model S is making an impact in Europe during a period when sales of larger luxury vehicles are soft. During the first half of 2015, BMW sold 2,284 units of their 7 Series in Europe, while...

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Episode 5: Let's Count Some Waves

Episode 5: Let's Count Some Waves

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