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Vexed by the VIX?

Vexed by the VIX?

“Ask Kase” and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). The VIX has been chopping around erratically, oscillating between lows in the 11.4 to 11.8 range and testing highs generally in the mid to upper teens, but occasionally spiking fitfully into the low 20s. Resistance at 17.19 was tested twice earlier this year, and from late June to early July there was a two week spike that formed an island reversal, leaving first an up gap into the first...

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E-mini - Wednesday Wonder?

E-mini - Wednesday Wonder?

The S&P500 mini futures (ES) were struggling yesterday, trying to convince the world that some sort of rally was possible, if not likely, when Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart speculated that September was a likely time for an interest rate increase. Maybe. The result was about what you would expect: the US dollar roared higher, and equities dived for cover. Everybody’s favourite stock, APPL, was especially hard hit. The current futures contract (ESU5) ended the day at 2083.00...

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What Does Personality Have to Do with Trading Success?

What Does Personality Have to Do with Trading Success?

Does personality have anything to do with trading success?  This is a question that a great many of us have asked, and it’s not readily answered.  I spent over five years failing in trading before I was able to see what had hindered my success for so long. Seminars and gurus dominated my life for years.  I paid several thousands of dollars a shot just to spend a weekend with numerous other hopeful future traders, eager to learn the magic secret of trading systems.  After that, of course, I...

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Gold - Buy of the Year or Another Leg Down?

Gold - Buy of the Year or Another Leg Down?

There is consolidation going on in Gold. Since making a low on July 20th at 1080.00, Gold has traded between 1079.20 and 1108.80 with a smack down to 1072.30 on July 24th. A ledge has formed and it has formed an outside day candle today and an inside candle for the week. This could potentially set up a break out for Gold. A move below this week’s low of 1079.20 could set Gold on a course to the Feb 2010 low at 1044.50. Closing above the 13 day moving average (1105.20) could lead to a test...

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ETF Watch: What’s the Risk in Biotech?

ETF Watch: What’s the Risk in Biotech?

Biotech has been one of the best performing sectors year to date and over the last two years. Six different biotech ETFs are among the Top 10 YTD leaders: Alps Medical Breakthroughs (SBIO), up 51%; Bioshares Biotechnology Product (BBP), up 38%; the SPDR S&P Biotech (XBI) up 36%; Bioshares Biotechnology Clinical Trials (BBC), up 31%; and NYSE Arca Biotech Index First Trust (FBT), up 23%. The Nasdaq Biotech ETF (IBB) stands at #9 YTD with a 26% gain, but it is the volume leader and I...

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USDCHF – Renko Chart Technical Analysis

USDCHF – Renko Chart Technical Analysis

The US Federal Reserve, in its July meeting left the door open for interest rate hikes at its next meeting in September. The statement however cautioned the markets that ‘some’ improvement was needed in the US labour markets for the Central Bank to hike rates. This has significantly shifted the market focus to the two jobs reports, one of which is due this week for July (to be released on August 7th)and the other in early September. The US unemployment rate currently stands at 5.3%, albeit...

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How To Profit In Thin Liquidity Environment

How To Profit In Thin Liquidity Environment

It is a fact that liquidity in the markets has been decreasing for some time now. This is not just a feature of the holiday period, but certainly is more noticeable between mid July to around the third week in August. Thinning liquidity is in part due to the over mature long term cycle we are finding ourselves in.   Banks cannot trade as they used to due to tightening of regulations, low interest rates having taken their toll on profits, and investors are nervous of the future. The closure...

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Profit From “Hidden” Fundamentals Of Crude Oil

Profit From “Hidden” Fundamentals Of Crude Oil

  By: James Cordier, Michael Gross   An outsider watching the prices of crude oil shift up or down may think this is some sort of random event. “Who is causing this?” gas buyers and clueless politicians often demand, as though an evil oil company executive is sitting in a room throwing a lever to turn the supply on or off. As an investor willing to do a little homework, however, you’ll find projecting price ranges for oil is a little less populist rhetoric and little more science and...

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Central Bankers Recreating Reality

Central Bankers Recreating Reality

A hallucination is a fact, not an error; what is erroneous is a judgment based upon it. Bertrand Russell We will at some point in time publish a full in depth article in terms of how Central bankers have been actively employing psychological strategies to deceive the masses for generations. In essence, central bankers have been recreating reality, and the sad part is that the masses now assume that this altered reality is the new norm.  We are going to illustrate this by highlighting...

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How To Develop True Trading Confidence

How To Develop True Trading Confidence

Brett found trading confidence elusive.  "If only I was more confident, I'd be a better trader," Brett explained.  What might cultivate more confidence?  "Making more winning trades, of course."  Sorry, that’s the wrong answer. The Source of True Trading Confidence Trading confidence doesn’t come from the number of winning trades, how much money was won, or other ‘statistical’ measures.  True trading confidence comes from mastering the various skills needed to read the market and execute...

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E-mini- Technical Turnaround Tuesday?

E-mini- Technical Turnaround Tuesday?

Yesterday Monday the S&P500 mini-futures, the ES, continued moving down extending the weakness we saw in Friday’s closing movement. It spent most of the day in decline, and only the now customary 3:00 pm ramp-a-thon moved it off the lows and allowed it to close respectably, at 2090.50, eight points below the previous close. It also closed below the 20/40-day moving averages. The one ray of hope for the Bulls is that the momentum buying at the lows does not seem to have diminished much....

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MCD Call Spread Sale- Downside Play for Chinese Exposure and Technical Resistance

MCD Call Spread Sale- Downside Play for Chinese Exposure and Technical Resistance

Believe it or not, successful traders do not have a crystal ball.  All that he or she does successfully is find a potentially favorable set up and then put the odds in such a way where the reward makes sense to the risk.  Repeat this process many, many times and you have a system that works out in the long run.  I cannot tell which trade signals are the “good” ones.  I just have to let the numbers pan out.  So, let’s take a look at our play in McDonald’s (MCD).  I note two main things: MCD...

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Market

Episode 5: How to Spot Elliot Waves

Episode 5: How to Spot Elliot Waves

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ETFs

Stock Strategies - SPY, DIA, IWM and QQQ

Stock Strategies - SPY, DIA, IWM and QQQ

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Stocks

Anticipating Short Term Market Moves with VantagePoint and ...

Anticipating Short Term Market Moves with VantagePoint and ...

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