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How To Profit From The Next Black Swan

How To Profit From The Next Black Swan

The Nicholas Cage film Next is about a guy who can see two minutes into the future. He works as a Las Vegas magician and makes extra money quietly at the blackjack table.   As traders and investors, we would love to be able to see around the corner of time, especially during volatile periods. Since we can’t, when money is at risk, we tend to become fortune tellers and use our intuition to help inform our expectations.   Nobel Prize winner and Behavioral Finance professor Daniel Kahneman...

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Gold Will Soar: Driven By Largest Currency War Ever Seen

Gold Will Soar: Driven By Largest Currency War Ever Seen

  Is The Gold Bull Down For The Count? The person who lives by hope will die by despair.Italian Proverb Over the years we have frequently stated that every that every major bull market will experience at least one back breaking correction. Usually the correction culminates with a 50% pullback from the highs. In the case of Gold, this would equate to a pullback to $960.  The precious metal’s sector had a splendid lope that began in 2003 and ended with spectacular run in 2011.  To think that...

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Trade A Potential Bottom In UPS Shares For Big Profits

Trade A Potential Bottom In UPS Shares For Big Profits

Shares of United Parcel Service shook off a downgrade from Zacks and mid-day market sell off to finish higher by more than 2%, printing a bullish hammer candlestick after nearly hitting lows not seen since last October. This would mark the third major support around the $94 support level since mid-April. Now is the time to consider taking a long position, using a stop loss under the August 26th low of $93.64. Major resistance remains in the $100-$103 area (reward/risk ratio of better than...

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Protect Your Capital From Wild Stock Swings

Protect Your Capital From Wild Stock Swings

After a strong bounce in the overnight trading, the ES found resistance on Tuesday around Monday's high area. But Tuesday’s rally failed later in the day when a new sell-off began after lunch. At the end the ES closed at 1873.50, or 2.25 points above the previous close. That close just about at the same level as Monday might give you the impression the market is settling down a little. The selling is a little slower, but the intra-day swings re still pretty wild. Overnight Monday the...

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They Were Warned About The Crash 43 Times

They Were Warned About The Crash 43 Times

OK, the title is a bit of an attention grabber but it is worth your time as an investor and trader to read this article. Volume-at-price analysis is incredibly robust and consistent.  Compared to other technical methods or tools, there is no comparison. As the S&P 500 made its first new highs of 2015, the critical support zone at 2034 – 55 had already been established and defined as key support.  Below are excerpts from my analyses provided to most of the ‘too big to fail’ investment...

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Have Central Banks Lost Control?

Have Central Banks Lost Control?

To say the markets have been roiled in the past few days is an understatement.  The financial press has focused on US and Chinese equities, and to a lesser extent, on crude oil.  Clearly, the US stock market is a huge factor in global wealth.  From the end of July US equities probably lost a total of $2.5 trillion of market cap, so with GDP at around $17.7 trillion that represents around 14% of US GDP.  In the grand scheme of things, it can cause a reverse wealth effect, and depress...

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Trade The Open: 4 Charts Show You How

Trade The Open: 4 Charts Show You How

Conventional wisdom tells us to avoid trading in the first few minutes that a market opens. The action is often volatile and seemingly unpredictable. May people wait for the first 15 minutes to pass to let the market “show its hand”. In this article, we are going to discuss an opportunity that occurs very close to the open; in some cases, giving a trade entry in the first minute.  This opportunity is one that you will be able to see quite clearly for yourself, if you take time over the...

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3 Steps To Improve Your Trading Profits

3 Steps To Improve Your Trading Profits

In this case study, Nathan overcame a common tendency and turned his trading around Nathan’s trading results fell short of his expectations.  Often, his first trades of the morning ended in losses, and this soured him for the rest of the day.  Nathan knew the problem had to be mental, but wasn’t sure where to start.   There are many reasons traders lose money.  How we think about those reasons and what we do about it can make all the difference.  Nathan’s Thinking Problem Nathan was...

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How Do You Know When To Sell?

How Do You Know When To Sell?

Berkeley professor Terrance Odean points out that decisions to sell are not made in the same way as decisions to buy. As the market appears to be in a swoon, let’s explore this timely topic a bit further.   It’s relatively easy to manage winning trades. There is little stress and plenty of self-congratulation. Indeed, studies show that investors and traders quickly take credit for trades that have positive outcomes. Whatever stress one might feel typically comes from the fear of giving...

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5 Trading Clichés: Fact Or Fantasy?

5 Trading Clichés: Fact Or Fantasy?

One of the joys of learning to trade is wading through so many diverse opinions about the markets, how they work and how you can trade them. In this article, we’ll look at 5 common trading clichés and try to figure out which are facts and which are fantasy. Secret price levels AKA Secrets of the “Pros” – this is one of my favorites. There are a few variations on this theme but the upshot is usually that there is a profit making “secret”. Not many people know about it but if you cross...

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US Stocks Rolled Off Edge Of Cliff: Now What?

US Stocks Rolled Off Edge Of Cliff: Now What?

“Ask Kase” and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). Clearly markets have been declining as the drop in demand in China has finally hit hard. It’s easy to sustain robust growth from a low base, but as an economy grows, that becomes more difficult, as China’s machinations show. The spillover to the Dow Jones Index has been evident since mid-May as its been oscillating in a downward pattern since then, bouncing down the cliff, as anyone paying...

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Has The Corn Market Found A Floor?

Has The Corn Market Found A Floor?

The latest weekly crop condition ratings update for Corn showed that 69 percent of the crop came in good to excellent condition unchanged on the week and down from 73% last year. The ten year average for this time of year comes in at 58 percent. Recent crop tours, a 20 to30 percent drop in Argentinean planted acreage, and lower than expected EU yield estimates have been all factors that have provided near term support. In my view the trade remains convinced that the USDA overstated corn...

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Stocks

Managing Trades with VantagePoint's Predicted Triple Crossover

Managing Trades with VantagePoint's Predicted Triple Crossover

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Market

Trading When You Shouldn't -- Keys to Successfully Trading the Open

Trading When You Shouldn't -- Keys to Successfully Trading the Open

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Stocks

Stock Strategies - AAPL, SPY, DIA, BABA

Stock Strategies - AAPL, SPY, DIA, BABA

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