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Will The Fed Confirm A Sept Rate Hike? No Way

Will The Fed Confirm A Sept Rate Hike? No Way

The FOMC meeting ends this afternoon.  There will be no press conference, only an announcement.  Some think the announcement will give further confirmation of a hike this year, perhaps at the next meeting in September.  I don’t think so. Below is testimony from Janet Yellen’s Semiannual Monetary Policy Report from February 24, 2015. Foreign economic developments, however, could pose risks to the outlook for U.S. economic growth. Although the pace of growth abroad appears to have stepped up...

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August Traditionally Is Seasonal Boon For Gold

August Traditionally Is Seasonal Boon For Gold

Among the headwinds that countervail any ascent in Gold was the disappointing news a few weeks ago that China’s Gold reserves had only rose 57 percent in a span of 6 years. I wrote a day after the data was released from the Peoples Bank of China that this could be some type of deception by the Chinese government to alter the perception that they weren’t building their Gold reserves fast enough to support their fledgling currency.   While that still could be true it has been the withdrawal...

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Why Is The US Dollar In The Doldrums?

Why Is The US Dollar In The Doldrums?

“Ask Kase” and your question may be chosen as the subject of a future column (askkase@kaseco.com). On Tuesday pundits were aflutter because the dollar had an up day, pointing to expectations that the Fed would soon clarify its intentions to raise rates. Technically, Tuesday was a “star” with a very small range, and inside bar which closed well below Monday’s open. It was indicative, at most, of a wait-and-see stance. Technically, using the dollar index, DXY, the dollar, while not “in the...

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Fed Meeting Today: What You Need To Know

Fed Meeting Today: What You Need To Know

The S&P500 mini-futures (ESU5) had a nice little bounce yesterday, finishing at 2087.25, some 23 points above the previous close. The futures gained 20 points in the overnight trading, gave most of it back at the day session open, then climbed steadily throughout the day to a strong close near the high of the day. Terrific. So the decline is over and we can all go back to dreaming about new highs and an endless Bull market, right? Not quite. There’s a bit of evidence the market’s...

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Lock In Profit On Short Euro Trade

Lock In Profit On Short Euro Trade

Yesterday, the euro rallied on both short covering on bearish euro bets and a strong German IFO Business climate reading.  The IFO survey for July printed a 108.0 reading, better than the 107.6 forecast.  If data continues to improve from Europe’s largest economy, we could see the euro continue to tentatively higher.    Price action on the EUR/USD daily chart shows the double-top pattern that formed in the middle of June has triggered a major slide that finally found support last week...

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Central Bankers Recreating Reality

Central Bankers Recreating Reality

A hallucination is a fact, not an error; what is erroneous is a judgment based upon it. Bertrand Russell We will at some point in time publish a full in depth article in terms of how Central bankers have been actively employing psychological strategies to deceive the masses for generations. In essence, central bankers have been recreating reality, and the sad part is that the masses now assume that this altered reality is the new norm.  We are going to illustrate this by highlighting...

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Profit From “Hidden” Fundamentals Of Crude Oil

Profit From “Hidden” Fundamentals Of Crude Oil

  By: James Cordier, Michael Gross   An outsider watching the prices of crude oil shift up or down may think this is some sort of random event. “Who is causing this?” gas buyers and clueless politicians often demand, as though an evil oil company executive is sitting in a room throwing a lever to turn the supply on or off. As an investor willing to do a little homework, however, you’ll find projecting price ranges for oil is a little less populist rhetoric and little more science and...

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How To Develop True Trading Confidence

How To Develop True Trading Confidence

Brett found trading confidence elusive.  "If only I was more confident, I'd be a better trader," Brett explained.  What might cultivate more confidence?  "Making more winning trades, of course."  Sorry, that’s the wrong answer. The Source of True Trading Confidence Trading confidence doesn’t come from the number of winning trades, how much money was won, or other ‘statistical’ measures.  True trading confidence comes from mastering the various skills needed to read the market and execute...

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IPOs: Watch This Healthy Pet Food Maker

IPOs: Watch This Healthy Pet Food Maker

Before the market opens on Wednesday, July 22, healthy pet product maker Blue Buffalo Pet Products’ (BUFF) 29.5 million share IPO is expected to price within a range of $16-$18. The lead underwriters on the deal are JP Morgan and Citigroup. BUFF’s IPO comes on the heels of another healthy pet food IPO, Freshpet (FRPT), which went public on November 7, 2014. Taking a look back on how that IPO fared, its’ 10.4 million share IPO priced at $15, above the $12-$14 range, but then slid lower over...

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Tanger (SKT): A Bargain For Income Investors

Tanger (SKT): A Bargain For Income Investors

  Why Tanger Factory Outlet Centers (SKT) Is a Bargain for Income Investors With global interest rates still near record lows (the German ten-year yield is at 0.8%, while the U.S. ten year yield is at 2.3%, income investors face a difficult time finding meaningful yields in bond products or high-dividend stocks without taking substantial risks.  Should inflation unexpectedly rise later this year, bond prices would also underperform. Based on my macroeconomic analysis, there remains pockets...

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Get Ready: Tesla Approaching Buy Zone

Get Ready: Tesla Approaching Buy Zone

Tesla (TSLA) is a stock people either love or hate. It’s curious that opinions are so polarized. In part, it may reflect key differences in the way people regard the theme of change. Some are for it, others favor the status quo. Since Elon Musk’s raison d’etre is to be an agent of global change, he and his company seem to elicit a visceral response from just about everyone.   Consider that Tesla is changing not only the way cars are built, but also the way they are sold. This weekend the...

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Blood On Wall Street: Chinese Crash Impacts US

Blood On Wall Street: Chinese Crash Impacts US

The S&P500 mini-futures (ES) continued to swoon Monday after the Chinese stock market took another knockout punch from panicky investors, many of whom are using borrowed money to bet that the central government will not allow the stock market to sink. The Shanghai composite index rose 68% from February to June; it has since given back about 70% of that increase, and now stands about 20% higher than it was at the start of the year. A 20% gain is worth having, but Chinese investors may...

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