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The Shemitah Cycle: Is Another Crash Lurking?

The Shemitah Cycle: Is Another Crash Lurking?

Meaning the last year of a seven-year cycle in the Jewish calendar, the end of the past several Shemitahs have brought immense financial hardships to the world. The 1987 crash on Wall St. happened during Shemitah. The bond market was massacred in 1994. The 9/11 terror attacks happened in 2001 and the global economic crisis occurred in 2008. The Shemitah Year is the seventh year of the seven-year agricultural cycle mandated by the Torah for the Land of Israel and is still observed in...

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Flash Crash 2015: Did You Miss It?

Flash Crash 2015: Did You Miss It?

When markets opened on Monday, August 24, a slew of sell orders were already lined up, causing many computer systems to go haywire. Many brokers were locked out, and with market makers and specialists unwilling to take action, we saw enormous bid/ask spreads, stops being hit at very low levels, and frozen markets. This all occurred at the opening bell, and it was quickly fixed when some traders saw opportunity and dove right in on the buy side. This was flash crash 2015, and it happened so...

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Is NetFlix About To Implode?

Is NetFlix About To Implode?

Volume Profile shows the historical price levels at which buyers and sellers transacted business in a particular stock or ETF. In the long-run, the amount of volume at various price levels tends to be significant. In the short run, anything can happen.  In reviewing the long-term volume profile for AAPL recently, I noted the large unfilled gap around $76. The problem for owners of AAPL is that the largest volume in the stock also occurred at that level, so it becomes a price magnet. I...

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US Stocks Drop Overnight On China Rumors

US Stocks Drop Overnight On China Rumors

These are interesting times in the markets. In the course of two weeks the S&P500, the large cap index for US equities, has had both the biggest one-day drop and the biggest one-day rally since 2011. In a market where, until now, the range for the week was typically about 75 points, we have seen declines and rallies that moved that far in a couple of hours. On Friday the SPX closed at 1988.87, up 17.98 points for a net weekly gain of 0.09%. But what it did to make that miniscule gain...

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Wealth Building 101: Gold To Soar In Looming Global Crisis

Wealth Building 101: Gold To Soar In Looming Global Crisis

In an August 22, 2015 interview, Egon von Greyerz, founder and Managing Partner of Matterhorn Asset Management AG and GoldSwitzerland predicted “the most incredible bull market” in precious metals in the coming months.   With stock markets around the world apparently collapsing and the gold market rallying, von Greyerz said, “The perfect storm has now started. . .and this storm will turn into a hurricane probably in the next two months.”   Greyerz expects to see all stock markets down at...

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Make A Wish List Of Stocks To Buy On Sale

Make A Wish List Of Stocks To Buy On Sale

Trading in markets like these can be very challenging.  Quite frankly, the rules do apply.  These markets do not care where the 200-day moving average is offering support or resistance, what the MACD is, the fact that all of your RSIs and Bollinger Bands are blown out.  Technicals respect ordered markets.  Panic is the antithesis of order.  So, how do we trade?  If you are scalping, many of your approaches will still apply.  Most traders, especially options traders are not scalpers.  There...

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Gold Will Soar: Driven By Largest Currency War Ever Seen

Gold Will Soar: Driven By Largest Currency War Ever Seen

  Is The Gold Bull Down For The Count? The person who lives by hope will die by despair.Italian Proverb Over the years we have frequently stated that every that every major bull market will experience at least one back breaking correction. Usually the correction culminates with a 50% pullback from the highs. In the case of Gold, this would equate to a pullback to $960.  The precious metal’s sector had a splendid lope that began in 2003 and ended with spectacular run in 2011.  To think that...

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Trade The Open: 4 Charts Show You How

Trade The Open: 4 Charts Show You How

Conventional wisdom tells us to avoid trading in the first few minutes that a market opens. The action is often volatile and seemingly unpredictable. May people wait for the first 15 minutes to pass to let the market “show its hand”. In this article, we are going to discuss an opportunity that occurs very close to the open; in some cases, giving a trade entry in the first minute.  This opportunity is one that you will be able to see quite clearly for yourself, if you take time over the...

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3 Steps To Improve Your Trading Profits

3 Steps To Improve Your Trading Profits

In this case study, Nathan overcame a common tendency and turned his trading around Nathan’s trading results fell short of his expectations.  Often, his first trades of the morning ended in losses, and this soured him for the rest of the day.  Nathan knew the problem had to be mental, but wasn’t sure where to start.   There are many reasons traders lose money.  How we think about those reasons and what we do about it can make all the difference.  Nathan’s Thinking Problem Nathan was...

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5 Trading Clichés: Fact Or Fantasy?

5 Trading Clichés: Fact Or Fantasy?

One of the joys of learning to trade is wading through so many diverse opinions about the markets, how they work and how you can trade them. In this article, we’ll look at 5 common trading clichés and try to figure out which are facts and which are fantasy. Secret price levels AKA Secrets of the “Pros” – this is one of my favorites. There are a few variations on this theme but the upshot is usually that there is a profit making “secret”. Not many people know about it but if you cross...

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Is Apple Poised For A Big Plunge?

Is Apple Poised For A Big Plunge?

On 8/7 and again on 8/16 I noted that Apple shares had risk of a sudden drop to $100, where an unfilled gap awaited. Earlier this week AAPL closed that gap and then some. Because AAPL is the leadership name among tech stocks, the 20-point rally in AAPL over the last 4 days has been a key driver of the rebound in the rest of the market.   That said, a large unfilled gap around $76 is the presumptive target. For a market to go down, it first needs to go up. The upside target is the low...

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Are You Protecting Your Portfolio?

Are You Protecting Your Portfolio?

With the vicious market declines over the past week or so several billions of market value have been wiped away.  It has taken quite a bit of time to build, and very little to take it down.  As the saying goes, take the stairs on the way up, and the window on the way down.  Yet, for those savvy enough to cover their tracks with some protection, perhaps the pain from deep losses was not that severe. We talk about having insurance on every aspect of our lives - from our home, our cars, our...

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Stocks

Managing Trades with VantagePoint's Predicted Triple Crossover

Managing Trades with VantagePoint's Predicted Triple Crossover

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Market

Trading When You Shouldn't -- Keys to Successfully Trading the Open

Trading When You Shouldn't -- Keys to Successfully Trading the Open

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