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Melco Crown (MPEL) – Still a Compelling Play on the Rising Chinese Consumer

Melco Crown (MPEL) – Still a Compelling Play on the Rising Chinese Consumer

Over the last 12 months, Macau casino-gaming stocks have declined by 35% to 65% as gross gaming revenues (GGR) declined by 30%. We believe Macau’s GGR decline this year was a result of a “perfect storm” that includes tightening junket liquidity, hotel room constraints, the Chinese government’s anti-graft movement, and the rise in cancellations of Hong Kong/Macau packaged tours due to the “Occupy Central” protests in Hong Kong (Nearly 20% of the Mainland Chinese visitors to Macau last year...

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Build Smart Performance Tables in Excel® Using RTD

Build Smart Performance Tables in Excel® Using RTD

If your vendor supports using Microsoft’s RTD syntaxand provides the ability to call market data by a date from the platform into Excel, then you can build a valuable market-performance table. Traditional charting for reviewing past market-action can be somewhat tedious when looking to see how a particular stock or futures contract has performed during previous periods. For example, maybe you would like to see how Apple (AAPL) has performed during the month of December for the past ten...

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A Deep Look At LNKD

A Deep Look At LNKD

Against a backdrop of a fallen market that, until two days ago, couldn”t quite manage to regain its footing, LNKD impressively managed to shrug off the weakness by flexing its muscles to the tune of 13 percent. What next? The chart below was released to my TradeWinds subscribers on December 9th, the exact day of the reversal. Having rallied in “wave a of 3” up to 238.77 through November 4th, profit-taking “wave b of 3” swiftly got underway and wouldn”t relent until almost filling the...

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Forget The Speed, Watch The Patterns

Forget The Speed, Watch The Patterns

Sometimes, it seems our brains move in slow motion as it relates to market action.  Perhaps it is the computers and High Frequency Traders (HFTs) that are just lapping us.  Maybe our hopes and expectations get in the way of sound judgment and free thinking. Maybe it is the angst we sometimes feel when the market is as volatile as it has been recently. I can't seem to put my finger on the reason why it this way, but, in any case, it doesn’t matter, as it is the patterns that truly matter. I...

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A Snippet Of Classroom Talk About Options

A Snippet Of Classroom Talk About Options

Reward to risk is not the be-all-end-all of risk management.  I talk about this concept all the time in my classroom. Recently, Macy's Department Store (M) was a topic of discussion regarding risk-reward is risk management. A student was looking for an opportunity to take a directional long in M, so we did some live analysis in the classroom.  There are no weekly options available for M, and our time horizon was longer than one day, so we were considering January expiration.  Using the...

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Better Stops Make Better Trades

Better Stops Make Better Trades

Over the last 10 days, the Average True Range (ATR) of a 60-minute bar in the NASDAQ futures has increased from around six points to 18 points. Why might this be important to know, even if you don’t trade that particular market? You may have heard the phrase “More is different.” It means that incremental changes can make a qualitative difference, not just an arithmetic difference. An example of this is when the temperature of water drops from 33 degrees to 31 degrees – liquid becomes...

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Buy The February E-Mini S&P 500

Buy The February E-Mini S&P 500

In the last FOMC meeting of the year, the Federal Reserve decided to leave in every observer’s favorite phrase “considerable time.” When the Fed says “considerable time,” it reminds me of being a kid, asking your parents for something and getting the reply, “maybe later.” Maybe later? What does that mean? Is it yes or no and when is later?  The Fedspeak translator 2014 still hasn’t told me what “considerable time” equates to on the calendar. What we do know from the Fed’s statement and...

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Holiday Stress and Trading Pressure: How to S.T.O.P. the Torment

Holiday Stress and Trading Pressure: How to S.T.O.P. the Torment

The holiday season is here.  It’s time for celebrating and good cheer.  It’s also a time of heightened stress.  For many traders, who already feel lots of stress, the holidays can feel doubly difficult.  Trading and Holiday Stress We all know trading stress.  Recent losses and drawdowns can bring on stress.  So can managing a position, especially if it backs up on you.  Even profitable positions can be stressful.  We don’t normally think about profitable trades as stressful, but I have...

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RSI, Better Price Oscillator Than MACD

RSI, Better Price Oscillator Than MACD

Most traders are unaware there are three types of oscillators used for stock analysis. These are based on three different data streams – Price Oscillators that use price and time data, Volume Oscillators that use quantity and time, Hybrid Oscillators that use price, quantity, and time. There are innumerable price and time indicators and many are oscillators, but one stands out from all the rest – Relative Strength Index (RSI). It is not the most popular, but it is the best price oscillator...

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Trading Fears – Why We Have Them And What To Do About Them

Trading Fears – Why We Have Them And What To Do About Them

Trading fears are not the sole domain of new traders, actually far from it. Much misunderstood, fear can hit at any time. The real issue about trading fears has to do with bumping up against your thresholds, which can happen at any time. Growth and Development, Evolutionary Universal Laws You are growing and changing all the time, for the most part not noticing that it is happening. However, when an evolutionary impulse hits, and you are standing in the way, like most people are, it can...

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The Final Stretch of 2014

The Final Stretch of 2014

Today is the Monday that begins the last week of 2014. Chances are, most folks who work the market are already checking out, but that does not mean we will not see activity. The last few days could mean profit taking or buying. So far today, it is the latter that seems to be the choice. The market is working hard to go higher, much higher. Yet and still, the argument remains as to the validity of the current and longer-term state of the market. As of today, the S&P 500's trailing P/E...

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Janus Capital Is About To Breakout

Janus Capital Is About To Breakout

Shares of Janus Capital (JNS) are now poised to take out the Bill Gross hire level from September 26th. Less than a month after they hired the former PIMCO co-founder, the stock retested the $12.80 prior-resistance level turned support (also the 50-day exponential moving average) and has been putting in higher lows in the last two months. If JNS shares can close above the $12.80 resistance level, it would setup for a $3 measured move to the high $18 range next year. A stop loss on a long...

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Options

Trading Economic News without Risking the Farm

Trading Economic News without Risking the Farm

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Market

Learn Why Technical Analysis is Important in Options Trading

Learn Why Technical Analysis is Important in Options Trading

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