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THE NEXT MOVE IN THE STOCK INDICES

THE NEXT MOVE IN THE STOCK INDICES

The stock-index futures remain above critical supports (red arrows) and below the recent highs (green arrows).  A move above the January highs is needed in order to prove that a sustained rally is underway.  A breach of the support levels (red arrows) would instead shift the bias in stocks to firmly bearish.  I anticipate the resolution of these ranges in the stock indices will lead to a directional / trending move in the direction of the break. The S&P 500 (ES) is working higher and...

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S&P Futures Market Review: Looking for Support at 2023

S&P Futures Market Review: Looking for Support at 2023

On Friday the S&P 500 futures respected the “ceiling” at 2061 and began a correction, as expected. As noted on Thursday, “The 2061 level has been in place for several months. It’s an area where we can expect selling to occur.” The downside target for the correction is the zone between 2023 and 2035. As there is a decent volume peak at 2023 on the Volume Profile, that is the presumed target. A Note on Volume Profile The histogram on the left side of the chart shows the volume...

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SPX: We Are Living Interesting Times

SPX: We Are Living Interesting Times

It is going to be an interesting week in the US equity markets, one that may provide direction for the rest of this quarter, and perhaps for the year. By Friday we should have a better idea of what to expect. The S&P500 cash index (SPX), closed the week at 2051.82 on Friday (Jan. 23), a nice 32-point boost. Given the sharp correction that earlier in the month had threatened to take the market down, down, down, the Bulls were breathing a little easier by the end of the week. But there...

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Three Questions With The Power To Transform Your Trading

Three Questions With The Power To Transform Your Trading

There are three simple but powerful questions which can transform our trading when we ask them of ourselves consistently over time.  They are powerful because they form the basis of mental flexibility and mental agility.  Wouldn’t you like to be mentally more resilient and deft? The three questions can be asked anytime you are preparing for trading, executing, and managing trades, or reviewing your trading results — in other words, anytime you are engaged in a trading-related activity. ...

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Remove Uncertainty and the Fear Goes Away

Remove Uncertainty and the Fear Goes Away

If there is one thing markets hate it is uncertainty.  Yet, we find ourselves constantly in a vacuum of the unknown, and with the news flow being so quick these days (Internet and 24-hour news outlets), well there is just no time to take a breath.  So far in 2015, we’ve seen a big rise in volatility across the VIX term structure (see chart below) as the market is pricing in more uncertainty.  What is this unknown?  Clearly over the last couple of years, a very generous Fed policy has...

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Look To Platinum And The PGM in 2015

Look To Platinum And The PGM in 2015

Given a growing global demand for platinum, palladium, and rhodium, three of the six metals in the platinum metals group (PGM), and the increasing cost to mine platinum, we are focusing our efforts to accumulate platinum over the course of the year. PGM, specifically platinum, is an excellent store of value and it performs well as an inflation hedge.  One could argue that platinum – and the other meals in the PGM - are a better long term hedge than gold, as there are a number of industrial...

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S&P Futures Market Review: Knocking on the Ceiling

S&P Futures Market Review: Knocking on the Ceiling

On Thursday, the S&P 500 futures followed through on the anticipated move up to the 2051-2061 zone.  The key level now is 2061. That level is determined by the small green peak on the volume profile seen on the left side of the chart below. The 2061 level has been in place for several months. It’s an area where we can expect selling to occur. This profile encompasses more than a year of transactions, so it provides an objective context for understanding support and resistance. A move...

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Taking A Peek Inside (the) Box

Taking A Peek Inside (the) Box

The volatility roiling the broader markets has, at least thus far, kept a lid on the IPO market in 2015. To date, just two companies have braved the elements with County Bancorp (ICBK) and Patriot National (PN) going public on January 16. This week, however, the IPO market will once again find itself in the spotlight as a well-known tech company makes its long-awaited debut in the public markets. Specifically, on January 22, Box, Inc. (BOX) – a provider of cloud-based storage and file...

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Expect Economic Boom In 2015

Expect Economic Boom In 2015

You should expect a US economic boom in 2015. All the signs are pointing to it. The economic trends are up, led by a positive outlook and forward momentum for US labor. All together, these things add up to an economy that, by many economist accounts, is growing at a pace faster than anticipated. There has been a recent slump in activity, but this is nothing more than a seasonally expected lull occurring in tandem with the end of the year and the post-holiday period. New data is already...

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Time Segmented Volume - The Ideal Oscillator For Automated Markets

Time Segmented Volume - The Ideal Oscillator For Automated Markets

The modern market structure employs order types that are automated, which creates different patterns on charts. This requires a different type of oscillator for the best technical analysis. Although most technical traders are familiar with and use price and time oscillators, few use volume oscillators. Volume oscillators are uniquely different than price oscillators. Instead of signaling overbought or oversold price action, the volume oscillator provides far more valuable information about...

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Positioning Money For The Future

Positioning Money For The Future

As I have written so many times, this is a brave new a world of changing technologies, changing so quickly that the markets hardly can keep up. In fact, they can’t, which suggests investors need to get ahead of the market, to find out what is the next big thing to get your money into. Okay, so there are many new “big” things to get you money into, but when you break it down fundamentally, one has to ask “What is the surest of the sure” for market plays? Well as we all know, there are no...

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Is The Market Going Back To Normal?

Is The Market Going Back To Normal?

For the first time in some time, I feel the market is behaving normally. I am not sure why I feel this way, but somehow the market action today feels right. I suspect it is the VIX going down, along with the Dow (incrementally), while the Russell 2000 is going up. That just feels right, as if it is the way to go now after all of the recent volatility. The US dollar going up and remaining on the strong side is slightly disconcerting, but that is tempered by the slight drop in the price of...

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Stocks

Identify Favorable Trading Conditions With VantagePoint and ...

Identify Favorable Trading Conditions With VantagePoint and ...

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How to Swing Trade AAPL, AMZN, FB, GOOGL, NFLX, TSLA, and TWTR

How to Swing Trade AAPL, AMZN, FB, GOOGL, NFLX, TSLA, and TWTR

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Forex

Identify Great Opportunities in Forex with VantagePoint and Larry ...

Identify Great Opportunities in Forex with VantagePoint and Larry ...

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