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Swing Trade: Aussie Bounces Off Support

Swing Trade: Aussie Bounces Off Support

For three weeks the Aussie dollar pressed chart support at 0.866 U.S. dollars and stabilized, and this week is generating follow-through buying. Enhancing the odds of further upside from here is the tall upper shadow (selling into price strength) and small real body (open and close are close to each other) that appeared two weeks ago on the weekly chart. This pattern of behavior often points to seller exhaustion after a downtrend. Swing Trade This is a reasonable place for a long swing...

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Trading: Communication Is The Key To Lowering Your Taxes

Trading: Communication Is The Key To Lowering Your Taxes

How many times have we been told that communication is the key to a good marriage or a good friendship? In the business world, we are told that communication is the key to success. I am a big believer in the power of open communication. It’s one of the main reasons that Guardian Accounting Group has a flat fee structure. We never want our clients to be afraid of talking to us about a tax situation because of an hourly fee. Clients are encouraged to call us with all their tax questions and...

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E-Mini Trade: Get Ready For Another Round Of Volatility

E-Mini Trade: Get Ready For Another Round Of Volatility

If you chose to read this commentary today, I have a feeling you are a survivor of the events of the last few days.  Your portfolio may have taken a hit, but you are probably still standing in upright stable position. Congratulations to you. Now get ready for another round of volatility. If you have been paying attention to the markets and the surrounding news I’m guessing you caught some words and phrases being repeated. Correction, retracement, global economy, Ebola. All appear to have...

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APD: Unusual Options Activity And Charts Signal Bottom

APD: Unusual Options Activity And Charts Signal Bottom

Air Products & Chemicals (APD) is a $27 billion industrial gas supplier headquartered in Allentown, Pennsylvania. They hired Seifi Ghasemi to take on the chairman and CEO role this summer, following more than a decade in the same position at Rockwood Holdings (ROC). In September they announced the company will be reorganizing by geography instead of divisions by products. This could result in the company selling assets unless gross margins in the underperforming divisions improve. Bill...

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Market Profile®: 3 Important Ways It Can Improve Your Trading

Market Profile®: 3 Important Ways It Can Improve Your Trading

You can look at markets and make trading decisions in many ways. Market Profile® has been an indispensable tool in my trading career. While Market Profile is a lifelong study, three characteristics I use to increase the probabilities of making successful trades are areas of acceptance and rejection, trade location, and context. Areas of Acceptance and Rejection The most useful characteristic of Market Profile is how it paints the picture of acceptance and rejection of price over time. It...

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How To Trade An Intraday RIP

How To Trade An Intraday RIP

As a day trader I am always looking for stocks that move in an extreme way either up or down.  Large expanded moves in a quick fashion build little support or resistance on that move and can be played for a retracement. Stock Play For example, L-3 Communications (LLL) had an explosive move up on October 10, 2014.  It moved up very quickly from $107.00 to $122.00 in about one hour.  Since I wasn’t long I started to hunt for a short entry to get the retracement short.  I needed an entry...

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Earnings Play: Trade Intel From The Long Side

Earnings Play: Trade Intel From The Long Side

Intel Corporation (INTC) is scheduled to report earnings after the closing bell on Tuesday.  Consensus analyst forecast $14.45 billion of revenue with an EPS of $0.65 (last quarter’s EPS beat by nearly 6%, with the stock rallying over 9%).  Market Recap Indeed, shares have been seemingly unstoppable in 2014, having rallied 22% year to date.  The stock has traded in a 52-week range of $23.03-$35.56 and has rallied on earnings news three of the past four quarters, but only four of the past...

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The Case For Gold: “The Good Old Days”

The Case For Gold: “The Good Old Days”

In a recent interview, Rick Rule of Sprott Asset Management made a strong case that this bear market may be looked back on as “the good old days” in terms of the golden opportunity to invest in the precious metals sector. Rule said there has been “carnage” in the precious metals markets over the past three weeks, adding to “slow motion” carnage since 2012. He said it is “Difficult for people to see benefit in this type of carnage.” However, he argued, “Three or four years from now, we’ll...

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Gaining Viral Profits With Global Health Panics

Gaining Viral Profits With Global Health Panics

When fears grip the public about the spread of virulent diseases such as Ebola and other malicious conditions, it is time to assess the situation and enact strategies to enhance safety…health-wise and financially as well.World health authorities believe that that Ebola and other contagious maladies will have a significant effect on the world economy. The U.S. is enacting emergency procedures and our healthcare industry is gearing up for what will be a difficult challenge for society at...

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What Is Technical Analysis To You?

What Is Technical Analysis To You?

Technical analysis is widely used in the trading community to forecast the market. There are numerous texts on the subject. There are well known traders and authors who have made famous their particular niche, e.g. candlesticks, point and figure, Bollinger Bands®, etc.  There’s even a body, the Market Technicians Association that offers a professional designation to candidates who have demonstrated expertise in the subject matter by passing three levels of rigorous testing and abiding by...

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4 Key Trading Lessons From The Beach

4 Key Trading Lessons From The Beach

Winter is approaching so I had to make sure to enjoy one more beach day. Hard to do in Nashville, TN though. That being said, we took a short, eight-hour drive to Panama City to visit my girlfriend’s family and, of course, get some serious beach time in.  You might think it’s a stretch to relate snorkeling to trading. Well, only one way to find out. #1 Gear: When trading, you do have to understand the mechanics of trading, AKA the ‘gear.’ You see, in order to trade the market profitably...

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Commodity Outlook: Grain Thoughts

Commodity Outlook: Grain Thoughts

I will cover supply side fundamentals first with Monday’s crop progress report.  Corn harvest was 24% complete down from the five-year average of 43%.  Crop condition came in unchanged at 74% good to excellent condition.  Soybeans harvested were 40% versus the five-year average of 53% and condition at 73% good to excellent unchanged on the week.  The crop is far enough along that we do not expect the condition of either to change by more than 4%.  The condition is no longer looked at for...

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