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Are You Using the Right Trading Style and Instrument?

Are You Using the Right Trading Style and Instrument?

Market Conditions Affect Profits One of the benefits of the modern market structure with online trading is that anyone can trade just about any trading instrument using a variety of trading styles. This is also one of the biggest challenges that face retail traders. There are literally too many choices and not enough reliable information to help them select the instrument and optimal trading style that best suits their unique personality, goals, and parameters. Using the wrong instrument...

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SPX: Waiting For Something To Happen

SPX: Waiting For Something To Happen

Last Week Weekly Outlook - SP&P 500 Cash Index (SPX) The S&P 500 cash index ($SPX) closed at 2081.18 last Friday, down 20.88 points for net weekly loss of 1%. It was a strange week: a sell-off on Monday and Tuesday, a strong overnight rally going into Wednesday, and a 40-point dump on Friday (Apr. 17). “Unsettled” doesn't do it justice. The sell-off might be seen as the result of depressing debt news from Greece and changes in market shorting rules from China. But in our view, it...

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A Fly Broke The Bottle

A Fly Broke The Bottle

As noted last week, the Nasdaq has been in a choppy and volatile consolidation for the last 6 weeks. These fast moves create SpeedZones that present little support or resistance to retracements. Bulls and bears get punished equally.     The lower support level at 4370 was taken out on Friday, sending the market all the way down to the Low Volume Node at 4337. Remember, areas of low volume often serve as support in a downtrend. I’m expecting a rally on Monday up to the resistance zone at...

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April Low in Equities

April Low in Equities

Although my Hybrid Lindsay forecasts always assume a small time window surrounds any single-date point forecast, the forecast for a high on April 15 (see last week’s commentary) was spot-on. The work of George Lindsay deals with time (not price) and tells us that the pullback following last week’s high should be over quickly. There exists a forecast from the basic cycle (5/2/11) for a low near April 24. Unfortunately, there appears to be no confirming forecast from the multiple cycle...

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The Market Running Away From What?

The Market Running Away From What?

What Is the Market Afraid Of? Last Wednesday, I mentioned Dr. Gary Dayton’s article on the “experts” who predict market movement (Predicting the Market: Are The Experts Really Expert?), and then on Thursday, I wrote … It appears we are back to the days of the market wanting to go up, struggling with the latest news, but no longer running away. True, nothing is certain in life, save death and taxes … Well, it is true, nothing is certain, as today the market is running away from the news,...

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ESM5: Mini-futures Form A Doji Near The Top Of A Good Run. Be Careful.

ESM5: Mini-futures Form A Doji Near The Top Of A Good Run. Be Careful.

Yesterday The S&P 500 mini futures (ESM5) gapped down at the open and traded in the red for the entire morning session. Then a handful of Fed presidents began giving speeches, and the market marched up like a good little soldier in response. But it was all for nothing. The mini rally failed to break the prior day's high, and by the end of the afternoon, the gains all melted away. The futures closed at 2100.75 – an important number – for a gain of one point. This candlestick pattern – a...

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Trader Development, Four Things Traders Need To Know

Trader Development, Four Things Traders Need To Know

I have traded since 2001. Since that time I have come to understand that the most difficult thing to understand about trader development is the skills traders need to develop first have, on the face of it, nothing to do with trading. It all comes down to one fundamental thing, which traders seem unable to grasp: When you develop as a person you can’t help but develop as a trader. If you really understood this statement, your trading difficulties would, if not disappear completely,...

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Can Etsy (ETSY) Craft a Winning IPO?

Can Etsy (ETSY) Craft a Winning IPO?

With a few exceptions – GoDaddy (GDDY), a recent example – 2015 has been fairly light on headline-grabbing IPOs. That figures to change this week, however, as there are a few highly-recognizable companies looking to go public. Of that set, the one that may garner the most attention is a high-growth online retailer catering mostly to women.  That company, Etsy (ETSY), is offering 16.7 million shares with the deal expected to price within a $14-$16 range. The IPO features prominent...

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Predicting the Market: Are The Experts Really Expert?

Predicting the Market: Are The Experts Really Expert?

W. D. Gann – a trader active during the first half of the 20th Century and a developer of unique analytical methods, such as the Square of 9 and Gann Angles – was reputed to be able to predict within a few ticks the top and bottom of a stock’s range within a specified period of time.  Richard Wyckoff claimed that Gann’s trading ability was so good that it was “… probably unparalleled in the history of the Street.” Picking Tops and Bottoms Wouldn’t it be wonderful to be able to pick the top...

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Day Trading Without Charts – Volume Profile In Action

Day Trading Without Charts – Volume Profile In Action

When most people hear about day trading without charts, it conjures up images of other feats of derring-do –boxing with one arm tied behind your back, tightrope walking blindfolded, and bringing a knife to a gunfight all come to mind. Are we discussing a feat possible only by the fearless few, or is it possible that Day Trading Without Charts is something that is quite straightforward? The fact is we are conditioned to use charts because every trading book, course, and educational forum is...

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A Fly in the Bottle

A Fly in the Bottle

This is a chart of the Nasdaq futures over the last two months. While the index has presented tradable moves in both directions, the overall picture is one of a choppy and volatile consolidation. As noted yesterday, the fast moves create Speed Zones that eventually beget sudden reversals, trapping bulls and bears alike.  The shaded blue area marks the current active consolidation range. Think of it as a bottle with a fly buzzing around inside trying to get out. The NQ closed on Thursday at...

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Is Crude Really Making A Comeback?

Is Crude Really Making A Comeback?

Over the past few weeks, we have seen crude oil rise sharply and, just Wednesday, it reached levels not seen in months. The commodity is up sharply, having rallied more than 10% in a week.  Of course, we’ve seen short-lived rallies before, so is this just another one that will fade or is this going to stick?  That’s a great question and clearly will tell us the chances of making profitable trades.  We should note crude futures have jumped higher, so that would certainly give substance to a...

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Identify the Best Trading Opportunities in the Forex Market with ...

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An Alternative Look at the Trading Game Plan

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Futures/Commodities

Swing Trade Commodity Futures with VantagePoint's Premium Indicators

Swing Trade Commodity Futures with VantagePoint's Premium Indicators

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Identify Conditions for Day and Swing Trading with VantagePoint ...

Identify Conditions for Day and Swing Trading with VantagePoint ...

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