By FXEmpire.com
Analysis and Recommendations:
The EUR/GBP is ending the month at a recent low, trading at 0.8020 holding tight on the 80price level.
There is no obvious explanation for this poor performance of sterling. Of course, the recent economic performance of the UK was hardly any better compared to the euro-zone average and UK policymakers continue to warn that the negative developments in the EMU might have a big fall-out on the UK economy, too. The printing press of the Bank of England might still be reactivated.
Today the UK GfK consumer confidence showed a slight improvement from -31 to -29 (-32 expected). However, this was no help for sterling, at least not against the euro. EURGBP even tries to regain the 0.80 mark at the moment of writing. We see this in the first place as a broader euro correction after the unidirectional move of the previous days. UK Nationwide house prices were also marginally better than expected. Later today, the UK calendar is thin. So, the global performance of the euro will remain the key factor for EURGBP trading.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data for May 31, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Currency |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
JPY |
Industrial Production (MoM) |
0.2% |
0.5% |
1.3% |
|
AUD |
Building Approvals (MoM) |
-8.7% |
0.7% |
6.0% |
|
AUD |
Private New Capital Expenditure (QoQ) |
6.1% |
4.0% |
-0.7% |
|
CHF |
GDP (QoQ) |
0.7% |
0.1% |
0.5% |
|
GBP |
Nationwide HPI (MoM) |
0.3% |
0.2% |
-0.3% |
|
EUR |
French Consumer Spending (MoM) |
0.6% |
0.3% |
-2.6% |
|
EUR |
German Unemployment Rate |
6.7% |
6.8% |
6.8% |
|
EUR |
German Unemployment Change |
0K |
-5K |
18K |
|
EUR |
CPI (YoY) |
2.4% |
2.5% |
2.6% |
|
USD |
ADP Nonfarm Employment Change |
133K |
148K |
113K |
|
Current Account |
-10.3B |
-11.0B |
-9.7B |
|
|
USD |
Initial Jobless Claims |
383K |
370K |
373K |
|
USD |
GDP (QoQ) |
1.9% |
1.9% |
2.2% |
|
USD |
Continuing Jobless Claims |
3242K |
3250K |
3278K |
|
USD |
Chicago PMI |
52.7 |
56.5 |
56.2 |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Previous |
|
Jun 1 |
TBD |
GBP |
|
|
7:15 |
CHF |
4.2% |
|
|
7:30 |
CHF |
46.9 |
|
|
7:45 |
EUR |
43.8 |
|
|
8:30 |
GBP |
50.5 |
|
|
9:00 |
EUR |
10.9% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
115K |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
8.1% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
0.0% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
0.2% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
0.3% |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
54.8 |
Click here for updated EUR/GBP News.
Originally posted here
