Author: Michael Ferrari, PhD
VP, Applied Technology & Research

The Canadian Met Department’s model usually has a fairly good track record regarding the early identification of tropical activity.  If other models are hinting at some type of development (particularly for a system with a potential track into the eastern Gulf), and the Canadian model does not pick it up, I usually disregard.  Will be interesting to watch this one over the next 36 hours.  The low moving into the region is of obvious importance; of equal importance is the ridge placement across the southeastern US.