EURUSD: While the pair maintains its broader medium term bearishness following its weakness triggered off the 1.5143 level, a recovery activated from its 2010 low at 1.3266 has halted the said trend and pushed it to a high of 1.3691 on April 12’10. With that said, the corrective recovery from the 1.3266 to 1.3691 levels is now under threaten as a failure to follow through higher on its Wednesday strength saw it crashing to the downside today. That sell off has turned our attention to a key support zone at the 1.3537/1.3498 levels (its April 05’10/its April 09’10 highs).How will the pair fare at these levels and what happens if it gives in? We have been watching those levels since the pair gapped higher on Monday and its return to that level could mean a close of that gap before heading back up again. That is one possibility. The other is a decisive break of that level implying a return to its 2010 low at 1.3266 level. This level is the trigger for the resumption of its broader medium term downtrend and an eventual breach of there will put pressure on its Jun 03’09 low at 1.3211 and its big psycho level located at 1.3000. However, if the 1.3527/1.3498 levels hold as supports and turn the pair higher then the major level to watch on the upside will be its April 12’10 high at 1.3691 and its Mar 17’10 high at 1.3816 followed by its Feb 03’10 high sited at 1.4025. In a nutshell, we are looking for either a corrective recovery continuation or a return to the 1.3266 level.

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