By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

The GBP/USD is trading at 1.5541 adding back some of yesterday’s losses. Sterling is up 0.4% vs the USD but underperforming its peers as markets digest the implications of weaker PMI data. The UK’s services PMI, which fell to 51.0 (51.6 exp.) from 51.3, carries a considerable amount of weight for expectations about economic growth given the relatively large size of the services sector. GBPUSD is currently trading in the middle of its two-month range.

Now with the Bank of England decision behind, and the Olympics almost completed, markets will have to return to the real problems in the UK. Double Dip Recession will have to be addressed and the plunging UK economy.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data August 2, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Aug. 03

TRY

Turkish CPI (MoM)

-0.23%

-0.10%

-0.90%

EUR

Retail Sales (MoM)

0.1%

-0.1%

0.8%

USD

Average Hourly Earnings (MoM)

0.1%

0.2%

0.3%

USD

Nonfarm Payrolls

163K

100K

64K

USD

Unemployment Rate

8.3%

8.2%

8.2%

USD

Average Weekly Hours

34.5

34.5

34.5

USD

Private Nonfarm Payrolls

172K

110K

73K

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Aug 6

8:30

EUR

Sentix Investor Confidence

-29.6

23:01

GBP

BRC Retail Sales Monitor y/y

1.4%

Aug 7

7:00

CHF

Foreign Currency Reserves

364.9B

7:15

CHF

CPI m/m

-0.3%

8:00

EUR

Italian Industrial Production m/m

0.8%

8:30

GBP

Manufacturing Production m/m

1.2%

10:00

EUR

German Factory Orders m/m

0.6%

14:00

GBP

NIESR GDP Estimate

-0.2%

Aug 8

5:45

CHF

SECO Consumer Climate

-8

9:30

GBP

BOE Inflation Report

10:00

EUR

German Industrial Production m/m

1.6%

12:30

USD

Prelim Nonfarm Productivity q/q

-0.9%

12:30

USD

Prelim Unit Labor Costs q/q

1.3%

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

Aug 9

8:00

EUR

ECB Monthly Bulletin

8:30

GBP

Trade Balance

-8.4B

12:30

USD

Trade Balance

-48.7B

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

Aug 10

6:45

EUR

French Industrial Production m/m

-1.9%

8:30

GBP

PPI Input m/m

-2.2%

12:30

USD

Import Prices m/m

-2.7%

18:00

USD

Federal Budget Balance

-59.7B

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Aug 06 09:10 Norway

Aug 07 00:30 Japan

Aug 07 09:15 Austria

Aug 07 14:30 UK

Aug 07 17:00 US

Aug 08 09:30 Germany

Aug 08 10:00 Norway

Aug 08 15:30 Italy

Aug 08 17:00 US

Aug 09 15:30 Italy

Aug 09 17:00 US

Aug 10 10:00 Belgium

Aug 13 09:10 Italy

Aug 13 09:10 Norway

Aug 13 09:30 Germany

Aug 14 09:10 Greece

Aug 14 09:10 Italy

Aug 14 09:30 Belgium

Aug 14 14:30 UK

Aug 15 09:10 Sweden

Click here to read GBP/USD Technical Analysis.

Originally posted here