By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendation:

The NZD/USD remained over the .80 level trading this morning at 0.8013 as investors moved to more risk assets after the plan from the EU was announced on Friday.

The DX dropped to well below 82 after the announcement but has regained some strength over the week trading currently at 81.91.

Initial reaction to the plan was positive and investor’s mood changed to a more positive disposition.

Commodities and commodity currencies rose on Friday and have been able to maintain their gains this morning.

Although disappointing news from China as PMI reaches forecast but just leaves markets worrying about the slow turnaround.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data July 1-2, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jul. 01

KRW

South Korean Trade Balance

5.00B

2.30B

CNY

Chinese Mfg PMI

50.20

49.80

50.40

Jul. 02

KRW

South Korean CPI (YoY)

2.2%

2.5%

2.5%

KRW

South Korean CPI (MoM)

0.2%

0.2%

AUD

AIG Manufacturing Index

47.4

42.4

JPY

Tankan Large Mfg Index

-1

-4

-4

JPY

Tankan Non-Mfg Index

8

7

5

KRW

South Korean HSBC Mfg PMI

49.38

51.03

AUD

MI Inflation Gauge (MoM)

-0.2%

0.0%

CNY

Chinese HSBC Mfg PMI

48.20

48.10


Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Forecast

Previous

Jul 3

12:30am

AUD

Cash Rate

3.50%

3.50%

10:00am

USD

Factory Orders m/m

0.1%

-0.6%

7:30pm

AUD

AIG Services Index

43.5

9:30pm

AUD

Retail Sales m/m

0.3%

-0.2%

Jul 4

9:30pm

AUD

Trade Balance

-0.51B

-0.20B

Jul 5

8:15am

USD

ADP Non-Farm Employment Change

101K

133K

8:30am

USD

Unemployment Claims

385K

386K

10:00am

USD

ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

53.1

53.7

11:00am

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-0.1M

Jul 6

8:30am

USD

Non-Farm Employment Change

92K

69K

8:30am

USD

Unemployment Rate

8.2%

8.2%

Click here to read NZD/USD Technical Analysis.

Originally posted here