By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendation:

The USD/JPY is trading at 79.48, as risk aversion remains the overall market theme; the USD and JPY seem to be holding in a tight range between 80.00 and 79.00. Yesterday, Prime Minister Noda, calmed political uncertainties as he was able to muster enough votes to pass the controversial increase of consumption tax through the lower house. Markets were not sure if the Prime Minister would have the votes necessary and if he failed, he would have to call a No Confidence vote, opening a can of worms in the Japanese political arena.

Moody’s said that the passage was a credit positive move by the Japanese Parliament, as Japan was under review to be moved to a negative watch.

All market focus will be on the carnival called the EcoFin Summit, which will be all about news flow, political agendas and press coverage, with little results expected.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data June 25-26, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Time

Currency

Importance

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

15:00

USD

New Home Sales

369K

346K

343K

Jun. 26

07:00

EUR

GfK German Consumer Climate

5.8

5.6

5.7

15:00

USD

CB Consumer Confidence

62.0

63.5

64.4

23:45

NZD

Trade Balance

301M

300M

335M

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Jun 28

1:00

NZD

NBNZ Business Confidence

27.1

Jun 29

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

12:30

USD

Final GDP q/q

1.9%

22:45

NZD

Building Consents m/m

-7.2%

23:30

JPY

Household Spending y/y

2.6%

23:30

JPY

Tokyo Core CPI y/y

-0.8%

23:50

JPY

Prelim Industrial Production m/m

-0.2%

1:30

AUD

Private Sector Credit m/m

0.4%

12:30

USD

Core PCE Price Index m/m

0.1%

12:30

USD

Personal Spending m/m

0.3%

13:45

USD

Chicago PMI

52.7

13:55

USD

Revised UoM Consumer Sentiment

74.1

Upcoming Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jun 28 09:10 Italy

Jun 28 17:00 US

Click here for further USD/JPY Forecast.

Originally posted here