By FXEmpire.com

USD/CNY Weekly Fundamental Analysis April 16-20, 2012, Forecast

USD/CNY Weekly Fundamental Analysis April 16-20, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

The USD/CNYended the week at 6.2983 down from a high of 6.3236. The yuan fell against the dollar in early week trading as disappointing data was released from China last Sunday showing a slowdown in orders and production. By midweek, the yuan had regained strength against the USD, until Chinese GDP figures were released early Friday morning. The USD regained some strength until late Friday when the US disappointed investors with a drop in consumer confidence and a rise in inflation. The Chinese currency was able to pick up some steam. The yuan moved from a low of 6.3088 to close the week at 6.2983

Date

Last

Open

High

Low

Change %

04/13/2012

6.2983

6.3068

6.3088

6.2913

-0.13%

04/12/2012

6.3068

6.3078

6.3236

6.2984

-0.02%

04/11/2012

6.3078

6.3105

6.3123

6.3027

-0.04%

04/10/2012

6.3105

6.3077

6.3122

6.3060

0.04%

04/09/2012

6.3077

6.3075

6.3103

6.3036

0.00%

Major Economic Events for the past week actual v. forecast

Apr. 09

CNY

Chinese CPI (YoY)

3.6%

3.3%

3.2%

Apr. 10

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks

JPY

Interest Rate Decision

0.10%

0.10%

0.10%

JPY

BoJ Press Conference

Apr. 12

CAD

Trade Balance

0.3B

2.0B

2.0B

USD

Trade Balance

-46.0B

-52.0B

-52.5B

USD

Initial Jobless Claims

380K

355K

367K

Apr. 13

CNY

Chinese GDP (YoY)

8.1%

8.3%

8.9%

USD

Core CPI (MoM)

0.2%

0.2%

0.1%

USD

CPI (MoM)

0.3%

0.3%

0.4%

Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the Yen, the Aussie, the Kiwi and the Chinese Yuan

Apr. 17

05:30

JPY

Industrial Production (MoM)

-1.2%

Apr. 18

23:45

NZD

CPI (QoQ)

-0.3%

Economic Highlights of the coming week that affect the US Dollar

Apr. 16

13:30

USD

Core Retail Sales (MoM)

0.6%

0.9%

13:30

USD

Retail Sales (MoM)

0.4%

1.1%

13:30

USD

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

21.1

20.2

14:00

USD

TIC Net Long-Term Transactions

101.0B

Apr. 17

13:30

USD

Building Permits

0.71M

0.71M

13:30

USD

Housing Starts

0.70M

0.70M

14:15

USD

Industrial Production (MoM)

0.5%

Originally posted here