By FX Empire.com

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis March 16, 2012, Forecast

USD/JPY Fundamental Analysis March 16, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendation: (close of Asian session)

USD/JPY climbed for most of the trading session opening at 83.73 and ending at 83.80, the Yen broke the 84.00 point of resistance reaching as high as 84.18. The USD has kept momentum for two days, on the back of positive economic news and upbeat statements from the FOMC and then supported by Fed Chairman Bernanke.

The USD is expected to hold close to its current range until after the release of the US jobless claims on Thursday afternoon.

Released Economic Reports for March 14, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Mar. 14

KRW

South Korean Unemployment Rate

3.7%

3.5%

3.2%

AUD

Westpac Consumer Sentiment

-5.00%

4.20%

JPY

BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions

-7.3

1.3

-6.1

JPY

Industrial Production (MoM)

1.9%

2.1%

2.0%

JPY

BoJ Monthly Report

GBP

Average Earnings Index +Bonus

1.4%

1.9%

1.9%

GBP

Claimant Count Change

7.2K

6.0K

7.0K

EUR

CPI (YoY)

2.7%

2.7%

2.7%

EUR

Industrial Production (MoM)

0.2%

0.7%

-1.1%

EUR

Core CPI (YoY)

1.5%

1.6%

1.5%

USD

Current Account

-124.1B

-114.0B

-108.0B

USD

Import Price Index (MoM)

0.4%

0.6%

0.0%

Economic Events for March 16, 2012

Time Currency Event Forecast Previous

00:50 JPY Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

The Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes are a detailed record of the Bank of Japan’s policy setting meeting, containing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced the decision on where to set interest rates.

13:30 USD Core CPI (MoM) 0.2% 0.2%

13:30 USD CPI (MoM) 0.4% 0.2%

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the change in the price of goods and services from the perspective of the consumer. It is a key way to measure changes in purchasing trends and inflation.

14:15 USD Industrial Production (MoM) 0.4% 0.0%

Industrial Production measures the change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities.

14:55 USD Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index 75.7 75.3

The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index rates the relative level of current and future economic conditions. There are two versions of this data released two weeks apart, preliminary and revised. The preliminary data tends to have a greater impact. The reading is compiled from a survey of around 500 consumers.

Government Bond Auction Schedule (this week)

Mar 15 09:30 Spain Obligacion auction

Mar 15 09:50 France BTAN auction

Mar 15 10.30 UK Auctions 4.5% 2042 conventional Gilt

Mar 15 10:50 France OATi auction

Mar 15 16:00 US Announces auction of 10Y TIPS on Mar 22


Originally posted here