Crude Oil futures traders should pay close attention to the weekly chart over the next two days and especially on Friday. Following a prolonged move down in terms of price and time, December Crude Oil is in a position to post a weekly closing price reversal bottom. This may be the first sign that a short-term bottom is forming.
Traders should note that while a closing price reversal often leads to a change in trend, it typically only results in a 2 to 3 week rally equal to at least 50% of the last break. On the weekly chart, the short-term range is $90.96 to $75.15. A closing price reversal at this time could trigger a retracement to $83.06 to $84.92 over the next two weeks.
Although the retracement zone is the potential upside target, a downtrending Gann angle from the $90.96 top at $82.96 is the first price that could provide resistance. Once this angle is penetrated, the market will have room to the upside.
The daily December Crude Oil chart also shows a downtrend. The main trend will turn up on this chart if $88.24 is violated. Currently the short-term range is $88.24 to $75.15. This range creates a retracement zone at $81.70 to $83.24. This area is the next short-term retracement zone.
A stronger Dollar weighed on the market earlier in the week, but a reversal up was triggered when the weekly crude oil report showed an unexpected drawdown in oil stockpiles.
