The FX Specialist view – Since early June a relatively unbroken fall in USD/CHF has been seen, from a 76.4% resistance/recovery level. This has now neared a 76.4% pullback level and signs are creeping in of some bear fatigue…

  • WEEKLY CHART:
    The 2010 recovery found clear resistance from the 1.1735 76.4% level of the whole 2008-09 downmove.
    Subsequent pullback has been decisive, but the detail on the Daily chart is interesting now…
  • DAILY CHART:
    The pullback from that 76.4% resistance has drawn nearer to the 1.05340 76.4% retracement.
    We wait to see if support emerges near here, but already note that the s/term chart structure could be showing signs that bears are beginning to tire. This is supported by the relatively oversold nature of the RSI indicator.
    We await reaction with interest – support is expected.

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