By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendation:

The AUD/USD has climbed to 1.0293 after the release of the RBA minutes from its July 3 meeting; the RBA said improved economic data had convinced it to keep the cash rate on hold at 3.5 per cent.

Also the possibility of monetary stimulus in China after statements from the Chinese Premier is helping to support the Aussie.

Yesterday, the US retail sales data showed an unexpected drop in sales sending the USD tumbling and surprising traders.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data Releases for Monday, July 16, 2012 actual v. forecast (there is no major Asian eco data for July 17, 2012)

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jul. 16

GBP

Rightmove House Price Index (MoM)

-1.7%

1.0%

EUR

CPI (YoY)

2.4%

2.4%

2.4%

EUR

Core CPI (YoY)

1.6%

1.6%

1.6%

USD

Core Retail Sales (MoM)

-0.4%

0.1%

-0.4%

CAD

Foreign Securities Purchases

26.11B

13.50B

10.16B

USD

Retail Sales (MoM)

-0.5%

0.2%

-0.2%

USD

NY Empire State Manufacturing Index

7.4

4.0

2.3

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Jul 18

0:30

AUD

MI Leading Index m/m

0.5%

12:30

USD

Building Permits

0.78M

12:30

USD

Housing Starts

0.71M

14:30

USD

Crude Oil Inventories

-4.7M

Jul 19

1:30

AUD

NAB Quarterly Business Confidence

-1

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

14:00

USD

Existing Home Sales

4.55M

14:00

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

-16.6

Jul 20

1:30

AUD

Import Prices q/q

-1.2%

Click here a current AUD/USD Chart.

Originally posted here