By FXEmpire.com
Analysis and Recommendation:
The AUD/USD is exchanging this morning at 1.0409 rallying considerably, up 0.7% from yesterday’s close as risk assets have been boosted by EUR-supportive comments from ECB President Draghi. Market participants are also likely positioning for tomorrow’s US GDP release given expectations for weakness that should increase the chances of Fed stimulus, driving down the USD and helping higher-beta currencies such as AUD. In terms of fundamentals, the Australian economy remains relatively strong, with a solid AAA rating, ongoing growth in demand for commodities, and relatively elevated interest rates.
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data July 27, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
Currency |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Jul. 27 |
KRW |
South Korean Current Account |
3.68B |
5.00B |
3.13B |
|
JPY |
Tokyo Core CPI (YoY) |
-0.6% |
-0.7% |
-0.6% |
|
|
JPY |
National Core CPI (YoY) |
-0.2% |
0.0% |
-0.1% |
|
|
JPY |
Retail Sales (YoY) |
0.2% |
1.2% |
3.6% |
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the AUD, NZD, JPY and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Previous |
|
Jul 30 |
23:30 |
JPY |
Household Spending y/y |
4.0% |
|
Jul 31 |
1:00 |
NZD |
NBNZ Business Confidence |
12.6 |
|
1:30 |
AUD |
Building Approvals m/m |
27.3% |
|
|
1:30 |
AUD |
Private Sector Credit m/m |
0.5% |
|
|
1:30 |
JPY |
Average Cash Earnings y/y |
-1.1% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Core PCE Price Index m/m |
0.1% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Employment Cost Index q/q |
0.4% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Personal Spending m/m |
0.0% |
|
|
13:00 |
USD |
S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y |
-1.9% |
|
|
13:45 |
USD |
Chicago PMI |
52.9 |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
CB Consumer Confidence |
62.0 |
|
|
Aug 1 |
1:30 |
AUD |
HPI q/q |
-1.1% |
|
12:15 |
USD |
ADP Non-Farm Employment Change |
176K |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
49.7 |
|
|
18:15 |
USD |
FOMC Statement |
||
|
Aug 2 |
1:30 |
AUD |
Retail Sales m/m |
0.5% |
|
1:30 |
AUD |
Trade Balance |
-0.29B |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Unemployment Claims |
||
|
14:00 |
USD |
Factory Orders m/m |
0.7% |
|
|
23:30 |
AUD |
AIG Services Index |
48.8 |
|
|
Aug 3 |
12:30 |
USD |
Non-Farm Employment Change |
80K |
|
12:30 |
USD |
Unemployment Rate |
8.2% |
|
|
12:30 |
USD |
Average Hourly Earnings m/m |
0.3% |
|
|
14:00 |
USD |
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
52.1 |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Jul 30 09:10 Italy
Jul 30 10:00 Belgium
Jul 31 00:30 Japan
Jul 31 09:30 Belgium
Aug 01 09:30 Germany
Aug 01 10:00 Norway
Click here to read AUD/USD Technical Analysis.
Originally posted here
