Tests Rising Channel Bottom.
GOLD (Futures): Gold Closed lower at the end of the week taking back most of its previous week gains and testing the bottom of its weekly rising channel currently located at 920.The commodity’s technical outlook remains clearly to the upside as long as the mentioned channel bottom and its weekly low at the 920 level are not violated. In that case, we should see Gold recovering from those losses and retargeting its Mar 23’09 high at 958 with a trade above there accelerating further upside gains towards its Mar 20’09 high at 968.Beyond the latter will leave the 1,000/7 level, marking its psycho level/Feb 20’09 high being targeted and then its 2009 high at 1,033.However,if the 915/20 area is decisively taken out, risk for further declines will open up towards the 881.10 level, which is the location of its Mar 18’09 low followed by the 801.70 level, its Jan 15’09 low. Weekly studies are negative and pointing to the downside supporting this view. We still retain our bias for Gold to continue to maintain within its rising channel and subsequently set off additional upside gains. The bigger risk however in our broader outlook on the pair is a technical pattern (double top)which could be shaping up on the weekly and the monthly timeframes. Lets keep our fingers crossed and see whether this will unfold or not. Aside this threat, medium term trend for Gold remains to the upside.
Weekly Chart: GOLD
This is an excerpt from FXT Commodity Strategist Plus, a 5-commodity (Gold, Silver,Crude Oil,Wheat & Corn)model analysis. Take A One Week Free Trial at www.fxtechstrategy.com
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