By FX Empire.com

Economic Events: (GMT)

WEEKLY

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis February 28, 2012, Forecast

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis February 28, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil is currently trading at 108.92 after hitting resistance and falling from 109.76. As the US eyed releasing some of the Strategic Reserves and Saudi Arabia again stated that they would make up any shortage in production, and have already begun increasing. On Friday crude closed above $109 a barrel, extending gains to a seventh session and posting a weekly rise of 6% on ongoing concerns about supply disruptions.

The close was also oil’s highest since May 3, when oil closed at $111.05 a barrel. Prices hit $113.93 a barrel on April 29, a 52-week high, as concerns about geopolitical tensions in the Middle East had also taken center stage. Crude oil is up 11% so far this month on the geopolitical worries between Iran and Israel and the continued mounting tension, along with the Islamic nation stopping oil shipments to France and other EU nations, prior to the embargo effective date. Most countries have already made alternative arrangements, so this rise is only on a supply disruption and should subside quickly.

Today’s economic releases actual v. forecast

EUR French PPI (MoM) 0.6% 0.3% -0.1%
EUR M3 Money Supply (YoY) 2.5% 1.8% 1.5%
EUR Private Loans (YoY) 1.1% 1.2% 1.0%
EUR Italian Business Confidence 91.5 92.0 92.1

Sovereign Bond Auction Schedule

Feb 28 01:30 Japan Auctions 2Y JGBs

Feb 28 10:10 Italy BTP/CCTeu auction

Feb 28 10:30 Belgium Auctions 3 & 6M T-bills

Feb 28 15:30 UK Details gilt auctions on Mar 06 & Mar 07

Feb 29 10:10 Sweden Auctions T-bills

Feb 29 10:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn 2.0% Jan 2022 Bund

Feb 29 15:30 Sweden Details nominal bond auction on Mar 07

Mar 01 09:30 Spain Bono auction

Mar 01 09:50 France OAT auction

Mar 01 10.30 UK Auctions 4.0% 2022 conventional Gilt

Originally posted here