By FX Empire.com

Economic Events: (GMT)

WEEKLY

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis February 29, 2012, Forecast

Crude Oil Fundamental Analysis February 29, 2012, Forecast

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil has fallen to 106.68 down 1.93. Crude fell on economic data as well as profit taking. U.S. home prices fell 1.1% in December to bring the year-over-year fall to 4%, according to the Case-Shiller home price index released Tuesday. Also today on the data showing orders for durable goods sank 4% in January, the U.S. Commerce Department said.

Tensions between Iran and the US quieted down today and fears of supply disruption have subsided. The USD fell against its trading partners today as the euro soared. This additional weakness caused oil to fall.

Now That is a Trend Line

Economic Data February 28, 2012 actual v forecast

CHF Consumption Indicator 0.92 0.94
EUR GfK German Consumer Climate 6.0 6.1 5.9
CHF Employment Level 4.04M 4.03M 4.05M
EUR Business and Consumer Survey 94.4 93.8 93.4
EUR Italian 10-Year BTP Auction 4.190% 6.470%
GBP CBI Distributive Trades Survey -2 -14 -22
CLP Chilean Unemployment Rate 6.6% 7.0% 6.6%
HUF Hungarian Interest Rate Decision 7.00% 7.00% 7.00%
USD Core Durable Goods Orders (MoM) -3.2% 0.0% 2.1%
USD Durable Goods Orders (MoM) -4.0% -0.8% 3.2%
EUR German CPI (MoM) 0.7% 0.5% -0.4%
USD S&P/CS Home Price Indices Composite – 20 (YoY) -4.0% -3.6% -3.9%

Sovereign Bond Auction Schedule

Feb 29 10:10 Sweden Auctions T-bills

Feb 29 10:30 Germany Eur 4.0bn 2.0% Jan 2022 Bund

Feb 29 15:30 Sweden Details nominal bond auction on Mar 07

Mar 01 09:30 Spain Bono auction

Mar 01 09:50 France OAT auction

Mar 01 10.30 UK Auctions 4.0% 2022 conventional Gilt

Originally posted here