By FXEmpire.com

Analysis and Recommendations:

Crude Oil continued to rise trading at 89.31 ahead of today’s inventory release. Speculators are hoping to see a significant drop in stocks. Yesterday the API report predicted that inventories should be way down.

Geopolitical tensions remain under control in the mid east but also are pressurizing the markets. Expectations that demand for fuel will curb in world’s second largest economy China after the statement of Premier Wen Jiabao that labor situation is expected to worsen will also put pressure on crude oil.

The EIA inventory report was just released stating:

U.S. commercial crude oil inventories (excluding those in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve) decreased by 0.8 million barrels from the previous week. At 377.4 million barrels, U.S. crude oil inventories are above the upper limit of the average range for this time of year.

This decline was insignificant and not near market expectations which will also put pressure on prices through the days trading.

FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.

Economic Data July 19, 2012 actual v. forecast

Date

Currency

Event

Actual

Forecast

Previous

Jul. 18

JPY

Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes

GBP

Average Earnings Index +Bonus

1.5%

1.4%

1.4%

GBP

Claimant Count Change

6.1K

5.0K

6.9K

GBP

MPC Meeting Minutes

USD

Building Permits

0.755M

0.765M

0.784M

USD

Housing Starts

0.760M

0.745M

0.711M

USD

Fed Chairman Bernanke Testifies

WEEKLY

  • This Week in Petroleum
    Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
    Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule)
  • Weekly Petroleum Status Report
    Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)

Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD

Date

Time

Currency

Event

Previous

Jul 19

6:00

CHF

Trade Balance

2.48B

8:00

EUR

Current Account

4.6B

8:30

GBP

Retail Sales m/m

1.4%

12:30

USD

Unemployment Claims

14:00

USD

Existing Home Sales

4.55M

14:00

USD

Philly Fed Manufacturing Index

-16.6

Jul 20

6:00

EUR

German PPI m/m

-0.3%

8:30

GBP

Public Sector Net Borrowing

15.6B

Government Bond Auctions

Date Time Country

Jul 19 00:30 Japan

Jul 19 08:30 Spain

Jul 19 08:50 France

Jul 19 09:30 UK

Jul 19 09:50 France

Jul 19 15:00 US

Jul 19 17:00 US

Jul 23- n/a UK

Jul 23 09:30 Germany

Jul 24 08:30 Netherlands

Jul 24 08:30 Spain

Jul 24 15:30 Italy

Jul 24 17:00 US

Jul 25 09:30 Germany

Jul 25 15:30 Italy

Jul 25 17:00 US

Jul 26 00:30 Japan

Jul 26 09:10 Italy

Jul 27 09:10 Italy

Jul 27 17:00 US

Click here a current Crude Oil Chart.

Originally posted here