By FXEmpire.com
Analysis and Recommendations:
Crude Oil is trading at 83.42 up just 11 cents, it has spent the day seesawing up and down.
Nymex crude oil prices swung between gains and losses on the back of expectations of decline in US crude oil inventories coupled with weakness in the DX. On the other hand, the International Energy Agency (IEA) monthly report showed that world crude oil supplies rose by 200,000 barrels to 91.1 million barrels a day in May. Crude oil output increased on account of rise in crude production in US and Canada.
The US Energy Department (EIA) is scheduled to release its weekly inventories report today at 8:00pm IST and US crude oil inventories are expected to decline by 1.4 million barrels for the week ending on 8th June 2012. Gasoline stocks are expected to rise by 1.1 million barrels whereas distillate inventories are also expected to gain by 1.3 million barrels for the same period.
Also OPEC’s meeting are about to begin and final production levels will be determined and released. Some members want to keep production high and prices level, where as others want to reduce quotas and keep prices elevated. The oil minister will come to a final decision at this meeting.
The International Energy Agency has warned of upside risk in crude oil prices in the midst of steep fall in crude oil exports by Iran
Investors remained cautious ahead of certain key events like election in Greece, FOMC rate decision and G20 meeting, waiting for cues to take up fresh directions. Commodities and equities inched up, yet lingering worries over euro zone debt crisis weighed on the overall market sentiments. Extending the previous session gains, spot gold edged up. Persistent fears over the euro zone debt and gloomy economy outlook attracted some safe haven buying in the precious metal. Dollar weakening against its major peers supported the sentiments too.
However, borrowing cost of Spain surging to a euro-era high capped gains. Amid the lingering worries over euro zone debt contagion,
FxEmpire provides in-depth analysis for each currency and commodity we review. Fundamental analysis is provided in three components. We provide a detailed monthly analysis and forecast at the beginning of each month. Then we provide more up to the data analysis and information in our weekly reports.
Economic Data for June 13, 2012 actual v. forecast
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Importance |
Event |
Actual |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Jun. 13 |
00:00 |
JPY |
BoJ Governor Shirakawa Speaks |
||||
|
01:30 |
AUD |
Westpac Consumer Sentiment |
0.30% |
0.80% |
|||
|
06:30 |
EUR |
French CPI (MoM) |
-0.1% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
||
|
07:00 |
EUR |
German CPI (MoM) |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
||
|
07:00 |
EUR |
German CPI (YoY) |
1.9% |
1.9% |
1.9% |
||
|
08:15 |
CHF |
PPI (MoM) |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
-0.1% |
||
|
10:00 |
EUR |
Industrial Production (MoM) |
-0.8% |
-1.0% |
-0.1% |
||
|
13:30 |
USD |
Core PPI (MoM) |
0.2% |
0.2% |
0.2% |
||
|
13:30 |
USD |
Core Retail Sales (MoM) |
-0.4% |
0.0% |
-0.3% |
||
|
13:30 |
USD |
PPI (MoM) |
-1.0% |
-0.6% |
-0.2% |
||
|
13:30 |
USD |
Retail Sales (MoM) |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
-0.2% |
||
|
13:30 |
USD |
PPI (YoY) |
0.7% |
1.1% |
1.9% |
||
|
13:30 |
USD |
Core PPI (YoY) |
2.7% |
2.8% |
2.7% |
WEEKLY
- This Week in Petroleum
Release Schedule: Wednesday @ 1:00 p.m. EST (schedule) - Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update
Release Schedule: Monday between 4:00 and 5:00 p.m. EST (schedule) - Weekly Petroleum Status Report
Release Schedule: The wpsrsummary.pdf, overview.pdf, and Tables 1-14 in CSV and XLS formats, are released to the Web site after 10:30 a.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. All other PDF and HTML files are released to the Web site after 1:00 p.m. (Eastern Time) on Wednesday. Appendix D is produced during the winter heating season, which extends from October through March of each year. For some weeks which include holidays, releases are delayed by one day. (schedule)
Upcoming Economic Events that affect the CHF, EUR, GBP and USD
|
Date |
Time |
Currency |
Event |
Forecast |
Previous |
|
Jun 14 |
7:30 |
CHF |
|
|
|
|
7:30 |
CHF |
||||
|
7:30 |
CHF |
||||
|
8:00 |
CHF |
||||
|
8:00 |
EUR |
||||
|
9:00 |
EUR |
2.4% |
|||
|
12:30 |
USD |
377K |
|||
|
12:30 |
USD |
0.0% |
|||
|
12:30 |
USD |
-124B |
|||
|
Jun 15 |
8:30 |
GBP |
-8.6B |
||
|
12:30 |
USD |
17.1 |
|||
|
13:00 |
USD |
36.2B |
|||
|
13:15 |
USD |
79.2% |
|||
|
13:15 |
USD |
1.1% |
|||
|
13:55 |
USD |
79.3 |
Government Bond Auctions
Date Time Country
Jun 14 09:10 Italy
Jun 14 09:30 UK
Jun 14 15:00 US
Jun 14 17:00 US
Click here a current Crude Oil Chart.
Originally posted here
